Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 16, 2026 11:30 AM EDT
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Los Angeles Dodgers
Opposing
Odds
1.74
Prob
35.5%
EV/u
0.198
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.36u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Texas Rangers
Detroit Tigers
Opposing
Odds
1.74
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.15u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
San Diego Padres
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
39.0%
EV/u
0.160
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.30u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
Primary
Odds
1.91
Prob
64.8%
EV/u
0.239
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Miami Marlins
Tampa Bay Rays
Primary
Odds
2.15
Prob
58.9%
EV/u
0.146
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.33u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
Opposing
Odds
1.70
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.47u
Won
+0.33u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Milwaukee Brewers
Opposing
Odds
1.82
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.130
Stake
0.63u
Won
+0.51u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
Opposing
Odds
1.90
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.57u
Won
+0.51u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
St. Louis Cardinals
Opposing
Odds
2.03
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.139
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Oakland Athletics
Primary
Odds
1.87
Prob
61.3%
EV/u
0.164
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.43u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Detroit Tigers
Opposing
Odds
1.97
Prob
32.6%
EV/u
0.303
Stake
0.81u
Lost
-0.81u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
Primary
Odds
2.15
Prob
56.5%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
St. Louis Cardinals
Opposing
Odds
1.71
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Kansas City Royals
San Diego Padres
Primary
Odds
1.80
Prob
63.1%
EV/u
0.180
Stake
0.60u
Won
+0.48u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Pittsburgh Pirates
Opposing
Odds
1.74
Prob
36.3%
EV/u
0.184
Stake
0.66u
Lost
-0.66u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
Opposing
Odds
1.67
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.26u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Miami Marlins
Texas Rangers
Primary
Odds
1.87
Prob
58.9%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
Opposing
Odds
1.83
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.098
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.22u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Oakland Athletics
Primary
Odds
1.95
Prob
59.0%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.28u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Francisco Giants
New York Yankees
Opposing
Odds
1.73
Prob
35.4%
EV/u
0.195
Stake
0.59u
Won
+0.43u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Detroit Tigers
Opposing
Odds
1.80
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.110
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.24u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Oakland Athletics
Opposing
Odds
1.83
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.114
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
New York Yankees
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.137
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.39u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
Opposing
Odds
1.71
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.154
Stake
0.62u
Won
+0.44u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals
Opposing
Odds
1.83
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.153
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Pittsburgh Pirates
Opposing
Odds
1.59
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Oakland Athletics
Opposing
Odds
1.78
Prob
36.3%
EV/u
0.193
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.29u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Diego Padres
Miami Marlins
Opposing
Odds
1.69
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.090
Stake
0.19u
Won
+0.13u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals
Primary
Odds
2.05
Prob
65.9%
EV/u
0.286
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
Opposing
Odds
1.67
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
Opposing
Odds
1.71
Prob
31.1%
EV/u
0.265
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.32u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
Opposing
Odds
1.76
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.169
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Diego Padres
Miami Marlins
Opposing
Odds
1.72
Prob
35.4%
EV/u
0.196
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Oakland Athletics
Opposing
Odds
1.78
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.21u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Philadelphia Phillies
Opposing
Odds
1.69
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.25u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
Opposing
Odds
1.74
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.123
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.20u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.23u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
35.2%
EV/u
0.223
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.39u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
Opposing
Odds
1.74
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.123
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.21u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals
Opposing
Odds
1.76
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.160
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.28u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Diego Padres
Miami Marlins
Opposing
Odds
1.69
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.19u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Philadelphia Phillies
Opposing
Odds
1.80
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.18u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
Opposing
Odds
1.91
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.203
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.35u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
Opposing
Odds
1.79
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
0.210
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.29u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
Opposing
Odds
1.95
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.28u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Kansas City Royals
Opposing
Odds
1.80
Prob
35.1%
EV/u
0.212
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.30u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Miami Marlins
Opposing
Odds
1.91
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.188
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.26u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Washington Nationals
Seattle Mariners
Opposing
Odds
1.91
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.205
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.28u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Mets
San Francisco Giants
Opposing
Odds
1.71
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
0.198
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.27u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
Opposing
Odds
1.83
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.174
