Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 16, 2026 9:42 AM EDT
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Arizona Diamondbacks
Opposing
Odds
1.74
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.121
Stake
0.65u
Won
+0.48u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Texas Rangers
Atlanta Braves
Primary
Odds
1.80
Prob
58.6%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.48u
Won
+0.38u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
Opposing
Odds
1.83
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.084
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.33u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Toronto Blue Jays
Primary
Odds
2.20
Prob
56.2%
EV/u
0.079
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Washington Nationals
Cincinnati Reds
Opposing
Odds
1.91
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.160
Stake
0.70u
Won
+0.64u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Milwaukee Brewers
Opposing
Odds
1.61
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.076
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.30u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Minnesota Twins
Opposing
Odds
2.25
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.115
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.58u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Colorado Rockies
Opposing
Odds
2.15
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.060
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Arizona Diamondbacks
Opposing
Odds
1.91
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.204
Stake
0.90u
Lost
-0.90u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians
Opposing
Odds
1.77
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.183
Stake
0.95u
Won
+0.73u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
Opposing
Odds
1.93
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.40u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers
Opposing
Odds
1.81
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.54u
Won
+0.44u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Tampa Bay Rays
Opposing
Odds
1.79
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.59u
Lost
-0.59u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
Opposing
Odds
1.81
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.107
Stake
0.53u
Won
+0.43u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Angels
Opposing
Odds
1.92
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.123
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Athletics
Opposing
Odds
1.75
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.70u
Lost
-0.70u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
Opposing
Odds
1.69
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.077
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Seattle Mariners
Opposing
Odds
1.91
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.137
Stake
0.60u
Won
+0.55u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Toronto Blue Jays
Opposing
Odds
1.95
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.139
Stake
0.58u
Lost
-0.58u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Texas Rangers
Opposing
Odds
1.95
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.098
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.39u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
New York Yankees
Opposing
Odds
1.94
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.099
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.40u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Tampa Bay Rays
Opposing
Odds
1.83
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.53u
Won
+0.44u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Texas Rangers
Opposing
Odds
2.00
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.53u
Won
+0.53u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
Opposing
Odds
1.93
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.51u
Won
+0.47u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Washington Nationals
Opposing
Odds
2.00
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.41u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
Opposing
Odds
1.89
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.29u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
Opposing
Odds
2.25
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.36u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Seattle Mariners
Opposing
Odds
2.25
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.089
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Texas Rangers
Opposing
Odds
2.00
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.35u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.34u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Boston Red Sox
Primary
Odds
2.05
Prob
59.0%
EV/u
0.139
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.46u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Milwaukee Brewers
Opposing
Odds
2.15
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Texas Rangers
Opposing
Odds
1.83
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.32u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Chicago White Sox
Opposing
Odds
1.83
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Athletics
Cleveland Guardians
Primary
Odds
1.80
Prob
62.0%
EV/u
0.166
Stake
0.55u
Lost
-0.55u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Washington Nationals
Opposing
Odds
1.83
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Athletics
Cleveland Guardians
Opposing
Odds
1.95
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Diego Padres
Kansas City Royals
Opposing
Odds
1.83
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Texas Rangers
Primary
Odds
2.20
Prob
62.9%
EV/u
0.239
Stake
0.56u
Won
+0.67u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Detroit Tigers
Primary
Odds
2.00
Prob
58.5%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.32u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Chicago White Sox
Opposing
Odds
1.91
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.107
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Yankees
Los Angeles Angels
Primary
Odds
1.69
Prob
69.5%
EV/u
0.261
Stake
0.60u
Won
+0.41u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
Opposing
Odds
1.84
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.083
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.17u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Washington Nationals
Colorado Rockies
Opposing
Odds
2.05
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.147
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.37u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
Opposing
Odds
1.83
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.112
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.23u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Minnesota Twins
Opposing
Odds
2.00
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.122
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.24u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
Primary
Odds
2.08
Prob
61.5%
EV/u
0.189
Stake
0.88u
