Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 15, 2026 11:17 PM EDT
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.0%
EV/u
0.191
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 3 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.8%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.16u
Won
+0.45u
First 3 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.042
Stake
0.05u
Won
+0.14u
First 3 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.110
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.65u
First 3 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.9%
EV/u
0.154
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 3 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Oakland Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.079
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Cincinnati Reds
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.5%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
First 3 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.058
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.37u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.9%
EV/u
0.038
Stake
0.05u
Lost
-0.05u
First 3 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.7%
EV/u
0.151
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Cincinnati Reds
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.5%
EV/u
0.198
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.0%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 3 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.9%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 3 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.5%
EV/u
0.246
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 3 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.8%
EV/u
0.086
Stake
0.11u
Won
+0.31u
First 3 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Oakland Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.4%
EV/u
0.196
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 3 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.3%
EV/u
0.077
Stake
0.10u
Won
+0.28u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
37.3%
EV/u
0.157
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.88u
First 3 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.3%
EV/u
0.103
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.032
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
38.4%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 3 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.62u
First 3 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.074
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.46u
First 3 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.139
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.50u
First 3 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
3.22
Prob
36.3%
EV/u
0.379
Stake
0.93u
Lost
-0.93u
First 3 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.98
Prob
38.0%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.65u
First 3 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.83
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 3 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
First 3 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
First 3 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.41
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.67
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.122
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.059
Stake
0.08u
Won
+0.22u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.6%
EV/u
0.228
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 3 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
New York Mets
away
Odds
2.94
Prob
38.8%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.06u
Won
+0.17u
First 3 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.361
Stake
0.46u
Won
+1.29u
First 3 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.97
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.074
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.45u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.13u
Won
+0.36u
First 3 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.139
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.036
Stake
0.05u
Lost
-0.05u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.77
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.079
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.48u
First 3 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.122
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 3 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
38.7%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 3 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.4%
EV/u
0.061
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
First 3 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.8%
EV/u
0.151
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.4%
EV/u
0.143
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.50u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.83
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.77u
First 3 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.2%
EV/u
0.588
Stake
0.76u
Lost
-0.76u
First 3 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.087
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
3.26
Prob
33.8%
EV/u
0.086
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 3 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.58
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.268
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.95u
First 3 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.072
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 3 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
38.0%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.60u
First 3 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.110
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.69
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.037
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 3 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.27
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.365
Stake
0.87u
Lost
-0.87u
First 3 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
49.8%
EV/u
0.364
Stake
0.96u
Lost
-0.96u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
65.2%
EV/u
0.322
Stake
0.36u
Won
+1.01u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
1.54
Prob
73.9%
EV/u
0.084
Stake
0.48u
Won
+0.26u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.88
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.07u
Lost
-0.07u
First 3 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.2%
EV/u
0.171
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.78
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.220
Stake
0.68u
Won
+1.21u
First 3 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.119
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.091
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.22
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.089
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
54.2%
EV/u
0.091
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
First 3 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.0%
EV/u
0.176
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 3 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
26.5%
EV/u
0.200
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
65.4%
EV/u
0.315
Stake
0.40u
Won
+1.12u
First 3 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.0%
EV/u
0.169
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 3 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.0%
EV/u
0.195
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.70u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.3%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
30.4%
EV/u
0.320
Stake
0.41u
Won
+1.15u
First 3 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.19
Prob
53.9%
EV/u
0.119
Stake
0.61u
Won
+0.73u
First 3 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.09
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.083
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
First 3 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
31.4%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.06u
Lost
-0.06u
First 3 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
54.9%
EV/u
0.072
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.094
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
First 3 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Oakland Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
31.4%
EV/u
0.035
Stake
0.05u
Won
+0.14u
First 3 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
26.9%
EV/u
0.042
Stake
0.05u
Lost
-0.05u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.139
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
55.5%
EV/u
0.054
Stake
0.07u
Lost
-0.07u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.112
Stake
0.14u
Won
+0.39u
First 3 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.188
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.67u
First 3 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.178
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 3 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.0%
EV/u
0.221
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 3 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.83
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.51u
First 3 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
26.9%
EV/u
0.170
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Mets
San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.8%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
First 3 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
55.6%
EV/u
0.054
Stake
0.07u
Lost
-0.07u
First 3 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.423
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.315
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
24.2%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.12u
Won
+0.34u
First 3 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.91
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.209
Stake
0.61u
Won
+1.17u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.4%
EV/u
0.193
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 3 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.15u
Won
+0.42u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.