Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 16, 2026 9:42 AM EDT
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Washington Nationals
Primary
Odds
1.69
Prob
60.8%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.56u
Won
+0.39u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
Opposing
Odds
2.20
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.056
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.22u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
Primary
Odds
1.83
Prob
58.3%
EV/u
0.094
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.28u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Athletics
Primary
Odds
1.82
Prob
60.5%
EV/u
0.139
Stake
0.52u
Won
+0.43u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Guardians
Primary
Odds
1.91
Prob
57.9%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.33u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Los Angeles Dodgers
Primary
Odds
2.33
Prob
59.8%
EV/u
0.179
Stake
0.59u
Lost
-0.59u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Los Angeles Angels
Primary
Odds
1.74
Prob
60.4%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.61u
Won
+0.45u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
Primary
Odds
1.95
Prob
58.8%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
Primary
Odds
1.87
Prob
57.9%
EV/u
0.088
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.35u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Diego Padres
Baltimore Orioles
Primary
Odds
1.87
Prob
58.7%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.48u
Won
+0.42u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Texas Rangers
Primary
Odds
1.85
Prob
59.7%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.59u
Won
+0.50u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
Primary
Odds
1.85
Prob
59.0%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.53u
Won
+0.45u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Seattle Mariners
Primary
Odds
2.10
Prob
60.2%
EV/u
0.168
Stake
0.76u
Won
+0.84u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Los Angeles Angels
Primary
Odds
1.83
Prob
60.6%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.66u
Lost
-0.66u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Detroit Tigers
New York Mets
Primary
Odds
1.91
Prob
58.8%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.53u
Won
+0.48u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
Primary
Odds
1.65
Prob
59.5%
EV/u
0.095
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.23u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Athletics
Primary
Odds
2.00
Prob
60.6%
EV/u
0.154
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
Primary
Odds
1.83
Prob
59.3%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Detroit Tigers
New York Mets
Primary
Odds
1.83
Prob
60.5%
EV/u
0.145
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.35u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
Primary
Odds
1.83
Prob
59.9%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago White Sox
New York Yankees
Primary
Odds
1.83
Prob
58.4%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.23u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Washington Nationals
Tampa Bay Rays
Primary
Odds
1.83
Prob
60.2%
EV/u
0.140
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
Primary
Odds
1.83
Prob
60.6%
EV/u
0.137
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.30u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Seattle Mariners
Primary
Odds
1.89
Prob
60.5%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Pittsburgh Pirates
Primary
Odds
1.91
Prob
60.5%
EV/u
0.147
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
Primary
Odds
1.93
Prob
59.0%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.28u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Athletics
Texas Rangers
Primary
Odds
1.69
Prob
58.3%
EV/u
0.089
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Baltimore Orioles
Primary
Odds
2.00
Prob
59.2%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.55u
Won
+0.55u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
Primary
Odds
1.83
Prob
57.8%
EV/u
0.095
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
Primary
Odds
2.10
Prob
60.5%
EV/u
0.174
Stake
0.65u
Lost
-0.65u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Baltimore Orioles
Primary
Odds
2.00
Prob
59.6%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.40u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
Primary
Odds
2.00
Prob
58.3%
EV/u
0.112
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.30u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Milwaukee Brewers
Primary
Odds
2.10
Prob
59.3%
EV/u
0.147
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Seattle Mariners
Primary
Odds
1.96
Prob
59.2%
EV/u
0.132
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.29u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
Primary
Odds
1.83
Prob
59.1%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.23u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago White Sox
New York Yankees
Primary
Odds
1.91
Prob
60.7%
EV/u
0.149
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.33u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
Primary
Odds
1.87
Prob
59.5%
EV/u
0.115
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.40u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Arizona Diamondbacks
Primary
Odds
1.91
Prob
58.7%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.36u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
Primary
Odds
1.90
Prob
60.8%
EV/u
0.155
Stake
0.59u
Won
+0.53u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Houston Astros
Colorado Rockies
Primary
Odds
1.83
Prob
60.4%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.55u
Won
+0.46u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
Primary
Odds
1.95
Prob
60.4%
EV/u
0.153
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.32u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Tampa Bay Rays
Primary
Odds
1.97
Prob
59.1%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
Primary
Odds
1.80
Prob
60.4%
EV/u
0.140
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.30u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Chicago Cubs
Primary
Odds
1.91
Prob
60.8%
EV/u
0.160
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.35u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Seattle Mariners
San Diego Padres
Primary
Odds
1.95
Prob
58.9%
EV/u
0.132
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Houston Astros
Colorado Rockies
Primary
Odds
2.00
Prob
58.8%
EV/u
0.122
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.33u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Houston Astros
Colorado Rockies
Primary
Odds
1.95
Prob
58.1%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
Primary
Odds
1.89
Prob
58.5%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
Primary
Odds
1.95
Prob
58.7%
EV/u
0.114
