Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 16, 2026 11:30 AM EDT
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
Opposing
Odds
1.77
Prob
32.9%
EV/u
0.241
Stake
1.20u
Won
+0.92u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Kansas City Royals
San Francisco Giants
Primary
Odds
2.30
Prob
57.4%
EV/u
0.115
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Oakland Athletics
New York Yankees
Opposing
Odds
1.94
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.146
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Detroit Tigers
Opposing
Odds
1.83
Prob
33.8%
EV/u
0.252
Stake
0.48u
Won
+0.40u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Diego Padres
Chicago White Sox
Opposing
Odds
1.80
Prob
34.6%
EV/u
0.212
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.34u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
Primary
Odds
1.83
Prob
60.5%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.22u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
Opposing
Odds
1.75
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.184
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.30u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Diego Padres
Chicago White Sox
Opposing
Odds
1.83
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.157
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.26u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
Opposing
Odds
1.80
Prob
37.4%
EV/u
0.175
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Cleveland Guardians
Opposing
Odds
1.77
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.183
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.31u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
Opposing
Odds
1.85
Prob
38.9%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.24u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Washington Nationals
Primary
Odds
1.91
Prob
61.5%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Kansas City Royals
San Francisco Giants
Opposing
Odds
1.80
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.167
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
Opposing
Odds
1.71
Prob
27.8%
EV/u
0.319
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Diego Padres
Chicago White Sox
Opposing
Odds
1.67
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.65u
Won
+0.44u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
San Francisco Giants
Opposing
Odds
1.68
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.141
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.19u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
37.4%
EV/u
0.182
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Seattle Mariners
New York Yankees
Opposing
Odds
1.71
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.140
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
Opposing
Odds
1.76
Prob
29.9%
EV/u
0.293
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.30u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Miami Marlins
Los Angeles Dodgers
Opposing
Odds
1.77
Prob
34.1%
EV/u
0.223
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
Opposing
Odds
1.83
Prob
34.3%
EV/u
0.232
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.31u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Texas Rangers
Toronto Blue Jays
Opposing
Odds
1.80
Prob
35.5%
EV/u
0.199
Stake
0.63u
Won
+0.50u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Philadelphia Phillies
Opposing
Odds
1.74
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.151
Stake
0.51u
Won
+0.38u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Oakland Athletics
Opposing
Odds
1.71
Prob
38.9%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.48u
Won
+0.34u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Diego Padres
Houston Astros
Opposing
Odds
1.67
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.25u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
Opposing
Odds
1.80
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Diego Padres
Houston Astros
Opposing
Odds
1.68
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
0.140
Stake
0.64u
Won
+0.43u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
San Francisco Giants
Opposing
Odds
1.67
Prob
32.1%
EV/u
0.233
Stake
0.93u
Lost
-0.93u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Baltimore Orioles
Opposing
Odds
1.86
Prob
32.5%
EV/u
0.273
Stake
1.07u
Won
+0.92u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
Opposing
Odds
1.68
Prob
35.7%
EV/u
0.178
Stake
0.93u
Lost
-0.93u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
31.5%
EV/u
0.303
Stake
0.74u
Won
+0.64u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
St. Louis Cardinals
Opposing
Odds
1.80
Prob
35.7%
EV/u
0.211
Stake
0.65u
Won
+0.52u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Tampa Bay Rays
Opposing
Odds
1.77
Prob
35.4%
EV/u
0.193
Stake
0.62u
Won
+0.48u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Baltimore Orioles
Opposing
Odds
1.77
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Kansas City Royals
Opposing
Odds
1.83
Prob
32.4%
EV/u
0.269
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.00u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
Opposing
Odds
1.91
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.093
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds
Opposing
Odds
1.83
Prob
37.3%
EV/u
0.176
Stake
0.84u
Won
+0.70u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
Opposing
Odds
1.89
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Yankees
Kansas City Royals
Opposing
Odds
1.91
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.143
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.35u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
Opposing
Odds
1.95
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.223
Stake
0.58u
Lost
-0.58u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Texas Rangers
Opposing
Odds
1.76
Prob
34.8%
EV/u
0.206
Stake
0.67u
Lost
-0.67u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Mets
Opposing
Odds
1.94
Prob
35.1%
EV/u
0.245
Stake
1.04u
Won
+0.98u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Detroit Tigers
Opposing
Odds
1.83
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.093
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.38u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Mets
Cincinnati Reds
Opposing
Odds
1.91
Prob
35.6%
EV/u
0.223
Stake
0.98u
Won
+0.89u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
Opposing
Odds
1.71
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.094
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
Opposing
Odds
1.83
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
0.214
Stake
1.03u
Won
+0.86u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Guardians
Opposing
Odds
1.92
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.59u
Won
+0.54u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
Opposing
Odds
1.67
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.123
Stake
0.53u
Won
+0.36u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Minnesota Twins
Opposing
Odds
1.69
Prob
32.2%
EV/u
0.237
Stake
0.86u
Won
+0.59u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Mets
