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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Jul 14, 2026 6:44 PM EDT

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Home win nfl
Seattle Seahawks Seattle Seahawks
San Francisco 49ers San Francisco 49ers
home
Odds
2.58
Prob
61.1%
EV/u
0.546
Stake
1.30u
Lost -1.30u
Home cover nfl
Kansas City Chiefs Kansas City Chiefs
Philadelphia Eagles Philadelphia Eagles
away
Odds
2.00
Prob
31.5%
EV/u
0.308
Stake
1.50u
Won +1.50u
Home win nfl
Kansas City Chiefs Kansas City Chiefs
Philadelphia Eagles Philadelphia Eagles
away
Odds
2.15
Prob
32.7%
EV/u
0.375
Stake
1.50u
Won +1.73u
Home cover nfl
Denver Broncos Denver Broncos
Minnesota Vikings Minnesota Vikings
away
Odds
2.05
Prob
26.3%
EV/u
0.428
Stake
0.79u
Won +0.83u
Home cover nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars Jacksonville Jaguars
Tennessee Titans Tennessee Titans
away
Odds
2.00
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
0.216
Stake
0.57u
Lost -0.57u
Home cover nfl
Houston Texans Houston Texans
Arizona Cardinals Arizona Cardinals
away
Odds
1.91
Prob
21.4%
EV/u
0.418
Stake
0.63u
Won +0.57u
Home win nfl
Los Angeles Rams Los Angeles Rams
Seattle Seahawks Seattle Seahawks
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
80.1%
EV/u
0.711
Stake
0.57u
Won +0.74u
Home win nfl
Green Bay Packers Green Bay Packers
Los Angeles Chargers Los Angeles Chargers
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
57.8%
EV/u
0.201
Stake
0.33u
Won +0.38u
Home win nfl
Detroit Lions Detroit Lions
Chicago Bears Chicago Bears
away
Odds
3.75
Prob
33.6%
EV/u
1.491
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Home win nfl
Carolina Panthers Carolina Panthers
Dallas Cowboys Dallas Cowboys
home
Odds
4.10
Prob
66.6%
EV/u
1.732
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
Home win nfl
Houston Texans Houston Texans
Arizona Cardinals Arizona Cardinals
away
Odds
2.58
Prob
32.6%
EV/u
0.701
Stake
0.57u
Lost -0.57u
Home cover nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars Jacksonville Jaguars
San Francisco 49ers San Francisco 49ers
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
56.9%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.56u
Lost -0.56u
Home win nfl
New England Patriots New England Patriots
Indianapolis Colts Indianapolis Colts
away
Odds
2.00
Prob
25.8%
EV/u
0.405
Stake
0.43u
Won +0.43u
Home win nfl
Las Vegas Raiders Las Vegas Raiders
New York Jets New York Jets
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
71.2%
EV/u
0.445
Stake
0.43u
Won +0.49u
Home win nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars Jacksonville Jaguars
San Francisco 49ers San Francisco 49ers
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
72.8%
EV/u
0.475
Stake
0.43u
Lost -0.43u
Home win nfl
Arizona Cardinals Arizona Cardinals
Atlanta Falcons Atlanta Falcons
home
Odds
1.95
Prob
86.7%
EV/u
0.582
Stake
0.35u
Won +0.33u
Home win nfl
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tennessee Titans Tennessee Titans
home
Odds
1.83
Prob
87.0%
EV/u
0.500
Stake
0.35u
Won +0.29u
Home win nfl
Chicago Bears Chicago Bears
Carolina Panthers Carolina Panthers
home
Odds
1.80
Prob
87.1%
EV/u
0.476
Stake
1.20u
Won +0.96u
Home win nfl
New York Jets New York Jets
Los Angeles Chargers Los Angeles Chargers
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
61.9%
EV/u
0.222
Stake
1.06u
Lost -1.06u
Home cover nfl
Carolina Panthers Carolina Panthers
Indianapolis Colts Indianapolis Colts
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
54.3%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
Home cover nfl
Atlanta Falcons Atlanta Falcons
Minnesota Vikings Minnesota Vikings
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
70.4%
EV/u
0.286
Stake
0.88u
Lost -0.88u
Home cover nfl
Green Bay Packers Green Bay Packers
Los Angeles Rams Los Angeles Rams
home
Odds
1.83
Prob
71.2%
EV/u
0.253
Stake
0.88u
Won +0.73u
Home win nfl
New Orleans Saints New Orleans Saints
Chicago Bears Chicago Bears
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.704
Stake
0.45u
Lost -0.45u
Home win nfl
New England Patriots New England Patriots
Washington Commanders Washington Commanders
away
Odds
1.95
Prob
21.5%
EV/u
0.447
Stake
0.36u
Won +0.34u
Home win nfl
Green Bay Packers Green Bay Packers
Los Angeles Rams Los Angeles Rams
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
79.0%
EV/u
0.487
Stake
0.45u
Won +0.45u
Home win nfl
Atlanta Falcons Atlanta Falcons
Minnesota Vikings Minnesota Vikings
