Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 16, 2026 12:55 PM EDT
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
Primary
Odds
2.24
Prob
62.6%
EV/u
0.219
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Cleveland Guardians
Primary
Odds
2.13
Prob
61.8%
EV/u
0.218
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Detroit Tigers
Primary
Odds
2.10
Prob
68.5%
EV/u
0.354
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.55u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
Primary
Odds
1.83
Prob
62.4%
EV/u
0.182
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.24u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
Primary
Odds
2.00
Prob
67.6%
EV/u
0.318
Stake
1.50u
Won
+1.50u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
Primary
Odds
2.33
Prob
55.3%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Yankees
San Francisco Giants
Primary
Odds
2.23
Prob
71.0%
EV/u
0.440
Stake
0.92u
Won
+1.13u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Cleveland Guardians
Primary
Odds
2.20
Prob
69.5%
EV/u
0.407
Stake
0.92u
Lost
-0.92u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Houston Astros
Philadelphia Phillies
Primary
Odds
2.35
Prob
55.1%
EV/u
0.075
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.38u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Houston Astros
Philadelphia Phillies
Primary
Odds
2.35
Prob
55.1%
EV/u
0.075
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Houston Astros
New York Yankees
Primary
Odds
2.22
Prob
55.1%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Diego Padres
Philadelphia Phillies
Primary
Odds
2.27
Prob
55.1%
EV/u
0.072
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants
Opposing
Odds
1.75
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.099
Stake
0.53u
Won
+0.40u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Houston Astros
Tampa Bay Rays
Primary
Odds
2.27
Prob
57.1%
EV/u
0.121
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Houston Astros
Tampa Bay Rays
Primary
Odds
2.23
Prob
55.8%
EV/u
0.089
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.44u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.58u
Lost
-0.58u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
Primary
Odds
1.89
Prob
60.5%
EV/u
0.163
Stake
0.74u
Won
+0.65u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
Primary
Odds
1.97
Prob
58.2%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
Primary
Odds
1.70
Prob
59.6%
EV/u
0.122
Stake
0.69u
Won
+0.49u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Toronto Blue Jays
Opposing
Odds
1.96
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Yankees
Pittsburgh Pirates
Opposing
Odds
1.86
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.158
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.27u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
Opposing
Odds
2.01
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.184
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.39u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians
Opposing
Odds
1.75
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.26u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Boston Red Sox
Opposing
Odds
2.12
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.195
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.41u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
Opposing
Odds
1.71
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.143
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.24u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
Opposing
Odds
1.71
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.119
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.22u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
Opposing
Odds
1.95
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.177
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
Opposing
Odds
1.79
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets
Opposing
Odds
1.60
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.18u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Houston Astros
Opposing
Odds
1.65
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Miami Marlins
Chicago Cubs
Opposing
Odds
1.64
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.107
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.20u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Texas Rangers
Opposing
Odds
1.65
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.23u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Mets
Pittsburgh Pirates
Opposing
Odds
1.71
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.169
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Minnesota Twins
Opposing
Odds
1.89
Prob
36.8%
EV/u
0.216
Stake
0.51u
Won
+0.46u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Colorado Rockies
Opposing
Odds
1.98
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.147
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
Opposing
Odds
1.84
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.28u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
Opposing
Odds
1.74
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.122
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds
Opposing
Odds
1.90
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.47u
Won
+0.42u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Texas Rangers
Opposing
Odds
1.67
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
Opposing
Odds
1.68
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.51u
Won
+0.34u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
Opposing
Odds
1.96
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.178
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Mets
Pittsburgh Pirates
Opposing
Odds
1.75
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.33u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
Opposing
Odds
1.79
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.155
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.35u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
New York Yankees
Opposing
Odds
1.81
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Minnesota Twins
Opposing
Odds
1.78
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.27u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
Opposing
Odds
1.74
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.122
Stake
0.66u
Won
+0.49u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Seattle Mariners
San Diego Padres
Opposing
Odds
1.76
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.124
Stake
0.65u
Lost
-0.65u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Atlanta Braves
Opposing
Odds
1.75
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.66u
Won
+0.50u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Los Angeles Angels
Opposing
Odds
1.84
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.64u
Won
+0.54u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Los Angeles Angels
Opposing
Odds
1.96
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.38u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Colorado Rockies
Opposing
Odds
1.81
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
Opposing
Odds
1.76
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.153
Stake
0.52u
Won
+0.40u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Seattle Mariners
San Diego Padres
Opposing
Odds
1.73
Prob
36.8%
EV/u
0.186
Stake
0.66u
Won
+0.48u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
Opposing
Odds
1.95
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.147
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.44u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Houston Astros
Opposing
Odds
1.69
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.114
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Los Angeles Angels
Opposing
Odds
1.92
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.174
Stake
0.57u
Won
+0.52u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Mets
Chicago Cubs
Opposing
Odds
1.79
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.48u
Won
+0.38u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
Opposing
Odds
1.86
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.166
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
Opposing
Odds
1.74
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.122
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.28u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Texas Rangers
Toronto Blue Jays
Opposing
Odds
1.88
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.167
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
Opposing
Odds
1.94
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
Opposing
Odds
1.75
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.123
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.28u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago Cubs
San Francisco Giants
Opposing
Odds
1.71
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
Opposing
Odds
1.79
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.155
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.34u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
Opposing
Odds
1.67
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
Opposing
Odds
1.94
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.145
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Chicago White Sox
Opposing
Odds
1.69
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.141
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.31u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
Opposing
Odds
1.82
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.29u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
Opposing
Odds
1.94
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.141
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.32u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
Opposing
Odds
2.03
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.156
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Chicago White Sox
Opposing
Odds
1.67
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.114
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
Opposing
Odds
1.95
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.209
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.48u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Washington Nationals
Opposing
Odds
1.78
Prob
36.8%
EV/u
0.196
Stake
1.01u
Lost
-1.01u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
Opposing
Odds
1.66
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.137
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.25u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
Opposing
Odds
1.79
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.156
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.28u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Guardians
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.24u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Milwaukee Brewers
Opposing
Odds
2.22
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.45u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
Opposing
Odds
1.86
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.165
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.30u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Detroit Tigers
Opposing
Odds
1.97
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.27u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
Opposing
Odds
1.66
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.137
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.23u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
Opposing
Odds
1.81
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
Opposing
Odds
1.92
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.145
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.25u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Washington Nationals
Opposing
Odds
1.81
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.23u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
Opposing
Odds
1.79
Prob
36.8%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Chicago White Sox
Opposing
Odds
1.74
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.147
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.25u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
Opposing
Odds
1.81
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.132
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Washington Nationals
Opposing
Odds
1.88
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.198
Stake
0.63u
Won
+0.55u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Milwaukee Brewers
Opposing
Odds
2.28
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.177
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Detroit Tigers
Opposing
Odds
1.92
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.141
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Texas Rangers
Opposing
Odds
2.03
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.187
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Seattle Mariners
Opposing
Odds
1.77
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Milwaukee Brewers
Opposing
Odds
1.75
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.123
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.21u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
Opposing
Odds
1.74
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.147
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.25u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Colorado Rockies
Opposing
Odds
1.83
Prob
36.8%
EV/u
0.205
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.35u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
Opposing
Odds
1.73
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.122
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.21u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
Opposing
Odds
1.76
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Toronto Blue Jays
Opposing
Odds
1.86
Prob
36.8%
EV/u
0.211
Stake
0.51u
Won
+0.44u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Seattle Mariners
Opposing
Odds
1.81
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.132
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Philadelphia Phillies
Opposing
Odds
1.76
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.153
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.