Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 6, 2026 6:53 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2017 | mlb |
Braves
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 3.05 | 52.1% | 0.588 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 3, 2017 | mlb |
Orioles
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 52.6% | 0.209 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 2, 2017 | mlb |
White Sox
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.53 | 52.1% | 0.317 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
| Aug 2, 2017 | mlb |
Angels
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.85 | 52.6% | 0.498 | 1.07u | Won | +1.98u |
| Aug 1, 2017 | mlb |
Padres
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.03 | 75.0% | 0.523 | 0.35u | Won | +0.36u |
| Aug 1, 2017 | mlb |
Pirates
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.95 | 62.0% | 0.830 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Aug 1, 2017 | mlb |
Cubs
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 62.0% | 0.272 | 0.35u | Won | +0.37u |
| Aug 1, 2017 | mlb |
Athletics
Giants
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 62.0% | 0.211 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Aug 1, 2017 | mlb |
Yankees
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 1.87 | 62.0% | 0.160 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Aug 1, 2017 | mlb |
Angels
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.57 | 62.0% | 0.595 | 0.35u | Won | +0.55u |
| Jul 31, 2017 | mlb |
Athletics
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 62.0% | 0.334 | 0.35u | Won | +0.40u |
| Jul 31, 2017 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 62.0% | 0.211 | 0.28u | Won | +0.27u |
| Jul 31, 2017 | mlb |
Yankees
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 62.0% | 0.211 | 0.28u | Won | +0.27u |
| Jul 31, 2017 | mlb |
White Sox
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.18 | 75.0% | 0.635 | 0.35u | Won | +0.41u |
| Jul 31, 2017 | mlb |
Red Sox
Indians
|
Home win | home | 2.74 | 62.0% | 0.700 | 0.35u | Won | +0.61u |
| Jul 31, 2017 | mlb |
Orioles
Royals
|
Home win | home | 1.89 | 62.0% | 0.175 | 0.19u | Won | +0.17u |
| Jul 30, 2017 | mlb |
Nationals
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 62.0% | 0.241 | 0.27u | Won | +0.27u |
| Jul 30, 2017 | mlb |
Cardinals
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.03 | 66.7% | 0.353 | 0.34u | Won | +0.35u |
| Jul 30, 2017 | mlb |
Athletics
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 62.0% | 0.458 | 0.34u | Won | +0.46u |
| Jul 30, 2017 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
Home win | home | 1.91 | 62.0% | 0.185 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Jul 30, 2017 | mlb |
Brewers
Cubs
|
Home win | away | 2.45 | 25.0% | 0.838 | 0.34u | Won | +0.49u |
| Jul 30, 2017 | mlb |
Tigers
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.07 | 62.0% | 0.284 | 0.34u | Won | +0.36u |
| Jul 29, 2017 | mlb |
Brewers
Cubs
|
Home win | away | 1.89 | 20.0% | 0.508 | 0.33u | Won | +0.29u |
| Jul 29, 2017 | mlb |
Red Sox
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.13 | 62.0% | 0.322 | 0.15u | Won | +0.17u |
| Jul 29, 2017 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.61 | 62.0% | 0.620 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Jul 29, 2017 | mlb |
Dodgers
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.06 | 75.0% | 0.545 | 0.33u | Won | +0.35u |
| Jul 29, 2017 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
Home win | home | 3.65 | 62.0% | 1.265 | 0.33u | Won | +0.87u |
| Jul 29, 2017 | mlb |
Nationals
Rockies
|
Home win | away | 3.70 | 25.0% | 1.775 | 0.33u | Won | +0.89u |
| Jul 28, 2017 | mlb |
Marlins
Reds
|
Home win | away | 3.70 | 25.0% | 1.775 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Jul 28, 2017 | mlb |
Cardinals
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 3.20 | 62.0% | 0.986 | 0.33u | Won | +0.73u |
| Jul 28, 2017 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 62.0% | 0.427 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Jul 28, 2017 | mlb |
Athletics
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 62.0% | 0.551 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Jul 28, 2017 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.28 | 62.0% | 0.415 | 0.23u | Won | +0.29u |
