Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 4, 2026 6:30 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 48.2% | 0.270 | 0.93u | Lost | -0.93u |
| Aug 7, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 41.6% | 0.332 | 0.73u | Won | +0.93u |
| Aug 7, 2018 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.69 | 49.4% | 0.361 | 1.07u | Won | +1.81u |
| Aug 6, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 44.8% | 0.220 | 0.91u | Lost | -0.91u |
| Aug 5, 2018 | mlb |
Dodgers
Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.89 | 52.7% | 0.523 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 5, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.61 | 46.4% | 0.399 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 4, 2018 | mlb |
Rangers
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 46.7% | 0.194 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 4, 2018 | mlb |
Dodgers
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 43.7% | 0.329 | 1.20u | Won | +1.63u |
| Aug 3, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.56 | 44.1% | 0.432 | 1.20u | Won | +1.87u |
| Aug 3, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 47.6% | 0.190 | 0.60u | Won | +0.76u |
| Aug 2, 2018 | mlb |
Dodgers
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 46.3% | 0.177 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Aug 1, 2018 | mlb |
Twins
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 47.0% | 0.251 | 0.92u | Won | +1.25u |
| Aug 1, 2018 | mlb |
Rays
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 49.8% | 0.229 | 0.79u | Lost | -0.79u |
| Jul 31, 2018 | mlb |
White Sox
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 23.5% | 0.736 | 0.60u | Won | +0.76u |
| Jul 31, 2018 | mlb |
Padres
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 23.5% | 0.744 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 30, 2018 | mlb |
Twins
Indians
|
Home cover | home | 2.32 | 53.3% | 0.237 | 0.83u | Won | +1.10u |
| Jul 30, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.48 | 48.1% | 0.286 | 0.97u | Won | +1.44u |
| Jul 29, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 23.5% | 0.466 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 29, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 39.4% | 0.449 | 0.60u | Won | +0.83u |
| Jul 28, 2018 | mlb |
White Sox
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.65 | 48.1% | 0.374 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 28, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 23.5% | 0.828 | 1.20u | Won | +1.67u |
| Jul 27, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 23.5% | 0.789 | 0.60u | Won | +0.80u |
| Jul 27, 2018 | mlb |
Reds
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.18 | 16.7% | 0.817 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 26, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.12 | 39.4% | 0.285 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 26, 2018 | mlb |
Marlins
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 1.81 | 23.5% | 0.386 | 1.20u | Won | +0.98u |
| Jul 25, 2018 | mlb |
Brewers
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 1.89 | 23.5% | 0.441 | 0.60u | Won | +0.53u |
| Jul 25, 2018 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.53 | 66.7% | 0.687 | 1.20u | Won | +1.84u |
| Jul 24, 2018 | mlb |
Orioles
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 23.5% | 0.606 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 24, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 23.5% | 0.874 | 1.20u | Won | +1.74u |
| Jul 23, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 39.4% | 0.430 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 23, 2018 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.71 | 66.7% | 0.807 | 1.20u | Won | +2.05u |
| Jul 22, 2018 | mlb |
Tigers
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 1.89 | 16.7% | 0.577 | 0.60u | Won | +0.54u |
| Jul 22, 2018 | mlb |
Phillies
Padres
|
Home cover | home | 2.71 | 66.7% | 0.807 | 1.20u | Won | +2.05u |
| Jul 21, 2018 | mlb |
Rangers
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 1.83 | 0.0% | 0.833 | 1.20u | Won | +1.00u |
| Jul 21, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.66 | 66.7% | 0.773 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 20, 2018 | mlb |
Brewers
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 39.4% | 0.436 | 0.60u | Won | +0.82u |
| Jul 20, 2018 | mlb |
Rangers
Indians
|
Home cover | home | 2.10 | 100.0% | 1.100 | 1.20u | Won | +1.32u |
| Jul 15, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.79 | 51.8% | 0.445 | 1.20u | Won | +2.15u |
| Jul 15, 2018 | mlb |
Rockies
Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.79 | 51.8% | 0.445 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 14, 2018 | mlb |
Orioles
Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.76 | 51.8% | 0.429 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 14, 2018 | mlb |
Pirates
Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.74 | 51.8% | 0.419 | 0.60u | Won | +1.04u |
| Jul 13, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Nationals
|
Home cover | home | 2.64 | 51.8% | 0.367 | 0.66u | Won | +1.08u |
| Jul 13, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.66 | 51.8% | 0.378 | 1.14u | Won | +1.89u |
| Jul 12, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.74 | 51.8% | 0.419 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 12, 2018 | mlb |
Rockies
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.87 | 51.8% | 0.486 | 1.20u | Won | +2.24u |
| Jul 11, 2018 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.74 | 51.8% | 0.419 | 1.20u | Won | +2.09u |
| Jul 11, 2018 | mlb |
Marlins
Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.54 | 51.8% | 0.315 | 0.60u | Won | +0.92u |
| Jul 10, 2018 | mlb |
White Sox
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.31 | 51.8% | 0.196 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
| Jul 10, 2018 | mlb |
Rays
Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.59 | 51.8% | 0.341 | 1.07u | Won | +1.70u |
| Jul 9, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.73 | 51.8% | 0.414 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 9, 2018 | mlb |
Pirates
Nationals
|
