Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 14, 2026 6:44 PM EDT
Home win
nfl
Pittsburgh Steelers
San Francisco 49ers
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
61.1%
EV/u
0.313
Stake
0.70u
Lost
-0.70u
Home cover
nfl
Kansas City Chiefs
Detroit Lions
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
73.3%
EV/u
0.333
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.09u
Home win
nfl
Kansas City Chiefs
Detroit Lions
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.844
Stake
1.50u
Won
+3.45u
Home cover
nfl
Philadelphia Eagles
Kansas City Chiefs
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
70.7%
EV/u
0.290
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Home cover
nfl
Kansas City Chiefs
Cincinnati Bengals
home
Odds
1.89
Prob
72.4%
EV/u
0.304
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.06u
Home cover
nfl
Philadelphia Eagles
New York Giants
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
79.2%
EV/u
0.429
Stake
1.00u
Won
+0.91u
Home cover
nfl
Kansas City Chiefs
Jacksonville Jaguars
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
71.0%
EV/u
0.296
Stake
1.00u
Won
+0.91u
Home win
nfl
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Dallas Cowboys
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
54.0%
EV/u
0.178
Stake
0.71u
Lost
-0.71u
Home cover
nfl
Buffalo Bills
Miami Dolphins
home
Odds
1.95
Prob
85.7%
EV/u
0.565
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.14u
Home cover
nfl
San Francisco 49ers
Seattle Seahawks
home
Odds
1.92
Prob
80.5%
EV/u
0.455
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.10u
Home win
nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars
Los Angeles Chargers
home
Odds
2.13
Prob
83.2%
EV/u
0.653
Stake
1.50u
Won
+1.70u
Home cover
nfl
Cincinnati Bengals
Baltimore Ravens
home
Odds
1.90
Prob
90.6%
EV/u
0.606
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.36u
Home cover
nfl
San Francisco 49ers
Arizona Cardinals
away
Odds
1.90
Prob
20.6%
EV/u
0.426
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
Home cover
nfl
Indianapolis Colts
Houston Texans
home
Odds
1.96
Prob
80.2%
EV/u
0.480
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.38u
Home cover
nfl
Buffalo Bills
New England Patriots
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
80.5%
EV/u
0.449
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.36u
Home cover
nfl
Seattle Seahawks
Los Angeles Rams
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
81.3%
EV/u
0.463
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.36u
Home win
nfl
San Francisco 49ers
Arizona Cardinals
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
34.3%
EV/u
2.283
Stake
0.57u
Lost
-0.57u
Home win
nfl
New Orleans Saints
Carolina Panthers
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
33.4%
EV/u
0.502
Stake
1.43u
Won
+2.00u
Home cover
nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars
Tennessee Titans
home
Odds
1.94
Prob
84.1%
EV/u
0.525
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.12u
Home win
nfl
Las Vegas Raiders
Kansas City Chiefs
home
Odds
5.00
Prob
53.2%
EV/u
1.659
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Home cover
nfl
Los Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles Rams
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
73.5%
EV/u
0.336
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.36u
Home cover
nfl
Seattle Seahawks
New York Jets
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
83.1%
EV/u
0.492
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.36u
Home cover
nfl
Washington Commanders
Cleveland Browns
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
75.2%
EV/u
0.363
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
Home cover
nfl
Detroit Lions
Chicago Bears
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
79.6%
EV/u
0.435
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.36u
Home cover
nfl
Atlanta Falcons
Arizona Cardinals
home
Odds
1.87
Prob
93.5%
EV/u
0.629
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.35u
Home win
nfl
Green Bay Packers
Minnesota Vikings
away
Odds
2.20
Prob
25.0%
EV/u
0.548
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
Home win
nfl
New England Patriots
Miami Dolphins
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
66.9%
EV/u
0.339
Stake
0.48u
Won
+0.53u
Home win
nfl
Kansas City Chiefs
Denver Broncos
away
Odds
4.80
Prob
47.0%
EV/u
1.545
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
Home win
nfl
Baltimore Ravens
Pittsburgh Steelers
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.706
Stake
0.48u
Won
+1.08u
Home win
nfl
Seattle Seahawks
New York Jets
home
Odds
1.80
Prob
76.5%
EV/u
0.314
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.30u
Home win
nfl
Indianapolis Colts
Los Angeles Chargers
home
Odds
2.37
Prob
57.6%
EV/u
0.307
Stake
1.12u
Lost
-1.12u
Home win
nfl
Arizona Cardinals
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
home
Odds
2.32
Prob
57.7%
EV/u
0.280
Stake
1.06u
Lost
-1.06u
Home win
nfl
Kansas City Chiefs
