Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 10:47 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2023 | mlb |
Phillies
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 62.4% | 0.248 | 0.76u | Won | +0.76u |
| Aug 20, 2023 | mlb |
Braves
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.85 | 67.1% | 0.912 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 20, 2023 | mlb |
Rockies
White Sox
|
Home win | away | 2.75 | 37.6% | 0.717 | 0.60u | Won | +1.05u |
| Aug 19, 2023 | mlb |
Athletics
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 62.3% | 0.558 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 19, 2023 | mlb |
Cardinals
Mets
|
Home win | away | 2.80 | 45.7% | 0.520 | 0.60u | Won | +1.08u |
| Aug 18, 2023 | mlb |
Angels
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 58.3% | 0.429 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 18, 2023 | mlb |
Braves
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.80 | 61.5% | 0.722 | 1.20u | Won | +2.16u |
| Aug 17, 2023 | mlb |
Dodgers
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 56.0% | 0.428 | 0.60u | Won | +0.93u |
| Aug 17, 2023 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.95 | 60.1% | 0.773 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 16, 2023 | mlb |
Braves
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 68.8% | 0.375 | 0.60u | Won | +0.60u |
| Aug 16, 2023 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
Home win | away | 2.50 | 37.4% | 0.566 | 1.20u | Won | +1.80u |
| Aug 15, 2023 | mlb |
Marlins
Astros
|
Home win | away | 2.80 | 33.3% | 0.867 | 1.20u | Won | +2.16u |
| Aug 15, 2023 | mlb |
Royals
Mariners
|
Home win | away | 2.35 | 38.7% | 0.440 | 0.60u | Won | +0.81u |
| Aug 14, 2023 | mlb |
Giants
Rays
|
Home win | away | 2.70 | 33.6% | 0.792 | 1.20u | Won | +2.04u |
| Aug 14, 2023 | mlb |
Padres
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.80 | 57.9% | 0.622 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 13, 2023 | mlb |
Astros
Angels
|
Home win | home | 1.77 | 71.0% | 0.257 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 13, 2023 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 67.2% | 0.546 | 1.20u | Won | +1.56u |
| Aug 12, 2023 | mlb |
Phillies
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.90 | 65.7% | 0.905 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 12, 2023 | mlb |
Mets
Braves
|
Home win | home | 3.00 | 59.9% | 0.797 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 11, 2023 | mlb |
Astros
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.67 | 54.1% | 0.443 | 1.20u | Won | +2.00u |
| Aug 11, 2023 | mlb |
Royals
Cardinals
|
Home win | away | 2.25 | 38.9% | 0.375 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 10, 2023 | mlb |
Tigers
Twins
|
Home win | away | 3.00 | 46.1% | 0.617 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 10, 2023 | mlb |
Rays
Cardinals
|
Home win | away | 4.00 | 46.9% | 1.126 | 1.20u | Won | +3.60u |
| Aug 9, 2023 | mlb |
Brewers
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 3.20 | 51.7% | 0.654 | 0.60u | Won | +1.32u |
| Aug 9, 2023 | mlb |
Angels
Giants
|
Home win | home | 3.45 | 54.4% | 0.877 | 1.20u | Won | +2.94u |
| Aug 8, 2023 | mlb |
Orioles
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 53.6% | 0.367 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 8, 2023 | mlb |
Phillies
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 3.15 | 53.1% | 0.674 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 7, 2023 | mlb |
Red Sox
Royals
|
Home win | home | 3.40 | 53.3% | 0.811 | 1.20u | Won | +2.88u |
| Aug 7, 2023 | mlb |
Guardians
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.85 | 53.1% | 0.514 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 6, 2023 | mlb |
Red Sox
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 53.6% | 0.287 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 6, 2023 | mlb |
Twins
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.70 | 53.8% | 0.452 | 1.20u | Won | +2.04u |
| Aug 5, 2023 | mlb |
Twins
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 53.6% | 0.233 | 0.65u | Won | +0.85u |
| Aug 5, 2023 | mlb |
Orioles
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 53.8% | 0.345 | 1.15u | Won | +1.73u |
| Aug 4, 2023 | mlb |
Phillies
