Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 2:00 AM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Aug 7, 2017	mlb	Reds Padres	First5 result	away	3.70	44.3%	0.733	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Aug 6, 2017	mlb	Royals Mariners	First5 result	away	2.65	42.7%	0.162	0.15u	Won	+0.25u
Aug 6, 2017	mlb	Rockies Phillies	First5 result	home	2.50	44.6%	0.114	0.10u	Lost	-0.10u
Aug 6, 2017	mlb	Mets Dodgers	First5 result	away	2.42	43.0%	0.109	0.09u	Won	+0.13u
Aug 6, 2017	mlb	Braves Marlins	First5 result	away	2.75	46.6%	0.343	0.46u	Won	+0.81u
Aug 6, 2017	mlb	Angels Athletics	First5 result	away	2.83	44.8%	0.347	0.46u	Lost	-0.46u
Aug 6, 2017	mlb	Pirates Padres	First5 result	away	2.90	45.7%	0.386	0.54u	Lost	-0.54u
Aug 5, 2017	mlb	Angels Athletics	First5 result	home	2.95	37.4%	0.104	0.07u	Lost	-0.07u
Aug 5, 2017	mlb	Red Sox White Sox	First5 result	away	2.52	45.0%	0.159	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
Aug 5, 2017	mlb	Mets Dodgers	First5 result	away	2.52	40.8%	0.073	0.05u	Lost	-0.05u
Aug 5, 2017	mlb	Reds Cardinals	First5 result	away	2.80	39.2%	0.180	0.17u	Won	+0.31u
Aug 5, 2017	mlb	Cubs Nationals	First5 result	away	3.80	47.3%	0.865	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Aug 5, 2017	mlb	Braves Marlins	First5 result	away	2.42	43.7%	0.148	0.15u	Lost	-0.15u
Aug 4, 2017	mlb	Cubs Nationals	First5 result	draw	4.60	34.7%	0.246	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Aug 4, 2017	mlb	Royals Mariners	First5 result	away	2.40	43.6%	0.125	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
Aug 4, 2017	mlb	Indians Yankees	First5 result	away	2.73	41.1%	0.259	0.37u	Lost	-0.37u
Aug 4, 2017	mlb	Red Sox White Sox	First5 result	away	2.90	46.7%	0.412	0.76u	Won	+1.44u
Aug 4, 2017	mlb	Astros Blue Jays	First5 result	away	2.55	42.9%	0.121	0.13u	Lost	-0.13u
Aug 4, 2017	mlb	Pirates Padres	First5 result	away	2.45	46.2%	0.151	0.19u	Won	+0.28u
Aug 3, 2017	mlb	Rockies Mets	First5 result	away	2.28	46.9%	0.074	0.05u	Lost	-0.05u
Aug 3, 2017	mlb	Astros Rays	First5 result	away	3.55	43.7%	0.657	0.88u	Lost	-0.88u
Aug 3, 2017	mlb	Braves Dodgers	First5 result	home	3.05	46.2%	0.410	0.45u	Lost	-0.45u
Aug 3, 2017	mlb	Royals Mariners	First5 result	away	2.75	43.7%	0.275	0.26u	Lost	-0.26u
Aug 3, 2017	mlb	Indians Yankees	First5 result	away	2.62	43.5%	0.166	0.13u	Lost	-0.13u
Aug 2, 2017	mlb	Giants Athletics	First5 result	away	2.62	42.6%	0.158	0.15u	Won	+0.24u
Aug 2, 2017	mlb	Pirates Reds	First5 result	away	2.90	41.6%	0.253	0.28u	Won	+0.53u
Aug 2, 2017	mlb	Cubs Diamondbacks	First5 result	away	3.35	40.4%	0.402	0.52u	Lost	-0.52u
Aug 2, 2017	mlb	Braves Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.85	43.8%	0.250	0.28u	Lost	-0.28u
Aug 2, 2017	mlb	White Sox Blue Jays	First5 result	away	2.90	44.2%	0.318	0.41u	Won	+0.78u
Aug 2, 2017	mlb	Angels Phillies	First5 result	away	2.42	45.5%	0.156	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
Aug 1, 2017	mlb	Brewers Cardinals	First5 result	away	2.55	40.8%	0.056	0.09u	Lost	-0.09u
Aug 1, 2017	mlb	Braves Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.90	46.0%	0.334	0.97u	Lost	-0.97u
Aug 1, 2017	mlb	Pirates Reds	First5 result	home	2.95	43.0%	0.269	0.67u	Lost	-0.67u
