Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 16, 2026 2:35 PM EDT
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Washington Nationals
St. Louis Cardinals
Opposing
Odds
2.08
Prob
33.2%
EV/u
0.329
Stake
1.11u
Won
+1.20u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Baltimore Orioles
Primary
Odds
1.78
Prob
59.6%
EV/u
0.132
Stake
0.68u
Won
+0.53u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
Primary
Odds
2.17
Prob
59.9%
EV/u
0.179
Stake
0.76u
Lost
-0.76u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Detroit Tigers
San Diego Padres
Opposing
Odds
1.83
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.57u
Won
+0.47u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Cleveland Guardians
Opposing
Odds
2.16
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
Opposing
Odds
2.12
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.156
Stake
0.69u
Lost
-0.69u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Pittsburgh Pirates
Opposing
Odds
2.25
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.076
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
Opposing
Odds
1.81
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.112
Stake
0.56u
Lost
-0.56u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Pittsburgh Pirates
Opposing
Odds
2.33
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.080
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.40u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
Opposing
Odds
1.74
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.115
Stake
0.62u
Won
+0.46u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Philadelphia Phillies
Opposing
Odds
1.93
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.59u
Won
+0.55u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Tampa Bay Rays
Opposing
Odds
1.95
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.55u
Won
+0.52u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
Opposing
Odds
1.79
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.72u
Won
+0.57u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Toronto Blue Jays
Opposing
Odds
1.88
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.149
Stake
0.68u
Won
+0.60u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Mets
Texas Rangers
Opposing
Odds
2.00
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.67u
Won
+0.67u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Baltimore Orioles
Opposing
Odds
2.07
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.139
Stake
0.65u
Lost
-0.65u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Detroit Tigers
Primary
Odds
2.33
Prob
55.8%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.45u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Colorado Rockies
Primary
Odds
1.92
Prob
63.3%
EV/u
0.224
Stake
0.98u
Won
+0.90u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
Primary
Odds
1.98
Prob
67.2%
EV/u
0.315
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.18u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers
Primary
Odds
1.88
Prob
64.8%
EV/u
0.246
Stake
1.12u
Won
+0.98u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
Primary
Odds
2.27
Prob
55.8%
EV/u
0.089
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.44u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Mets
Milwaukee Brewers
Primary
Odds
2.16
Prob
64.8%
EV/u
0.295
Stake
1.27u
Won
+1.47u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Washington Nationals
Milwaukee Brewers
Primary
Odds
1.87
Prob
64.8%
EV/u
0.244
Stake
0.92u
Won
+0.80u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Oakland Athletics
Primary
Odds
2.10
Prob
64.8%
EV/u
0.288
Stake
1.08u
Won
+1.19u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Los Angeles Dodgers
Primary
Odds
1.97
Prob
64.8%
EV/u
0.264
Stake
1.09u
Lost
-1.09u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Minnesota Twins
New York Yankees
Primary
Odds
1.89
Prob
64.8%
EV/u
0.247
Stake
0.91u
Won
+0.81u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Los Angeles Dodgers
Primary
Odds
2.00
Prob
64.8%
EV/u
0.268
Stake
1.09u
Lost
-1.09u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Cleveland Guardians
Primary
Odds
1.99
Prob
67.2%
EV/u
0.316
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.19u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Minnesota Twins
Primary
Odds
2.11
Prob
57.8%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.56u
Won
+0.62u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Houston Astros
Primary
Odds
2.32
Prob
55.3%
EV/u
0.079
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Tampa Bay Rays
Primary
Odds
2.29
Prob
55.9%
EV/u
0.094
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers
Primary
Odds
1.97
Prob
58.2%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.52u
Won
+0.50u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
Primary
Odds
2.06
Prob
58.3%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.64u
Won
+0.68u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
Primary
Odds
1.99
Prob
63.5%
EV/u
0.238
Stake
0.96u
Lost
-0.96u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Los Angeles Angels
Primary
Odds
1.81
Prob
59.5%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.67u
Lost
-0.67u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Chicago Cubs
Primary
Odds
1.86
Prob
68.5%
EV/u
0.310
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
Primary
Odds
1.94
Prob
59.2%
EV/u
0.143
Stake
0.61u
Won
+0.57u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Chicago Cubs
Primary
Odds
1.78
Prob
63.7%
EV/u
0.204
Stake
1.05u
Won
+0.81u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
Primary
Odds
1.86
Prob
62.7%
EV/u
0.202
Stake
0.94u
Lost
-0.94u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
Primary
Odds
1.78
Prob
59.3%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.65u
Won
+0.51u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
Primary
Odds
1.97
Prob
60.8%
EV/u
0.180
Stake
0.74u
Won
+0.72u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
Primary
Odds
2.16
Prob
56.7%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.52u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
Opposing
Odds
2.18
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.072
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Miami Marlins
Opposing
Odds
1.97
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.56u
Won
+0.54u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals
Opposing
Odds
2.02
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.137
Stake
0.67u
Won
+0.68u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
Primary
Odds
1.95
Prob
59.4%
EV/u
0.149
Stake
0.62u
Lost
-0.62u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Philadelphia Phillies
Primary
Odds
1.69
Prob
60.4%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.78u
Won
+0.54u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Texas Rangers
Primary
Odds
2.09
Prob
67.4%
EV/u
0.344
Stake
1.50u
Won
+1.64u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Texas Rangers
Primary
Odds
