Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 10:47 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2025 | mlb |
Angels
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 1.80 | 65.6% | 0.180 | 1.13u | Won | +0.90u |
| Apr 23, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 62.6% | 0.502 | 1.20u | Won | +1.68u |
| Apr 23, 2025 | mlb |
Braves
Cardinals
|
Home win | away | 2.35 | 43.4% | 0.331 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 22, 2025 | mlb |
Marlins
Reds
|
Home win | away | 3.05 | 37.2% | 0.917 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 22, 2025 | mlb |
Braves
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 65.7% | 0.379 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 21, 2025 | mlb |
Marlins
Reds
|
Home win | away | 2.80 | 44.9% | 0.544 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 21, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 1.77 | 69.1% | 0.223 | 0.60u | Won | +0.46u |
| Apr 20, 2025 | mlb |
Cubs
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | away | 2.70 | 45.4% | 0.473 | 1.20u | Won | +2.04u |
| Apr 20, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 55.9% | 0.369 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 19, 2025 | mlb |
Brewers
Athletics
|
Home win | away | 3.70 | 42.7% | 1.122 | 1.20u | Won | +3.24u |
| Apr 19, 2025 | mlb |
Orioles
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 63.7% | 0.402 | 0.60u | Won | +0.72u |
| Apr 18, 2025 | mlb |
Angels
Giants
|
Home win | away | 2.45 | 44.2% | 0.368 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 18, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 69.4% | 0.562 | 1.20u | Won | +1.50u |
| Apr 17, 2025 | mlb |
Phillies
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 55.8% | 0.256 | 1.02u | Won | +1.28u |
| Apr 16, 2025 | mlb |
Marlins
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | away | 3.60 | 40.4% | 1.147 | 1.20u | Won | +3.12u |
| Apr 16, 2025 | mlb |
Pirates
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 58.2% | 0.309 | 0.60u | Won | +0.75u |
| Apr 15, 2025 | mlb |
Marlins
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 61.4% | 0.475 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 15, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 61.5% | 0.444 | 0.60u | Won | +0.81u |
| Apr 14, 2025 | mlb |
Dodgers
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 61.4% | 0.443 | 1.20u | Won | +1.62u |
| Apr 14, 2025 | mlb |
Yankees
Royals
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 61.4% | 0.200 | 0.60u | Won | +0.57u |
| Apr 13, 2025 | mlb |
Twins
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 3.05 | 61.4% | 0.874 | 1.20u | Won | +2.46u |
| Apr 13, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 61.5% | 0.475 | 0.60u | Won | +0.84u |
| Apr 12, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 61.5% | 0.445 | 0.60u | Won | +0.81u |
| Apr 12, 2025 | mlb |
Yankees
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 61.4% | 0.567 | 1.20u | Won | +1.86u |
| Apr 11, 2025 | mlb |
Guardians
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 61.4% | 0.444 | 1.20u | Won | +1.62u |
| Apr 11, 2025 | mlb |
Cardinals
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 61.5% | 0.260 | 0.60u | Won | +0.63u |
| Apr 10, 2025 | mlb |
Braves
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 1.87 | 61.4% | 0.149 | 0.65u | Won | +0.57u |
| Apr 10, 2025 | mlb |
Rockies
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 61.5% | 0.229 | 1.15u | Won | +1.15u |
| Apr 9, 2025 | mlb |
Royals
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 61.4% | 0.413 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 9, 2025 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 61.5% | 0.567 | 1.20u | Won | +1.86u |
| Apr 8, 2025 | mlb |
Tigers
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 61.5% | 0.567 | 1.20u | Won | +1.86u |
| Apr 8, 2025 | mlb |
Mariners
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 61.4% | 0.475 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 7, 2025 | mlb |
Cubs
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 61.5% | 0.537 | 1.20u | Won | +1.80u |