| Jul 28, 2017 | mlb |
Brewers
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.48 | 62.0% | 0.539 | 0.33u | Won | +0.49u |
| Jul 27, 2017 | mlb |
Indians
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 62.0% | 0.272 | 0.53u | Won | +0.56u |
| Jul 27, 2017 | mlb |
White Sox
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 3.40 | 62.0% | 1.110 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Jul 27, 2017 | mlb |
Marlins
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.08 | 62.0% | 0.291 | 0.60u | Won | +0.65u |
| Jul 26, 2017 | mlb |
Rays
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 1.87 | 62.0% | 0.160 | 0.26u | Won | +0.23u |
| Jul 26, 2017 | mlb |
Tigers
Royals
|
Home win | home | 1.90 | 62.0% | 0.180 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Jul 26, 2017 | mlb |
Cardinals
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 3.48 | 62.0% | 1.159 | 0.45u | Won | +1.12u |
| Jul 26, 2017 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 1.90 | 62.0% | 0.180 | 0.32u | Won | +0.29u |
| Jul 26, 2017 | mlb |
White Sox
Cubs
|
Home win | away | 3.15 | 25.0% | 1.363 | 0.45u | Won | +0.97u |
| Jul 25, 2017 | mlb |
Rays
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 62.0% | 0.241 | 0.38u | Won | +0.38u |
| Jul 25, 2017 | mlb |
Dodgers
Twins
|
Home win | home | 1.83 | 62.0% | 0.133 | 0.15u | Won | +0.12u |
| Jul 25, 2017 | mlb |
Nationals
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 1.93 | 62.0% | 0.195 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Jul 25, 2017 | mlb |
Mariners
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.23 | 62.0% | 0.384 | 0.38u | Won | +0.47u |
| Jul 25, 2017 | mlb |
Yankees
Reds
|
Home win | home | 1.86 | 62.0% | 0.155 | 0.20u | Won | +0.17u |
| Jul 25, 2017 | mlb |
Indians
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.38 | 62.0% | 0.477 | 0.38u | Won | +0.52u |
| Jul 24, 2017 | mlb |
Cardinals
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 66.7% | 0.633 | 0.41u | Won | +0.59u |
| Jul 24, 2017 | mlb |
Phillies
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 62.0% | 0.489 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Jul 24, 2017 | mlb |
Tigers
Royals
|
Home win | away | 3.45 | 25.0% | 1.588 | 0.41u | Won | +1.00u |
| Jul 24, 2017 | mlb |
Indians
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 62.0% | 0.489 | 0.41u | Won | +0.57u |
| Jul 24, 2017 | mlb |
Giants
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 1.93 | 62.0% | 0.195 | 0.16u | Lost | -0.16u |
| Jul 23, 2017 | mlb |
Phillies
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.16 | 62.0% | 0.340 | 0.34u | Won | +0.39u |
| Jul 23, 2017 | mlb |
Dodgers
Braves
|
Home win | home | 1.93 | 62.0% | 0.195 | 0.18u | Won | +0.17u |
| Jul 23, 2017 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 62.0% | 0.303 | 0.34u | Won | +0.37u |
| Jul 23, 2017 | mlb |
Indians
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.04 | 62.0% | 0.266 | 0.31u | Won | +0.32u |
| Jul 23, 2017 | mlb |
Angels
Red Sox
|
Home win | away | 2.03 | 20.0% | 0.624 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Jul 23, 2017 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.02 | 62.0% | 0.253 | 0.29u | Won | +0.30u |
| Jul 22, 2017 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.17 | 62.0% | 0.346 | 0.35u | Won | +0.41u |
| Jul 22, 2017 | mlb |
Angels
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.13 | 62.0% | 0.322 | 0.35u | Won | +0.40u |
| Jul 22, 2017 | mlb |
Rockies
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 1.88 | 62.0% | 0.165 | 0.12u | Won | +0.11u |
| Jul 22, 2017 | mlb |
Phillies
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 62.0% | 0.272 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Jul 22, 2017 | mlb |
Dodgers
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.26 | 62.0% | 0.402 | 0.35u | Won | +0.44u |
| Jul 22, 2017 | mlb |
Reds
Marlins
|
Home win | away | 1.86 | 20.0% | 0.484 | 0.35u | Won | +0.30u |
| Jul 21, 2017 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
Home win | away | 2.30 | 25.0% | 0.725 | 0.33u | Won | +0.43u |
| Jul 21, 2017 | mlb |
Reds