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
Primary
Odds
1.91
Prob
58.2%
EV/u
0.098
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.35u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Cincinnati Reds
Primary
Odds
1.77
Prob
57.7%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.29u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Seattle Mariners
San Diego Padres
Primary
Odds
1.95
Prob
58.1%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.26u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Cincinnati Reds
Primary
Odds
1.87
Prob
60.8%
EV/u
0.151
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
Primary
Odds
1.93
Prob
58.1%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.23u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
Primary
Odds
1.95
Prob
59.2%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.30u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Tampa Bay Rays
Primary
Odds
1.96
Prob
59.9%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
Primary
Odds
2.05
Prob
60.3%
EV/u
0.162
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Athletics
Primary
Odds
2.06
Prob
60.6%
EV/u
0.171
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.49u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Chicago Cubs
Primary
Odds
1.77
Prob
60.3%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.29u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
San Francisco Giants
Primary
Odds
1.87
Prob
60.5%
EV/u
0.139
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
Primary
Odds
1.71
Prob
60.7%
EV/u
0.121
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
Primary
Odds
1.74
Prob
60.5%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Cincinnati Reds
Primary
Odds
1.85
Prob
58.0%
EV/u
0.093
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.37u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
San Francisco Giants
Primary
Odds
2.15
Prob
60.0%
EV/u
0.163
Stake
0.71u
Lost
-0.71u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
Primary
Odds
1.74
Prob
60.4%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.68u
Lost
-0.68u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Athletics
Primary
Odds
1.96
Prob
59.1%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.26u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Houston Astros
Primary
Odds
1.80
Prob
60.7%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
Primary
Odds
1.81
Prob
61.4%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
St. Louis Cardinals
Primary
Odds
1.80
Prob
59.5%
EV/u
0.121
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.25u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
Primary
Odds
2.00
Prob
60.7%
EV/u
0.172
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.45u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Cincinnati Reds
Primary
Odds
1.83
Prob
59.2%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.23u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
Primary
Odds
2.00
Prob
60.4%
EV/u
0.157
Stake
0.78u
Won
+0.78u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
Opposing
Odds
2.30
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.088
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Athletics
Primary
Odds
1.81
Prob
58.9%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Chicago White Sox
Primary
Odds
1.88
Prob
58.7%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
Primary
Odds
1.94
Prob
58.8%
EV/u
0.119
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.28u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
Primary
Odds
1.83
Prob
60.8%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Seattle Mariners
Primary
Odds
1.83
Prob
60.4%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.32u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Toronto Blue Jays
Primary
Odds
1.95
Prob
60.3%
EV/u
0.147
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.35u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
Primary
Odds
2.15
Prob
56.9%
EV/u
0.090
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Toronto Blue Jays
Primary
Odds
2.25
Prob
55.8%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Miami Marlins
Primary
Odds
1.83
Prob
58.8%
EV/u
0.114
Stake
0.55u
Won
+0.46u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
Primary
Odds
1.63
Prob
59.2%
EV/u
0.076
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.31u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
Opposing
Odds
1.74
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Texas Rangers
Arizona Diamondbacks
Opposing
Odds
1.71
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.161
Stake
0.90u
Won
+0.64u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals
Opposing
Odds
1.95
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.53u
Won
+0.50u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Tampa Bay Rays
Primary
Odds
1.87
Prob
57.9%
EV/u
0.088
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.35u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
Opposing
Odds
1.91
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Tampa Bay Rays
Primary
Odds
2.00
Prob
58.8%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.57u
Won
+0.57u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
Opposing
Odds
1.70
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.55u
Won
+0.38u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Kansas City Royals
Primary
Odds
2.18
Prob
56.1%
EV/u
0.079
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Mets
Cleveland Guardians
Primary
Odds
1.95
Prob
58.5%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.47u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Tampa Bay Rays
Primary
Odds
1.90
Prob
59.8%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.59u
Won
+0.53u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Kansas City Royals
Opposing
Odds
1.80
Prob
36.0%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.98u
Won
+0.78u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Diego Padres
St. Louis Cardinals
Primary
Odds
1.80
Prob
58.1%
EV/u
0.089
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.35u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Miami Marlins
Opposing
Odds
1.95
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.137
Stake
0.51u
Won
+0.49u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Atlanta Braves
Opposing
Odds
2.03
Prob
36.6%
EV/u
0.226
Stake
0.98u
Won
+1.00u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
Opposing
Odds
1.91
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.132
Stake
0.52u
Won
+0.47u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Pittsburgh Pirates
Opposing
Odds
1.77
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.147
Stake
0.76u
Lost
-0.76u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Colorado Rockies
Opposing
Odds
1.95
Prob
38.0%
EV/u
0.190
Stake
0.80u
Won
+0.76u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.