Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 14, 2026 7:37 PM EDT
Home win
nfl
Las Vegas Raiders
Los Angeles Chargers
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
72.9%
EV/u
0.989
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
Home win
nfl
Denver Broncos
Kansas City Chiefs
away
Odds
4.40
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
1.578
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
Home win
nfl
Atlanta Falcons
Carolina Panthers
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
1.305
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.63u
Home win
nfl
Dallas Cowboys
Washington Commanders
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
76.8%
EV/u
0.712
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
Home cover
nfl
Baltimore Ravens
Cleveland Browns
home
Odds
2.02
Prob
56.7%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.57u
Won
+0.58u
Home cover
nfl
Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
63.5%
EV/u
0.222
Stake
1.11u
Won
+1.11u
Home win
nfl
San Francisco 49ers
Detroit Lions
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
57.7%
EV/u
0.473
Stake
1.48u
Lost
-1.48u
Home cover
nfl
Buffalo Bills
New York Jets
home
Odds
2.02
Prob
68.7%
EV/u
0.323
Stake
1.50u
Won
+1.53u
Home win
nfl
New York Giants
Indianapolis Colts
home
Odds
4.40
Prob
67.0%
EV/u
1.948
Stake
0.40u
Won
+1.36u
Home win
nfl
Philadelphia Eagles
Dallas Cowboys
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
1.473
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
Home win
nfl
Minnesota Vikings
Green Bay Packers
home
Odds
1.80
Prob
72.3%
EV/u
0.249
Stake
0.81u
Won
+0.65u
Home win
nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars
Tennessee Titans
home
Odds
1.87
Prob
61.7%
EV/u
0.124
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.33u
Home cover
nfl
New England Patriots
Los Angeles Chargers
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
63.5%
EV/u
0.222
Stake
1.11u
Lost
-1.11u
Home win
nfl
New England Patriots
Los Angeles Chargers
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
55.4%
EV/u
0.522
Stake
1.45u
Lost
-1.45u
Home win
nfl
Chicago Bears
Seattle Seahawks
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
52.1%
EV/u
0.285
Stake
0.95u
Lost
-0.95u
Home win
nfl
Houston Texans
Baltimore Ravens
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
56.3%
EV/u
0.317
Stake
1.09u
Lost
-1.09u
Home cover
nfl
Green Bay Packers
New Orleans Saints
home
Odds
2.02
Prob
62.5%
EV/u
0.215
Stake
1.06u
Won
+1.08u
Home cover
nfl
Atlanta Falcons
New York Giants
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
70.7%
EV/u
0.291
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.35u
Home cover
nfl
Miami Dolphins
San Francisco 49ers
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
69.4%
EV/u
0.270
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.35u
Home cover
nfl
Cincinnati Bengals
Cleveland Browns
home
Odds
1.95
Prob
71.0%
EV/u
0.321
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.37u
Home cover
nfl
Carolina Panthers
Arizona Cardinals
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
67.2%
EV/u
0.286
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.46u
Home cover
nfl
Washington Commanders
Philadelphia Eagles
home
Odds
1.87
Prob
72.6%
EV/u
0.297
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.34u
Home win
nfl
Seattle Seahawks
Minnesota Vikings
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
54.8%
EV/u
0.480
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
Home win
nfl
Chicago Bears
Detroit Lions
home
Odds
3.90
Prob
56.4%
EV/u
1.198
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
Home win
nfl
Dallas Cowboys
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
56.8%
EV/u
0.532
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.86u
Home win
nfl
Carolina Panthers
Arizona Cardinals
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
52.1%
EV/u
0.409
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.67u
Home win
nfl
Washington Commanders
Philadelphia Eagles
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
56.4%
EV/u
0.415
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.67u
Home cover
nfl
Kansas City Chiefs
Houston Texans
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
76.4%
EV/u
0.442
Stake
1.50u
Won
+1.50u
Home win
nfl
Kansas City Chiefs
Houston Texans
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
59.2%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.75u
Won
+0.75u
Home cover
nfl
Las Vegas Raiders
Atlanta Falcons
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
57.7%
EV/u
0.124
Stake
0.62u
Lost
-0.62u
Home cover
nfl
Minnesota Vikings
Chicago Bears
home
Odds
1.83
Prob
71.9%
EV/u
0.263
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.00u
Home win
nfl
Las Vegas Raiders
Atlanta Falcons
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
50.7%
EV/u
0.397
Stake
1.10u
Lost
-1.10u
Home cover
nfl
New York Giants
Baltimore Ravens
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
61.1%
EV/u
0.182