Won
+0.95u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
Opposing
Odds
2.10
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.112
Stake
0.51u
Won
+0.56u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.098
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.37u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago White Sox
St. Louis Cardinals
Opposing
Odds
1.98
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Athletics
Houston Astros
Opposing
Odds
2.18
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.090
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
Primary
Odds
1.74
Prob
61.2%
EV/u
0.141
Stake
0.72u
Won
+0.53u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Boston Red Sox
Primary
Odds
2.05
Prob
60.8%
EV/u
0.170
Stake
0.81u
Won
+0.85u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
Primary
Odds
1.82
Prob
61.1%
EV/u
0.149
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.30u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Cleveland Guardians
Opposing
Odds
1.83
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.119
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.24u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Toronto Blue Jays
Primary
Odds
2.20
Prob
59.2%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.36u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Colorado Rockies
Opposing
Odds
1.95
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.24u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Los Angeles Angels
Primary
Odds
1.95
Prob
60.9%
EV/u
0.164
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.33u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Mets
Tampa Bay Rays
Primary
Odds
1.95
Prob
62.8%
EV/u
0.208
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
Primary
Odds
1.95
Prob
63.9%
EV/u
0.225
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.43u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
Primary
Odds
1.76
Prob
58.4%
EV/u
0.093
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Cleveland Guardians
Primary
Odds
2.20
Prob
62.0%
EV/u
0.217
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.52u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
Opposing
Odds
1.69
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.090
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Houston Astros
Minnesota Twins
Primary
Odds
2.30
Prob
61.9%
EV/u
0.231
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Cincinnati Reds
Opposing
Odds
1.76
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.082
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.16u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
Primary
Odds
2.10
Prob
67.3%
EV/u
0.331
Stake
1.50u
Won
+1.65u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Houston Astros
Minnesota Twins
Primary
Odds
1.93
Prob
58.6%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.46u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
Opposing
Odds
2.20
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.121
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.60u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Houston Astros
Chicago White Sox
Opposing
Odds
1.71
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.115
Stake
0.64u
Won
+0.46u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.121
Stake
0.56u
Lost
-0.56u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Kansas City Royals
New York Yankees
Opposing
Odds
1.83
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.48u
Won
+0.40u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Seattle Mariners
Opposing
Odds
1.91
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.149
Stake
0.65u
Lost
-0.65u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Athletics
Primary
Odds
1.83
Prob
58.7%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
Primary
Odds
1.83
Prob
58.1%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Toronto Blue Jays
Primary
Odds
2.00
Prob
59.3%
EV/u
0.132
Stake
0.48u
Won
+0.48u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Houston Astros
Chicago White Sox
Opposing
Odds
1.71
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.47u
Won
+0.34u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Seattle Mariners
Opposing
Odds
2.05
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.112
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.40u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
Opposing
Odds
1.80
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.091
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.36u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Atlanta Braves
Primary
Odds
2.15
Prob
56.4%
EV/u
0.088
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.44u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Toronto Blue Jays
Primary
Odds
1.87
Prob
58.6%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
San Diego Padres
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.60u
Won
+0.52u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.093
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Athletics
Baltimore Orioles
Opposing
Odds
2.20
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.095
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
San Diego Padres
Primary
Odds
1.95
Prob
58.0%
EV/u
0.099
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Los Angeles Dodgers
Primary
Odds
1.95
Prob
58.9%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
Primary
Odds
2.15
Prob
56.6%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Los Angeles Dodgers
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.37u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.58u
Won
+0.50u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Athletics
Baltimore Orioles
Opposing
Odds
2.15
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.190
Stake
0.83u
Won
+0.95u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Houston Astros
Primary
Odds
2.18
Prob
56.0%
EV/u
0.077
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets
Opposing
Odds
2.05
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.139
Stake
0.66u
Won
+0.69u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
Opposing
Odds
1.66
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.088
Stake
0.54u
Won
+0.35u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Los Angeles Angels
Opposing
Odds
2.10
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
Primary
Odds
2.03
Prob
58.2%
EV/u
0.112
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.32u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Yankees
Cleveland Guardians
Opposing
Odds
1.91
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.140
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Athletics
Minnesota Twins
Opposing
Odds
2.08
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets
Opposing
Odds
2.10
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.098
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
Opposing
Odds
1.67
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Kansas City Royals
Opposing
Odds
1.91
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.114
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.