Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 11:24 AM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2022 | epl |
Leicester City
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Result | home | 4.60 | 44.0% | 1.023 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jan 18, 2022 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Chelsea
|
Result | home | 3.10 | 47.0% | 0.457 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jan 18, 2022 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Chelsea
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 60.6% | 0.157 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jan 16, 2022 | epl |
West Ham United
Leeds United
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 56.0% | 0.069 | 0.30u | Won | +0.27u |
| Jan 16, 2022 | epl |
Liverpool
Brentford
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 30.5% | 0.327 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Jan 16, 2022 | epl |
Liverpool
Brentford
|
Result | away | 5.00 | 44.3% | 0.438 | 0.88u | Lost | -0.88u |
| Jan 15, 2022 | epl |
Norwich City
Everton
|
Result | home | 3.00 | 42.8% | 0.285 | 0.45u | Won | +0.90u |
| Jan 15, 2022 | epl |
Aston Villa
Manchester United
|
Result | home | 3.50 | 42.5% | 0.489 | 1.05u | Lost | -1.05u |
| Jan 15, 2022 | epl |
Manchester City
Chelsea
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 29.3% | 0.349 | 0.49u | Won | +0.45u |
| Jan 15, 2022 | epl |
Norwich City
Everton
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 79.0% | 0.509 | 1.00u | Won | +0.91u |
| Jan 14, 2022 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Crystal Palace
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 37.1% | 0.201 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Jan 12, 2022 | epl |
West Ham United
Norwich City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 30.4% | 0.329 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Jan 12, 2022 | epl |
West Ham United
Norwich City
|
Result | draw | 5.00 | 43.1% | 0.285 | 0.57u | Lost | -0.57u |
| Jan 11, 2022 | epl |
Southampton
Brentford
|
Result | away | 3.60 | 44.7% | 0.177 | 0.54u | Lost | -0.54u |
| Jan 11, 2022 | epl |
Southampton
Brentford
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 55.1% | 0.053 | 0.47u | Won | +0.43u |
| Jan 9, 2022 | laliga |
Villarreal
Atlético Madrid
|
Result | home | 4.00 | 42.0% | 0.679 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jan 9, 2022 | laliga |
Alavés
Athletic Club
|
Result | home | 2.80 | 44.0% | 0.231 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Jan 8, 2022 | laliga |
Granada
Barcelona
|
Result | home | 4.50 | 44.2% | 0.988 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jan 3, 2022 | laliga |
Villarreal
Levante
|
Result | home | 3.40 | 41.1% | 0.398 | 1.20u | Won | +2.88u |
| Jan 3, 2022 | epl |
Manchester United
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.3% | 0.216 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Jan 2, 2022 | epl |
Leeds United
Burnley
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 56.1% | 0.071 | 0.06u | Won | +0.05u |
| Jan 2, 2022 | epl |
Everton
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 71.9% | 0.372 | 1.03u | Won | +0.94u |
| Jan 2, 2022 | epl |
Brentford
Aston Villa
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 63.6% | 0.214 | 0.37u | Won | +0.34u |
| Jan 2, 2022 | epl |
Leeds United
Burnley
|
Result | home | 2.80 | 44.3% | 0.240 | 0.29u | Won | +0.52u |
| Jan 2, 2022 | epl |
Everton
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Result | away | 4.33 | 42.0% | 0.601 | 1.04u | Won | +3.46u |
| Jan 2, 2022 | epl |
Brentford
Aston Villa
|
Result | away | 3.60 | 43.7% | 0.201 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Jan 2, 2022 | laliga |
Alavés
Real Sociedad
|
Result | home | 4.75 | 44.6% | 1.118 | 0.97u | Lost | -0.97u |
| Jan 2, 2022 | laliga |
Real Betis
Celta Vigo
|
Result | home | 3.70 | 46.4% | 0.718 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| Jan 1, 2022 | epl |
Crystal Palace
West Ham United
|
Result | home | 3.40 | 46.1% | 0.566 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jan 1, 2022 | epl |
Watford
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 30.1% | 0.334 | 0.39u | Won | +0.35u |
| Jan 1, 2022 | epl |
Arsenal
Manchester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 17.5% | 0.575 | 1.10u | Lost | -1.10u |
| Dec 30, 2021 | epl |
Manchester United
Burnley
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 28.5% | 0.366 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Dec 30, 2021 | epl |
Manchester United
Burnley
|
Result | draw | 4.20 | 45.0% | 0.177 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Dec 29, 2021 | epl |
Chelsea
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Result | draw | 5.00 | 43.7% | 0.252 | 0.50u | Won | +2.00u |
