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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Jul 15, 2026 11:17 PM EDT

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First 3 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.344
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.202
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 3 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.270
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.257
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 3 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.301
Stake
0.34u
Won +0.95u
First 3 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.294
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.332
Stake
0.39u
Won +1.09u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.209
Stake
0.17u
Lost -0.17u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.4%
EV/u
0.253
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 3 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.243
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
29.0%
EV/u
0.369
Stake
0.64u
Lost -0.64u
First 3 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.210
Stake
0.17u
Lost -0.17u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
29.3%
EV/u
0.265
Stake
0.41u
Lost -0.41u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.286
Stake
0.37u
Won +1.04u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
50.2%
EV/u
0.446
Stake
1.24u
Lost -1.24u
First 3 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.082
Stake
0.11u
Won +0.31u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.296
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 3 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.282
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 3 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
23.4%
EV/u
0.444
Stake
0.67u
Won +0.97u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
29.8%
EV/u
0.252
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Houston Astros Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.305
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.291
Stake
0.21u
Won +0.59u
First 3 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.264
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 3 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.3%
EV/u
0.260
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
29.4%
EV/u
0.355
Stake
0.48u
Won +0.86u
First 3 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
22.1%
EV/u
0.352
Stake
0.55u
Lost -0.55u
First 3 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.307
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.299
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
28.3%
EV/u
0.275
Stake
0.44u
Lost -0.44u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
28.9%
EV/u
0.384
Stake
0.71u
Lost -0.71u
First 3 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
New York Yankees New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.250
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Houston Astros Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.213
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 3 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.307
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 3 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.262
Stake
0.19u
Won +0.53u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.75
Prob
29.6%
EV/u
0.859
Stake
0.58u
Won +1.60u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.326
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 3 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.162
Stake
0.09u
Lost -0.09u
First 3 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.273
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.515
Stake
0.47u
Lost -0.47u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.306
Stake
0.19u
Won +0.53u
First 3 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.323
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
29.6%
EV/u
0.642
Stake
0.74u
Lost -0.74u
First 3 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.515
Stake
0.37u
Lost -0.37u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.6%
EV/u
0.278
Stake
0.17u
Won +0.48u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.238
Stake
0.12u
Lost -0.12u
First 3 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
51.0%
EV/u
0.281
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
29.3%
EV/u
0.609
Stake
0.65u
Won +1.53u
First 3 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.290
Stake
0.17u
Lost -0.17u
First 3 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.348
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 3 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
56.0%
EV/u
0.670
Stake
0.43u
Lost -0.43u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.290
Stake
0.17u
Won +0.48u
First 3 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
30.4%
EV/u
1.013
Stake
0.54u
Won +1.62u
First 3 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.204
Stake
0.18u
Won +0.50u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.260
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 3 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.277
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.78u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Houston Astros Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
51.8%
EV/u
0.245
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.287
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.84u
First 3 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
28.7%
EV/u
0.266
Stake
0.59u
Won +0.97u
First 3 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.5%
EV/u
0.079
Stake
0.08u
Lost -0.08u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.10u
Won +0.28u
First 3 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.320
Stake
0.36u
Won +1.01u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Houston Astros Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.287
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 3 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.299
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.2%
EV/u
0.090
Stake
0.12u
Lost -0.12u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
3.15
Prob
36.3%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.22u
Won +0.47u
First 3 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.3%
EV/u
0.257
Stake
0.33u
Won +0.92u
First 3 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.7%
EV/u
0.299
Stake
0.38u
Lost -0.38u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
37.8%
EV/u
0.318
Stake
0.75u
Lost -0.75u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.0%
EV/u
0.040
Stake
0.05u
Lost -0.05u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.058
Stake
0.07u
Won +0.20u
First 3 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
37.0%
EV/u
0.233
Stake
0.54u
Won +1.30u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Houston Astros Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.4%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 3 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.0%
EV/u
0.484
Stake
0.62u
Won +1.74u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 3 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.3%
EV/u
0.403
Stake
0.52u
Lost -0.52u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.054
Stake
0.12u
Lost -0.12u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
39.0%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.194
Stake
0.51u
Lost -0.51u
First 3 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.090
Stake
0.20u
Won +0.43u
First 3 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.14u
Won +0.39u
First 3 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
0.051
Stake
0.07u
Lost -0.07u
First 3 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.1%
EV/u
0.217
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.2%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 3 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.203
Stake
0.54u
Won +1.13u
First 3 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.289
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.8%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.14u
Won +0.39u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Houston Astros Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.1%
EV/u
0.232
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.173
Stake
0.41u
Lost -0.41u
First 3 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.054
Stake
0.07u
Lost -0.07u
First 3 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.46
Prob
38.8%
EV/u
0.167
Stake
0.38u
Lost -0.38u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.3%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
First 3 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.99
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.076
Stake
0.23u
Won +0.46u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.038
Stake
0.05u
Lost -0.05u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.7%
EV/u
0.448
Stake
0.53u
Lost -0.53u
First 3 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.1%
EV/u
0.168
Stake
0.14u
Lost -0.14u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.52
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.283
Stake
0.32u
Lost -0.32u
First 3 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.4%
EV/u
0.152
Stake
0.12u
Won +0.34u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.5%
EV/u
0.298
Stake
0.32u
Won +0.90u
First 3 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.9%
EV/u
0.329
Stake
0.37u
Won +1.04u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.