Aug 1, 2017	mlb	Marlins Nationals	First5 result	home	2.57	40.9%	0.051	0.07u	Won	+0.11u
Jul 31, 2017	mlb	Red Sox Indians	First5 result	home	2.74	44.3%	0.213	0.64u	Won	+1.11u
Jul 31, 2017	mlb	Rangers Mariners	First5 result	away	3.00	45.2%	0.302	1.02u	Lost	-1.02u
Jul 31, 2017	mlb	Astros Rays	First5 result	away	2.33	46.8%	0.061	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
Jul 30, 2017	mlb	White Sox Indians	First5 result	away	3.10	41.0%	0.300	1.02u	Won	+2.14u
Jul 30, 2017	mlb	Phillies Braves	First5 result	away	2.63	45.5%	0.209	0.67u	Lost	-0.67u
Jul 30, 2017	mlb	Padres Pirates	First5 result	away	2.48	43.3%	0.051	0.11u	Won	+0.16u
Jul 29, 2017	mlb	White Sox Indians	First5 result	home	3.65	45.0%	0.642	0.89u	Lost	-0.89u
Jul 29, 2017	mlb	Mariners Mets	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.7%	0.214	0.11u	Lost	-0.11u
Jul 29, 2017	mlb	Blue Jays Angels	First5 result	home	2.61	42.3%	0.104	0.07u	Won	+0.11u
Jul 29, 2017	mlb	Brewers Cubs	First5 result	away	3.70	44.2%	0.580	0.73u	Lost	-0.73u
Jul 28, 2017	mlb	Dodgers Giants	First5 result	away	3.70	40.4%	0.443	0.69u	Lost	-0.69u
Jul 28, 2017	mlb	Rangers Orioles	First5 result	away	2.80	42.9%	0.178	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Jul 28, 2017	mlb	Brewers Cubs	First5 result	away	2.48	45.6%	0.071	0.07u	Lost	-0.07u
Jul 28, 2017	mlb	Marlins Reds	First5 result	home	3.20	45.4%	0.452	0.83u	Lost	-0.83u
Jul 27, 2017	mlb	Marlins Reds	First5 result	away	2.75	42.4%	0.148	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
Jul 27, 2017	mlb	Padres Mets	First5 result	away	2.37	45.1%	0.077	0.07u	Lost	-0.07u
Jul 27, 2017	mlb	White Sox Cubs	First5 result	home	3.40	45.1%	0.532	0.88u	Lost	-0.88u
Jul 27, 2017	mlb	Nationals Brewers	First5 result	away	3.60	42.0%	0.482	0.71u	Lost	-0.71u
Jul 26, 2017	mlb	Dodgers Twins	First5 result	away	2.70	46.5%	0.200	0.15u	Won	+0.26u
Jul 26, 2017	mlb	Nationals Brewers	First5 result	away	2.87	45.3%	0.246	0.20u	Won	+0.37u
Jul 26, 2017	mlb	Giants Pirates	First5 result	home	3.48	46.1%	0.604	0.73u	Lost	-0.73u
Jul 26, 2017	mlb	Mariners Red Sox	First5 result	away	3.15	43.5%	0.374	0.36u	Won	+0.77u
Jul 26, 2017	mlb	Yankees Reds	First5 result	draw	4.60	36.9%	0.292	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
Jul 26, 2017	mlb	Tigers Royals	First5 result	home	2.90	43.0%	0.246	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
Jul 25, 2017	mlb	Rangers Marlins	First5 result	away	2.90	43.4%	0.262	1.05u	Lost	-1.05u
Jul 25, 2017	mlb	Giants Pirates	First5 result	away	2.83	43.1%	0.184	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
Jul 25, 2017	mlb	Mariners Red Sox	First5 result	away	2.51	41.1%	0.054	0.13u	Lost	-0.13u
Jul 24, 2017	mlb	Rays Orioles	First5 result	away	3.45	42.4%	0.438	0.62u	Won	+1.52u
Jul 24, 2017	mlb	Diamondbacks Braves	First5 result	away	2.50	44.6%	0.119	0.11u	Lost	-0.11u
Jul 24, 2017	mlb	Mariners Red Sox	First5 result	away	2.73	43.8%	0.226	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
Jul 24, 2017	mlb	Blue Jays Athletics	First5 result	away	2.95	41.3%	0.230	0.26u	Lost	-0.26u
Jul 24, 2017	mlb	Indians Reds	First5 result	home	2.40	45.6%	0.094	0.08u	Won	+0.11u
