Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 6, 2026 6:53 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2017 | mlb |
Braves
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.80 | 62.9% | 0.763 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Sep 4, 2017 | mlb |
Tigers
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.58 | 58.3% | 0.505 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Sep 4, 2017 | mlb |
Orioles
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 4.09 | 54.5% | 1.229 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Sep 3, 2017 | mlb |
Mariners
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.88 | 55.4% | 0.596 | 0.37u | Won | +0.70u |
| Sep 3, 2017 | mlb |
Marlins
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.44 | 55.5% | 0.354 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Sep 3, 2017 | mlb |
Padres
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 59.0% | 0.180 | 0.18u | Won | +0.18u |
| Sep 3, 2017 | mlb |
Tigers
Indians
|
Home win | away | 2.28 | 43.6% | 0.286 | 0.35u | Won | +0.45u |
| Sep 3, 2017 | mlb |
White Sox
Rays
|
Home win | away | 2.68 | 49.4% | 0.356 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Sep 3, 2017 | mlb |
Pirates
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.04 | 58.6% | 0.196 | 0.20u | Won | +0.21u |
| Sep 2, 2017 | mlb |
White Sox
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.79 | 57.9% | 0.615 | 0.35u | Won | +0.63u |
| Sep 2, 2017 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
Home win | home | 3.68 | 50.7% | 0.867 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Sep 2, 2017 | mlb |
Rockies
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | away | 2.21 | 46.1% | 0.192 | 0.14u | Won | +0.17u |
| Sep 2, 2017 | mlb |
Pirates
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.06 | 60.8% | 0.252 | 0.26u | Won | +0.28u |
| Sep 2, 2017 | mlb |
Astros
Mets
|
Home win | home | 3.73 | 62.1% | 1.315 | 0.35u | Won | +0.96u |
| Sep 2, 2017 | mlb |
Padres
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.75 | 53.3% | 0.467 | 0.35u | Won | +0.61u |
| Sep 1, 2017 | mlb |
Brewers
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 62.9% | 0.228 | 0.62u | Won | +0.59u |
| Sep 1, 2017 | mlb |
Twins
Royals
|
Home win | home | 3.47 | 58.6% | 1.034 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| Sep 1, 2017 | mlb |
Padres
Dodgers
|
Home win | away | 2.39 | 49.3% | 0.212 | 0.42u | Won | +0.58u |
| Aug 31, 2017 | mlb |
Twins
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 60.3% | 0.508 | 0.82u | Won | +1.23u |
| Aug 31, 2017 | mlb |
Reds
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.26 | 54.1% | 0.224 | 0.47u | Won | +0.59u |
| Aug 31, 2017 | mlb |
Giants
Cardinals
|
Home win | away | 2.46 | 49.3% | 0.247 | 0.51u | Won | +0.74u |
| Aug 30, 2017 | mlb |
Orioles
Mariners
|
Home win | away | 3.30 | 48.4% | 0.704 | 0.46u | Lost | -0.46u |
| Aug 30, 2017 | mlb |
Royals
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.17 | 58.1% | 0.260 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Aug 30, 2017 | mlb |
Brewers
Cardinals
|
Home win | away | 2.95 | 49.1% | 0.502 | 0.46u | Lost | -0.46u |
| Aug 30, 2017 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.02 | 56.0% | 0.131 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Aug 30, 2017 | mlb |
Cubs
Pirates
|
Home win | away | 2.13 | 41.7% | 0.241 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Aug 29, 2017 | mlb |
Royals
Rays
|
Home win | home | 1.99 | 100.0% | 0.990 | 1.00u | Won | +0.99u |
| Aug 29, 2017 | mlb |
Nationals
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 3.11 | 50.0% | 0.555 | 0.80u | Won | +1.69u |
| Aug 28, 2017 | mlb |
Orioles
Mariners
|
Home win | away | 1.90 | 32.1% | 0.290 | 0.80u | Lost | -0.80u |
| Aug 28, 2017 | mlb |
Rockies
Tigers
|
Home win | away | 1.95 | 32.1% | 0.325 | 1.00u | Won | +0.95u |
| Aug 27, 2017 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Twins
|
Home win | away | 1.86 | 32.1% | 0.264 | 0.23u | Won | +0.20u |
| Aug 27, 2017 | mlb |
Indians
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 100.0% | 1.100 | 0.34u | Won | +0.37u |
| Aug 27, 2017 | mlb |
Yankees
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 100.0% | 1.100 | 0.34u | Won | +0.37u |
| Aug 27, 2017 | mlb |
Athletics
