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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Jul 15, 2026 11:17 PM EDT

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First 3 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.21
Prob
28.6%
EV/u
0.203
Stake
0.50u
Won +0.61u
First 3 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
3.28
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.433
Stake
0.61u
Won +1.39u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.261
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First 3 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.72
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.195
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.48u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
3.73
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.478
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.73
Prob
28.2%
EV/u
0.555
Stake
0.85u
Lost -0.85u
First 3 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
1.96
Prob
36.8%
EV/u
0.169
Stake
0.31u
Won +0.30u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
24.5%
EV/u
1.186
Stake
0.49u
Lost -0.49u
First 3 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
1.96
Prob
28.6%
EV/u
0.080
Stake
0.15u
Won +0.14u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
17.6%
EV/u
1.617
Stake
0.49u
Won +1.37u
First 3 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.27
Prob
57.9%
EV/u
0.233
Stake
0.57u
Lost -0.57u
First 3 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.81
Prob
38.9%
EV/u
0.076
Stake
0.10u
Lost -0.10u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.187
Stake
0.61u
Lost -0.61u
First 3 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.09
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.299
Stake
0.78u
Lost -0.78u
First 3 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.39
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.376
Stake
0.85u
Won +2.03u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.64
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.037
Stake
0.16u
Won +0.26u
First 3 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
18.2%
EV/u
1.670
Stake
0.80u
Lost -0.80u
First 3 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.53
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.200
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.67
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.34u
Won +0.57u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
2.53
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.19u
Won +0.29u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.90
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.320
Stake
0.40u
Won +1.16u
First 3 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.64
Prob
51.0%
EV/u
0.267
Stake
0.80u
Lost -0.80u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.44
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
22.5%
EV/u
1.017
Stake
0.80u
Won +2.24u
First 3 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.44
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.062
Stake
0.32u
Lost -0.32u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.33
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.041
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.48
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.185
Stake
0.32u
Lost -0.32u
First 3 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.15
Prob
28.6%
EV/u
0.170
Stake
0.33u
Won +0.38u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.34
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.094
Stake
0.10u
Lost -0.10u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.00
Prob
32.9%
EV/u
0.256
Stake
0.63u
Won +0.63u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
17.6%
EV/u
1.617
Stake
0.42u
Won +1.18u
First 3 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.3%
EV/u
0.211
Stake
0.27u
Won +0.76u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.3%
EV/u
0.153
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
0.169
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 3 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.0%
EV/u
0.173
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.2%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 3 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.0%
EV/u
0.234
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.84u
First 3 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.0%
EV/u
0.208
Stake
0.27u
Won +0.76u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
New York Mets New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.082
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 3 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.086
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 3 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.4%
EV/u
0.086
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.84
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.35u
Won +0.64u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.6%
EV/u
0.185
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 3 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.183
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 3 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.161
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
New York Mets New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.169
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 3 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.68
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.153
Stake
0.51u
Won +0.86u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.4%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
0.132
Stake
0.17u
Won +0.48u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.4%
EV/u
0.147
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 3 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.6%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.17u
Won +0.48u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
New York Mets New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.4%
EV/u
0.140
Stake
0.18u
Won +0.50u
First 3 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.143
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.0%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Houston Astros Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.4%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.14u
Lost -0.14u
First 3 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.140
Stake
0.18u
Won +0.50u
First 3 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.27
Prob
36.8%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.31u
Won +0.70u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
New York Mets New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.8%
EV/u
0.183
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 3 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
0.207
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.247
Stake
0.32u
Lost -0.32u
First 3 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.3%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.14u
Lost -0.14u
First 3 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.191
Stake
0.25u
Won +0.70u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
New York Mets New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.2%
EV/u
0.187
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 3 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.0%
EV/u
0.213
Stake
0.27u
Won +0.76u
First 3 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.153
Stake
0.20u
Won +0.56u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.8%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.19u
Won +0.53u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.195
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 3 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.172
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.4%
EV/u
0.296
Stake
0.38u
Lost -0.38u
First 3 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.0%
EV/u
0.202
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 3 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.152
Stake
0.20u
Won +0.56u
First 3 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.20u
Won +0.56u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.3%
EV/u
0.194
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 3 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.119
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.115
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
0.165
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 3 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.3%
EV/u
0.180
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 3 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.206
Stake
0.26u
Won +0.73u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.3%
EV/u
0.189
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 3 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.14u
Won +0.39u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.14u
Won +0.39u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.185
Stake
0.24u
Won +0.67u
First 3 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.0%
EV/u
0.095
Stake
0.12u
Won +0.34u
First 3 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.4%
EV/u
0.184
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 3 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.12u
Lost -0.12u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.2%
EV/u
0.190
Stake
0.24u
Won +0.67u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.7%
EV/u
0.266
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.0%
EV/u
0.137
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 3 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.210
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.3%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.15u
Won +0.42u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.177
Stake
0.23u
Won +0.64u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.204
Stake
0.26u
Won +0.73u
First 3 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
First 3 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.8%
EV/u
0.189
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 3 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.0%
EV/u
0.169
Stake
0.22u
Won +0.62u
First 3 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.194
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.3%
EV/u
0.205
Stake
0.26u
Won +0.73u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.7%
EV/u
0.176
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.