Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 14, 2026 6:44 PM EDT
Home win
nfl
Philadelphia Eagles
Detroit Lions
away
Odds
3.87
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
0.980
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.92u
Home win
nfl
Arizona Cardinals
Carolina Panthers
home
Odds
2.26
Prob
54.2%
EV/u
0.187
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
Home win
nfl
Los Angeles Chargers
Houston Texans
away
Odds
2.63
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.393
Stake
0.48u
Won
+0.78u
Home win
nfl
San Francisco 49ers
Pittsburgh Steelers
away
Odds
3.68
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.942
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
Home win
nfl
New York Jets
Cleveland Browns
home
Odds
2.19
Prob
56.4%
EV/u
0.196
Stake
0.82u
Lost
-0.82u
Home win
nfl
Detroit Lions
Los Angeles Chargers
home
Odds
2.21
Prob
55.6%
EV/u
0.191
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.51u
Home win
nfl
Green Bay Packers
Minnesota Vikings
away
Odds
2.42
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.277
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
Home win
nfl
Houston Texans
Jacksonville Jaguars
away
Odds
4.67
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
1.634
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
Home win
nfl
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
away
Odds
2.51
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.420
Stake
0.74u
Won
+1.12u
Home cover
nfl
Oakland Raiders
Denver Broncos
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
55.1%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.40u
Home win
nfl
New Orleans Saints
Houston Texans
away
Odds
3.65
Prob
48.5%
EV/u
0.881
Stake
0.80u
Lost
-0.80u
Home cover
nfl
New England Patriots
Pittsburgh Steelers
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
74.2%
EV/u
0.348
Stake
0.67u
Won
+0.61u
Home cover
nfl
Carolina Panthers
Los Angeles Rams
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
69.4%
EV/u
0.269
Stake
0.66u
Lost
-0.66u
Home cover
nfl
Dallas Cowboys
New York Giants
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
72.9%
EV/u
0.325
Stake
0.67u
Won
+0.61u
Home cover
nfl
Miami Dolphins
Baltimore Ravens
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
58.4%
EV/u
0.186
Stake
0.83u
Lost
-0.83u
Home win
nfl
Arizona Cardinals
Detroit Lions
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
56.7%
EV/u
0.180
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
Home win
nfl
Miami Dolphins
Baltimore Ravens
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
53.0%
EV/u
0.560
Stake
0.65u
Lost
-0.65u
Home win
nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars
Kansas City Chiefs
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
56.5%
EV/u
0.472
Stake
0.67u
Lost
-0.67u
Home win
nfl
Carolina Panthers
Los Angeles Rams
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
52.9%
EV/u
0.179
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
Home win
nfl
New York Jets
Buffalo Bills
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
33.4%
EV/u
0.630
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.75u
Home win
nfl
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
San Francisco 49ers
away
Odds
2.00
Prob
20.7%
EV/u
0.492
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.50u
Home win
nfl
Chicago Bears
Green Bay Packers
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
0.335
Stake
1.08u
Won
+1.67u
Home win
nfl
Los Angeles Rams
New England Patriots
home
Odds
2.14
Prob
55.5%
EV/u
0.154
Stake
0.68u
Lost
-0.68u
Home cover
nfl
Kansas City Chiefs
New England Patriots
home
Odds
1.95
Prob
68.9%
EV/u
0.287
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Home win
nfl
Baltimore Ravens
Los Angeles Chargers
away
Odds
2.25
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.157
Stake
0.63u
Won
+0.79u
Home win
nfl
Denver Broncos
Los Angeles Chargers
home
Odds
3.45
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.687
Stake
0.68u
Lost
-0.68u
Home win
nfl
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
home
Odds
2.43
Prob
58.3%
EV/u
0.350
Stake
0.59u
Lost
-0.59u
Home win
nfl
Washington Redskins
Philadelphia Eagles
home
Odds
3.48
Prob
58.3%
EV/u
0.977
Stake
0.73u
Lost
-0.73u
Home win
nfl
Oakland Raiders
Denver Broncos
home
Odds
2.27
Prob
58.3%
EV/u
0.272
Stake
1.07u
Won
+1.36u
Home win
nfl
San Francisco 49ers
Chicago Bears
home
Odds
2.71
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.336
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
Home win
nfl
Carolina Panthers
Atlanta Falcons
home
Odds
2.66
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.312
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
Home win
nfl
Detroit Lions
Minnesota Vikings
home
Odds
3.05
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.498
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