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 56.8% | 0.278 | 0.21u | Won | +0.26u |
| Aug 27, 2017 | mlb |
Dodgers
Brewers
|
Home win | away | 2.01 | 32.1% | 0.364 | 0.34u | Won | +0.34u |
| Aug 27, 2017 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Giants
|
Home win | away | 3.00 | 32.1% | 1.036 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Aug 26, 2017 | mlb |
Braves
Rockies
|
Home win | away | 1.86 | 32.1% | 0.264 | 0.61u | Won | +0.53u |
| Aug 26, 2017 | mlb |
Cardinals
Rays
|
Home win | away | 1.95 | 32.1% | 0.325 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Aug 26, 2017 | mlb |
Dodgers
Brewers
|
Home win | away | 1.86 | 32.1% | 0.264 | 0.52u | Won | +0.45u |
| Aug 25, 2017 | mlb |
Reds
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 56.8% | 0.136 | 0.18u | Won | +0.18u |
| Aug 25, 2017 | mlb |
Yankees
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.95 | 50.0% | 0.475 | 0.63u | Lost | -0.63u |
| Aug 25, 2017 | mlb |
White Sox
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 50.0% | 0.275 | 0.47u | Won | +0.73u |
| Aug 25, 2017 | mlb |
Dodgers
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 56.8% | 0.249 | 0.52u | Won | +0.62u |
| Aug 24, 2017 | mlb |
Pirates
Dodgers
|
Home win | away | 2.20 | 32.1% | 0.493 | 0.39u | Won | +0.47u |
| Aug 24, 2017 | mlb |
Astros
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 50.0% | 0.325 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Aug 24, 2017 | mlb |
Royals
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 50.0% | 0.275 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Aug 24, 2017 | mlb |
Tigers
Yankees
|
Home win | away | 1.91 | 32.1% | 0.296 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Aug 24, 2017 | mlb |
White Sox
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 50.0% | 0.225 | 0.18u | Won | +0.26u |
| Aug 24, 2017 | mlb |
Phillies
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 56.8% | 0.278 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Aug 23, 2017 | mlb |
Giants
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 56.8% | 0.391 | 0.40u | Won | +0.58u |
| Aug 23, 2017 | mlb |
Phillies
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 100.0% | 1.650 | 0.40u | Won | +0.66u |
| Aug 23, 2017 | mlb |
Mets
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 3.30 | 50.0% | 0.650 | 0.40u | Won | +0.92u |
| Aug 23, 2017 | mlb |
Orioles
Athletics
|
Home win | away | 1.80 | 32.1% | 0.221 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Aug 23, 2017 | mlb |
Royals
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 56.8% | 0.448 | 0.40u | Won | +0.62u |
| Aug 22, 2017 | mlb |
Reds
Cubs
|
Home win | away | 2.14 | 32.1% | 0.452 | 0.43u | Won | +0.49u |
| Aug 22, 2017 | mlb |
Braves
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.43 | 56.8% | 0.380 | 0.35u | Won | +0.50u |
| Aug 22, 2017 | mlb |
Royals
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.51 | 50.0% | 0.255 | 0.16u | Won | +0.24u |
| Aug 22, 2017 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
Home win | away | 2.47 | 32.1% | 0.676 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Aug 22, 2017 | mlb |
Pirates
Dodgers
|
Home win | away | 2.30 | 32.1% | 0.561 | 0.43u | Won | +0.56u |
| Aug 21, 2017 | mlb |
White Sox
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 56.8% | 0.193 | 0.26u | Won | +0.29u |
| Aug 21, 2017 | mlb |
White Sox
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.18 | 56.8% | 0.238 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Aug 21, 2017 | mlb |
Indians
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.14 | 56.8% | 0.215 | 0.31u | Won | +0.35u |
| Aug 21, 2017 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.19 | 56.8% | 0.244 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Aug 21, 2017 | mlb |
Orioles
Athletics
|
Home win | away | 2.43 | 32.1% | 0.649 | 0.48u | Lost | -0.48u |
| Aug 20, 2017 | mlb |
Twins
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.04 | 56.8% | 0.159 | 0.13u | Won | +0.14u |
| Aug 20, 2017 | mlb |
Astros
Athletics
|
Home win | away | 1.98 | 32.1% | 0.344 | 0.46u | Won | +0.45u |
| Aug 20, 2017 | mlb |
Padres
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.32 | 56.8% | 0.318 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| Aug 20, 2017 | mlb |
Rockies
Brewers