Jul 24, 2017	mlb	Tigers Royals	First5 result	away	3.45	40.4%	0.367	0.46u	Won	+1.13u
Jul 23, 2017	mlb	Rays Rangers	First5 result	away	2.58	41.1%	0.067	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
Jul 23, 2017	mlb	Mets Athletics	First5 result	away	4.55	42.4%	0.959	1.20u	Won	+4.26u
Jul 23, 2017	mlb	Twins Tigers	First5 result	away	2.75	39.0%	0.070	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
Jul 22, 2017	mlb	Orioles Astros	First5 result	away	3.30	41.8%	0.360	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jul 22, 2017	mlb	Mariners Yankees	First5 result	away	2.60	40.2%	0.056	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
Jul 22, 2017	mlb	Twins Tigers	First5 result	away	2.48	42.4%	0.056	0.17u	Lost	-0.17u
Jul 22, 2017	mlb	Mets Athletics	First5 result	away	2.70	40.5%	0.083	0.26u	Won	+0.44u
Jul 21, 2017	mlb	Twins Tigers	First5 result	away	3.50	42.8%	0.448	1.02u	Won	+2.55u
Jul 21, 2017	mlb	Cubs Cardinals	First5 result	away	2.68	41.3%	0.098	0.13u	Lost	-0.13u
Jul 21, 2017	mlb	Diamondbacks Nationals	First5 result	home	2.90	44.9%	0.303	0.65u	Won	+1.24u
Jul 20, 2017	mlb	Red Sox Blue Jays	First5 result	away	2.95	41.0%	0.197	0.81u	Won	+1.58u
Jul 20, 2017	mlb	Mariners Yankees	First5 result	draw	4.60	36.6%	0.213	0.47u	Won	+1.69u
Jul 19, 2017	mlb	White Sox Dodgers	First5 result	away	2.55	44.2%	0.146	0.21u	Won	+0.33u
Jul 19, 2017	mlb	Twins Yankees	First5 result	home	3.05	44.7%	0.362	0.71u	Won	+1.46u
Jul 19, 2017	mlb	Astros Mariners	First5 result	home	2.44	44.3%	0.081	0.10u	Lost	-0.10u
Jul 19, 2017	mlb	Pirates Brewers	First5 result	away	2.82	42.8%	0.239	0.39u	Lost	-0.39u
Jul 19, 2017	mlb	Marlins Phillies	First5 result	away	2.74	43.3%	0.166	0.23u	Won	+0.40u
Jul 19, 2017	mlb	Giants Indians	First5 result	home	2.74	41.2%	0.130	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
Jul 18, 2017	mlb	Braves Cubs	First5 result	home	2.50	46.8%	0.169	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u
Jul 18, 2017	mlb	Orioles Rangers	First5 result	home	2.24	48.0%	0.074	0.12u	Won	+0.15u
Jul 18, 2017	mlb	Red Sox Blue Jays	First5 result	away	2.63	45.5%	0.110	0.16u	Won	+0.26u
Jul 18, 2017	mlb	Athletics Rays	First5 result	home	4.00	45.0%	0.801	1.20u	Won	+3.60u
Jul 17, 2017	mlb	Orioles Rangers	First5 result	home	2.63	47.2%	0.240	1.01u	Lost	-1.01u
Jul 17, 2017	mlb	Reds Nationals	First5 result	away	3.05	41.3%	0.181	0.57u	Won	+1.17u
Jul 17, 2017	mlb	Mets Cardinals	First5 result	home	2.35	45.8%	0.076	0.22u	Won	+0.30u
Jul 16, 2017	mlb	Athletics Indians	First5 result	away	2.50	45.6%	0.057	0.15u	Lost	-0.15u
Jul 16, 2017	mlb	Braves Diamondbacks	First5 result	away	2.80	42.9%	0.126	0.38u	Lost	-0.38u
Jul 16, 2017	mlb	Padres Giants	First5 result	home	2.73	45.0%	0.229	0.95u	Won	+1.64u
Jul 16, 2017	mlb	Royals Rangers	First5 result	home	2.48	44.4%	0.101	0.32u	Won	+0.47u
Jul 15, 2017	mlb	Orioles Cubs	First5 result	away	2.57	43.7%	0.066	0.13u	Won	+0.20u
Jul 15, 2017	mlb	White Sox Mariners	First5 result	home	3.00	43.9%	0.318	1.10u	Won	+2.20u
Jul 15, 2017	mlb	Braves Diamondbacks	First5 result	home	2.83	42.5%	0.203	0.57u	Won	+1.04u
Jul 14, 2017	mlb	Marlins Dodgers	First5 result	away	2.56	46.2%	0.074	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.