Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 14, 2026 6:44 PM EDT
Home win
nfl
Denver Broncos
Los Angeles Chargers
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
55.5%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Home win
nfl
Houston Texans
Buffalo Bills
home
Odds
1.95
Prob
85.3%
EV/u
0.559
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.33u
Home win
nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars
Indianapolis Colts
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
32.4%
EV/u
0.524
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
Home win
nfl
Seattle Seahawks
New York Giants
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.729
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.90u
Home win
nfl
Denver Broncos
Las Vegas Raiders
away
Odds
2.10
Prob
27.9%
EV/u
0.431
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
Home win
nfl
New England Patriots
Miami Dolphins
away
Odds
1.87
Prob
20.6%
EV/u
0.405
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.30u
Home cover
nfl
San Francisco 49ers
New England Patriots
home
Odds
1.95
Prob
68.7%
EV/u
0.284
Stake
1.19u
Won
+1.13u
Home win
nfl
Arizona Cardinals
Washington Commanders
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.645
Stake
0.68u
Won
+1.33u
Home win
nfl
Carolina Panthers
Cincinnati Bengals
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
54.7%
EV/u
0.660
Stake
0.68u
Lost
-0.68u
Home win
nfl
Atlanta Falcons
New Orleans Saints
home
Odds
1.80
Prob
64.3%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.23u
Home win
nfl
Los Angeles Chargers
Kansas City Chiefs
home
Odds
3.70
Prob
53.3%
EV/u
0.973
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
Home win
nfl
New York Giants
Dallas Cowboys
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
57.9%
EV/u
0.644
Stake
1.50u
Lost
-1.50u
Home cover
nfl
Cincinnati Bengals
Washington Commanders
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
54.5%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
Home cover
nfl
Arizona Cardinals
Detroit Lions
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
62.7%
EV/u
0.235
Stake
1.12u
Lost
-1.12u
Home win
nfl
Arizona Cardinals
Detroit Lions
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
72.1%
EV/u
0.585
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
Home win
nfl
Los Angeles Rams
San Francisco 49ers
home
Odds
3.80
Prob
50.5%
EV/u
0.920
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.81u
Home win
nfl
Las Vegas Raiders
Carolina Panthers
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
1.288
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.81u
Home win
nfl
Minnesota Vikings
Houston Texans
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
58.7%
EV/u
0.242
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.43u
Home win
nfl
Atlanta Falcons
Kansas City Chiefs
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
57.1%
EV/u
0.568
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
Home cover
nfl
Baltimore Ravens
Las Vegas Raiders
away
Odds
1.91
Prob
30.6%
EV/u
0.269
Stake
1.18u
Won
+1.07u
Home cover
nfl
Houston Texans
Chicago Bears
home
Odds
1.95
Prob
68.6%
EV/u
0.282
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
Home cover
nfl
Dallas Cowboys
New Orleans Saints
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
59.9%
EV/u
0.162
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
Home cover
nfl
Carolina Panthers
Los Angeles Chargers
away
Odds
1.87
Prob
19.9%
EV/u
0.416
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.36u
Home cover
nfl
Minnesota Vikings
San Francisco 49ers
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
74.6%
EV/u
0.412
Stake
0.51u
Won
+0.51u
Home cover
nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars
Cleveland Browns
home
Odds
1.95
Prob
68.0%
EV/u
0.272
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
Home win
nfl
Tennessee Titans
New York Jets
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
54.0%
EV/u
0.458
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
Home win
nfl
Minnesota Vikings
San Francisco 49ers
home
Odds
3.25
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
0.635
Stake
0.48u
Won
+1.08u
Home win
nfl
Carolina Panthers
Los Angeles Chargers
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
55.1%
EV/u
0.409
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
Home win
nfl
New England Patriots
Seattle Seahawks
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
54.7%
EV/u
0.237
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Home win
nfl
Green Bay Packers
Indianapolis Colts
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
55.3%
EV/u
0.272
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.46u
Home win
nfl
Baltimore Ravens
Las Vegas Raiders
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
25.0%
EV/u
2.000
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.72u
Home win
nfl
Detroit Lions
