Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 16, 2026 12:55 PM EDT
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Colorado Rockies
Primary
Odds
1.93
Prob
59.1%
EV/u
0.140
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.29u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Cleveland Guardians
Opposing
Odds
1.74
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.165
Stake
0.47u
Won
+0.35u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Cincinnati Reds
Primary
Odds
1.97
Prob
59.1%
EV/u
0.145
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.30u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Miami Marlins
Los Angeles Angels
Opposing
Odds
1.92
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.167
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.35u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Atlanta Braves
Opposing
Odds
1.98
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.119
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.25u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Texas Rangers
Opposing
Odds
1.92
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.114
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Diego Padres
St. Louis Cardinals
Primary
Odds
1.92
Prob
58.8%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.27u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
New York Yankees
Opposing
Odds
2.03
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.30u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Kansas City Royals
Opposing
Odds
1.82
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.20u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Colorado Rockies
Opposing
Odds
1.74
Prob
34.6%
EV/u
0.225
Stake
0.59u
Won
+0.43u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Cleveland Guardians
Primary
Odds
2.06
Prob
58.8%
EV/u
0.145
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Washington Nationals
Opposing
Odds
1.98
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
0.204
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.37u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
Primary
Odds
1.92
Prob
58.5%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.24u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Mets
Milwaukee Brewers
Primary
Odds
2.02
Prob
58.7%
EV/u
0.140
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.32u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Cleveland Guardians
Opposing
Odds
1.92
Prob
34.7%
EV/u
0.265
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Los Angeles Angels
Primary
Odds
1.89
Prob
58.9%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.24u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
Primary
Odds
1.99
Prob
58.9%
EV/u
0.141
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.26u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Los Angeles Angels
Primary
Odds
1.97
Prob
58.3%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.20u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
Opposing
Odds
1.81
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.17u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Miami Marlins
Pittsburgh Pirates
Primary
Odds
1.94
Prob
59.0%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
St. Louis Cardinals
Opposing
Odds
1.96
Prob
35.6%
EV/u
0.253
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.39u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
Opposing
Odds
1.89
Prob
34.5%
EV/u
0.259
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.41u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Washington Nationals
Opposing
Odds
2.14
Prob
35.9%
EV/u
0.274
Stake
0.47u
Won
+0.54u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Houston Astros
New York Yankees
Opposing
Odds
2.02
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.62u
Lost
-0.62u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Los Angeles Angels
Opposing
Odds
1.81
Prob
34.5%
EV/u
0.244
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
Opposing
Odds
2.00
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
Opposing
Odds
1.79
Prob
38.0%
EV/u
0.176
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.29u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Houston Astros
New York Yankees
Primary
Odds
1.87
Prob
59.1%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.22u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
St. Louis Cardinals
Primary
Odds
1.89
Prob
59.1%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.22u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
Opposing
Odds
1.75
Prob
37.8%
EV/u
0.175
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
Primary
Odds
1.89
Prob
58.7%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.58u
Won
+0.51u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
Primary
Odds
1.95
Prob
58.3%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.53u
Won
+0.50u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
Opposing
Odds
1.90
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.130
Stake
0.58u
Lost
-0.58u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Miami Marlins
Opposing
Odds
1.93
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.42u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago White Sox
San Diego Padres
Opposing
Odds
1.85
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Houston Astros
Opposing
Odds
1.95
Prob
36.8%
EV/u
0.214
Stake
0.74u
Won
+0.70u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
Opposing
Odds
1.81
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.35u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
Opposing
Odds
1.91
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.110
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
33.2%
EV/u
0.262
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.04u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
Opposing
Odds
1.77
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.083
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.33u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
Opposing
Odds
2.25
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.087
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Oakland Athletics
Opposing
Odds
1.83
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.51u
Won
+0.42u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Cincinnati Reds
Opposing
Odds
1.83
Prob
38.4%
EV/u
0.169
Stake
0.82u
Won
+0.68u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Chicago Cubs
Opposing
Odds
2.01
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.145
Stake
0.72u
Lost
-0.72u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
Primary
Odds
2.15
Prob
55.8%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
Opposing
Odds
2.15
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.32u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
Opposing
Odds
1.86
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.56u
Lost
-0.56u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Los Angeles Angels
Opposing
Odds
1.79
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.110
Stake
0.51u
Won
+0.40u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Miami Marlins
Milwaukee Brewers
Opposing
