Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 16, 2026 8:53 AM EDT
First 3 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
1.87
Prob
18.3%
EV/u
0.257
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.33u
First 3 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.57
Prob
32.5%
EV/u
0.286
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.68u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.51
Prob
30.3%
EV/u
0.222
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.45u
First 3 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Cleveland Indians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.121
Stake
0.08u
Won
+0.22u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.175
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 3 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.31
Prob
29.4%
EV/u
0.061
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 3 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.3%
EV/u
0.143
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 3 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.18
Prob
54.7%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.65u
Won
+0.77u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
0.0%
EV/u
0.202
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.73u
First 3 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.084
Stake
0.13u
Won
+0.27u
First 3 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.28
Prob
32.8%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.63
Prob
30.3%
EV/u
0.280
Stake
0.58u
Won
+0.95u
First 3 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
62.9%
EV/u
0.186
Stake
0.62u
Won
+0.62u
First 3 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.4%
EV/u
0.062
Stake
0.05u
Lost
-0.05u
First 3 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.24
Prob
30.5%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.14u
Won
+0.17u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
0.0%
EV/u
0.251
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 3 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.4%
EV/u
0.201
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.121
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 3 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
31.7%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.56u
Lost
-0.56u
First 3 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.165
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 3 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.70
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 3 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.70
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.245
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 3 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.26
Prob
31.0%
EV/u
0.093
Stake
0.12u
Won
+0.15u
First 3 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
54.6%
EV/u
0.337
Stake
0.59u
Won
+0.89u
First 3 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
New York Mets
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
37.8%
EV/u
0.188
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 3 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
31.9%
EV/u
0.373
Stake
0.54u
Won
+0.97u
First 3 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
30.3%
EV/u
0.130
Stake
0.17u
Won
+0.24u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
30.7%
EV/u
0.806
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
New York Mets
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
31.0%
EV/u
0.040
Stake
0.06u
Won
+0.14u
First 3 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
54.8%
EV/u
0.071
Stake
0.19u
Won
+0.20u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.668
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
52.8%
EV/u
0.275
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 3 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Cincinnati Reds
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.0%
EV/u
0.090
Stake
0.09u
Won
+0.25u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.87
Prob
30.5%
EV/u
0.400
Stake
0.76u
Lost
-0.76u
First 3 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.275
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.67u
First 3 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
3.48
Prob
36.2%
EV/u
0.236
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.67u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.10u
Won
+0.28u
First 3 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.119
Stake
0.10u
Won
+0.28u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
New York Mets
away
Odds
3.23
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.250
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 3 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
0.0%
EV/u
0.296
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First 3 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.48
Prob
31.2%
EV/u
0.192
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.67u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Chicago White Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.168
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 3 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.38
Prob
54.1%
EV/u
0.212
Stake
0.54u
Won
+0.75u
First 3 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.41
Prob
30.3%
EV/u
0.132
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First 3 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.169
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.45
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.456
Stake
0.42u
Won
+1.03u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.580
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.90u
First 3 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
1.73
Prob
69.0%
EV/u
0.132
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.15u
First 3 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
30.6%
EV/u
0.228
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 3 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
29.7%
EV/u
0.399
Stake
0.47u
Won
+0.92u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Oakland Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.147
Stake
0.17u
Won
+0.48u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
4.55
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.498
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 3 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.9%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.11u
Won
+0.31u
First 3 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.33
Prob
30.6%
EV/u
0.110
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.33u
First 3 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.8%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.58
Prob
30.8%
EV/u
0.274
Stake
0.85u
Lost
-0.85u
First 3 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
30.5%
EV/u
0.606
Stake
0.76u
Lost
-0.76u
First 3 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.48
Prob
30.8%
EV/u
0.180
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.52u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.17
Prob
55.0%
EV/u
0.132
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
1.88
Prob
80.1%
EV/u
0.396
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.38u
First 3 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.42
Prob
31.3%
EV/u
0.169
Stake
0.65u
Won
+0.92u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.74u
First 3 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.161
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 3 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.090
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
First 3 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.184
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
First 3 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.23
Prob
32.3%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.53u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
31.6%
EV/u
0.433
Stake
1.20u
Won
+2.34u
First 3 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.124
Stake
0.08u
Won
+0.22u
First 3 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.74
Prob
30.1%
EV/u
0.323
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
First 3 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
3.05
Prob
35.6%
EV/u
0.071
Stake
0.06u
Won
+0.12u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.82
Prob
30.8%
EV/u
0.391
Stake
0.58u
Lost
-0.58u
First 3 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.33
Prob
31.1%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 3 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
30.8%
EV/u
0.261
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
4.00
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.612
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
First 3 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.63
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.34u
First 3 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.172
Stake
0.47u
Won
+0.96u
First 3 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.47u
First 3 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.73
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.088
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.52u
First 3 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.83
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.124
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.71u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.186
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
First 3 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.071
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 3 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.094
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.56u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.03
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.107
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.68
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.408
Stake
0.55u
Lost
-0.55u
First 3 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.81
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.38u
First 3 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.18
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.204
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.57u
First 3 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.78
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.040
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 3 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.86
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.091
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 3 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.54
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.337
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.92
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.73
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.089
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.52u
First 3 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.041
Stake
0.16u
Won
+0.27u
First 3 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 3 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.234
Stake
0.59u
Lost
-0.59u
First 3 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.73
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.054
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.35u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.83
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.19u
Won
+0.35u
First 3 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.210
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.