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 53.6% | 0.340 | 1.13u | Lost | -1.13u |
| Aug 4, 2023 | mlb |
Rangers
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 53.6% | 0.340 | 0.67u | Won | +1.01u |
| Aug 3, 2023 | mlb |
Brewers
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 53.3% | 0.172 | 0.72u | Won | +0.86u |
| Aug 2, 2023 | mlb |
Cubs
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.53 | 53.6% | 0.356 | 0.60u | Won | +0.92u |
| Aug 2, 2023 | mlb |
Giants
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.99 | 53.6% | 0.602 | 1.20u | Won | +2.39u |
| Aug 2, 2023 | mlb |
Rangers
White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.59 | 58.6% | 0.518 | 1.20u | Won | +1.91u |
| Aug 2, 2023 | mlb |
Pirates
Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.54 | 58.6% | 0.489 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 1, 2023 | mlb |
Astros
Guardians
|
Home cover | home | 2.59 | 58.6% | 0.518 | 0.60u | Won | +0.95u |
| Aug 1, 2023 | mlb |
Cardinals
Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.61 | 58.6% | 0.530 | 1.20u | Won | +1.93u |
| Aug 1, 2023 | mlb |
Rangers
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.48 | 53.6% | 0.329 | 1.11u | Won | +1.64u |
| Aug 1, 2023 | mlb |
Marlins
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.39 | 54.0% | 0.290 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Jul 31, 2023 | mlb |
Marlins
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.76 | 53.6% | 0.479 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 31, 2023 | mlb |
Mariners
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.75 | 54.0% | 0.485 | 1.20u | Won | +2.10u |
| Jul 31, 2023 | mlb |
Braves
Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.66 | 58.6% | 0.559 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 31, 2023 | mlb |
Astros
Guardians
|
Home cover | home | 2.62 | 58.6% | 0.535 | 0.60u | Won | +0.97u |
| Jul 30, 2023 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.53 | 58.6% | 0.483 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 30, 2023 | mlb |
Braves
Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.51 | 58.6% | 0.471 | 0.60u | Won | +0.91u |
| Jul 30, 2023 | mlb |
Cardinals
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.27 | 53.6% | 0.217 | 0.72u | Won | +0.91u |
| Jul 30, 2023 | mlb |
Dodgers
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.47 | 53.3% | 0.317 | 1.08u | Lost | -1.08u |
| Jul 29, 2023 | mlb |
Padres
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.60 | 53.3% | 0.386 | 1.20u | Won | +1.92u |
| Jul 29, 2023 | mlb |
Astros
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 53.6% | 0.367 | 0.60u | Won | +0.93u |
| Jul 29, 2023 | mlb |
Giants
Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.59 | 58.6% | 0.518 | 0.60u | Won | +0.95u |
| Jul 29, 2023 | mlb |
White Sox
Guardians
|
Home cover | home | 2.60 | 58.6% | 0.524 | 1.20u | Won | +1.92u |
| Jul 28, 2023 | mlb |
Braves
Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.52 | 58.6% | 0.477 | 1.20u | Won | +1.82u |
| Jul 28, 2023 | mlb |
Pirates
Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.31 | 58.6% | 0.354 | 0.60u | Won | +0.79u |
| Jul 28, 2023 | mlb |
Royals
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 53.1% | 0.302 | 1.04u | Won | +1.51u |
| Jul 28, 2023 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.42 | 53.6% | 0.297 | 0.76u | Won | +1.08u |
| Jul 27, 2023 | mlb |
Mets
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.12 | 53.6% | 0.137 | 0.61u | Won | +0.68u |
| Jul 27, 2023 | mlb |
Tigers
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.13 | 53.6% | 0.142 | 0.63u | Lost | -0.63u |
| Jul 27, 2023 | mlb |
White Sox
Guardians
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 58.6% | 0.119 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Jul 26, 2023 | mlb |
White Sox
Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.43 | 58.6% | 0.424 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 26, 2023 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.44 | 58.6% | 0.430 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 26, 2023 | mlb |
Phillies
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 53.6% | 0.286 | 1.02u | Won | +1.43u |
| Jul 25, 2023 | mlb |
Astros
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 55.0% | 0.238 | 0.95u | Won | +1.19u |
