Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 16, 2026 9:42 AM EDT
First 3 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.2%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
33.3%
EV/u
0.143
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.38
Prob
38.7%
EV/u
0.347
Stake
0.48u
Won
+1.14u
First 3 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.1%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.11u
Won
+0.31u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
30.1%
EV/u
0.213
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First 3 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
away
Odds
2.88
Prob
37.2%
EV/u
0.377
Stake
0.66u
Won
+1.24u
First 3 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Oakland Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.7%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.339
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.398
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
First 3 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.282
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 3 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Oakland Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
31.4%
EV/u
0.141
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
First 3 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
away
Odds
2.72
Prob
34.3%
EV/u
0.195
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.38u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
29.5%
EV/u
0.215
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 3 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
35.5%
EV/u
0.166
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
29.1%
EV/u
0.132
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 3 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
27.1%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
First 3 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.88
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.155
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.58u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.5%
EV/u
0.122
Stake
0.14u
Won
+0.39u
First 3 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.545
Stake
0.67u
Lost
-0.67u
First 3 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Chicago White Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
31.4%
EV/u
0.141
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
First 3 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
36.3%
EV/u
0.364
Stake
1.01u
Lost
-1.01u
First 3 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
30.3%
EV/u
0.132
Stake
0.16u
Won
+0.45u
First 3 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
39.0%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.5%
EV/u
0.110
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
First 3 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.5%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.13u
Won
+0.36u
First 3 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
35.6%
EV/u
0.093
Stake
0.08u
Won
+0.12u
First 3 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
36.0%
EV/u
0.233
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.414
Stake
0.54u
Won
+0.92u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
23.6%
EV/u
0.739
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 3 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.82
Prob
35.7%
EV/u
0.209
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 3 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
42.6%
EV/u
0.287
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.56u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.09
Prob
53.3%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
0.0%
EV/u
0.830
Stake
0.80u
Won
+2.24u
First 3 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.21
Prob
55.6%
EV/u
0.162
Stake
0.48u
Won
+0.58u
First 3 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.267
Stake
0.58u
Lost
-0.58u
First 3 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
0.264
Stake
0.74u
Lost
-0.74u
First 3 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.03
Prob
63.7%
EV/u
0.215
Stake
0.72u
Won
+0.74u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.29
Prob
55.2%
EV/u
0.191
Stake
0.53u
Won
+0.68u
First 3 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.231
Stake
0.55u
Won
+0.94u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 3 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.08u
Won
+0.22u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.28
Prob
53.3%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.67u
Lost
-0.67u
First 3 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.89
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.293
Stake
0.85u
Lost
-0.85u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
48.6%
EV/u
0.071
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.44u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.33
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.034
Stake
0.06u
Lost
-0.06u
First 3 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.3%
EV/u
0.119
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
39.0%
EV/u
0.151
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 3 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.31
Prob
53.7%
EV/u
0.171
Stake
0.47u
Won
+0.62u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.52
Prob
53.5%
EV/u
0.321
Stake
0.85u
Won
+1.29u
First 3 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.046
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 3 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
0.0%
EV/u
0.765
Stake
0.80u
Lost
-0.80u
First 3 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.256
Stake
0.59u
Won
+1.42u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.183
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
First 3 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
48.0%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 3 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
38.7%
EV/u
0.181
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
First 3 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
56.0%
EV/u
0.164
Stake
0.77u
Won
+0.92u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.201
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
First 3 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
1.92
Prob
61.2%
EV/u
0.114
Stake
0.57u
Lost
-0.57u
First 3 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.01
Prob
55.4%
EV/u
0.061
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
First 3 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.110
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 3 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.09
Prob
57.4%
EV/u
0.137
Stake
0.66u
Lost
-0.66u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.344
Stake
0.48u
Won
+1.25u
First 3 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
1.87
Prob
63.8%
EV/u
0.130
Stake
0.66u
Won
+0.57u
First 3 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.234
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
First 3 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.82
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.16u
Won
+0.29u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.156
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.88u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.56
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.033
Stake
0.15u
Won
+0.23u
First 3 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.168
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.88
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.077
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.47u
First 3 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.089
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 3 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.88
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.75u
First 3 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.73
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.122
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.82
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.156
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
First 3 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.274
Stake
0.75u
Won
+1.50u
First 3 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.58
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 3 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.76
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.177
Stake
0.56u
Lost
-0.56u
First 3 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.83
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.79u
First 3 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.88
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.076
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
First 3 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 3 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.64
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.165
Stake
0.56u
Won
+0.92u
First 3 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.58
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.62
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
First 3 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.83
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.098
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 3 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.53
Prob
42.6%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.38u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.73
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.040
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.88
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
First 3 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.59
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.031
Stake
0.14u
Won
+0.22u
First 3 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.140
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.80u
First 3 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
First 3 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.047
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.31u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.14
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.248
Stake
0.64u
Won
+1.37u
First 3 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.151
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.85u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.88
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.112
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 3 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.039
Stake
0.16u
Won
+0.26u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Mets
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.83
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
First 3 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.132
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.76u
First 3 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.09u
Won
+0.25u
First 3 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.