Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 4, 2026 6:30 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 1.94 | 27.8% | 0.404 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 23, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 31.8% | 0.466 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 22, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.52 | 27.8% | 0.820 | 1.20u | Won | +1.82u |
| Sep 22, 2018 | mlb |
Marlins
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 25.0% | 0.688 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 21, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 36.4% | 0.464 | 0.60u | Won | +0.78u |
| Sep 21, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.74 | 56.5% | 0.549 | 1.20u | Won | +2.09u |
| Sep 20, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.40 | 56.5% | 0.357 | 0.60u | Won | +0.84u |
| Sep 20, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 25.0% | 0.658 | 1.20u | Won | +1.45u |
| Sep 19, 2018 | mlb |
Rangers
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.49 | 31.8% | 0.698 | 1.20u | Won | +1.79u |
| Sep 19, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 40.6% | 0.425 | 0.60u | Won | +0.84u |
| Sep 18, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.73 | 25.0% | 1.048 | 1.20u | Won | +2.08u |
| Sep 18, 2018 | mlb |
Dodgers
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 36.4% | 0.470 | 0.60u | Won | +0.79u |
| Sep 17, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.09 | 36.4% | 0.330 | 0.60u | Won | +0.65u |
| Sep 17, 2018 | mlb |
Dodgers
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 27.8% | 0.567 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 16, 2018 | seriea |
Genoa
Bologna
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.00 | 56.7% | 0.134 | 0.30u | Won | +0.30u |
| Sep 16, 2018 | seriea |
Empoli
Lazio
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.38 | 85.5% | 1.031 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 16, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 40.6% | 0.395 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 16, 2018 | mlb |
Padres
Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.21 | 63.6% | 0.406 | 1.20u | Won | +1.45u |
| Sep 15, 2018 | seriea |
Internazionale
Parma
|
Home draw | away | 2.40 | 22.8% | 0.852 | 1.20u | Won | +1.68u |
| Sep 15, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.03 | 31.8% | 0.384 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 15, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.66 | 36.4% | 0.693 | 1.20u | Won | +1.99u |
| Sep 14, 2018 | mlb |
Orioles
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 36.4% | 0.457 | 0.60u | Won | +0.77u |
| Sep 14, 2018 | mlb |
Rays
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 31.8% | 0.602 | 1.20u | Won | +1.62u |
| Sep 13, 2018 | mlb |
Orioles
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 1.97 | 25.0% | 0.478 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 13, 2018 | mlb |
Rockies
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 31.8% | 0.609 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 12, 2018 | mlb |
Red Sox
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 25.0% | 0.785 | 1.20u | Won | +1.66u |
| Sep 12, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.78 | 61.5% | 0.711 | 0.60u | Won | +1.07u |
| Sep 11, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.68 | 51.3% | 0.376 | 0.60u | Won | +1.01u |
| Sep 11, 2018 | mlb |
Rays
Indians
|
Home cover | home | 1.84 | 80.0% | 0.472 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 10, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.52 | 51.3% | 0.294 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Sep 10, 2018 | mlb |
Rays
Indians
|
Home cover | home | 2.64 | 51.3% | 0.355 | 1.08u | Won | +1.77u |
| Sep 9, 2018 | mlb |
Tigers
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.61 | 51.3% | 0.340 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 9, 2018 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.08 | 0.0% | 1.080 | 1.20u | Won | +1.30u |
| Sep 8, 2018 | mlb |
White Sox
Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.71 | 51.3% | 0.391 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 8, 2018 | mlb |
Rockies
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 1.99 | 28.6% | 0.422 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 7, 2018 | mlb |
White Sox
Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.79 | 50.0% | 0.395 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 7, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.86 | 51.3% | 0.468 | 1.20u | Won | +2.23u |
| Sep 6, 2018 | mlb |
Reds
Padres
|
Home cover | home | 2.89 | 50.0% | 0.445 | 1.18u | Lost | -1.18u |
| Sep 6, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.29 | 51.3% | 0.175 | 0.62u | Lost | -0.62u |
| Sep 5, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.01 | 28.6% | 0.436 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 5, 2018 | mlb |
Dodgers
Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.87 | 50.0% | 0.435 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 4, 2018 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.66 | 51.3% | 0.365 | 1.10u | Won | +1.83u |
| Sep 4, 2018 | mlb |
Marlins
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 1.90 | 28.6% | 0.358 | 0.70u | Won | +0.63u |
| Sep 3, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 28.6% | 0.429 | 1.20u | Won | +1.20u |
| Sep 3, 2018 | mlb |
Rockies
Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.74 | 51.3% | 0.406 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 2, 2018 | seriea |
Chievo Verona
Empoli
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.63 | 64.4% | 0.691 | 1.20u | Won | +1.95u |
| Sep 2, 2018 | mlb |
White Sox
Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.67 | 51.3% | 0.370 | 0.60u | Won | +1.00u |
| Sep 2, 2018 | mlb |
Dodgers
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 28.6% | 0.550 | 1.20u | Won | +1.40u |
| Sep 2, 2018 | seriea |
Sassuolo
Genoa
|
Draw away | x2 | 3.20 | 53.4% | 0.708 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 1, 2018 | seriea |
Parma
Juventus
|
Home draw | 1x | 4.00 | 56.5% | 1.262 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 1, 2018 | mlb |
Phillies
Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.62 | 51.3% | 0.345 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 1, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 28.6% | 0.786 | 1.20u | Won | +1.80u |
| Aug 31, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.72 | 51.3% | 0.396 | 0.60u | Won | +1.03u |
| Aug 31, 2018 | mlb |
Rangers
Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.82 | 51.3% | 0.447 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 30, 2018 | mlb |
White Sox
Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.42 | 51.3% | 0.242 | 0.85u | Lost | -0.85u |
| Aug 30, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.36 | 50.0% | 0.180 | 0.66u | Won | +0.90u |
| Aug 29, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.83 | 51.3% | 0.453 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 29, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 2.99 | 51.3% | 0.535 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 28, 2018 | mlb |
Rangers
Dodgers
|
Home cover | home | 2.81 | 52.3% | 0.470 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 28, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Rays
|
Home cover | home | 2.70 | 52.9% | 0.428 | 0.60u | Won | +1.02u |
| Aug 27, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.47 | 51.5% | 0.273 | 0.93u | Lost | -0.93u |
| Aug 26, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.74 | 52.4% | 0.435 | 0.60u | Won | +1.04u |
| Aug 26, 2018 | mlb |
Rays
Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.81 | 52.0% | 0.461 | 1.20u | Won | +2.17u |
| Aug 26, 2018 | seriea |
SPAL
Parma
|
Draw away | x2 | 3.00 | 51.1% | 0.534 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 25, 2018 | seriea |
Napoli
AC Milan
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.38 | 57.0% | 0.354 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 25, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
Indians
|
Home cover | home | 2.55 | 52.3% | 0.333 | 1.08u | Won | +1.67u |
| Aug 25, 2018 | mlb |
Twins
Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.45 | 52.2% | 0.279 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Aug 24, 2018 | mlb |
Dodgers
Padres
|
Home cover | home | 2.61 | 52.5% | 0.371 | 1.15u | Won | +1.85u |
| Aug 24, 2018 | mlb |
Rockies
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.44 | 52.2% | 0.273 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Aug 23, 2018 | mlb |
Rockies
Padres
|
Home cover | home | 2.43 | 52.2% | 0.267 | 0.85u | Lost | -0.85u |
| Aug 23, 2018 | mlb |
Marlins
Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.46 | 51.9% | 0.277 | 0.95u | Lost | -0.95u |
| Aug 22, 2018 | mlb |
Tigers
Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.99 | 52.0% | 0.555 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 22, 2018 | mlb |
Pirates
Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.79 | 51.9% | 0.449 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 21, 2018 | mlb |
White Sox
Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.71 | 51.6% | 0.398 | 1.16u | Lost | -1.16u |
| Aug 21, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.45 | 52.2% | 0.278 | 0.64u | Won | +0.93u |
| Aug 20, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 3.00 | 51.7% | 0.550 | 1.20u | Won | +2.40u |
| Aug 20, 2018 | mlb |
Dodgers
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.84 | 52.3% | 0.484 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 19, 2018 | seriea |
Torino
AS Roma
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.20 | 64.1% | 0.410 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 19, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | home | 2.73 | 52.0% | 0.421 | 1.20u | Won | +2.08u |
| Aug 19, 2018 | mlb |
Reds
Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.71 | 52.0% | 0.409 | 0.60u | Won | +1.03u |
| Aug 19, 2018 | seriea |
Sassuolo
Internazionale
|
Draw away | home | 3.55 | 43.2% | 1.016 | 1.20u | Won | +3.06u |
| Aug 18, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.25 | 52.1% | 0.172 | 0.69u | Won | +0.86u |
| Aug 18, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Rockies
|
Home cover | home | 2.19 | 52.3% | 0.146 | 0.11u | Lost | -0.11u |
| Aug 18, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.46 | 52.6% | 0.293 | 1.00u | Won | +1.46u |
| Aug 17, 2018 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.70 | 51.4% | 0.388 | 0.60u | Won | +1.02u |
| Aug 17, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.71 | 52.1% | 0.412 | 1.20u | Won | +2.05u |
| Aug 16, 2018 | mlb |
Pirates
Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.55 | 52.2% | 0.331 | 1.07u | Won | +1.66u |
| Aug 15, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
Home cover | home | 2.76 | 52.0% | 0.436 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 15, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Rockies
|
Home cover | home | 2.75 | 52.4% | 0.440 | 1.20u | Won | +2.10u |
| Aug 14, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.80 | 50.0% | 0.400 | 1.11u | Lost | -1.11u |
| Aug 14, 2018 | mlb |
Padres
Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.50 | 51.8% | 0.296 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Aug 13, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.59 | 42.9% | 0.479 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 13, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.48 | 44.8% | 0.368 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 12, 2018 | mlb |
Orioles
Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.59 | 53.4% | 0.383 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 12, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.54 | 62.4% | 0.584 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 11, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 42.3% | 0.286 | 0.60u | Won | +0.74u |
| Aug 11, 2018 | mlb |
Marlins
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.70 | 47.6% | 0.414 | 1.20u | Won | +2.04u |
| Aug 10, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 45.0% | 0.291 | 0.63u | Won | +0.85u |
| Aug 10, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.54 | 46.5% | 0.360 | 1.17u | Won | +1.80u |
| Aug 9, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 59.5% | 0.135 | 0.74u | Won | +0.67u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.