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.23u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Toronto Blue Jays
Opposing
Odds
1.76
Prob
35.1%
EV/u
0.212
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Texas Rangers
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.204
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Miami Marlins
Opposing
Odds
2.00
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.202
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
Opposing
Odds
1.83
Prob
35.4%
EV/u
0.217
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.29u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Milwaukee Brewers
Opposing
Odds
1.89
Prob
35.5%
EV/u
0.221
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.29u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Los Angeles Dodgers
Opposing
Odds
2.05
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.152
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Miami Marlins
Opposing
Odds
1.79
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.173
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.26u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Milwaukee Brewers
Opposing
Odds
1.89
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
0.188
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.28u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Philadelphia Phillies
Opposing
Odds
2.15
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.225
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.43u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Washington Nationals
Seattle Mariners
Opposing
Odds
1.67
Prob
35.1%
EV/u
0.185
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Texas Rangers
Opposing
Odds
1.91
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.184
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Atlanta Braves
Opposing
Odds
1.91
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.186
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.25u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Baltimore Orioles
Opposing
Odds
1.77
Prob
35.1%
EV/u
0.207
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Colorado Rockies
Opposing
Odds
1.77
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
San Diego Padres
Opposing
Odds
2.00
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.206
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Yankees
Seattle Mariners
Opposing
Odds
1.76
Prob
35.1%
EV/u
0.205
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.28u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Toronto Blue Jays
Opposing
Odds
1.69
Prob
35.1%
EV/u
0.192
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.26u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
37.0%
EV/u
0.188
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.27u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Atlanta Braves
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.182
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.26u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Yankees
Seattle Mariners
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.176
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Miami Marlins
Milwaukee Brewers
Opposing
Odds
1.62
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
0.180
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
San Francisco Giants
Opposing
Odds
1.67
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.152
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.22u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Texas Rangers
Opposing
Odds
2.20
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.235
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
Opposing
Odds
1.89
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.179
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.174
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Colorado Rockies
Opposing
Odds
1.77
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.166
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Miami Marlins
Milwaukee Brewers
Opposing
Odds
1.80
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Washington Nationals
Minnesota Twins
Opposing
Odds
1.84
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.195
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.29u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Yankees
Seattle Mariners
Opposing
Odds
1.83
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.183
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.28u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
Opposing
Odds
1.83
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
Opposing
Odds
1.83
Prob
37.8%
EV/u
0.177
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.33u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Baltimore Orioles
Opposing
Odds
1.77
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.166
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.30u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Chicago White Sox
Opposing
Odds
1.71
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.17u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.25u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Atlanta Braves
San Diego Padres
Opposing
Odds
1.89
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.186
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Houston Astros
Milwaukee Brewers
Opposing
Odds
1.91
Prob
35.1%
EV/u
0.241
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Minnesota Twins
Opposing
Odds
1.71
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
Opposing
Odds
1.76
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.171
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.26u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Seattle Mariners
Opposing
Odds
1.67
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.153
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Detroit Tigers
Opposing
Odds
1.91
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
0.196
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Boston Red Sox
Opposing
Odds
1.83
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.162
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
Opposing
Odds
1.91
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.188
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.30u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Boston Red Sox
Opposing
Odds
1.88
Prob
38.8%
EV/u
0.158
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.25u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Cincinnati Reds
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.174
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.28u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Houston Astros
Milwaukee Brewers
Opposing
Odds
1.85
Prob
36.2%
EV/u
0.202
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.32u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
Opposing
Odds
1.72
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.155
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
Opposing
Odds
1.73
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.163
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.26u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Detroit Tigers
Opposing
Odds
1.74
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
0.174
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.26u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
Opposing
Odds
1.74
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.162
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.24u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.