| Dec 29, 2021 | epl |
Brentford
Manchester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 29.6% | 0.344 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Dec 28, 2021 | epl |
Leicester City
Liverpool
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 37.1% | 0.200 | 0.76u | Won | +0.69u |
| Dec 28, 2021 | epl |
Southampton
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 37.3% | 0.198 | 0.74u | Won | +0.67u |
| Dec 28, 2021 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Norwich City
|
Result | home | 3.75 | 45.2% | 0.696 | 1.07u | Won | +2.94u |
| Dec 28, 2021 | epl |
Southampton
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Result | home | 3.60 | 39.4% | 0.420 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Dec 27, 2021 | epl |
Newcastle United
Manchester United
|
Result | draw | 4.50 | 40.4% | 0.323 | 0.74u | Won | +2.59u |
| Dec 26, 2021 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Crystal Palace
|
Result | away | 5.00 | 41.6% | 0.648 | 0.85u | Lost | -0.85u |
| Dec 26, 2021 | epl |
Manchester City
Leicester City
|
Result | away | 3.80 | 44.9% | 0.175 | 0.10u | Lost | -0.10u |
| Dec 26, 2021 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brentford
|
Result | away | 4.33 | 43.0% | 0.446 | 0.48u | Lost | -0.48u |
| Dec 26, 2021 | epl |
Norwich City
Arsenal
|
Result | draw | 3.80 | 39.3% | 0.153 | 0.07u | Lost | -0.07u |
| Dec 26, 2021 | epl |
West Ham United
Southampton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.7% | 0.132 | 0.10u | Lost | -0.10u |
| Dec 26, 2021 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Crystal Palace
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.4% | 0.118 | 0.09u | Lost | -0.09u |
| Dec 26, 2021 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brentford
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.6% | 0.135 | 0.11u | Won | +0.10u |
| Dec 26, 2021 | epl |
Aston Villa
Chelsea
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 17.0% | 0.585 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Dec 22, 2021 | laliga |
Athletic Club
Real Madrid
|
Result | home | 3.25 | 48.1% | 0.565 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Dec 20, 2021 | laliga |
Levante
Valencia
|
Result | home | 3.00 | 47.8% | 0.436 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Dec 19, 2021 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Chelsea
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 33.4% | 0.272 | 0.52u | Won | +0.47u |
| Dec 19, 2021 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Liverpool
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.3% | 0.139 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Dec 19, 2021 | epl |
Newcastle United
Manchester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 29.4% | 0.348 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Dec 19, 2021 | epl |
Newcastle United
Manchester City
|
Result | home | 4.75 | 42.7% | 1.029 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Dec 18, 2021 | epl |
Leeds United
Arsenal
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 45.7% | 0.036 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Dec 18, 2021 | laliga |
Real Sociedad
Villarreal
|
Result | home | 2.90 | 45.3% | 0.313 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Dec 16, 2021 | epl |
Chelsea
Everton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.4% | 0.138 | 0.57u | Won | +0.52u |
| Dec 16, 2021 | epl |
Liverpool
Newcastle United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.1% | 0.182 | 0.93u | Lost | -0.93u |
| Dec 16, 2021 | epl |
Liverpool
Newcastle United
|
Result | away | 4.50 | 43.7% | 0.493 | 1.13u | Lost | -1.13u |
| Dec 15, 2021 | epl |
Arsenal
West Ham United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 32.1% | 0.296 | 0.81u | Won | +0.74u |
| Dec 15, 2021 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 34.2% | 0.255 | 0.61u | Won | +0.55u |
| Dec 15, 2021 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Southampton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 43.5% | 0.080 | 0.08u | Lost | -0.08u |
| Dec 14, 2021 | epl |
Norwich City
Aston Villa
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.4% | 0.137 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Dec 14, 2021 | epl |
Manchester City
Leeds United
|
Result | home | 3.50 | 43.4% | 0.518 | 1.06u | Won | +2.65u |
| Dec 14, 2021 | epl |
Norwich City
Aston Villa
|
Result | away | 4.00 | 43.2% | 0.348 | 0.44u | Won | +1.32u |
| Dec 12, 2021 | epl |
Leicester City
Newcastle United
|
Result | away | 3.75 | 44.8% | 0.218 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Dec 12, 2021 | epl |
Burnley
West Ham United
|
Result | home | 3.40 | 42.1% | 0.430 | 1.19u | Lost | -1.19u |