| Jul 25, 2023 | mlb |
Nationals
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 43.0% | 0.362 | 0.60u | Won | +0.83u |
| Jul 25, 2023 | mlb |
Rays
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.43 | 43.0% | 0.385 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 24, 2023 | mlb |
Brewers
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.53 | 43.0% | 0.442 | 0.60u | Won | +0.92u |
| Jul 24, 2023 | mlb |
Guardians
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.48 | 0.0% | 1.480 | 1.20u | Won | +1.78u |
| Jul 23, 2023 | mlb |
Red Sox
Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.39 | 64.3% | 0.536 | 0.60u | Won | +0.83u |
| Jul 23, 2023 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.45 | 64.3% | 0.575 | 1.20u | Won | +1.74u |
| Jul 23, 2023 | mlb |
Reds
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.98 | 55.3% | 0.647 | 1.20u | Won | +2.38u |
| Jul 23, 2023 | mlb |
Marlins
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.83 | 54.7% | 0.549 | 0.60u | Won | +1.10u |
| Jul 22, 2023 | mlb |
Yankees
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 55.0% | 0.458 | 0.60u | Won | +0.99u |
| Jul 22, 2023 | mlb |
Angels
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.67 | 55.0% | 0.469 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 22, 2023 | mlb |
Rays
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 43.0% | 0.345 | 1.20u | Won | +1.63u |
| Jul 22, 2023 | mlb |
Mariners
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 43.0% | 0.340 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 21, 2023 | mlb |
Reds
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.61 | 43.0% | 0.488 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 21, 2023 | mlb |
Tigers
Padres
|
Home cover | home | 2.33 | 64.3% | 0.498 | 1.20u | Won | +1.60u |
| Jul 21, 2023 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.39 | 55.0% | 0.315 | 0.60u | Won | +0.83u |
| Jul 21, 2023 | mlb |
Nationals
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.97 | 55.0% | 0.634 | 1.20u | Won | +2.36u |
| Jul 20, 2023 | mlb |
Reds
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.16 | 55.0% | 0.189 | 0.60u | Won | +0.70u |
| Jul 20, 2023 | mlb |
Braves
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.82 | 54.3% | 0.533 | 1.20u | Won | +2.18u |
| Jul 20, 2023 | mlb |
Mariners
Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.63 | 64.3% | 0.691 | 1.20u | Won | +1.96u |
| Jul 20, 2023 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Padres
|
Home cover | home | 2.20 | 64.3% | 0.414 | 0.60u | Won | +0.72u |
| Jul 19, 2023 | mlb |
Athletics
Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 1.89 | 100.0% | 0.893 | 1.20u | Won | +1.07u |
| Jul 19, 2023 | mlb |
Mariners
Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.34 | 64.3% | 0.504 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 19, 2023 | mlb |
Athletics
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.34 | 55.0% | 0.288 | 0.60u | Won | +0.80u |
| Jul 19, 2023 | mlb |
Orioles
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.90 | 55.3% | 0.602 | 1.20u | Won | +2.28u |
| Jul 18, 2023 | mlb |
Angels
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.60 | 55.3% | 0.437 | 0.60u | Won | +0.96u |
| Jul 18, 2023 | mlb |
Rangers
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.80 | 54.3% | 0.522 | 1.20u | Won | +2.16u |
| Jul 18, 2023 | mlb |
Phillies
Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.54 | 64.3% | 0.633 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 18, 2023 | mlb |
Cubs
Nationals
|
Home cover | home | 2.07 | 64.3% | 0.331 | 0.60u | Won | +0.64u |
| Jul 17, 2023 | mlb |
Orioles
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.47 | 43.0% | 0.408 | 0.60u | Won | +0.88u |
| Jul 17, 2023 | mlb |
Pirates
Guardians
|
Home cover | home | 2.45 | 64.3% | 0.575 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 17, 2023 | mlb |
Reds
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 55.0% | 0.376 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 17, 2023 | mlb |
Angels
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.34 | 54.0% | 0.264 | 0.60u | Won | +0.80u |
| Jul 16, 2023 | mlb |
Pirates
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.83 | 55.0% | 0.558 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.