Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 14, 2026 6:44 PM EDT
Home win
nfl
Atlanta Falcons
New England Patriots
home
Odds
2.54
Prob
58.1%
EV/u
0.449
Stake
1.46u
Lost
-1.46u
Home win
nfl
San Francisco 49ers
Los Angeles Rams
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
52.7%
EV/u
0.220
Stake
0.79u
Won
+1.11u
Home cover
nfl
Las Vegas Raiders
Kansas City Chiefs
home
Odds
2.03
Prob
56.5%
EV/u
0.119
Stake
0.58u
Lost
-0.58u
Home win
nfl
Green Bay Packers
Seattle Seahawks
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.607
Stake
0.68u
Lost
-0.68u
Home win
nfl
Las Vegas Raiders
Kansas City Chiefs
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
56.0%
EV/u
0.288
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
Home win
nfl
Los Angeles Chargers
Minnesota Vikings
away
Odds
2.25
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.173
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.39u
Home win
nfl
Pittsburgh Steelers
Detroit Lions
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
1.249
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.86u
Home win
nfl
Indianapolis Colts
Jacksonville Jaguars
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
2.041
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
Home win
nfl
Miami Dolphins
Baltimore Ravens
home
Odds
3.25
Prob
60.2%
EV/u
0.906
Stake
1.50u
Won
+3.38u
Home win
nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars
Buffalo Bills
home
Odds
4.88
Prob
59.8%
EV/u
1.918
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.81u
Home win
nfl
Los Angeles Rams
Tennessee Titans
away
Odds
2.61
Prob
49.8%
EV/u
0.293
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.52u
Home win
nfl
New Orleans Saints
Atlanta Falcons
away
Odds
2.69
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.424
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.73u
Home win
nfl
Dallas Cowboys
Denver Broncos
away
Odds
3.36
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.815
Stake
0.52u
Won
+1.23u
Home win
nfl
Cincinnati Bengals
Cleveland Browns
away
Odds
2.10
Prob
31.0%
EV/u
0.374
Stake
0.52u
Won
+0.57u
Home win
nfl
Cleveland Browns
Pittsburgh Steelers
away
Odds
2.23
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.225
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.34u
Home win
nfl
Indianapolis Colts
Tennessee Titans
away
Odds
2.10
Prob
0.0%
EV/u
0.927
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.51u
Home win
nfl
Los Angeles Chargers
New England Patriots
away
Odds
2.87
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.605
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.86u
Home win
nfl
Seattle Seahawks
Jacksonville Jaguars
away
Odds
2.42
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.317
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
Home win
nfl
New Orleans Saints
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
home
Odds
2.61
Prob
100.0%
EV/u
1.527
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.74u
Home win
nfl
Arizona Cardinals
Green Bay Packers
away
Odds
2.54
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.426
Stake
1.38u
Won
+2.13u
Home win
nfl
Baltimore Ravens
Cincinnati Bengals
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
1.000
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.98u
Home win
nfl
Miami Dolphins
Atlanta Falcons
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.287
Stake
0.52u
Won
+0.70u
Home win
nfl
New England Patriots
New York Jets
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
1.057
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
Home win
nfl
San Francisco 49ers
Indianapolis Colts
away
Odds
2.61
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.464
Stake
0.70u
Won
+1.13u
Home win
nfl
Cleveland Browns
Denver Broncos
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
0.575
Stake
1.37u
Lost
-1.37u
Home cover
nfl
Tennessee Titans
Buffalo Bills
away
Odds
1.91
Prob
28.2%
EV/u
0.308
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Home cover
nfl
Chicago Bears
Green Bay Packers
away
Odds
1.91
Prob
30.7%
EV/u
0.268
Stake
0.66u
Won
+0.60u
Home cover
nfl
Carolina Panthers
Minnesota Vikings
away
Odds
1.92
Prob
26.6%
EV/u
0.339
Stake
0.67u
Won
+0.61u
Home cover
nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars
Miami Dolphins
away
Odds
1.88
Prob
29.3%
EV/u
0.272
Stake
0.67u
Won
+0.59u
Home win
nfl
Cleveland Browns
Arizona Cardinals
away
Odds
2.28
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
0.147
Stake
0.57u
Won
+0.73u
Home win
nfl
Indianapolis Colts
Houston Texans
away
Odds
4.60
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
1.385
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Home win
nfl
Baltimore Ravens
Indianapolis Colts
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
0.649
Stake
1.44u
Lost
-1.44u
Home cover
nfl
Houston Texans
New England Patriots
home
Odds
1.89
Prob
75.7%
EV/u
0.362
Stake
1.00u
Lost
-1.00u
Home cover
nfl
Los Angeles Chargers
Cleveland Browns
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
76.2%
EV/u
0.380
Stake
1.00u
Won
+0.91u
Home win
nfl
Dallas Cowboys