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
36.2%
EV/u
0.472
Stake
0.45u
Won +0.65u
Home win nfl
Baltimore Ravens Baltimore Ravens
Seattle Seahawks Seattle Seahawks
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
49.7%
EV/u
0.363
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
Home cover nfl
Pittsburgh Steelers Pittsburgh Steelers
Tennessee Titans Tennessee Titans
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
76.0%
EV/u
0.436
Stake
1.50u
Won +1.50u
Home cover nfl
Detroit Lions Detroit Lions
Las Vegas Raiders Las Vegas Raiders
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
74.6%
EV/u
0.354
Stake
1.20u
Won +1.09u
Home cover nfl
Los Angeles Chargers Los Angeles Chargers
Chicago Bears Chicago Bears
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
73.9%
EV/u
0.342
Stake
0.40u
Won +0.36u
Home cover nfl
Indianapolis Colts Indianapolis Colts
New Orleans Saints New Orleans Saints
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
71.5%
EV/u
0.303
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
Home cover nfl
San Francisco 49ers San Francisco 49ers
Cincinnati Bengals Cincinnati Bengals
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
73.8%
EV/u
0.340
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
Home cover nfl
Pittsburgh Steelers Pittsburgh Steelers
Jacksonville Jaguars Jacksonville Jaguars
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
75.9%
EV/u
0.376
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
Home cover nfl
Miami Dolphins Miami Dolphins
New England Patriots New England Patriots
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
78.8%
EV/u
0.423
Stake
0.40u
Won +0.36u
Home win nfl
Washington Commanders Washington Commanders
Philadelphia Eagles Philadelphia Eagles
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
67.0%
EV/u
1.020
Stake
0.51u
Lost -0.51u
Home win nfl
Carolina Panthers Carolina Panthers
Houston Texans Houston Texans
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
70.9%
EV/u
0.560
Stake
0.51u
Won +0.69u
Home win nfl
Denver Broncos Denver Broncos
Kansas City Chiefs Kansas City Chiefs
home
Odds
4.35
Prob
60.7%
EV/u
1.639
Stake
0.20u
Won +0.67u
Home win nfl
Arizona Cardinals Arizona Cardinals
Baltimore Ravens Baltimore Ravens
home
Odds
3.85
Prob
53.5%
EV/u
1.058
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
Home win nfl
Pittsburgh Steelers Pittsburgh Steelers
Jacksonville Jaguars Jacksonville Jaguars
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
69.9%
EV/u
0.392
Stake
0.51u
Lost -0.51u
Home cover nfl
Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tampa Bay Buccaneers
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
72.2%
EV/u
0.315
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Home win nfl
Minnesota Vikings Minnesota Vikings
San Francisco 49ers San Francisco 49ers
home
Odds
3.15
Prob
62.6%
EV/u
0.922
Stake
1.50u
Won +3.23u
Home cover nfl
New England Patriots New England Patriots
Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
76.9%
EV/u
0.392
Stake
0.38u
Won +0.35u
Home cover nfl
New York Giants New York Giants
Washington Commanders Washington Commanders
home
Odds
1.87
Prob
79.2%
EV/u
0.402
Stake
0.38u
Won +0.33u
Home cover nfl
Baltimore Ravens Baltimore Ravens
Detroit Lions Detroit Lions
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
79.9%
EV/u
0.440
Stake
0.38u
Won +0.35u
Home cover nfl
Seattle Seahawks Seattle Seahawks
Arizona Cardinals Arizona Cardinals
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
77.9%
EV/u
0.408
Stake
0.38u
Won +0.35u
Home cover nfl
Los Angeles Rams Los Angeles Rams
Pittsburgh Steelers Pittsburgh Steelers
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
73.0%
EV/u
0.416
Stake
0.48u
Lost -0.48u
Home win nfl
Chicago Bears Chicago Bears
Las Vegas Raiders Las Vegas Raiders
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
63.2%
EV/u
0.242
Stake
0.41u
Won +0.43u
Home win nfl
New York Giants New York Giants
Washington Commanders Washington Commanders
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
66.3%
EV/u
0.296
Stake
0.51u
Won +0.54u
Home win nfl
New England Patriots New England Patriots
Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills
home
Odds
3.15
Prob
71.7%
EV/u
1.193
Stake
0.54u
Won +1.16u
Home win nfl
Indianapolis Colts Indianapolis Colts
Cleveland Browns Cleveland Browns
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
69.0%
EV/u
0.520
Stake
0.54u
Lost -0.54u
Home win nfl
Los Angeles Chargers Los Angeles Chargers
