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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Jul 15, 2026 11:17 PM EDT

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First 3 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.57
Prob
34.6%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.44u
First 3 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
1.99
Prob
59.8%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.46u
Won +0.46u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
31.3%
EV/u
0.046
Stake
0.06u
Lost -0.06u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.0%
EV/u
0.192
Stake
0.24u
Won +0.67u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
20.3%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 3 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
3.01
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.217
Stake
0.58u
Won +1.17u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.141
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 3 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.1%
EV/u
0.233
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.84u
First 3 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
New York Yankees New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
0.146
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 3 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
52.3%
EV/u
0.163
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 3 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.98
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
31.6%
EV/u
0.280
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.8%
EV/u
0.190
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 3 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
70.1%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.17u
Lost -0.17u
First 3 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.98
Prob
25.3%
EV/u
0.683
Stake
0.63u
Lost -0.63u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
23.9%
EV/u
0.515
Stake
0.63u
Lost -0.63u
First 3 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
0.163
Stake
0.09u
Lost -0.09u
First 3 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.30
Prob
26.6%
EV/u
0.241
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
3.32
Prob
36.1%
EV/u
0.179
Stake
0.12u
Lost -0.12u
First 3 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.4%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.06u
Lost -0.06u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.69
Prob
24.0%
EV/u
0.536
Stake
0.96u
Won +1.62u
First 3 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.86
Prob
33.0%
EV/u
0.132
Stake
0.14u
Won +0.26u
First 3 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.48
Prob
22.8%
EV/u
0.364
Stake
0.70u
Won +1.04u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
3.28
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.283
Stake
0.34u
Won +0.78u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.33
Prob
23.6%
EV/u
0.905
Stake
0.79u
Lost -0.79u
First 3 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
23.5%
EV/u
0.341
Stake
0.60u
Won +0.87u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
67.9%
EV/u
0.221
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 3 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.09u
Lost -0.09u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.03
Prob
34.5%
EV/u
0.176
Stake
0.49u
Won +0.99u
First 3 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
1.86
Prob
21.6%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.43u
Won +0.37u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.051
Stake
0.07u
Won +0.20u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.07u
Lost -0.07u
First 3 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.49
Prob
35.5%
EV/u
0.333
Stake
0.73u
Lost -0.73u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.10u
Lost -0.10u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.8%
EV/u
0.130
Stake
0.17u
Lost -0.17u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Houston Astros Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.0%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.12u
Lost -0.12u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.077
Stake
0.10u
Won +0.28u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.78
Prob
35.2%
EV/u
0.077
Stake
0.26u
Won +0.46u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
1.94
Prob
22.3%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.36u
Won +0.34u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
53.2%
EV/u
0.780
Stake
0.80u
Lost -0.80u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
30.7%
EV/u
0.059
Stake
0.08u
Won +0.22u
First 3 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
3.68
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.168
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 3 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.0%
EV/u
0.141
Stake
0.18u
Won +0.50u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.79
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.046
Stake
0.06u
Won +0.17u
First 3 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.59
Prob
26.3%
EV/u
0.446
Stake
1.50u
Lost -1.50u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
31.3%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.06u
Won +0.17u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
63.4%
EV/u
0.390
Stake
0.39u
Lost -0.39u
First 3 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
3.08
Prob
25.8%
EV/u
0.731
Stake
1.35u
Lost -1.35u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
29.8%
EV/u
0.080
Stake
0.10u
Lost -0.10u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.040
Stake
0.05u
Lost -0.05u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.059
Stake
0.08u
Lost -0.08u
First 3 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
23.8%
EV/u
0.489
Stake
1.09u
Won +1.74u
First 3 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.00
Prob
25.0%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.33u
Won +0.33u
First 3 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.09u
Lost -0.09u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.42
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.044
Stake
0.07u
Lost -0.07u
First 3 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.84
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.098
Stake
0.22u
Won +0.40u
First 3 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.07u
Lost -0.07u
First 3 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.087
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.074
Stake
0.09u
Won +0.25u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
1.91
Prob
23.8%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.39u
Won +0.35u
First 3 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.06u
Won +0.17u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.077
Stake
0.10u
Lost -0.10u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.07u
Lost -0.07u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.98
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 3 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
1.98
Prob
24.9%
EV/u
0.093
Stake
0.46u
Lost -0.46u
First 3 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.15
Prob
23.9%
EV/u
0.185
Stake
0.90u
Won +1.04u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.06u
Lost -0.06u
First 3 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.73
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.36u
Won +0.62u
First 3 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.14
Prob
25.9%
EV/u
0.161
Stake
0.81u
Won +0.92u
First 3 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.07
Prob
35.4%
EV/u
0.177
Stake
0.41u
Lost -0.41u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
New York Yankees New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
27.9%
EV/u
0.378
Stake
0.49u
Won +1.37u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.15u
Won +0.29u
First 3 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.09u
Lost -0.09u
First 3 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
3.35
Prob
38.3%
EV/u
0.257
Stake
0.60u
Won +1.41u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.06u
Lost -0.06u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.79
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.50u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.13
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
3.18
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.231
Stake
0.58u
Won +1.26u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
3.18
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.228
Stake
0.58u
Lost -0.58u
First 3 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.67
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.040
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.31
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.122
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
First 3 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
2.86
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 3 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.032
Stake
0.14u
Won +0.23u
First 3 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.11
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.056
Stake
0.17u
Lost -0.17u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
3.06
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.187
Stake
0.51u
Lost -0.51u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.88
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.26
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.27u
Won +0.61u
First 3 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
3.18
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.079
Stake
0.22u
Won +0.48u
First 3 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.91
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.38u
Lost -0.38u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.94
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.141
Stake
0.41u
Lost -0.41u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.08
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.245
Stake
0.65u
Lost -0.65u
First 3 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.31u
Won +0.47u
First 3 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.184
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
3.11
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.216
Stake
0.57u
Won +1.20u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
3.05
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.198
Stake
0.46u
Lost -0.46u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.04
Prob
35.0%
EV/u
0.432
Stake
1.09u
Lost -1.09u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.52
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.110
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 3 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.07
Prob
28.6%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.