New York Giants
away
Odds
4.60
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
1.385
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
Home win
nfl
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Miami Dolphins
away
Odds
4.80
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
1.489
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
Home win
nfl
Minnesota Vikings
Detroit Lions
away
Odds
4.15
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
1.152
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
Home win
nfl
Carolina Panthers
Philadelphia Eagles
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
0.354
Stake
0.58u
Won
+0.96u
Home win
nfl
Las Vegas Raiders
Chicago Bears
away
Odds
3.55
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
0.841
Stake
0.44u
Won
+1.12u
Home win
nfl
Seattle Seahawks
Los Angeles Rams
home
Odds
1.90
Prob
59.5%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
Home win
nfl
San Francisco 49ers
Seattle Seahawks
away
Odds
2.42
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.317
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.45u
Home win
nfl
New Orleans Saints
New York Giants
away
Odds
3.22
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
0.635
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.91u
Home win
nfl
Dallas Cowboys
Carolina Panthers
away
Odds
2.87
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.663
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
Home win
nfl
Chicago Bears
Detroit Lions
away
Odds
3.08
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.703
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
Home win
nfl
Green Bay Packers
Pittsburgh Steelers
away
Odds
3.22
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.953
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
Home win
nfl
Los Angeles Rams
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
69.5%
EV/u
0.270
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.39u
Home win
nfl
Las Vegas Raiders
Miami Dolphins
away
Odds
2.10
Prob
28.9%
EV/u
0.413
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
Home win
nfl
New England Patriots
New Orleans Saints
away
Odds
2.00
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.152
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.27u
Home win
nfl
Cleveland Browns
Chicago Bears
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
1.739
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
Home win
nfl
San Francisco 49ers
Green Bay Packers
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.442
Stake
0.54u
Won
+0.78u
Home win
nfl
Houston Texans
Carolina Panthers
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
50.1%
EV/u
0.428
Stake
1.13u
Lost
-1.13u
Home cover
nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars
Denver Broncos
away
Odds
1.91
Prob
0.0%
EV/u
0.766
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.09u
Home win
nfl
Seattle Seahawks
Tennessee Titans
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
48.5%
EV/u
0.319
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.56u
Home win
nfl
Philadelphia Eagles
San Francisco 49ers
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
55.1%
EV/u
0.539
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
Home win
nfl
New York Jets
New England Patriots
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
57.0%
EV/u
0.510
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
Home win
nfl
Indianapolis Colts
Los Angeles Rams
away
Odds
1.85
Prob
33.3%
EV/u
0.191
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.26u
Home win
nfl
Arizona Cardinals
Minnesota Vikings
away
Odds
2.07
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.188
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
Home win
nfl
Miami Dolphins
Buffalo Bills
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
54.9%
EV/u
0.170
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
Home win
nfl
Las Vegas Raiders
Baltimore Ravens
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
56.6%
EV/u
0.582
Stake
1.50u
Won
+2.78u
Home cover
nfl
Atlanta Falcons
Philadelphia Eagles
away
Odds
1.89
Prob
0.0%
EV/u
0.752
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.07u
Home win
nfl
Indianapolis Colts
Seattle Seahawks
away
Odds
2.20
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.163
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.36u
Home win
nfl
Detroit Lions
San Francisco 49ers
home
Odds
4.85
Prob
59.2%
EV/u
1.869
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
Home win
nfl
Cincinnati Bengals
Minnesota Vikings
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
57.5%
EV/u
0.220
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.49u
Home win
nfl
Kansas City Chiefs
Cleveland Browns
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.784
Stake
0.67u
Lost
-0.67u
Home win
nfl
Los Angeles Rams
Chicago Bears
away
Odds
3.85
Prob
49.6%
EV/u
0.940
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
Home win
nfl
Atlanta Falcons
Philadelphia Eagles
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.355
Stake
0.68u
Won