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
25.0%
EV/u
1.328
Stake
0.59u
Won
+1.30u
Home cover
nfl
Miami Dolphins
Buffalo Bills
away
Odds
2.00
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.222
Stake
1.11u
Won
+1.11u
Home win
nfl
Miami Dolphins
Buffalo Bills
away
Odds
1.91
Prob
25.0%
EV/u
0.360
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.09u
Home cover
nfl
San Francisco 49ers
New York Jets
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
68.9%
EV/u
0.261
Stake
1.15u
Won
+1.05u
Home cover
nfl
New York Giants
Minnesota Vikings
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
61.6%
EV/u
0.267
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
Home cover
nfl
Chicago Bears
Tennessee Titans
home
Odds
1.95
Prob
69.9%
EV/u
0.303
Stake
0.56u
Won
+0.53u
Home cover
nfl
Atlanta Falcons
Pittsburgh Steelers
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
66.9%
EV/u
0.281
Stake
0.66u
Lost
-0.66u
Home cover
nfl
Miami Dolphins
Jacksonville Jaguars
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
56.4%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
Home cover
nfl
New Orleans Saints
Carolina Panthers
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
71.4%
EV/u
0.302
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.37u
Home cover
nfl
Detroit Lions
Los Angeles Rams
home
Odds
1.87
Prob
78.5%
EV/u
0.391
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.36u
Home cover
nfl
Buffalo Bills
Arizona Cardinals
away
Odds
2.00
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.25u
Home win
nfl
Indianapolis Colts
Houston Texans
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
56.8%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.64u
Lost
-0.64u
Home win
nfl
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Philadelphia Eagles
home
Odds
2.26
Prob
54.2%
EV/u
0.185
Stake
0.73u
Won
+0.92u
Home win
nfl
Houston Texans
Cleveland Browns
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
57.1%
EV/u
0.163
Stake
0.74u
Won
+0.81u
Home cover
nfl
New England Patriots
New York Jets
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
69.8%
EV/u
0.276
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Home win
nfl
Arizona Cardinals
Seattle Seahawks
home
Odds
2.43
Prob
54.5%
EV/u
0.271
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
Home win
nfl
Carolina Panthers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
55.9%
EV/u
0.695
Stake
0.58u
Lost
-0.58u
Home win
nfl
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles
home
Odds
3.15
Prob
53.8%
EV/u
0.657
Stake
0.58u
Won
+1.25u
Home win
nfl
Tennessee Titans
Jacksonville Jaguars
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
55.2%
EV/u
0.359
Stake
0.47u
Won
+0.71u
Home win
nfl
Baltimore Ravens
Pittsburgh Steelers
home
Odds
2.22
Prob
54.9%
EV/u
0.179
Stake
0.73u
Lost
-0.73u
Home win
nfl
New York Giants
Los Angeles Rams
home
Odds
3.05
Prob
55.5%
EV/u
0.657
Stake
1.50u
Lost
-1.50u
Home cover
nfl
Cleveland Browns
New York Jets
home
Odds
1.95
Prob
72.2%
EV/u
0.341
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.14u
Home win
nfl
San Francisco 49ers
Baltimore Ravens
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.601
Stake
1.50u
Won
+2.55u
Home cover
nfl
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Jacksonville Jaguars
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
90.4%
EV/u
0.610
Stake
0.67u
Won
+0.61u
Home cover
nfl
Miami Dolphins
Dallas Cowboys
home
Odds
1.95
Prob
72.5%
EV/u
0.346
Stake
0.67u
Won
+0.64u
Home cover
nfl
Chicago Bears
Arizona Cardinals
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
72.1%
EV/u
0.314
Stake
0.67u
Won
+0.61u
Home win
nfl
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Jacksonville Jaguars
home
Odds
2.18
Prob
65.3%
EV/u
0.353
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.54u
Home win
nfl
Chicago Bears
Arizona Cardinals
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.248
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
Home win
nfl
Minnesota Vikings
Detroit Lions
home
Odds
2.22
Prob
59.9%
EV/u
0.274
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
Home win
nfl
Carolina Panthers
Green Bay Packers
home
Odds
2.92
Prob
72.0%
EV/u
1.045
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
Home win
nfl
Denver Broncos
New England Patriots
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
42.6%
EV/u
0.710
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.94u
Home cover
nfl
Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals
home
Odds
1.83
Prob
92.2%
EV/u
0.580
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.00u
Home win
nfl
Los Angeles Chargers
Buffalo Bills
home
Odds
4.45
Prob
53.2%
EV/u
1.367
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Home win
nfl
Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
81.5%
EV/u
0.466
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.09u
Home win
nfl
Seattle Seahawks