Seattle Seahawks
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
1.254
Stake
0.58u
Lost
-0.58u
Home win
nfl
Chicago Bears
Buffalo Bills
home
Odds
4.50
Prob
58.4%
EV/u
1.627
Stake
0.58u
Lost
-0.58u
Home win
nfl
Carolina Panthers
Detroit Lions
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
57.9%
EV/u
0.203
Stake
0.85u
Won
+0.98u
Home win
nfl
Green Bay Packers
Los Angeles Rams
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
42.6%
EV/u
1.067
Stake
0.80u
Lost
-0.80u
Home win
nfl
New York Jets
Detroit Lions
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
36.3%
EV/u
0.443
Stake
0.67u
Won
+0.94u
Home win
nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars
Dallas Cowboys
home
Odds
3.25
Prob
75.0%
EV/u
1.365
Stake
0.67u
Won
+1.51u
Home win
nfl
Washington Commanders
New York Giants
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.588
Stake
0.67u
Won
+1.14u
Home cover
nfl
Buffalo Bills
Miami Dolphins
home
Odds
1.89
Prob
85.4%
EV/u
0.518
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.07u
Home win
nfl
Cleveland Browns
Baltimore Ravens
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.385
Stake
1.28u
Lost
-1.28u
Home win
nfl
Buffalo Bills
Miami Dolphins
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.882
Stake
0.72u
Lost
-0.72u
Home win
nfl
Seattle Seahawks
San Francisco 49ers
away
Odds
1.83
Prob
14.4%
EV/u
0.477
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.00u
Home cover
nfl
Arizona Cardinals
New England Patriots
home
Odds
1.94
Prob
70.8%
EV/u
0.307
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Home win
nfl
Arizona Cardinals
New England Patriots
home
Odds
2.13
Prob
80.1%
EV/u
0.596
Stake
1.50u
Lost
-1.50u
Home cover
nfl
Denver Broncos
Kansas City Chiefs
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
79.5%
EV/u
0.433
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
Home cover
nfl
Los Angeles Chargers
Miami Dolphins
home
Odds
1.94
Prob
69.7%
EV/u
0.295
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.47u
Home cover
nfl
Detroit Lions
Minnesota Vikings
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
73.1%
EV/u
0.329
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.45u
Home cover
nfl
Buffalo Bills
New York Jets
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
85.3%
EV/u
0.528
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.45u
Home win
nfl
Seattle Seahawks
Carolina Panthers
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
9.6%
EV/u
1.796
Stake
0.51u
Won
+1.12u
Home win
nfl
Los Angeles Chargers
Miami Dolphins
home
Odds
2.02
Prob
65.9%
EV/u
0.277
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.47u
Home win
nfl
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
78.3%
EV/u
1.207
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
Home win
nfl
Detroit Lions
Minnesota Vikings
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
92.7%
EV/u
0.958
Stake
0.51u
Won
+0.66u
Home win
nfl
Los Angeles Rams
Las Vegas Raiders
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
53.5%
EV/u
0.446
Stake
1.27u
Won
+2.22u
Home cover
nfl
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints
home
Odds
1.94
Prob
75.5%
EV/u
0.385
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.12u
Home cover
nfl
Las Vegas Raiders
Los Angeles Chargers
home
Odds
1.89
Prob
70.2%
EV/u
0.273
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.36u
Home cover
nfl
Dallas Cowboys
Indianapolis Colts
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
80.8%
EV/u
0.455
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.36u
Home cover
nfl
New York Giants
Washington Commanders
away
Odds
1.91
Prob
28.5%
EV/u
0.304
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.36u
Home cover
nfl
Minnesota Vikings
New York Jets
home
Odds
1.97
Prob
70.5%
EV/u
0.325
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.39u
Home cover
nfl
Detroit Lions
Jacksonville Jaguars
home
Odds
1.93
Prob
74.1%
EV/u
0.357
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.37u
Home win
nfl
Las Vegas Raiders
Los Angeles Chargers
home
Odds
2.28
Prob
66.2%
EV/u
0.426
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.55u
Home win
nfl
Cincinnati Bengals
Kansas City Chiefs
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
73.4%
EV/u
0.547
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.54u
Home win
nfl
Detroit Lions
Jacksonville Jaguars
home
Odds
1.87
Prob
88.3%
EV/u
0.547
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.30u
Home win
nfl
Baltimore Ravens
Denver Broncos
away
Odds
3.45
Prob
20.0%
EV/u
1.670
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
Home win
nfl
Atlanta Falcons
Pittsburgh Steelers
home
Odds
1.82
Prob
82.1%
EV/u
0.414
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
Home win
nfl
New England Patriots
Buffalo Bills
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
60.0%
EV/u
0.730
Stake
1.50u
Lost
-1.50u
Home win
nfl
Tennessee Titans
Cincinnati Bengals
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