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Home cover
nfl
Cleveland Browns
Kansas City Chiefs
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
74.2%
EV/u
0.404
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
Home cover
nfl
Los Angeles Chargers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
69.4%
EV/u
0.269
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
Home cover
nfl
New Orleans Saints
Washington Commanders
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
69.2%
EV/u
0.266
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.35u
Home cover
nfl
Detroit Lions
Buffalo Bills
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
69.6%
EV/u
0.272
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
Home win
nfl
Cleveland Browns
Kansas City Chiefs
home
Odds
3.50
Prob
54.7%
EV/u
0.915
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
Home win
nfl
Tennessee Titans
Cincinnati Bengals
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
54.4%
EV/u
0.496
Stake
0.59u
Lost
-0.59u
Home win
nfl
Seattle Seahawks
Green Bay Packers
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
56.4%
EV/u
0.200
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
Home win
nfl
New Orleans Saints
Washington Commanders
home
Odds
3.70
Prob
54.4%
EV/u
1.011
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
Home win
nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars
New York Jets
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
52.8%
EV/u
0.243
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
Home cover
nfl
San Francisco 49ers
Los Angeles Rams
away
Odds
2.02
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.78u
Won
+0.80u
Home win
nfl
Dallas Cowboys
Cincinnati Bengals
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
50.2%
EV/u
0.527
Stake
1.25u
Lost
-1.25u
Home cover
nfl
Pittsburgh Steelers
Cleveland Browns
away
Odds
2.00
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.071
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
Home cover
nfl
Los Angeles Rams
Buffalo Bills
away
Odds
2.02
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
Home cover
nfl
Kansas City Chiefs
Los Angeles Chargers
away
Odds
1.83
Prob
14.3%
EV/u
0.480
Stake
0.60u
Won
+0.50u
Home cover
nfl
Tennessee Titans
Jacksonville Jaguars
home
Odds
2.02
Prob
60.9%
EV/u
0.188
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
Home cover
nfl
Miami Dolphins
New York Jets
away
Odds
1.91
Prob
26.7%
EV/u
0.333
Stake
0.60u
Won
+0.55u
Home win
nfl
Los Angeles Rams
Buffalo Bills
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
52.2%
EV/u
0.363
Stake
0.99u
Won
+1.63u
Home win
nfl
New York Giants
New Orleans Saints
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.382
Stake
1.01u
Lost
-1.01u
Home cover
nfl
Cincinnati Bengals
Pittsburgh Steelers
home
Odds
2.02
Prob
60.9%
EV/u
0.188
Stake
0.92u
Lost
-0.92u
Home win
nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars
Houston Texans
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
51.9%
EV/u
0.627
Stake
0.81u
Lost
-0.81u
Home win
nfl
New England Patriots
Indianapolis Colts
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
53.0%
EV/u
0.158
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
Home win
nfl
Carolina Panthers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
52.5%
EV/u
0.645
Stake
0.84u
Lost
-0.84u
Home win
nfl
Green Bay Packers
Miami Dolphins
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
48.3%
EV/u
0.299
Stake
0.97u
Lost
-0.97u
Home cover
nfl
Chicago Bears
Minnesota Vikings
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
54.0%
EV/u
0.083
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.41u
Home win
nfl
Las Vegas Raiders
Denver Broncos
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
58.3%
EV/u
0.572
Stake
0.59u
Lost
-0.59u
Home win
nfl
Chicago Bears
Minnesota Vikings
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
58.7%
EV/u
0.498
Stake
0.59u
Lost
-0.59u
Home win
nfl
Indianapolis Colts
Detroit Lions
home
Odds
4.00
Prob
52.1%
EV/u
1.082
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
Home win
nfl
New York Giants
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
60.6%
EV/u
0.574
Stake
0.59u
Lost
-0.59u
Home win
nfl
Cleveland Browns
Pittsburgh Steelers
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
56.0%
EV/u
0.592
Stake
1.50u
Won
+2.85u
Home win
nfl
Dallas Cowboys
Houston Texans
home
Odds
3.80
Prob
59.8%
EV/u
1.272
Stake
0.80u
Lost
-0.80u
Home win
nfl
Chicago Bears
Green Bay Packers
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
56.5%
EV/u
0.873
Stake
0.97u
Lost
-0.97u
Home win
nfl
Miami Dolphins
Las Vegas Raiders
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.836
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
Home win
nfl
San Francisco 49ers
Seattle Seahawks
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.917
Stake
0.52u
Won
+1.35u
Home cover
nfl
Philadelphia Eagles
Washington Commanders
away
Odds
1.91
Prob
25.0%
EV/u
0.360
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Home cover
nfl
Dallas Cowboys
Philadelphia Eagles
away
Odds
2.02
Prob
