Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 16, 2026 12:55 PM EDT
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Oakland Athletics
Primary
Odds
1.83
Prob
58.9%
EV/u
0.110
Stake
0.53u
Won
+0.44u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Atlanta Braves
Opposing
Odds
1.83
Prob
36.0%
EV/u
0.211
Stake
1.01u
Lost
-1.01u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Washington Nationals
Cincinnati Reds
Primary
Odds
1.77
Prob
58.9%
EV/u
0.112
Stake
0.58u
Won
+0.45u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
San Diego Padres
Opposing
Odds
2.20
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.35u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
New York Yankees
Primary
Odds
2.05
Prob
70.6%
EV/u
0.385
Stake
1.28u
Lost
-1.28u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Los Angeles Dodgers
Opposing
Odds
1.95
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.41u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Los Angeles Dodgers
Opposing
Odds
1.96
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.114
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Detroit Tigers
Opposing
Odds
2.20
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.46u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Oakland Athletics
New York Yankees
Primary
Odds
2.05
Prob
63.1%
EV/u
0.225
Stake
1.08u
Lost
-1.08u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Chicago White Sox
Primary
Odds
1.81
Prob
58.9%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.52u
Won
+0.42u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
Opposing
Odds
2.15
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Pittsburgh Pirates
Primary
Odds
1.87
Prob
60.6%
EV/u
0.140
Stake
0.65u
Won
+0.57u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Cleveland Guardians
Primary
Odds
1.80
Prob
59.6%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.58u
Won
+0.46u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Los Angeles Angels
Primary
Odds
1.88
Prob
59.8%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.28u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Tampa Bay Rays
Primary
Odds
2.06
Prob
69.3%
EV/u
0.366
Stake
0.83u
Lost
-0.83u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Pittsburgh Pirates
Primary
Odds
1.91
Prob
62.2%
EV/u
0.188
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Kansas City Royals
Primary
Odds
1.79
Prob
60.8%
EV/u
0.141
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
St. Louis Cardinals
Primary
Odds
1.95
Prob
63.5%
EV/u
0.217
Stake
0.76u
Won
+0.72u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Miami Marlins
Primary
Odds
1.83
Prob
63.0%
EV/u
0.190
Stake
0.76u
Lost
-0.76u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
Opposing
Odds
1.75
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.47u
Won
+0.35u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Texas Rangers
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
37.2%
EV/u
0.193
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.40u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
St. Louis Cardinals
Primary
Odds
1.95
Prob
58.3%
EV/u
0.114
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Colorado Rockies
New York Mets
Opposing
Odds
2.15
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.35u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
Primary
Odds
2.02
Prob
64.0%
EV/u
0.242
Stake
0.61u
Won
+0.62u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
Primary
Odds
1.91
Prob
61.4%
EV/u
0.171
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.35u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
St. Louis Cardinals
Opposing
Odds
1.77
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.093
Stake
0.48u
Won
+0.37u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Pittsburgh Pirates
Primary
Odds
2.25
Prob
57.2%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.54u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Miami Marlins
Primary
Odds
1.67
Prob
61.4%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.81u
Lost
-0.81u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
Primary
Odds
1.95
Prob
57.8%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.42u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers
Primary
Odds
1.87
Prob
57.9%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.39u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Washington Nationals
San Diego Padres
Opposing
Odds
1.80
Prob
37.0%
EV/u
0.179
Stake
0.89u
Lost
-0.89u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
Primary
Odds
1.89
Prob
59.0%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.57u
Won
+0.50u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Minnesota Twins
San Francisco Giants
Primary
Odds
1.95
Prob
64.4%
EV/u
0.232
Stake
0.47u
Won
+0.45u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
Primary
Odds
2.07
Prob
67.9%
EV/u
0.339
Stake
0.73u
Won
+0.78u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers
Primary
Odds
1.80
Prob
57.7%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.18u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
Opposing
Odds
1.83
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Chicago White Sox
Opposing
Odds
1.94
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.139
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.27u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Washington Nationals
Detroit Tigers
Primary
Odds
1.91
Prob
58.5%
EV/u
0.114
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.35u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Diego Padres
Boston Red Sox
Primary
Odds
1.80
Prob
58.5%
EV/u
0.095
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.30u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Texas Rangers
Colorado Rockies
Primary
Odds
1.81
Prob
62.9%
EV/u
0.178
Stake
0.68u
Lost
-0.68u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles
Opposing
Odds
1.91
Prob
38.4%
EV/u
0.169
Stake
0.57u
Won
+0.52u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Washington Nationals
Detroit Tigers
Primary
Odds
1.83
Prob
59.1%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.37u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
Primary
Odds
1.87
Prob
58.3%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.30u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
New York Yankees
Primary
Odds
1.73
Prob
59.2%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.32u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Los Angeles Dodgers
Primary
Odds
1.78
Prob
63.7%
EV/u
0.199
Stake
0.79u
Won
+0.61u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
New York Yankees
Primary
Odds
1.72
Prob
60.3%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.27u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Arizona Diamondbacks
Primary
Odds
2.03
Prob
58.7%
EV/u
0.121
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Seattle Mariners
Primary
Odds
1.87
Prob
63.6%
EV/u
0.210
Stake
0.52u
Won
+0.45u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Milwaukee Brewers
Primary