| Apr 7, 2025 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 61.5% | 0.414 | 0.60u | Won | +0.78u |
| Apr 6, 2025 | mlb |
Brewers
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 61.4% | 0.536 | 1.20u | Won | +1.80u |
| Apr 6, 2025 | mlb |
Angels
Guardians
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 61.4% | 0.473 | 0.60u | Won | +0.84u |
| Apr 5, 2025 | mlb |
Twins
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 61.4% | 0.475 | 1.20u | Won | +1.68u |
| Apr 5, 2025 | mlb |
Giants
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 61.4% | 0.413 | 0.60u | Won | +0.78u |
| Apr 4, 2025 | mlb |
Red Sox
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 61.4% | 0.444 | 0.60u | Won | +0.81u |
| Apr 4, 2025 | mlb |
Royals
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 61.3% | 0.534 | 1.20u | Won | +1.80u |
| Apr 3, 2025 | mlb |
Yankees
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 1.83 | 61.5% | 0.127 | 0.76u | Won | +0.63u |
| Apr 2, 2025 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.80 | 61.5% | 0.721 | 1.20u | Won | +2.16u |
| Apr 2, 2025 | mlb |
Orioles
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.60 | 61.5% | 0.599 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 1, 2025 | mlb |
Rays
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 66.6% | 0.432 | 0.60u | Won | +0.69u |
| Apr 1, 2025 | mlb |
Yankees
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 64.9% | 0.558 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 1, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 59.8% | 0.405 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 1, 2025 | mlb |
Athletics
Cubs
|
Home win | away | 2.05 | 20.0% | 0.640 | 0.60u | Won | +0.63u |
| Mar 31, 2025 | mlb |
Mariners
Tigers
|
Home win | away | 2.75 | 42.0% | 0.595 | 1.20u | Won | +2.10u |
| Mar 31, 2025 | mlb |
Dodgers
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.60 | 60.5% | 0.573 | 0.60u | Won | +0.96u |
| Mar 31, 2025 | mlb |
Athletics
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.60 | 58.8% | 0.528 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Mar 31, 2025 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 1.77 | 100.0% | 0.769 | 0.60u | Won | +0.46u |
| Mar 30, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 71.9% | 0.547 | 1.20u | Won | +1.38u |
| Mar 30, 2025 | mlb |
Yankees
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 71.9% | 0.475 | 0.60u | Won | +0.63u |
| Mar 29, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 60.3% | 0.417 | 1.20u | Won | +1.62u |
| Mar 29, 2025 | mlb |
White Sox
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 60.3% | 0.386 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Mar 29, 2025 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Orioles
|
Home win | away | 2.05 | 20.0% | 0.640 | 1.20u | Won | +1.26u |
| Mar 28, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Braves
|
Home win | away | 2.60 | 45.0% | 0.430 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Mar 28, 2025 | mlb |
Marlins
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 60.5% | 0.331 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Mar 28, 2025 | mlb |
Mariners
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 1.83 | 60.7% | 0.113 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Mar 27, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 58.7% | 0.350 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Mar 27, 2025 | mlb |
Dodgers
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 60.3% | 0.447 | 1.20u | Won | +1.68u |
| Mar 27, 2025 | mlb |
White Sox
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 66.7% | 0.367 | 0.60u | Won | +0.63u |
| Mar 19, 2025 | mlb |
Cubs
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 58.7% | 0.321 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Mar 18, 2025 | mlb |
Cubs
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 58.7% | 0.262 | 1.14u | Lost | -1.14u |
| Oct 19, 2024 | mlb |
Guardians
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 57.5% | 0.235 | 1.02u | Lost | -1.02u |
| Oct 18, 2024 | mlb |
Guardians
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 57.5% | 0.149 | 0.75u | Lost | -0.75u |