25.0%
EV/u
0.431
Stake
1.50u
Won
+1.53u
Home win
nfl
Indianapolis Colts
Buffalo Bills
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
57.2%
EV/u
0.625
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
Home win
nfl
Carolina Panthers
New York Giants
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
57.2%
EV/u
0.625
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.84u
Home win
nfl
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
San Francisco 49ers
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
57.8%
EV/u
0.750
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
Home win
nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars
Minnesota Vikings
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
57.8%
EV/u
0.585
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
Home win
nfl
Dallas Cowboys
Philadelphia Eagles
home
Odds
3.50
Prob
55.3%
EV/u
0.937
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
Home cover
nfl
Baltimore Ravens
Cincinnati Bengals
away
Odds
2.00
Prob
25.0%
EV/u
0.419
Stake
1.50u
Won
+1.50u
Home cover
nfl
Green Bay Packers
Detroit Lions
away
Odds
1.80
Prob
25.0%
EV/u
0.290
Stake
1.20u
Won
+0.96u
Home win
nfl
Carolina Panthers
New Orleans Saints
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
55.3%
EV/u
0.835
Stake
0.52u
Won
+1.25u
Home win
nfl
Green Bay Packers
Detroit Lions
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
57.8%
EV/u
0.503
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
Home win
nfl
New York Giants
Washington Commanders
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
57.8%
EV/u
0.421
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
Home win
nfl
Cleveland Browns
Los Angeles Chargers
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
57.8%
EV/u
0.200
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Home win
nfl
Seattle Seahawks
Los Angeles Rams
home
Odds
1.87
Prob
60.5%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
Home win
nfl
New York Jets
Houston Texans
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
74.7%
EV/u
0.355
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.09u
Home cover
nfl
Los Angeles Chargers
New Orleans Saints
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
59.1%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.74u
Won
+0.74u
Home cover
nfl
San Francisco 49ers
Dallas Cowboys
home
Odds
1.95
Prob
69.4%
EV/u
0.295
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.14u
Home win
nfl
New England Patriots
New York Jets
home
Odds
3.30
Prob
73.0%
EV/u
1.335
Stake
0.51u
Won
+1.17u
Home win
nfl
Cincinnati Bengals
Philadelphia Eagles
away
Odds
2.10
Prob
32.2%
EV/u
0.354
Stake
0.51u
Won
+0.56u
Home win
nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars
Green Bay Packers
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
54.8%
EV/u
0.583
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
Home win
nfl
Los Angeles Chargers
New Orleans Saints
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.888
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
Home win
nfl
Cleveland Browns
Baltimore Ravens
home
Odds
5.00
Prob
57.8%
EV/u
1.890
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.80u
Home cover
nfl
Pittsburgh Steelers
New York Jets
home
Odds
2.02
Prob
71.3%
EV/u
0.367
Stake
0.85u
Won
+0.87u
Home cover
nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars
New England Patriots
away
Odds
2.00
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.107
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
Home cover
nfl
Indianapolis Colts
Miami Dolphins
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
69.1%
EV/u
0.405
Stake
0.85u
Won
+0.98u
Home win
nfl
Pittsburgh Steelers
New York Jets
home
Odds
1.80
Prob
82.3%
EV/u
0.403
Stake
0.89u
Won
+0.71u
Home win
nfl
Cleveland Browns
Cincinnati Bengals
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
57.5%
EV/u
0.576
Stake
1.11u
Lost
-1.11u
Home win
nfl
New Orleans Saints
Denver Broncos
away
Odds
1.95
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.163
Stake
0.69u
Won
+0.66u
Home win
nfl
New York Jets
Buffalo Bills
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
76.4%
EV/u
0.574
Stake
1.50u
Lost
-1.50u
Home cover
nfl
Las Vegas Raiders
Pittsburgh Steelers
away
Odds
2.00
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.076
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.38u
Home win
nfl
New York Giants
Cincinnati Bengals
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
56.5%
EV/u
0.418
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
Home win
nfl
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
away
Odds
1.91
Prob
26.1%
EV/u
0.343
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.39u
Home win
nfl
New Orleans Saints
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
away
Odds
2.25
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.211
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.38u
Home win
nfl
Chicago Bears
Jacksonville Jaguars
away
Odds
2.05
Prob
25.9%
EV/u
0.436
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.