Odds
2.05
Prob
62.6%
EV/u
0.212
Stake
0.55u
Lost
-0.55u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Chicago Cubs
Primary
Odds
1.87
Prob
57.8%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.20u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Los Angeles Dodgers
Primary
Odds
1.87
Prob
60.7%
EV/u
0.151
Stake
0.69u
Won
+0.60u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals
Primary
Odds
2.10
Prob
58.6%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Mets
Tampa Bay Rays
Primary
Odds
1.91
Prob
59.9%
EV/u
0.145
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Seattle Mariners
Opposing
Odds
1.96
Prob
30.7%
EV/u
0.341
Stake
0.98u
Lost
-0.98u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Mets
Tampa Bay Rays
Primary
Odds
1.91
Prob
62.1%
EV/u
0.178
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Pittsburgh Pirates
Primary
Odds
1.91
Prob
65.4%
EV/u
0.250
Stake
0.60u
Won
+0.55u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians
Primary
Odds
1.92
Prob
59.4%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Seattle Mariners
Primary
Odds
1.77
Prob
70.4%
EV/u
0.303
Stake
0.66u
Won
+0.51u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Cincinnati Reds
Primary
Odds
1.56
Prob
65.5%
EV/u
0.162
Stake
1.15u
Won
+0.65u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Texas Rangers
Atlanta Braves
Primary
Odds
1.85
Prob
59.0%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.55u
Lost
-0.55u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Kansas City Royals
Primary
Odds
1.74
Prob
59.3%
EV/u
0.103
Stake
0.56u
Won
+0.41u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
Primary
Odds
1.83
Prob
61.1%
EV/u
0.147
Stake
0.70u
Won
+0.58u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
Primary
Odds
1.89
Prob
58.5%
EV/u
0.107
Stake
0.48u
Won
+0.43u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Seattle Mariners
Primary
Odds
1.89
Prob
59.1%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Los Angeles Angels
Primary
Odds
1.83
Prob
60.4%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.51u
Won
+0.43u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
Primary
Odds
1.81
Prob
58.1%
EV/u
0.080
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.25u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Boston Red Sox
St. Louis Cardinals
Primary
Odds
1.67
Prob
63.2%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.74u
Won
+0.49u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Miami Marlins
Cincinnati Reds
Primary
Odds
2.05
Prob
58.0%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Minnesota Twins
San Diego Padres
Primary
Odds
1.98
Prob
59.0%
EV/u
0.119
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.48u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers
Primary
Odds
2.15
Prob
59.2%
EV/u
0.143
Stake
0.62u
Won
+0.71u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
Primary
Odds
2.10
Prob
58.4%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.58u
Won
+0.64u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Toronto Blue Jays
Primary
Odds
2.00
Prob
59.0%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.63u
Lost
-0.63u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Washington Nationals
Primary
Odds
1.96
Prob
62.1%
EV/u
0.193
Stake
0.64u
Won
+0.62u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
New York Mets
Opposing
Odds
2.10
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.188
Stake
0.69u
Lost
-0.69u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
Primary
Odds
2.05
Prob
61.2%
EV/u
0.178
Stake
0.68u
Lost
-0.68u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Colorado Rockies
Primary
Odds
1.91
Prob
66.7%
EV/u
0.269
Stake
1.18u
Lost
-1.18u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
Primary
Odds
2.00
Prob
60.6%
EV/u
0.160
Stake
0.51u
Won
+0.51u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Toronto Blue Jays
Opposing
Odds
1.89
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Minnesota Twins
Primary
Odds
1.91
Prob
59.9%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.34u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Milwaukee Brewers
Primary
Odds
1.88
Prob
65.9%
EV/u
0.259
Stake
0.76u
Lost
-0.76u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Detroit Tigers
Opposing
Odds
1.95
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.59u
Won
+0.56u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
Primary
Odds
1.87
Prob
59.6%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.57u
Lost
-0.57u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
Primary
Odds
1.96
Prob
60.5%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.59u
Lost
-0.59u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Detroit Tigers
New York Mets
Primary
Odds
2.20
Prob
55.8%
EV/u
0.071
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.35u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
Primary
Odds
1.91
Prob
59.9%
EV/u
0.146
Stake
0.63u
Won
+0.57u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Los Angeles Angels
Primary
Odds
1.89
Prob
58.2%
EV/u
0.112
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.44u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Yankees
Cleveland Guardians
Primary
Odds
1.99
Prob
62.3%
EV/u
0.201
Stake
0.82u
Won
+0.81u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Baltimore Orioles
Primary
Odds
1.83
Prob
59.4%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Los Angeles Angels
Primary
Odds
1.77
Prob
57.8%
EV/u
0.082
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.33u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Toronto Blue Jays
Primary
Odds
1.74
Prob
58.9%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.55u
Won
+0.41u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
Primary
Odds
2.15
Prob
55.9%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Houston Astros
Detroit Tigers
Primary
Odds
1.98
Prob
65.9%
EV/u
0.272
Stake
0.85u
Won
+0.83u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Atlanta Braves
Primary
Odds
1.77
Prob
68.4%
EV/u
0.268
Stake
0.92u
Won
+0.71u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Washington Nationals
Tampa Bay Rays
Primary
Odds
2.05
Prob
65.9%
EV/u
0.286
Stake
0.77u
Won
+0.81u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago White Sox
San Francisco Giants
Primary
Odds
2.00
Prob
59.3%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Yankees
Philadelphia Phillies
Primary
Odds
2.00
Prob
70.5%
EV/u
0.373
Stake
0.85u
Won
+0.85u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
Primary
Odds
1.91
Prob
65.1%
EV/u
0.246
Stake
1.08u
Lost
-1.08u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Houston Astros
Chicago White Sox
Primary
Odds
1.93
Prob
62.4%
EV/u
0.187
Stake
0.80u
Lost
-0.80u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Toronto Blue Jays
Primary
Odds
2.00
Prob
62.4%
EV/u
0.199
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
Primary
Odds
1.95
Prob
61.6%
EV/u
0.182
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.24u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.