Home cover | home | 2.30 | 51.8% | 0.191 | 0.60u | Won | +0.78u |
| Jul 8, 2018 | mlb |
Brewers
Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.74 | 51.8% | 0.419 | 1.20u | Won | +2.09u |
| Jul 8, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.66 | 51.8% | 0.378 | 0.60u | Won | +1.00u |
| Jul 7, 2018 | mlb |
Brewers
Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.64 | 51.8% | 0.367 | 1.12u | Lost | -1.12u |
| Jul 7, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.47 | 51.8% | 0.279 | 0.68u | Won | +1.00u |
| Jul 6, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.81 | 51.8% | 0.455 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 6, 2018 | mlb |
Pirates
Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.74 | 51.8% | 0.419 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 5, 2018 | mlb |
Mariners
Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.58 | 51.8% | 0.336 | 0.60u | Won | +0.95u |
| Jul 5, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.88 | 51.8% | 0.492 | 1.20u | Won | +2.26u |
| Jul 4, 2018 | mlb |
Rangers
Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.54 | 51.8% | 0.316 | 0.60u | Won | +0.92u |
| Jul 4, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.77 | 51.8% | 0.435 | 1.20u | Won | +2.12u |
| Jul 3, 2018 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.05 | 100.0% | 1.050 | 1.20u | Won | +1.26u |
| Jul 3, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.75 | 56.0% | 0.540 | 0.60u | Won | +1.05u |
| Jul 2, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
Indians
|
Home cover | home | 2.45 | 56.0% | 0.372 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Jul 2, 2018 | mlb |
Rockies
Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.68 | 51.9% | 0.390 | 1.16u | Won | +1.95u |
| Jul 1, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.63 | 52.6% | 0.384 | 1.18u | Lost | -1.18u |
| Jul 1, 2018 | mlb |
Padres
Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 2.58 | 50.0% | 0.290 | 0.62u | Lost | -0.62u |
| Jun 30, 2018 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.87 | 50.0% | 0.435 | 1.16u | Lost | -1.16u |
| Jun 30, 2018 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.67 | 52.6% | 0.405 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Jun 29, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.68 | 52.6% | 0.411 | 1.20u | Won | +2.02u |
| Jun 29, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Indians
|
Home cover | home | 2.60 | 50.0% | 0.300 | 0.60u | Won | +0.96u |
| Jun 28, 2018 | mlb |
White Sox
Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.64 | 51.9% | 0.369 | 1.12u | Won | +1.84u |
| Jun 27, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 2.81 | 50.0% | 0.405 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 27, 2018 | mlb |
Phillies
Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.76 | 52.6% | 0.453 | 1.20u | Won | +2.11u |
| Jun 26, 2018 | mlb |
White Sox
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.06 | 36.4% | 0.311 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 26, 2018 | mlb |
Tigers
Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.79 | 51.9% | 0.447 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 25, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Reds
|
Home cover | home | 2.44 | 50.0% | 0.220 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 25, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Indians
|
Home cover | home | 2.83 | 51.9% | 0.467 | 1.20u | Won | +2.20u |
| Jun 24, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.46 | 36.4% | 0.566 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 24, 2018 | mlb |
Twins
Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.69 | 52.6% | 0.416 | 0.60u | Won | +1.01u |
| Jun 23, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 0.0% | 1.380 | 1.20u | Won | +1.66u |
| Jun 23, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 36.4% | 0.375 | 0.60u | Won | +0.70u |
| Jun 22, 2018 | mlb |
Brewers
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 36.4% | 0.540 | 1.20u | Won | +1.70u |
| Jun 22, 2018 | mlb |
Reds
Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.92 | 50.0% | 0.460 | 0.60u | Won | +1.15u |
| Jun 21, 2018 | mlb |
Brewers
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.36 | 50.0% | 0.180 | 0.60u | Won | +0.82u |
| Jun 21, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Orioles
|
Home cover | home | 2.78 | 51.9% | 0.442 | 1.20u | Won | +2.14u |
| Jun 20, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.75 | 51.9% | 0.426 | 1.20u | Won | +2.10u |
| Jun 20, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Orioles
|
Home cover | home | 2.66 | 52.6% | 0.400 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 19, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 1.87 | 38.1% | 0.157 | 0.87u | Lost | -0.87u |
| Jun 19, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Orioles
|
Home cover | home | 2.03 | 58.7% | 0.192 | 0.93u | Won | +0.96u |
| Jun 18, 2018 | mlb |
Phillies
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 33.5% | 0.422 | 0.60u | Won | +0.68u |
| Jun 18, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.78 | 54.2% | 0.507 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 17, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.88 | 51.8% | 0.491 | 1.20u | Won | +2.26u |
| Jun 17, 2018 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.39 | 61.4% | 0.466 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 16, 2018 | mlb |
White Sox
Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.40 | 54.9% | 0.317 | 1.13u | Lost | -1.13u |
| Jun 16, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.26 | 55.2% | 0.247 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Jun 15, 2018 | mlb |
Orioles
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.47 | 44.1% | 0.382 | 0.60u | Won | +0.88u |
| Jun 15, 2018 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 34.7% | 0.397 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 14, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.13 | 63.8% | 0.359 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 13, 2018 | mlb |
Dodgers
Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.54 | 56.0% | 0.422 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.