Dallas Cowboys Dallas Cowboys
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
56.7%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.61u
Lost -0.61u
Home cover nfl
Las Vegas Raiders Las Vegas Raiders
New England Patriots New England Patriots
home
Odds
1.95
Prob
70.8%
EV/u
0.318
Stake
1.00u
Won +0.95u
Home cover nfl
Houston Texans Houston Texans
New Orleans Saints New Orleans Saints
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
70.5%
EV/u
0.287
Stake
1.00u
Won +0.91u
Home win nfl
New York Jets New York Jets
Philadelphia Eagles Philadelphia Eagles
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
60.0%
EV/u
0.986
Stake
0.49u
Won +1.18u
Home win nfl
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Detroit Lions Detroit Lions
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
59.5%
EV/u
0.331
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
Home win nfl
Cleveland Browns Cleveland Browns
San Francisco 49ers San Francisco 49ers
home
Odds
4.50
Prob
57.5%
EV/u
1.587
Stake
0.20u
Won +0.70u
Home win nfl
Chicago Bears Chicago Bears
Minnesota Vikings Minnesota Vikings
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
60.2%
EV/u
0.345
Stake
0.42u
Lost -0.42u
Home win nfl
Tennessee Titans Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens Baltimore Ravens
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
56.5%
EV/u
0.576
Stake
0.49u
Lost -0.49u
Home cover nfl
Kansas City Chiefs Kansas City Chiefs
Denver Broncos Denver Broncos
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
69.5%
EV/u
0.272
Stake
1.19u
Won +1.08u
Home win nfl
Arizona Cardinals Arizona Cardinals
Cincinnati Bengals Cincinnati Bengals
home
Odds
2.43
Prob
60.0%
EV/u
0.384
Stake
0.39u
Lost -0.39u
Home win nfl
Los Angeles Rams Los Angeles Rams
Philadelphia Eagles Philadelphia Eagles
home
Odds
2.62
Prob
56.5%
EV/u
0.454
Stake
0.41u
Lost -0.41u
Home win nfl
Minnesota Vikings Minnesota Vikings
Kansas City Chiefs Kansas City Chiefs
home
Odds
2.58
Prob
59.6%
EV/u
0.508
Stake
0.44u
Lost -0.44u
Home win nfl
Pittsburgh Steelers Pittsburgh Steelers
Baltimore Ravens Baltimore Ravens
home
Odds
2.92
Prob
59.1%
EV/u
0.687
Stake
0.44u
Won +0.84u
Home win nfl
Indianapolis Colts Indianapolis Colts
Tennessee Titans Tennessee Titans
home
Odds
2.22
Prob
59.6%
EV/u
0.268
Stake
0.32u
Won +0.39u
Home win nfl
New York Jets New York Jets
Kansas City Chiefs Kansas City Chiefs
home
Odds
4.60
Prob
51.0%
EV/u
1.346
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
Home win nfl
Tennessee Titans Tennessee Titans
Cincinnati Bengals Cincinnati Bengals
home
Odds
2.22
Prob
53.9%
EV/u
0.160
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.37u
Home win nfl
Carolina Panthers Carolina Panthers
Minnesota Vikings Minnesota Vikings
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
57.7%
EV/u
0.528
Stake
0.69u
Lost -0.69u
Home win nfl
Cleveland Browns Cleveland Browns
Baltimore Ravens Baltimore Ravens
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
57.2%
EV/u
0.141
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
Home win nfl
Chicago Bears Chicago Bears
Denver Broncos Denver Broncos
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
55.3%
EV/u
0.249
Stake
0.42u
Lost -0.42u
Home win nfl
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Philadelphia Eagles Philadelphia Eagles
home
Odds
3.22
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
0.619
Stake
1.39u
Lost -1.39u
Home cover nfl
Cleveland Browns Cleveland Browns
Tennessee Titans Tennessee Titans
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
56.1%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.49u
Won +0.49u
Home win nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars Jacksonville Jaguars
Houston Texans Houston Texans
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
1.076
Stake
0.57u
Won +1.71u
Home win nfl
Washington Commanders Washington Commanders
Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills
home
Odds
2.96
Prob
55.2%
EV/u
0.599
Stake
1.43u
Lost -1.43u
Home win nfl
Pittsburgh Steelers Pittsburgh Steelers
Cleveland Browns Cleveland Browns
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
62.0%
EV/u
0.383
Stake
1.42u
Won +1.92u
Home win nfl
Carolina Panthers Carolina Panthers
New Orleans Saints New Orleans Saints
home
Odds
2.62
Prob
51.1%
EV/u
0.320
Stake
0.80u
Lost -0.80u
Home cover nfl
Tennessee Titans Tennessee Titans
Los Angeles Chargers Los Angeles Chargers
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