|
Home win | away | 2.08 | 32.1% | 0.411 | 0.46u | Won | +0.50u |
| Aug 20, 2017 | mlb |
Giants
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 50.0% | 0.275 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Aug 19, 2017 | mlb |
Royals
Indians
|
Home win | home | 2.31 | 56.8% | 0.312 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
| Aug 19, 2017 | mlb |
Twins
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 50.0% | 0.225 | 0.36u | Won | +0.52u |
| Aug 19, 2017 | mlb |
Rockies
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 56.8% | 0.306 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Aug 18, 2017 | mlb |
Rays
Mariners
|
Home win | away | 2.88 | 32.1% | 0.954 | 0.68u | Won | +1.28u |
| Aug 18, 2017 | mlb |
Tigers
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.95 | 56.8% | 0.675 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Aug 18, 2017 | mlb |
Rangers
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.85 | 50.0% | 0.425 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Aug 17, 2017 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.60 | 56.8% | 0.477 | 0.67u | Won | +1.07u |
| Aug 17, 2017 | mlb |
Astros
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | away | 1.89 | 32.1% | 0.284 | 0.46u | Won | +0.41u |
| Aug 17, 2017 | mlb |
Twins
Indians
|
Home win | away | 2.13 | 32.1% | 0.445 | 0.67u | Won | +0.76u |
| Aug 16, 2017 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.14 | 100.0% | 1.140 | 1.20u | Won | +1.37u |
| Aug 15, 2017 | mlb |
Athletics
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.52 | 52.1% | 0.312 | 1.03u | Won | +1.57u |
| Aug 13, 2017 | mlb |
Rays
Indians
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 52.1% | 0.328 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 13, 2017 | mlb |
Mariners
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.48 | 52.6% | 0.304 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Aug 13, 2017 | mlb |
Rangers
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.26 | 52.0% | 0.176 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Aug 13, 2017 | mlb |
Nationals
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.28 | 52.0% | 0.186 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Aug 12, 2017 | mlb |
Tigers
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 52.0% | 0.249 | 0.89u | Won | +1.25u |
| Aug 10, 2017 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.54 | 52.1% | 0.322 | 0.43u | Won | +0.66u |
| Aug 10, 2017 | mlb |
Phillies
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 52.6% | 0.314 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Aug 10, 2017 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.44 | 52.0% | 0.270 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Aug 10, 2017 | mlb |
Rays
Indians
|
Home win | home | 2.42 | 52.6% | 0.272 | 0.35u | Won | +0.50u |
| Aug 10, 2017 | mlb |
Mariners
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 52.1% | 0.224 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Aug 9, 2017 | mlb |
Braves
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.75 | 52.6% | 0.446 | 0.80u | Lost | -0.80u |
| Aug 9, 2017 | mlb |
White Sox
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.95 | 52.6% | 0.551 | 1.00u | Won | +1.95u |
| Aug 8, 2017 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 3.30 | 52.6% | 0.735 | 0.67u | Won | +1.54u |
| Aug 8, 2017 | mlb |
Pirates
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.85 | 52.1% | 0.484 | 0.52u | Won | +0.96u |
| Aug 8, 2017 | mlb |
Angels
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.90 | 52.6% | 0.525 | 0.61u | Won | +1.16u |
| Aug 7, 2017 | mlb |
Nationals
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.70 | 51.2% | 0.382 | 1.12u | Won | +1.90u |
| Aug 6, 2017 | mlb |
Royals
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 52.1% | 0.302 | 1.01u | Won | +1.52u |
| Aug 5, 2017 | mlb |
Cubs
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.95 | 52.1% | 0.536 | 1.12u | Won | +2.18u |
| Aug 5, 2017 | mlb |
Giants
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.41 | 52.6% | 0.267 | 0.68u | Won | +0.96u |
| Aug 4, 2017 | mlb |
Rockies
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.43 | 53.3% | 0.294 | 1.03u | Won | +1.47u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.