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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Jul 14, 2026 7:37 PM EDT

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First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
48.4%
EV/u
0.419
Stake
0.93u
Won +1.86u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.143
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.093
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
0.073
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.256
Stake
0.72u
Lost -0.72u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.189
Stake
0.48u
Lost -0.48u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
52.9%
EV/u
0.344
Stake
1.17u
Won +1.87u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.223
Stake
0.54u
Won +1.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
48.3%
EV/u
0.235
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.297
Stake
0.43u
Lost -0.43u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.146
Stake
0.39u
Won +0.84u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.025
Stake
0.12u
Lost -0.12u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
3.05
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.320
Stake
0.85u
Won +1.74u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.32u
Won +0.75u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.283
Stake
0.69u
Lost -0.69u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.389
Stake
0.96u
Won +2.11u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
48.5%
EV/u
0.022
Stake
0.09u
Lost -0.09u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.042
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.24u
Won +0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
47.9%
EV/u
0.380
Stake
1.06u
Lost -1.06u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
48.7%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.539
Stake
0.43u
Won +1.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.195
Stake
0.47u
Lost -0.47u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.654
Stake
0.80u
Lost -0.80u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.020
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.95
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.808
Stake
0.80u
Lost -0.80u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.110
Stake
0.34u
Won +0.54u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.212
Stake
0.68u
Won +1.16u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
4.60
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
1.118
Stake
0.59u
Lost -0.59u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.042
Stake
0.05u
Lost -0.05u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.423
Stake
0.55u
Won +1.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.429
Stake
0.56u
Won +1.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.07u
Lost -0.07u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.364
Stake
0.52u
Won +1.07u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.047
Stake
0.05u
Lost -0.05u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.059
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.177
Stake
0.62u
Won +0.99u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.42u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.077
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.497
Stake
0.62u
Won +1.40u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.151
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.212
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.199
Stake
0.35u
Lost -0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.049
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.51u
Lost -0.51u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
3.30
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.371
Stake
0.88u
Lost -0.88u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.36u
Won +0.63u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.038
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.37u
Won +0.61u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.164
Stake
0.60u
Won +0.93u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.036
Stake
0.25u
Won +0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.259
Stake
0.73u
Won +1.42u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.200
Stake
0.68u
Lost -0.68u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
42.6%
EV/u
0.091
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.031
Stake
0.23u
Won +0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.343
Stake
0.59u
Lost -0.59u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.039
Stake
0.05u
Lost -0.05u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.39u
Lost -0.39u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.08u
Won +0.11u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.424
Stake
0.69u
Lost -0.69u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.146
Stake
0.22u
Won +0.42u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.191
Stake
0.35u
Won +0.58u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.264
Stake
0.45u
Lost -0.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.461
Stake
0.59u
Won +1.42u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.182
Stake
0.33u
Won +0.53u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.417
Stake
0.70u
Won +1.51u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
3.70
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.718
Stake
0.53u
Won +1.43u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.24u
Won +0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.030
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.147
Stake
0.54u
Lost -0.54u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.192
Stake
0.50u
Lost -0.50u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.035
Stake
0.07u
Won +0.09u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.321
Stake
0.75u
Lost -0.75u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.192
Stake
0.48u
Won +0.84u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.285
Stake
0.74u
Lost -0.74u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.087
Stake
0.25u
Won +0.51u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.38u
Lost -0.38u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.47u
Won +0.85u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.44u
Won +0.68u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.95
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.417
Stake
0.51u
Won +1.50u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.46u
Lost -0.46u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.31u
Won +0.51u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.098
Stake
0.35u
Lost -0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.476
Stake
0.38u
Lost -0.38u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
39.0%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.42u
Won +0.84u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.194
Stake
0.56u
Lost -0.56u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
0.121
Stake
0.22u
Won +0.46u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.218
Stake
0.50u
Won +1.13u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.177
Stake
0.43u
Lost -0.43u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.271
Stake
0.65u
Lost -0.65u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.368
Stake
1.00u
Won +2.00u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.