Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 16, 2026 11:30 AM EDT
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets
Primary
Odds
1.80
Prob
66.8%
EV/u
0.257
Stake
0.63u
Won
+0.50u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Philadelphia Phillies
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Miami Marlins
Colorado Rockies
Primary
Odds
1.91
Prob
58.3%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Yankees
Cleveland Guardians
Opposing
Odds
1.80
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.22u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Athletics
Minnesota Twins
Opposing
Odds
2.00
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
Opposing
Odds
1.70
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.087
Stake
0.47u
Won
+0.33u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets
Opposing
Odds
2.05
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.64u
Lost
-0.64u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
Opposing
Odds
1.83
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Miami Marlins
Colorado Rockies
Opposing
Odds
1.80
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.095
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Texas Rangers
St. Louis Cardinals
Opposing
Odds
1.77
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
Opposing
Odds
1.74
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.094
Stake
0.48u
Won
+0.36u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Los Angeles Angels
Opposing
Odds
1.86
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.42u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Mets
Colorado Rockies
Opposing
Odds
1.91
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.48u
Won
+0.44u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Washington Nationals
Primary
Odds
1.77
Prob
61.0%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.28u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Yankees
Opposing
Odds
2.04
Prob
39.0%
EV/u
0.179
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Houston Astros
Tampa Bay Rays
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.099
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Miami Marlins
San Francisco Giants
Primary
Odds
2.10
Prob
59.1%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Los Angeles Angels
Primary
Odds
2.03
Prob
65.4%
EV/u
0.276
Stake
0.67u
Lost
-0.67u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
Primary
Odds
1.93
Prob
59.0%
EV/u
0.122
Stake
0.53u
Won
+0.49u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
Primary
Odds
1.80
Prob
62.6%
EV/u
0.168
Stake
0.84u
Won
+0.67u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Miami Marlins
San Francisco Giants
Primary
Odds
1.91
Prob
59.3%
EV/u
0.124
Stake
0.55u
Won
+0.50u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Houston Astros
Tampa Bay Rays
Primary
Odds
1.91
Prob
61.0%
EV/u
0.157
Stake
0.69u
Won
+0.63u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Diego Padres
Miami Marlins
Primary
Odds
1.87
Prob
60.7%
EV/u
0.153
Stake
0.70u
Lost
-0.70u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Colorado Rockies
Opposing
Odds
1.77
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.114
Stake
0.59u
Lost
-0.59u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Washington Nationals
Opposing
Odds
2.18
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.32u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Atlanta Braves
Opposing
Odds
1.67
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.073
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.16u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Pittsburgh Pirates
Opposing
Odds
1.91
Prob
37.3%
EV/u
0.184
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Kansas City Royals
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
30.8%
EV/u
0.317
Stake
0.65u
Won
+0.57u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
Opposing
Odds
1.69
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.29u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Houston Astros
San Francisco Giants
Opposing
Odds
1.80
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.094
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.20u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Texas Rangers
Opposing
Odds
1.83
Prob
34.5%
EV/u
0.233
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Colorado Rockies
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.110
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.21u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
Opposing
Odds
1.83
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.112
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Houston Astros
San Francisco Giants
Opposing
Odds
1.80
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.20u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Washington Nationals
Opposing
Odds
1.85
Prob
37.3%
EV/u
0.182
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.34u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Los Angeles Angels
Opposing
Odds
1.83
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Texas Rangers
Boston Red Sox
Opposing
Odds
1.82
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.24u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Diego Padres
Atlanta Braves
Primary
Odds
1.95
Prob
63.6%
EV/u
0.215
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.44u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Chicago Cubs
Opposing
Odds
1.88
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.21u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Los Angeles Angels
Primary
Odds
1.89
Prob
63.6%
EV/u
0.215
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.44u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
San Francisco Giants
Opposing
Odds
1.78
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.21u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Colorado Rockies
Opposing
Odds
1.82
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Houston Astros
New York Mets
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.43u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
San Francisco Giants
Opposing
Odds
1.88
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.187
Stake
0.85u
Won
+0.75u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Colorado Rockies
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
33.1%
EV/u
0.291
Stake
0.53u
Won
+0.46u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Texas Rangers
Boston Red Sox
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.19u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Chicago Cubs
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
37.3%
EV/u
0.173
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.30u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Detroit Tigers
Opposing
Odds
1.76
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.163
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.29u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Houston Astros
New York Mets
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
33.1%
EV/u
0.291
Stake
0.53u
Won
+0.46u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Yankees