+1.19u
Home win
nfl
New York Giants
Denver Broncos
away
Odds
1.87
Prob
30.5%
EV/u
0.248
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.37u
Home win
nfl
New Orleans Saints
Green Bay Packers
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.321
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
Home win
nfl
Carolina Panthers
New York Jets
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.355
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
Home win
nfl
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Kansas City Chiefs
home
Odds
2.56
Prob
60.7%
EV/u
0.525
Stake
1.50u
Won
+2.34u
Home win
nfl
Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens
home
Odds
2.54
Prob
53.8%
EV/u
0.347
Stake
1.13u
Lost
-1.13u
Home cover
nfl
Buffalo Bills
Miami Dolphins
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
63.3%
EV/u
0.220
Stake
1.10u
Won
+1.10u
Home win
nfl
Carolina Panthers
New Orleans Saints
home
Odds
2.88
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.416
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
Home win
nfl
Detroit Lions
Minnesota Vikings
home
Odds
3.50
Prob
53.8%
EV/u
0.885
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
Home win
nfl
Chicago Bears
Green Bay Packers
home
Odds
2.76
Prob
53.8%
EV/u
0.470
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
Home win
nfl
Kansas City Chiefs
Los Angeles Chargers
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
53.8%
EV/u
0.327
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
Home win
nfl
Houston Texans
Tennessee Titans
away
Odds
2.00
Prob
0.0%
EV/u
0.895
Stake
0.51u
Won
+0.51u
Home cover
nfl
New England Patriots
Buffalo Bills
away
Odds
1.89
Prob
21.3%
EV/u
0.410
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.07u
Home cover
nfl
Washington
Carolina Panthers
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
82.0%
EV/u
0.473
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
Home cover
nfl
Green Bay Packers
Tennessee Titans
home
Odds
1.84
Prob
73.6%
EV/u
0.295
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.34u
Home cover
nfl
Kansas City Chiefs
Atlanta Falcons
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
78.2%
EV/u
0.413
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.36u
Home cover
nfl
Pittsburgh Steelers
Indianapolis Colts
home
Odds
2.04
Prob
63.1%
EV/u
0.237
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.40u
Home cover
nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars
Chicago Bears
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
76.5%
EV/u
0.384
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
Home win
nfl
Baltimore Ravens
New York Giants
away
Odds
4.15
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
1.098
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Home win
nfl
Houston Texans
Cincinnati Bengals
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
1.391
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.90u
Home win
nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars
Chicago Bears
home
Odds
2.76
Prob
59.7%
EV/u
0.612
Stake
0.74u
Lost
-0.74u
Home win
nfl
Green Bay Packers
Tennessee Titans
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.431
Stake
0.67u
Lost
-0.67u
Home cover
nfl
Dallas Cowboys
San Francisco 49ers
home
Odds
1.93
Prob
70.1%
EV/u
0.291
Stake
0.67u
Won
+0.62u
Home cover
nfl
Los Angeles Rams
New York Jets
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
75.1%
EV/u
0.361
Stake
0.67u
Won
+0.61u
Home cover
nfl
Miami Dolphins
New England Patriots
home
Odds
1.93
Prob
68.8%
EV/u
0.270
Stake
0.66u
Won
+0.61u
Home win
nfl
Miami Dolphins
New England Patriots
away
Odds
2.28
Prob
23.7%
EV/u
0.622
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
Home win
nfl
Indianapolis Colts
Houston Texans
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
0.540
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
Home win
nfl
Dallas Cowboys
San Francisco 49ers
home
Odds
2.66
Prob
69.4%
EV/u
0.803
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.70u
Home win
nfl
Minnesota Vikings
Chicago Bears
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
23.2%
EV/u
1.274
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.86u
Home win
nfl
New Orleans Saints
Kansas City Chiefs
home
Odds
2.38
Prob
60.8%
EV/u
0.375
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
Home cover
nfl
Denver Broncos
Buffalo Bills
away
Odds
1.91
Prob
28.6%
EV/u
0.302
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.09u
Home win
nfl
Detroit Lions
Green Bay Packers
home
Odds
4.43
Prob
50.2%
EV/u
1.225
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
Home win
nfl
Philadelphia Eagles
New Orleans Saints
home
Odds
3.60
Prob
58.2%
EV/u
1.097
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.81u
Home win
nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars
Tennessee Titans
home
Odds
3.80
Prob
52.4%
EV/u
0.990
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
Home win
nfl
Cincinnati Bengals
Dallas Cowboys
home
Odds
2.67
Prob
64.2%
EV/u
0.678
Stake
0.58u
Lost
-0.58u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.