1.94
Prob
67.4%
EV/u
0.311
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Cleveland Indians
Primary
Odds
2.23
Prob
56.9%
EV/u
0.114
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.57u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Detroit Tigers
Opposing
Odds
1.89
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.184
Stake
0.82u
Lost
-0.82u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Indians
Opposing
Odds
1.81
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.154
Stake
0.76u
Won
+0.62u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Houston Astros
Opposing
Odds
2.00
Prob
36.8%
EV/u
0.234
Stake
1.17u
Lost
-1.17u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Miami Marlins
Baltimore Orioles
Opposing
Odds
1.66
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.114
Stake
0.69u
Won
+0.46u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Miami Marlins
Baltimore Orioles
Opposing
Odds
1.84
Prob
36.8%
EV/u
0.207
Stake
0.98u
Lost
-0.98u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
Opposing
Odds
1.73
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants
Opposing
Odds
1.79
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.186
Stake
0.94u
Won
+0.75u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Tampa Bay Rays
Opposing
Odds
1.60
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.149
Stake
1.00u
Lost
-1.00u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Tampa Bay Rays
Opposing
Odds
1.60
Prob
33.7%
EV/u
0.203
Stake
1.20u
Won
+0.71u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Atlanta Braves
Primary
Odds
2.17
Prob
68.8%
EV/u
0.391
Stake
1.50u
Won
+1.76u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers
Opposing
Odds
1.79
Prob
33.3%
EV/u
0.260
Stake
1.00u
Lost
-1.00u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Houston Astros
Opposing
Odds
1.67
Prob
20.0%
EV/u
0.423
Stake
1.00u
Won
+0.67u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Houston Astros
Tampa Bay Rays
Opposing
Odds
1.90
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.189
Stake
0.84u
Lost
-0.84u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers
Opposing
Odds
1.94
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.55u
Lost
-0.55u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Houston Astros
Tampa Bay Rays
Primary
Odds
2.07
Prob
57.8%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.59u
Won
+0.63u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Atlanta Braves
Opposing
Odds
1.64
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.69u
Won
+0.44u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Houston Astros
Opposing
Odds
1.79
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.130
Stake
0.66u
Lost
-0.66u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
Opposing
Odds
1.82
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.65u
Won
+0.53u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
Opposing
Odds
1.81
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.54u
Won
+0.44u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
Opposing
Odds
1.82
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.47u
Won
+0.39u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
Opposing
Odds
1.81
Prob
26.5%
EV/u
0.387
Stake
0.99u
Won
+0.80u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
Primary
Odds
2.02
Prob
57.8%
EV/u
0.122
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
Primary
Odds
2.03
Prob
57.8%
EV/u
0.123
Stake
0.60u
Won
+0.62u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
Opposing
Odds
1.58
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.70u
Lost
-0.70u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
Opposing
Odds
1.58
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.094
Stake
0.65u
Won
+0.38u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Yankees
Miami Marlins
Opposing
Odds
1.94
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.146
Stake
0.62u
Won
+0.58u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Cincinnati Reds
Opposing
Odds
1.67
Prob
18.2%
EV/u
0.445
Stake
1.20u
Won
+0.80u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Yankees
Miami Marlins
Primary
Odds
1.89
Prob
57.8%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Cincinnati Reds
Primary
Odds
2.25
Prob
57.8%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.55u
Won
+0.69u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Cincinnati Reds
Primary
Odds
2.25
Prob
57.8%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.55u
Lost
-0.55u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Yankees
Miami Marlins
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.139
Stake
0.64u
Lost
-0.64u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Angels
Primary
Odds
1.93
Prob
57.8%
EV/u
0.114
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.45u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Milwaukee Brewers
Primary
Odds
2.28
Prob
55.5%
EV/u
0.084
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals
Primary
Odds
2.17
Prob
56.3%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Milwaukee Brewers
Primary
Odds
2.28
Prob
55.3%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
Primary
Odds
2.25
Prob
56.6%
EV/u
0.110
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.55u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Houston Astros
Opposing
Odds
2.27
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.42u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago White Sox
Primary
Odds
2.24
Prob
56.5%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
Opposing
Odds
2.06
Prob
27.5%
EV/u
0.450
Stake
1.11u
Won
+1.18u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
Opposing
Odds
1.82
Prob
30.0%
EV/u
0.327
Stake
0.89u
Lost
-0.89u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
Opposing
Odds
2.11
Prob
31.0%
EV/u
0.385
Stake
1.50u
Lost
-1.50u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals
Opposing
Odds
1.94
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.123
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
Opposing
Odds
1.68
Prob
38.3%
EV/u
0.153
Stake
0.90u
Won
+0.61u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Detroit Tigers
Opposing
Odds
1.75
Prob
27.8%
EV/u
0.341
Stake
1.00u
Lost
-1.00u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
Opposing
Odds
1.78
Prob
30.7%
EV/u
0.303
Stake
1.00u
Won
+0.78u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Detroit Tigers
Opposing
Odds
1.75
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.175
Stake
0.87u
Lost
-0.87u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
Opposing
Odds
1.63
Prob
30.4%
EV/u
0.258
Stake
1.13u
Won
+0.71u
First5 result
mlb
Blue Jays
Rockies
draw
Odds
4.60
Prob
0.0%
EV/u
1.749
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
First5 result
mlb
Cardinals
Mets
draw
Odds
4.60
Prob
7.7%
EV/u
1.751
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
First5 result
mlb
Royals
Twins
draw
Odds
4.60
Prob
24.4%
EV/u
2.288
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.