| Dec 12, 2021 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Everton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 32.5% | 0.289 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Dec 12, 2021 | epl |
Leicester City
Newcastle United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 44.1% | 0.067 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Dec 12, 2021 | laliga |
Osasuna
Barcelona
|
Result | away | 4.75 | 49.7% | 0.501 | 0.54u | Lost | -0.54u |
| Dec 12, 2021 | laliga |
Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano
|
Result | away | 4.50 | 47.7% | 0.664 | 0.96u | Lost | -0.96u |
| Dec 11, 2021 | epl |
Liverpool
Aston Villa
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 31.7% | 0.304 | 0.51u | Won | +0.46u |
| Dec 11, 2021 | epl |
Chelsea
Leeds United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 35.4% | 0.233 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Dec 11, 2021 | epl |
Norwich City
Manchester United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 37.4% | 0.195 | 0.22u | Won | +0.20u |
| Dec 11, 2021 | epl |
Manchester City
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 32.4% | 0.290 | 0.46u | Won | +0.42u |
| Dec 11, 2021 | epl |
Liverpool
Aston Villa
|
Result | away | 4.50 | 42.8% | 0.562 | 0.81u | Lost | -0.81u |
| Dec 11, 2021 | epl |
Manchester City
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Result | away | 4.75 | 44.6% | 0.535 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Dec 10, 2021 | epl |
Brentford
Watford
|
Result | home | 2.45 | 44.5% | 0.089 | 0.49u | Won | +0.71u |
| Dec 10, 2021 | epl |
Brentford
Watford
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 42.8% | 0.093 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Dec 6, 2021 | epl |
Everton
Arsenal
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.8% | 0.130 | 1.15u | Lost | -1.15u |
| Dec 5, 2021 | epl |
Leeds United
Brentford
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 64.6% | 0.234 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Dec 5, 2021 | epl |
Manchester United
Crystal Palace
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 44.1% | 0.068 | 0.20u | Won | +0.18u |
| Dec 5, 2021 | epl |
Aston Villa
Leicester City
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 54.7% | 0.044 | 0.10u | Won | +0.09u |
| Dec 5, 2021 | epl |
Leeds United
Brentford
|
Result | home | 4.75 | 28.6% | 0.360 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Dec 5, 2021 | epl |
Manchester United
Crystal Palace
|
Result | away | 4.50 | 50.2% | 0.318 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Dec 5, 2021 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Norwich City
|
Result | home | 3.60 | 41.0% | 0.477 | 0.83u | Won | +2.16u |
| Dec 4, 2021 | epl |
Newcastle United
Burnley
|
Result | home | 2.60 | 49.5% | 0.288 | 0.40u | Won | +0.64u |
| Dec 4, 2021 | epl |
West Ham United
Chelsea
|
Result | away | 3.00 | 31.1% | 0.263 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Dec 4, 2021 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Liverpool
|
Result | draw | 3.40 | 26.2% | 0.449 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| Dec 4, 2021 | epl |
Watford
Manchester City
|
Result | draw | 4.50 | 42.8% | 0.178 | 0.10u | Lost | -0.10u |
| Dec 4, 2021 | epl |
Southampton
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 31.3% | 0.311 | 0.68u | Won | +0.62u |
| Dec 4, 2021 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Liverpool
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 30.1% | 0.335 | 0.78u | Won | +0.71u |
| Dec 2, 2021 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Brentford
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.6% | 0.116 | 1.02u | Won | +0.93u |
| Dec 1, 2021 | epl |
Watford
Chelsea
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.2% | 0.161 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| Dec 1, 2021 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Burnley
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 60.6% | 0.157 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Dec 1, 2021 | epl |
West Ham United
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.2% | 0.142 | 0.16u | Won | +0.15u |
| Dec 1, 2021 | epl |
Aston Villa
Manchester City
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 71.4% | 0.363 | 0.93u | Won | +0.85u |
| Dec 1, 2021 | epl |
Southampton
Leicester City
|
Result | draw | 5.00 | 30.9% | 0.371 | 0.21u | Won | +0.84u |
| Dec 1, 2021 | epl |
West Ham United
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Result | away | 4.20 | 34.1% | 0.578 | 0.57u | Lost | -0.57u |
| Dec 1, 2021 | epl |
Aston Villa
Manchester City
|
Result | away | 3.40 | 42.2% | 0.581 | 0.72u | Won | +1.73u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.