Boston Red Sox
Opposing
Odds
1.78
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.166
Stake
0.61u
Won
+0.47u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Texas Rangers
New York Yankees
Opposing
Odds
1.95
Prob
32.3%
EV/u
0.293
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.14u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Guardians
Opposing
Odds
1.77
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.70u
Won
+0.54u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
San Diego Padres
Opposing
Odds
1.63
Prob
32.6%
EV/u
0.217
Stake
1.00u
Won
+0.63u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
Opposing
Odds
2.00
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.107
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Houston Astros
Kansas City Royals
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.143
Stake
0.55u
Won
+0.48u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Miami Marlins
Opposing
Odds
1.77
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.173
Stake
0.86u
Won
+0.66u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
31.4%
EV/u
0.296
Stake
1.14u
Won
+0.99u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Baltimore Orioles
Opposing
Odds
2.25
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.169
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.61u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
36.8%
EV/u
0.193
Stake
0.64u
Lost
-0.64u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Toronto Blue Jays
Opposing
Odds
1.77
Prob
32.2%
EV/u
0.255
Stake
0.87u
Won
+0.67u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Houston Astros
Kansas City Royals
Opposing
Odds
1.74
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.090
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.34u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
San Francisco Giants
Opposing
Odds
1.84
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.200
Stake
0.90u
Won
+0.76u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Texas Rangers
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.145
Stake
0.64u
Won
+0.56u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
Opposing
Odds
1.69
Prob
32.6%
EV/u
0.229
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals
Opposing
Odds
2.00
Prob
37.2%
EV/u
0.211
Stake
0.53u
Won
+0.53u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
Opposing
Odds
1.95
Prob
33.1%
EV/u
0.281
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
San Francisco Giants
Opposing
Odds
1.76
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.20u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals
Opposing
Odds
1.91
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
0.196
Stake
0.86u
Lost
-0.86u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Miami Marlins
Opposing
Odds
2.05
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.211
Stake
1.00u
Won
+1.05u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Tampa Bay Rays
Opposing
Odds
1.94
Prob
34.4%
EV/u
0.264
Stake
0.81u
Won
+0.76u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
Opposing
Odds
1.83
Prob
35.2%
EV/u
0.216
Stake
0.75u
Lost
-0.75u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Minnesota Twins
St. Louis Cardinals
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Texas Rangers
Opposing
Odds
1.84
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.089
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
Opposing
Odds
1.87
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.151
Stake
0.69u
Lost
-0.69u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Yankees
Colorado Rockies
Opposing
Odds
1.85
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.37u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Washington Nationals
Colorado Rockies
Opposing
Odds
1.88
Prob
34.5%
EV/u
0.238
Stake
0.95u
Won
+0.84u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Houston Astros
Opposing
Odds
1.82
Prob
31.4%
EV/u
0.287
Stake
1.05u
Won
+0.86u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
Primary
Odds
1.87
Prob
61.4%
EV/u
0.164
Stake
0.75u
Won
+0.65u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Miami Marlins
Arizona Diamondbacks
Primary
Odds
1.89
Prob
59.3%
EV/u
0.122
Stake
0.55u
Lost
-0.55u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Mets
Baltimore Orioles
Primary
Odds
1.83
Prob
61.4%
EV/u
0.156
Stake
0.75u
Won
+0.63u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Diego Padres
Minnesota Twins
Primary
Odds
2.15
Prob
57.2%
EV/u
0.098
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.48u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Cleveland Guardians
Primary
Odds
1.87
Prob
61.4%
EV/u
0.158
Stake
0.73u
Won
+0.63u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
Primary
Odds
1.80
Prob
59.3%
EV/u
0.110
Stake
0.55u
Lost
-0.55u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
Primary
Odds
2.00
Prob
59.3%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.71u
Won
+0.71u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
Primary
Odds
1.74
Prob
59.3%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.57u
Lost
-0.57u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
Primary
Odds
1.87
Prob
59.3%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.53u
Won
+0.46u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Kansas City Royals
Primary
Odds
1.80
Prob
59.3%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.59u
Lost
-0.59u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Texas Rangers
Minnesota Twins
Primary
Odds
1.91
Prob
59.3%
EV/u
0.123
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
New York Mets
Oakland Athletics
Primary
Odds
1.91
Prob
59.3%
EV/u
0.130
Stake
0.57u
Lost
-0.57u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Seattle Mariners
Primary
Odds
1.95
Prob
61.4%
EV/u
0.166
Stake
0.70u
Won
+0.67u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Atlanta Braves
Primary
Odds
2.00
Prob
59.3%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.67u
Won
+0.67u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Diego Padres
Pittsburgh Pirates
Primary
Odds
1.98
Prob
59.3%
EV/u
0.130
Stake
0.52u
Won
+0.51u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Seattle Mariners
Primary
Odds
2.24
Prob
60.9%
EV/u
0.194
Stake
0.76u
Won
+0.94u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Toronto Blue Jays
Primary
Odds
1.87
Prob
61.4%
EV/u
0.161
Stake
0.72u
Won
+0.63u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers
Primary
Odds
1.95
Prob
59.3%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals
Primary
Odds
1.95
Prob
60.9%
EV/u
0.166
Stake
0.62u
Won
+0.59u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
Primary
Odds
1.83
Prob
59.3%
EV/u
0.123
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Atlanta Braves
Primary
Odds
2.30
Prob
57.2%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Pittsburgh Pirates
Primary
Odds
1.85
Prob
59.3%
EV/u
0.119
Stake
0.56u
Won
+0.48u
Nrfi yrfi
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
Primary
Odds
1.91
Prob
59.3%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.55u
Won
+0.50u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.