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.02 | 62.0% | 0.253 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Jul 21, 2017 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 62.0% | 0.365 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Jul 21, 2017 | mlb |
Rockies
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.18 | 62.0% | 0.353 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Jul 21, 2017 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.38 | 62.0% | 0.477 | 0.33u | Won | +0.46u |
| Jul 21, 2017 | mlb |
Angels
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.90 | 62.0% | 0.799 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Jul 20, 2017 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
Home win | home | 1.91 | 62.0% | 0.185 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Jul 20, 2017 | mlb |
Pirates
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 1.87 | 62.0% | 0.160 | 0.23u | Won | +0.20u |
| Jul 20, 2017 | mlb |
Dodgers
Braves
|
Home win | home | 1.96 | 62.0% | 0.217 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Jul 20, 2017 | mlb |
Reds
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 1.81 | 62.0% | 0.125 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Jul 20, 2017 | mlb |
Royals
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.32 | 62.0% | 0.440 | 0.38u | Won | +0.50u |
| Jul 20, 2017 | mlb |
Orioles
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 1.83 | 66.7% | 0.222 | 0.38u | Won | +0.32u |
| Jul 19, 2017 | mlb |
Marlins
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.19 | 62.0% | 0.359 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Jul 19, 2017 | mlb |
Rockies
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.74 | 62.0% | 0.700 | 0.34u | Won | +0.59u |
| Jul 19, 2017 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.44 | 62.0% | 0.514 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Jul 19, 2017 | mlb |
Reds
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 1.99 | 62.0% | 0.235 | 0.30u | Won | +0.30u |
| Jul 19, 2017 | mlb |
Athletics
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 62.0% | 0.241 | 0.31u | Won | +0.31u |
| Jul 19, 2017 | mlb |
Royals
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 1.89 | 62.0% | 0.175 | 0.17u | Won | +0.15u |
| Jul 18, 2017 | mlb |
Angels
Nationals
|
Home win | away | 2.21 | 46.1% | 0.192 | 0.34u | Won | +0.41u |
| Jul 18, 2017 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home win | away | 2.18 | 39.1% | 0.327 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Jul 18, 2017 | mlb |
Pirates
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 51.4% | 0.286 | 0.64u | Won | +0.96u |
| Jul 17, 2017 | mlb |
Royals
Tigers
|
Home win | away | 2.09 | 39.1% | 0.272 | 0.40u | Won | +0.44u |
| Jul 17, 2017 | mlb |
Braves
Cubs
|
Home win | away | 2.36 | 46.1% | 0.273 | 0.36u | Won | +0.49u |
| Jul 17, 2017 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home win | away | 2.47 | 39.1% | 0.504 | 0.52u | Won | +0.76u |
| Jul 17, 2017 | mlb |
Pirates
Brewers
|
Home win | away | 3.05 | 39.1% | 0.857 | 0.52u | Lost | -0.52u |
| Jul 16, 2017 | mlb |
Mets
Rockies
|
Home win | away | 2.29 | 46.1% | 0.235 | 0.23u | Won | +0.30u |
| Jul 16, 2017 | mlb |
Brewers
Phillies
|
Home win | away | 2.13 | 39.1% | 0.297 | 0.40u | Won | +0.45u |
| Jul 16, 2017 | mlb |
Athletics
Indians
|
Home win | away | 2.50 | 46.1% | 0.349 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Jul 16, 2017 | mlb |
Braves
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | away | 2.80 | 39.1% | 0.704 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Jul 16, 2017 | mlb |
Royals
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.48 | 51.4% | 0.275 | 0.30u | Won | +0.44u |
| Jul 15, 2017 | mlb |
Tigers
Blue Jays
|
Home win | away | 2.57 | 46.1% | 0.386 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Jul 15, 2017 | mlb |
Angels
Rays
|
Home win | away | 2.20 | 46.1% | 0.187 | 0.14u | Won | +0.17u |
| Jul 15, 2017 | mlb |
Orioles
Cubs
|
Home win | away | 2.37 | 46.1% | 0.279 | 0.29u | Won | +0.40u |
| Jul 15, 2017 | mlb |
Royals
Rangers
|
Home win | away | 2.06 | 39.1% | 0.254 | 0.28u | Won | +0.30u |
| Jul 15, 2017 | mlb |
Athletics
Indians
|
Home win | away | 2.50 | 46.1% | 0.349 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.