Philadelphia Eagles
home
Odds
2.58
Prob
80.4%
EV/u
1.018
Stake
1.50u
Won
+2.37u
Home cover
nfl
Cleveland Browns
Chicago Bears
home
Odds
1.83
Prob
84.4%
EV/u
0.459
Stake
0.47u
Won
+0.39u
Home cover
nfl
New Orleans Saints
New York Giants
away
Odds
1.91
Prob
16.8%
EV/u
0.494
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
Home cover
nfl
Los Angeles Rams
Washington Commanders
home
Odds
1.87
Prob
92.9%
EV/u
0.619
Stake
0.47u
Won
+0.41u
Home cover
nfl
Tennessee Titans
Houston Texans
away
Odds
2.00
Prob
32.2%
EV/u
0.295
Stake
0.58u
Won
+0.58u
Home win
nfl
New England Patriots
Kansas City Chiefs
home
Odds
4.45
Prob
85.8%
EV/u
2.820
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Home win
nfl
Carolina Panthers
Atlanta Falcons
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
84.7%
EV/u
0.691
Stake
0.62u
Won
+0.71u
Home win
nfl
Buffalo Bills
Dallas Cowboys
home
Odds
1.87
Prob
79.1%
EV/u
0.400
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.43u
Home win
nfl
Tennessee Titans
Houston Texans
away
Odds
2.05
Prob
11.6%
EV/u
0.685
Stake
0.62u
Won
+0.65u
Home cover
nfl
Miami Dolphins
Tennessee Titans
away
Odds
1.91
Prob
31.1%
EV/u
0.261
Stake
1.15u
Won
+1.05u
Home win
nfl
New York Giants
Green Bay Packers
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
57.1%
EV/u
0.728
Stake
1.50u
Won
+3.15u
Home win
nfl
Chicago Bears
Detroit Lions
home
Odds
2.92
Prob
52.4%
EV/u
0.502
Stake
0.63u
Won
+1.21u
Home win
nfl
New York Jets
Houston Texans
home
Odds
2.92
Prob
53.5%
EV/u
0.533
Stake
0.67u
Won
+1.29u
Home win
nfl
Cleveland Browns
Jacksonville Jaguars
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
53.9%
EV/u
0.221
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.54u
Home win
nfl
Cincinnati Bengals
Indianapolis Colts
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
55.5%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.33u
Home win
nfl
Green Bay Packers
Kansas City Chiefs
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
53.9%
EV/u
0.790
Stake
0.57u
Won
+1.37u
Home win
nfl
Washington Commanders
Miami Dolphins
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
52.7%
EV/u
0.752
Stake
0.57u
Lost
-0.57u
Home win
nfl
New Orleans Saints
Detroit Lions
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
56.5%
EV/u
0.272
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
Home win
nfl
New England Patriots
Los Angeles Chargers
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
53.4%
EV/u
0.418
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
Home cover
nfl
Dallas Cowboys
Seattle Seahawks
away
Odds
2.00
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.168
Stake
0.84u
Won
+0.84u
Home win
nfl
Dallas Cowboys
Seattle Seahawks
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.641
Stake
1.49u
Lost
-1.49u
Home win
nfl
Minnesota Vikings
Chicago Bears
away
Odds
2.58
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.482
Stake
1.50u
Won
+2.37u
Home cover
nfl
Denver Broncos
Cleveland Browns
away
Odds
1.91
Prob
29.9%
EV/u
0.281
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
Home cover
nfl
Arizona Cardinals
Los Angeles Rams
away
Odds
1.91
Prob
29.4%
EV/u
0.289
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.37u
Home cover
nfl
Philadelphia Eagles
Buffalo Bills
away
Odds
2.00
Prob
38.4%
EV/u
0.190
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
Home cover
nfl
Las Vegas Raiders
Kansas City Chiefs
away
Odds
1.91
Prob
27.7%
EV/u
0.317
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.37u
Home cover
nfl
Indianapolis Colts
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
away
Odds
2.00
Prob
33.8%
EV/u
0.269
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
Home win
nfl
New York Giants
New England Patriots
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
71.2%
EV/u
0.976
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.80u
Home win
nfl
Los Angeles Chargers
Baltimore Ravens
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
66.2%
EV/u
0.619
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
Home win
nfl
Denver Broncos
Cleveland Browns
home
Odds
2.22
Prob
63.4%
EV/u
0.340
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.49u
Home win
nfl
Arizona Cardinals
Los Angeles Rams
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
59.8%
EV/u
0.237
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Home win
nfl
Houston Texans
Jacksonville Jaguars
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
70.3%
EV/u
0.338
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
Home cover
nfl
Detroit Lions
Green Bay Packers
away
Odds
1.91
Prob
26.9%
EV/u
0.329
Stake
1.00u
Won
+0.91u
Home cover
nfl
Dallas Cowboys
Washington Commanders
away
Odds
1.91
Prob
28.8%
EV/u
0.299
Stake
1.00u
Lost
-1.00u
Home win
nfl
Detroit Lions
Green Bay Packers
away
Odds
3.85
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
1.383
Stake
0.70u
Won
+2.00u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.