Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 16, 2026 8:53 AM EDT
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.051
Stake
0.07u
Lost
-0.07u
First 3 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.7%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.12u
Won
+0.34u
First 3 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.8%
EV/u
0.156
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.046
Stake
0.06u
Lost
-0.06u
First 3 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Cincinnati Reds
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.8%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 3 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Chicago White Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.0%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.13u
Won
+0.36u
First 3 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Indians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.9%
EV/u
0.124
Stake
0.16u
Won
+0.45u
First 3 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
30.0%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 3 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.45
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 3 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
36.6%
EV/u
0.115
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.67u
First 3 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.8%
EV/u
0.088
Stake
0.11u
Won
+0.31u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.7%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.09u
Won
+0.25u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.5%
EV/u
0.084
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 3 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.1%
EV/u
0.198
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 3 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.63u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.132
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 3 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Chicago White Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.7%
EV/u
0.095
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
First 3 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.149
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.84u
First 3 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.099
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
First 3 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.080
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 3 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Indians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
31.3%
EV/u
0.156
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 3 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.0%
EV/u
0.087
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.7%
EV/u
0.251
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.90u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.75
Prob
50.2%
EV/u
0.121
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 3 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.042
Stake
0.05u
Won
+0.14u
First 3 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.201
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 3 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
4.30
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.597
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
First 3 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.3%
EV/u
0.260
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 3 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 3 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.6%
EV/u
0.347
Stake
0.45u
Won
+1.26u
First 3 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.5%
EV/u
0.369
Stake
0.48u
Won
+1.34u
First 3 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.3%
EV/u
0.306
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
First 3 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 3 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.046
Stake
0.05u
Lost
-0.05u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.231
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.78u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.8%
EV/u
0.151
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.50u
First 3 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.78
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
0.169
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.45
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.395
Stake
0.81u
Won
+1.98u
First 3 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.044
Stake
0.07u
Lost
-0.07u
First 3 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.8%
EV/u
0.160
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.216
Stake
0.54u
Won
+1.19u
First 3 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
36.6%
EV/u
0.154
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.4%
EV/u
0.075
Stake
0.10u
Won
+0.28u
First 3 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.8%
EV/u
0.089
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 3 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.5%
EV/u
0.401
Stake
0.45u
Won
+1.26u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.407
Stake
0.52u
Won
+1.30u
First 3 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.143
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.303
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 3 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
35.7%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.17u
Won
+0.30u
First 3 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.1%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
First 3 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Indians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.9%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 3 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.3%
EV/u
0.049
Stake
0.06u
Lost
-0.06u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.6%
EV/u
0.233
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 3 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.225
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.81u
First 3 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.098
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.54
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.041
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.28u
First 3 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
30.7%
EV/u
0.195
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.70u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.6%
EV/u
0.155
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 3 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.139
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 3 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.2%
EV/u
0.312
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 3 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.6%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.7%
EV/u
0.298
Stake
0.38u
Won
+1.06u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 3 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.152
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
First 3 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.038
Stake
0.05u
Won
+0.14u
First 3 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
30.9%
EV/u
0.391
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
First 3 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.5%
EV/u
0.338
Stake
0.43u
Won
+1.20u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.074
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
0.272
Stake
0.88u
Lost
-0.88u
First 3 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.70
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.310
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.4%
EV/u
0.132
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
First 3 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.6%
EV/u
0.268
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 3 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.038
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 3 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.1%
EV/u
0.265
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 3 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.59u
First 3 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.1%
EV/u
0.209
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First 3 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.83
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.15u
Won
+0.27u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
0.052
Stake
0.07u
Won
+0.20u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.9%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 3 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
35.8%
EV/u
0.180
Stake
0.56u
Won
+1.01u
First 3 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.0%
EV/u
0.157
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.575
Stake
0.74u
Lost
-0.74u
First 3 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.73
Prob
37.4%
EV/u
0.175
Stake
0.56u
Lost
-0.56u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.1%
EV/u
0.110
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 3 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
37.4%
EV/u
0.182
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
First 3 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.4%
EV/u
0.235
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 3 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.55
Prob
34.2%
EV/u
0.401
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.305
Stake
0.57u
Won
+0.91u
First 3 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
3.05
Prob
38.0%
EV/u
0.141
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 3 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.7%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
31.1%
EV/u
0.456
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
First 3 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.8%
EV/u
0.214
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.70u
First 3 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.2%
EV/u
0.198
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 3 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.62
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 3 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.3%
EV/u
0.073
Stake
0.08u
Won
+0.22u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
37.0%
EV/u
0.169
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.72u
First 3 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
33.9%
EV/u
0.357
Stake
0.77u
Lost
-0.77u
First 3 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.58
Prob
32.3%
EV/u
0.283
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.66u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.