60.0%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
Home win
nfl
Seattle Seahawks
Las Vegas Raiders
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
60.0%
EV/u
0.215
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
Home win
nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars
Baltimore Ravens
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
60.0%
EV/u
0.394
Stake
0.62u
Won
+0.90u
Home win
nfl
Philadelphia Eagles
Green Bay Packers
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
60.0%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.21u
Home win
nfl
Carolina Panthers
Denver Broncos
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
60.0%
EV/u
0.241
Stake
0.48u
Won
+0.55u
Home win
nfl
Detroit Lions
Buffalo Bills
home
Odds
4.28
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
1.140
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Home win
nfl
Minnesota Vikings
Dallas Cowboys
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
60.0%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
Home win
nfl
New Orleans Saints
Los Angeles Rams
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
60.0%
EV/u
0.292
Stake
1.07u
Won
+1.34u
Home win
nfl
Atlanta Falcons
Chicago Bears
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
60.0%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.47u
Won
+0.43u
Home cover
nfl
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Seattle Seahawks
home
Odds
1.86
Prob
70.4%
EV/u
0.258
Stake
1.01u
Won
+0.87u
Home cover
nfl
Chicago Bears
Detroit Lions
home
Odds
1.92
Prob
69.1%
EV/u
0.269
Stake
0.99u
Won
+0.91u
Home win
nfl
Tennessee Titans
Denver Broncos
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
63.4%
EV/u
0.172
Stake
0.76u
Won
+0.69u
Home win
nfl
Pittsburgh Steelers
New Orleans Saints
home
Odds
1.80
Prob
63.4%
EV/u
0.114
Stake
0.57u
Won
+0.46u
Home win
nfl
Carolina Panthers
Atlanta Falcons
home
Odds
2.08
Prob
57.8%
EV/u
0.166
Stake
0.77u
Won
+0.83u
Home win
nfl
New Orleans Saints
Baltimore Ravens
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
57.8%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.63u
Lost
-0.63u
Home win
nfl
Chicago Bears
Miami Dolphins
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
60.6%
EV/u
0.303
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
Home win
nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars
Las Vegas Raiders
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
56.8%
EV/u
0.231
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.35u
Home win
nfl
Detroit Lions
Green Bay Packers
home
Odds
3.05
Prob
61.4%
EV/u
0.826
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.92u
Home win
nfl
Atlanta Falcons
Los Angeles Chargers
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
62.1%
EV/u
0.936
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
Home win
nfl
New York Jets
Buffalo Bills
home
Odds
3.35
Prob
58.9%
EV/u
0.922
Stake
0.45u
Won
+1.06u
Home win
nfl
Houston Texans
Philadelphia Eagles
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
54.3%
EV/u
0.492
Stake
1.37u
Lost
-1.37u
Home win
nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars
Denver Broncos
home
Odds
3.35
Prob
56.5%
EV/u
0.845
Stake
0.64u
Lost
-0.64u
Home win
nfl
Detroit Lions
Miami Dolphins
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
57.3%
EV/u
0.241
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
Home win
nfl
New York Jets
New England Patriots
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
54.4%
EV/u
0.185
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
Home win
nfl
Houston Texans
Tennessee Titans
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
56.0%
EV/u
0.538
Stake
0.63u
Lost
-0.63u
Home win
nfl
Carolina Panthers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
53.6%
EV/u
0.678
Stake
1.08u
Won
+2.38u
Home win
nfl
Washington Commanders
Green Bay Packers
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
56.2%
EV/u
0.384
Stake
0.92u
Won
+1.38u
Home win
nfl
Seattle Seahawks
Arizona Cardinals
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
54.6%
EV/u
0.143
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.33u
Home win
nfl
New York Giants
Baltimore Ravens
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
52.4%
EV/u
0.192
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.45u
Home win
nfl
Pittsburgh Steelers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
55.4%
EV/u
0.549
Stake
0.69u
Won
+1.28u
Home win
nfl
Atlanta Falcons
San Francisco 49ers
home
Odds
3.15
Prob
54.5%
EV/u
0.678
Stake
0.70u
Won
+1.51u
Home win
nfl
Carolina Panthers
San Francisco 49ers
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
55.4%
EV/u
0.390
Stake
1.26u
Lost
-1.26u
Home win
nfl
New York Jets
Miami Dolphins
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
52.4%
EV/u
0.147
Stake
0.59u
Won
+0.74u
Home win
nfl
Atlanta Falcons
Cleveland Browns
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
57.2%
EV/u
0.516
Stake
0.86u
Won
+1.46u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.