| Oct 18, 2024 | mlb |
Mets
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 57.2% | 0.144 | 0.72u | Won | +0.72u |
| Oct 17, 2024 | mlb |
Guardians
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 57.5% | 0.235 | 1.02u | Won | +1.17u |
| Oct 16, 2024 | mlb |
Mets
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 57.5% | 0.122 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Oct 10, 2024 | mlb |
Royals
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 52.9% | 0.190 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| Oct 1, 2024 | mlb |
Brewers
Mets
|
Home win | away | 2.25 | 47.6% | 0.180 | 0.62u | Won | +0.78u |
| Oct 1, 2024 | mlb |
Orioles
Royals
|
Home win | away | 2.65 | 47.6% | 0.390 | 1.18u | Won | +1.95u |
| Sep 30, 2024 | mlb |
Braves
Mets
|
Home win | away | 3.40 | 47.6% | 0.783 | 1.20u | Won | +2.88u |
| Sep 30, 2024 | mlb |
Braves
Mets
|
Home win | away | 2.30 | 47.6% | 0.206 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 29, 2024 | mlb |
Twins
Orioles
|
Home win | away | 2.75 | 47.6% | 0.442 | 0.60u | Won | +1.05u |
| Sep 29, 2024 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
Home win | away | 3.00 | 47.6% | 0.573 | 1.20u | Won | +2.40u |
| Sep 28, 2024 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
Home win | away | 2.95 | 47.6% | 0.547 | 1.20u | Won | +2.34u |
| Sep 28, 2024 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
Home win | away | 2.85 | 47.6% | 0.495 | 0.60u | Won | +1.11u |
| Sep 27, 2024 | mlb |
Braves
Royals
|
Home win | away | 2.75 | 47.6% | 0.442 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 27, 2024 | mlb |
Twins
Orioles
|
Home win | away | 2.80 | 47.6% | 0.468 | 1.20u | Won | +2.16u |
| Sep 26, 2024 | mlb |
White Sox
Angels
|
Home win | away | 2.45 | 47.6% | 0.285 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 26, 2024 | mlb |
Athletics
Rangers
|
Home win | away | 3.15 | 47.6% | 0.652 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 25, 2024 | mlb |
Athletics
Rangers
|
Home win | away | 2.80 | 47.6% | 0.468 | 0.60u | Won | +1.08u |
| Sep 25, 2024 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home win | away | 3.15 | 47.6% | 0.652 | 1.20u | Won | +2.58u |
| Sep 24, 2024 | mlb |
Nationals
Royals
|
Home win | away | 2.60 | 47.6% | 0.363 | 0.60u | Won | +0.96u |
| Sep 24, 2024 | mlb |
Rockies
Cardinals
|
Home win | away | 3.10 | 47.5% | 0.626 | 1.20u | Won | +2.52u |
| Sep 23, 2024 | mlb |
Phillies
Cubs
|
Home win | away | 2.60 | 47.6% | 0.363 | 1.14u | Lost | -1.14u |
| Sep 23, 2024 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Giants
|
Home win | away | 2.55 | 47.6% | 0.337 | 0.66u | Won | +1.02u |
| Sep 22, 2024 | mlb |
Royals
Giants
|
Home win | away | 4.00 | 47.6% | 1.098 | 1.20u | Won | +3.60u |
| Sep 22, 2024 | mlb |
Rays
Blue Jays
|
Home win | away | 3.80 | 47.6% | 0.993 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 21, 2024 | mlb |
Cubs
Nationals
|
Home win | away | 3.55 | 47.6% | 0.862 | 1.20u | Won | +3.06u |
| Sep 21, 2024 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
Home win | away | 3.30 | 47.6% | 0.731 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 20, 2024 | mlb |
Brewers
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | away | 3.40 | 47.6% | 0.783 | 1.20u | Won | +2.88u |
| Sep 20, 2024 | mlb |
Padres
White Sox
|
Home win | away | 3.25 | 47.6% | 0.704 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 19, 2024 | mlb |
Reds
Braves
|
Home win | away | 2.50 | 47.6% | 0.311 | 0.60u | Won | +0.90u |
| Sep 19, 2024 | mlb |
Marlins
Dodgers
|
Home win | away | 3.40 | 47.6% | 0.783 | 1.20u | Won | +2.88u |
| Sep 18, 2024 | mlb |
Rockies
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | away | 2.65 | 47.6% | 0.390 | 1.18u | Won | +1.95u |
| Sep 18, 2024 | mlb |
Royals
Tigers
|
Home win | away | 2.50 | 47.6% | 0.311 | 0.62u | Won | +0.93u |
| Sep 17, 2024 | mlb |
Royals
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 61.3% | 0.318 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 17, 2024 | mlb |
Mets
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.95 | 53.7% | 0.585 | 1.20u | Won | +2.34u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.