Odds
1.75
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.56u
Won
+0.42u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Baltimore Orioles
Opposing
Odds
1.83
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.091
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Yankees
Arizona Diamondbacks
Opposing
Odds
1.88
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.53u
Won
+0.46u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
Opposing
Odds
1.96
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.112
Stake
0.47u
Won
+0.45u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Detroit Tigers
Opposing
Odds
1.71
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.58u
Won
+0.50u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Minnesota Twins
Opposing
Odds
1.91
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.132
Stake
0.58u
Won
+0.53u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Houston Astros
Baltimore Orioles
Primary
Odds
1.80
Prob
60.8%
EV/u
0.139
Stake
0.61u
Won
+0.49u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Los Angeles Angels
Primary
Odds
1.91
Prob
62.7%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.77u
Won
+0.70u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Minnesota Twins
Primary
Odds
1.84
Prob
60.5%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.62u
Lost
-0.62u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Texas Rangers
Primary
Odds
1.91
Prob
58.9%
EV/u
0.112
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Mets
Cincinnati Reds
Primary
Odds
1.83
Prob
64.4%
EV/u
0.219
Stake
1.05u
Won
+0.88u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
Primary
Odds
2.05
Prob
58.4%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.60u
Won
+0.63u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
Primary
Odds
1.79
Prob
61.8%
EV/u
0.164
Stake
0.83u
Won
+0.66u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Washington Nationals
Primary
Odds
1.93
Prob
57.8%
EV/u
0.095
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
Primary
Odds
1.93
Prob
58.6%
EV/u
0.114
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
St. Louis Cardinals
Primary
Odds
1.80
Prob
60.6%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.72u
Lost
-0.72u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Tampa Bay Rays
Primary
Odds
2.18
Prob
62.8%
EV/u
0.239
Stake
1.00u
Won
+1.18u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Washington Nationals
Primary
Odds
1.87
Prob
58.1%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Chicago Cubs
Primary
Odds
1.67
Prob
58.7%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.54u
Won
+0.36u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Seattle Mariners
Primary
Odds
1.83
Prob
63.5%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.95u
Won
+0.79u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
Primary
Odds
1.74
Prob
65.0%
EV/u
0.207
Stake
1.13u
Won
+0.83u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
Primary
Odds
1.89
Prob
61.1%
EV/u
0.163
Stake
0.73u
Won
+0.65u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
Primary
Odds
1.91
Prob
57.7%
EV/u
0.098
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.39u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Miami Marlins
Los Angeles Dodgers
Primary
Odds
2.00
Prob
58.6%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.64u
Lost
-0.64u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Philadelphia Phillies
Primary
Odds
1.77
Prob
61.1%
EV/u
0.146
Stake
0.76u
Won
+0.58u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
Primary
Odds
1.90
Prob
58.1%
EV/u
0.103
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.41u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Mets
Seattle Mariners
Primary
Odds
2.00
Prob
58.9%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.67u
Lost
-0.67u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
Primary
Odds
1.98
Prob
59.3%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.55u
Lost
-0.55u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Toronto Blue Jays
Primary
Odds
1.65
Prob
64.6%
EV/u
0.177
Stake
1.10u
Lost
-1.10u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
San Diego Padres
Primary
Odds
1.84
Prob
57.9%
EV/u
0.099
Stake
0.47u
Won
+0.40u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Oakland Athletics
Primary
Odds
1.74
Prob
62.1%
EV/u
0.156
Stake
0.84u
Won
+0.62u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Oakland Athletics
Primary
Odds
1.87
Prob
57.9%
EV/u
0.099
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Los Angeles Dodgers
Primary
Odds
1.70
Prob
62.1%
EV/u
0.153
Stake
0.87u
Won
+0.61u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
Primary
Odds
1.94
Prob
60.1%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.63u
Won
+0.59u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
Primary
Odds
1.87
Prob
63.9%
EV/u
0.215
Stake
0.99u
Won
+0.86u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Kansas City Royals
Primary
Odds
1.83
Prob
63.9%
EV/u
0.209
Stake
1.00u
Won
+0.83u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Seattle Mariners
Primary
Odds
1.84
Prob
63.9%
EV/u
0.211
Stake
1.01u
Won
+0.85u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
Primary
Odds
1.67
Prob
63.9%
EV/u
0.170
Stake
1.02u
Won
+0.68u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies
Primary
Odds
1.77
Prob
63.9%
EV/u
0.191
Stake
0.99u
Lost
-0.99u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Diego Padres
Pittsburgh Pirates
Opposing
Odds
1.83
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.52u
Won
+0.43u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Miami Marlins
Opposing
Odds
1.72
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.57u
Won
+0.41u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Pittsburgh Pirates
Opposing
Odds
1.95
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Arizona Diamondbacks
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.155
Stake
0.71u
Won
+0.62u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Mets
Chicago White Sox
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.184
Stake
0.84u
Won
+0.73u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
San Francisco Giants
Opposing
Odds
2.00
Prob
31.7%
EV/u
0.317
Stake
1.50u
Lost
-1.50u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
Primary
Odds
1.77
Prob
61.0%
EV/u
0.140
Stake
0.73u
Lost
-0.73u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Minnesota Twins
Opposing
Odds
1.71
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.090
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.36u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Colorado Rockies
New York Yankees
Opposing
Odds
2.30
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
Opposing
Odds
1.80
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.64u
Won
+0.51u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Arizona Diamondbacks
Opposing
Odds
1.80
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.121
Stake
0.61u
Won
+0.49u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Boston Red Sox
Opposing
Odds
1.95
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.47u
Won
+0.45u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.