Milwaukee Brewers
Primary
Odds
2.00
Prob
64.0%
EV/u
0.262
Stake
0.91u
Won
+0.91u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
San Francisco Giants
Opposing
Odds
1.74
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Los Angeles Angels
Opposing
Odds
1.77
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.32u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Minnesota Twins
Opposing
Odds
1.74
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.086
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Yankees
Los Angeles Dodgers
Opposing
Odds
1.86
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Yankees
Opposing
Odds
1.88
Prob
37.3%
EV/u
0.203
Stake
0.93u
Won
+0.82u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
New York Yankees
Opposing
Odds
1.74
Prob
37.3%
EV/u
0.179
Stake
0.97u
Won
+0.72u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers
Opposing
Odds
1.86
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.54u
Won
+0.47u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Yankees
Cleveland Guardians
Primary
Odds
2.11
Prob
59.3%
EV/u
0.162
Stake
0.73u
Won
+0.81u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Yankees
Cleveland Guardians
Opposing
Odds
1.75
Prob
35.2%
EV/u
0.218
Stake
1.16u
Won
+0.87u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers
Opposing
Odds
1.51
Prob
31.7%
EV/u
0.202
Stake
1.20u
Won
+0.62u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
Opposing
Odds
1.59
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.68u
Lost
-0.68u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
Opposing
Odds
1.78
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.103
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers
Opposing
Odds
1.54
Prob
29.6%
EV/u
0.237
Stake
1.20u
Won
+0.65u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
Opposing
Odds
1.78
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.73u
Lost
-0.73u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
Opposing
Odds
1.88
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.165
Stake
0.75u
Won
+0.66u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Yankees
Kansas City Royals
Opposing
Odds
1.74
Prob
38.7%
EV/u
0.155
Stake
0.84u
Won
+0.62u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers
Primary
Odds
2.34
Prob
55.9%
EV/u
0.094
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.47u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Kansas City Royals
Opposing
Odds
1.68
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.098
Stake
0.58u
Lost
-0.58u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Diego Padres
Atlanta Braves
Opposing
Odds
1.73
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.58u
Lost
-0.58u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets
Opposing
Odds
1.65
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.212
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Baltimore Orioles
Opposing
Odds
1.77
Prob
37.0%
EV/u
0.175
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.23u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
Opposing
Odds
1.69
Prob
37.4%
EV/u
0.155
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.20u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
Opposing
Odds
2.20
Prob
37.4%
EV/u
0.226
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.37u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Kansas City Royals
Opposing
Odds
1.83
Prob
32.7%
EV/u
0.255
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
Opposing
Odds
1.74
Prob
35.6%
EV/u
0.196
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.26u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Miami Marlins
Opposing
Odds
1.74
Prob
34.4%
EV/u
0.207
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
Opposing
Odds
1.77
Prob
20.3%
EV/u
0.465
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.29u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
Opposing
Odds
2.00
Prob
38.7%
EV/u
0.173
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.27u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
Opposing
Odds
1.77
Prob
35.7%
EV/u
0.198
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.25u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
Opposing
Odds
1.71
Prob
33.6%
EV/u
0.224
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Yankees
Pittsburgh Pirates
Opposing
Odds
1.61
Prob
32.3%
EV/u
0.203
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.23u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
Opposing
Odds
2.15
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Houston Astros
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.140
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
28.4%
EV/u
0.362
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
Opposing
Odds
1.70
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.25u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Miami Marlins
Opposing
Odds
1.83
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.098
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Baltimore Orioles
Opposing
Odds
1.80
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.183
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.30u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
Opposing
Odds
1.80
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.25u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers
Opposing
Odds
1.76
Prob
31.2%
EV/u
0.278
Stake
0.63u
Won
+0.48u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Washington Nationals
Kansas City Royals
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
31.9%
EV/u
0.286
Stake
0.63u
Lost
-0.63u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
Primary
Odds
2.00
Prob
58.4%
EV/u
0.115
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Los Angeles Angels
Opposing
Odds
1.80
Prob
38.7%
EV/u
0.167
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.35u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Colorado Rockies
St. Louis Cardinals
Opposing
Odds
2.00
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.22u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers
Opposing
Odds
1.72
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.221
Stake
0.52u
Won
+0.37u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Cincinnati Reds
Primary
Odds
1.97
Prob
61.5%
EV/u
0.179
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.31u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Chicago Cubs
Opposing
Odds
1.82
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
0.189
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Los Angeles Angels
Opposing
Odds
1.71
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.098
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.17u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
Opposing
Odds
1.74
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
Opposing
Odds
1.86
Prob
34.7%
EV/u
0.237
Stake
1.11u
Lost
-1.11u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Colorado Rockies
St. Louis Cardinals
Opposing
Odds
2.08
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.152
Stake
0.70u
Won
+0.76u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.