Home win
nfl
New York Jets
Green Bay Packers
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
58.3%
EV/u
0.312
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
Home win
nfl
Seattle Seahawks
Kansas City Chiefs
home
Odds
2.13
Prob
58.3%
EV/u
0.203
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.40u
Home win
nfl
Los Angeles Chargers
Baltimore Ravens
away
Odds
2.96
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.711
Stake
1.50u
Won
+2.94u
Home win
nfl
Carolina Panthers
New Orleans Saints
home
Odds
3.38
Prob
52.5%
EV/u
0.733
Stake
1.50u
Lost
-1.50u
Home cover
nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars
Washington Redskins
home
Odds
1.99
Prob
67.7%
EV/u
0.289
Stake
1.17u
Won
+1.16u
Home win
nfl
Pittsburgh Steelers
New England Patriots
home
Odds
2.03
Prob
68.5%
EV/u
0.325
Stake
1.00u
Won
+1.03u
Home win
nfl
San Francisco 49ers
Seattle Seahawks
home
Odds
2.99
Prob
56.4%
EV/u
0.651
Stake
1.00u
Won
+1.99u
Home win
nfl
New York Jets
Houston Texans
home
Odds
3.25
Prob
64.1%
EV/u
1.029
Stake
1.50u
Lost
-1.50u
Home cover
nfl
Arizona Cardinals
Detroit Lions
home
Odds
1.97
Prob
69.3%
EV/u
0.305
Stake
0.67u
Lost
-0.67u
Home cover
nfl
Washington Redskins
New York Giants
home
Odds
1.94
Prob
69.3%
EV/u
0.289
Stake
0.67u
Lost
-0.67u
Home cover
nfl
Cleveland Browns
Carolina Panthers
home
Odds
1.89
Prob
69.3%
EV/u
0.259
Stake
0.65u
Won
+0.58u
Home win
nfl
Chicago Bears
Los Angeles Rams
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
60.6%
EV/u
0.407
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.73u
Home win
nfl
Miami Dolphins
New England Patriots
home
Odds
4.24
Prob
68.5%
EV/u
1.904
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.68u
Home win
nfl
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints
home
Odds
4.23
Prob
66.6%
EV/u
1.818
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
Home win
nfl
Washington Redskins
New York Giants
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
61.2%
EV/u
0.559
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
Home win
nfl
San Francisco 49ers
Denver Broncos
home
Odds
3.37
Prob
67.2%
EV/u
1.199
Stake
0.54u
Won
+1.28u
Home cover
nfl
Tennessee Titans
Jacksonville Jaguars
home
Odds
1.92
Prob
70.3%
EV/u
0.289
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.10u
Home cover
nfl
Philadelphia Eagles
Washington Redskins
home
Odds
1.90
Prob
75.9%
EV/u
0.370
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.08u
Home cover
nfl
Oakland Raiders
Kansas City Chiefs
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
72.2%
EV/u
0.314
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
Home cover
nfl
Miami Dolphins
Buffalo Bills
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
80.8%
EV/u
0.454
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.36u
Home cover
nfl
Cincinnati Bengals
Denver Broncos
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
70.4%
EV/u
0.286
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
Home cover
nfl
Seattle Seahawks
San Francisco 49ers
home
Odds
1.89
Prob
73.8%
EV/u
0.331
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.36u
Home cover
nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars
Indianapolis Colts
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
78.8%
EV/u
0.421
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.36u
Home win
nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars
Indianapolis Colts
home
Odds
2.67
Prob
78.2%
EV/u
1.034
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.77u
Home win
nfl
Detroit Lions
Los Angeles Rams
home
Odds
4.80
Prob
61.9%
EV/u
1.971
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
Home win
nfl
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Carolina Panthers
home
Odds
2.67
Prob
56.6%
EV/u
0.484
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.73u
Home win
nfl
New York Giants
Chicago Bears
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
61.3%
EV/u
0.562
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.74u
Home win
nfl
Cincinnati Bengals
Denver Broncos
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
73.3%
EV/u
0.928
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
Home win
nfl
Dallas Cowboys
New Orleans Saints
home
Odds
4.00
Prob
71.3%
EV/u
1.850
Stake
0.60u
Won
+1.80u
Home cover
nfl
Indianapolis Colts
Miami Dolphins
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
73.0%
EV/u
0.328
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.45u
Home cover
nfl
Minnesota Vikings
Green Bay Packers
home
Odds
1.93
Prob
68.7%
EV/u
0.268
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.45u
Home cover
nfl
Los Angeles Chargers
Arizona Cardinals
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
70.2%
EV/u
0.282
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.45u
Home cover
nfl
Cincinnati Bengals
Cleveland Browns
home
Odds
1.90