73.2%
EV/u
0.388
Stake
0.65u
Won +0.65u
Home cover nfl
Cincinnati Bengals Cincinnati Bengals
Baltimore Ravens Baltimore Ravens
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
60.5%
EV/u
0.172
Stake
0.37u
Lost -0.37u
Home cover nfl
Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills
Las Vegas Raiders Las Vegas Raiders
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
83.4%
EV/u
0.496
Stake
0.52u
Won +0.47u
Home cover nfl
Atlanta Falcons Atlanta Falcons
Green Bay Packers Green Bay Packers
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
63.2%
EV/u
0.218
Stake
0.47u
Lost -0.47u
Home win nfl
Detroit Lions Detroit Lions
Seattle Seahawks Seattle Seahawks
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
25.0%
EV/u
1.043
Stake
0.48u
Won +0.86u
Home win nfl
Denver Broncos Denver Broncos
Washington Commanders Washington Commanders
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.503
Stake
0.48u
Won +0.82u
Home win nfl
Dallas Cowboys Dallas Cowboys
New York Jets New York Jets
away
Odds
4.28
Prob
20.7%
EV/u
2.393
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
Home win nfl
Cincinnati Bengals Cincinnati Bengals
Baltimore Ravens Baltimore Ravens
away
Odds
2.52
Prob
37.3%
EV/u
0.549
Stake
0.48u
Won +0.73u
Home win nfl
Arizona Cardinals Arizona Cardinals
New York Giants New York Giants
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
51.0%
EV/u
0.405
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
Home win nfl
Tennessee Titans Tennessee Titans
Los Angeles Chargers Los Angeles Chargers
home
Odds
2.22
Prob
71.1%
EV/u
0.486
Stake
0.51u
Won +0.62u
Home win nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars Jacksonville Jaguars
Kansas City Chiefs Kansas City Chiefs
home
Odds
2.52
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.254
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
Home win nfl
Los Angeles Rams Los Angeles Rams
San Francisco 49ers San Francisco 49ers
home
Odds
3.75
Prob
50.2%
EV/u
0.883
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
Home win nfl
New England Patriots New England Patriots
Miami Dolphins Miami Dolphins
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
57.2%
EV/u
0.189
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Home win nfl
Philadelphia Eagles Philadelphia Eagles
Minnesota Vikings Minnesota Vikings
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
21.6%
EV/u
1.356
Stake
1.50u
Lost -1.50u
Home win nfl
New York Jets New York Jets
Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills
away
Odds
1.83
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.103
Stake
0.50u
Lost -0.50u
Home cover nfl
Atlanta Falcons Atlanta Falcons
Carolina Panthers Carolina Panthers
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
70.7%
EV/u
0.291
Stake
0.67u
Won +0.61u
Home cover nfl
Minnesota Vikings Minnesota Vikings
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tampa Bay Buccaneers
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
79.9%
EV/u
0.441
Stake
0.67u
Won +0.61u
Home cover nfl
Denver Broncos Denver Broncos
Las Vegas Raiders Las Vegas Raiders
home
Odds
1.89
Prob
72.7%
EV/u
0.308
Stake
0.67u
Won +0.59u
Home win nfl
Washington Commanders Washington Commanders
Arizona Cardinals Arizona Cardinals
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.611
Stake
0.42u
Lost -0.42u
Home win nfl
Denver Broncos Denver Broncos
Las Vegas Raiders Las Vegas Raiders
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.353
Stake
0.33u
Won +0.50u
Home win nfl
New Orleans Saints New Orleans Saints
Tennessee Titans Tennessee Titans
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
32.0%
EV/u
0.664
Stake
0.42u
Lost -0.42u
Home win nfl
Minnesota Vikings Minnesota Vikings
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tampa Bay Buccaneers
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.696
Stake
0.42u
Won +0.95u
Home win nfl
Seattle Seahawks Seattle Seahawks
Los Angeles Rams Los Angeles Rams
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.665
Stake
0.42u
Won +0.84u
Home win nfl
Indianapolis Colts Indianapolis Colts
Jacksonville Jaguars Jacksonville Jaguars
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.237
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
Home win nfl
New England Patriots New England Patriots
Philadelphia Eagles Philadelphia Eagles
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
60.1%
EV/u
0.591
Stake
0.60u
Lost -0.60u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.