Prob
75.0%
EV/u
0.354
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
Home win
nfl
Buffalo Bills
Jacksonville Jaguars
home
Odds
2.57
Prob
58.3%
EV/u
0.471
Stake
0.91u
Won
+1.43u
Home win
nfl
Denver Broncos
Pittsburgh Steelers
home
Odds
2.53
Prob
55.0%
EV/u
0.372
Stake
0.73u
Won
+1.12u
Home win
nfl
New York Jets
New England Patriots
home
Odds
4.57
Prob
66.0%
EV/u
2.017
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
Home win
nfl
Detroit Lions
Chicago Bears
home
Odds
2.66
Prob
56.6%
EV/u
0.479
Stake
1.44u
Lost
-1.44u
Home cover
nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars
Pittsburgh Steelers
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
69.2%
EV/u
0.266
Stake
0.67u
Lost
-0.67u
Home cover
nfl
Arizona Cardinals
Oakland Raiders
home
Odds
1.94
Prob
68.5%
EV/u
0.275
Stake
0.66u
Won
+0.62u
Home cover
nfl
Detroit Lions
Carolina Panthers
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
69.2%
EV/u
0.266
Stake
0.67u
Lost
-0.67u
Home win
nfl
Detroit Lions
Carolina Panthers
home
Odds
2.72
Prob
57.3%
EV/u
0.529
Stake
0.73u
Won
+1.26u
Home win
nfl
Washington Redskins
Houston Texans
home
Odds
2.32
Prob
57.8%
EV/u
0.287
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
Home win
nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars
Pittsburgh Steelers
home
Odds
2.97
Prob
58.3%
EV/u
0.695
Stake
0.73u
Lost
-0.73u
Home cover
nfl
Tennessee Titans
New England Patriots
home
Odds
1.90
Prob
69.2%
EV/u
0.261
Stake
1.16u
Won
+1.05u
Home win
nfl
Cincinnati Bengals
New Orleans Saints
home
Odds
2.79
Prob
52.9%
EV/u
0.451
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
Home win
nfl
Cleveland Browns
Atlanta Falcons
home
Odds
2.82
Prob
54.8%
EV/u
0.516
Stake
0.59u
Won
+1.07u
Home win
nfl
Tennessee Titans
New England Patriots
home
Odds
3.34
Prob
57.0%
EV/u
0.857
Stake
0.63u
Won
+1.47u
Home win
nfl
Oakland Raiders
Los Angeles Chargers
home
Odds
4.86
Prob
59.5%
EV/u
1.893
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Home cover
nfl
Dallas Cowboys
Tennessee Titans
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
71.0%
EV/u
0.295
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Home win
nfl
Dallas Cowboys
Tennessee Titans
away
Odds
3.39
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.801
Stake
1.50u
Won
+3.59u
Home cover
nfl
New Orleans Saints
Los Angeles Rams
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
77.9%
EV/u
0.408
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.09u
Home win
nfl
New England Patriots
Green Bay Packers
away
Odds
3.07
Prob
35.8%
EV/u
0.921
Stake
0.58u
Lost
-0.58u
Home win
nfl
Washington Redskins
Atlanta Falcons
away
Odds
2.05
Prob
30.9%
EV/u
0.349
Stake
0.58u
Won
+0.61u
Home win
nfl
Miami Dolphins
New York Jets
away
Odds
2.30
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.229
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
Home win
nfl
Denver Broncos
Houston Texans
away
Odds
2.22
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.173
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.33u
Home win
nfl
Buffalo Bills
Chicago Bears
home
Odds
4.51
Prob
51.2%
EV/u
1.307
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
Home win
nfl
San Francisco 49ers
Oakland Raiders
away
Odds
2.47
Prob
35.0%
EV/u
0.511
Stake
1.50u
Lost
-1.50u
Home cover
nfl
Detroit Lions
Seattle Seahawks
home
Odds
1.88
Prob
85.3%
EV/u
0.505
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
Home cover
nfl
Chicago Bears
New York Jets
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
81.3%
EV/u
0.463
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.36u
Home cover
nfl
Arizona Cardinals
San Francisco 49ers
home
Odds
1.98
Prob
84.9%
EV/u
0.572
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.39u
Home cover
nfl
Los Angeles Rams
Green Bay Packers
home
Odds
1.92
Prob
88.0%
EV/u
0.578
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.37u
Home cover
nfl
Carolina Panthers
Baltimore Ravens
home
Odds
1.92
Prob
94.7%
EV/u
0.686
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.37u
Home win
nfl
Arizona Cardinals
San Francisco 49ers
home
Odds
1.88
Prob
66.2%
EV/u
0.202
Stake
0.92u
Won
+0.81u
Home win
nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars
Philadelphia Eagles
home
Odds
2.58
Prob
51.2%
EV/u
0.303
Stake
0.96u
Lost
-0.96u
Home cover
nfl
Houston Texans
Miami Dolphins
home
Odds
1.93
Prob
68.7%
EV/u
0.269
Stake
1.16u
Won
+1.07u
Home cover
nfl
Washington Redskins
Dallas Cowboys
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
75.1%
EV/u
0.361
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.09u
Home win
nfl
San Francisco 49ers
Los Angeles Rams
home
Odds
4.73
Prob
57.6%
EV/u
1.723
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
Home win
nfl
Miami Dolphins
Detroit Lions
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
58.2%
EV/u
0.283
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.