Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 11:24 AM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2021 | epl |
Leeds United
Watford
|
Result | away | 4.00 | 42.6% | 0.405 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Oct 2, 2021 | epl |
Burnley
Norwich City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.3% | 0.139 | 0.19u | Won | +0.17u |
| Oct 2, 2021 | epl |
Chelsea
Southampton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 28.8% | 0.359 | 1.09u | Lost | -1.09u |
| Oct 2, 2021 | epl |
Leeds United
Watford
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.7% | 0.132 | 0.18u | Won | +0.16u |
| Oct 1, 2021 | laliga |
Athletic Club
Alavés
|
Result | home | 3.25 | 58.1% | 0.889 | 1.20u | Won | +2.70u |
| Sep 27, 2021 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Result | away | 3.50 | 44.8% | 0.184 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Sep 26, 2021 | epl |
Arsenal
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Result | away | 3.40 | 44.0% | 0.159 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| Sep 26, 2021 | epl |
Arsenal
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.5% | 0.135 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Sep 26, 2021 | epl |
Southampton
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.5% | 0.156 | 0.84u | Won | +0.76u |
| Sep 25, 2021 | epl |
Manchester United
Aston Villa
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.0% | 0.165 | 0.22u | Won | +0.20u |
| Sep 25, 2021 | epl |
Leicester City
Burnley
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 43.7% | 0.076 | 0.06u | Lost | -0.06u |
| Sep 25, 2021 | epl |
Watford
Newcastle United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 35.4% | 0.234 | 0.42u | Won | +0.38u |
| Sep 25, 2021 | epl |
Everton
Norwich City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 30.4% | 0.328 | 0.79u | Won | +0.72u |
| Sep 25, 2021 | epl |
Manchester United
Aston Villa
|
Result | home | 2.80 | 44.5% | 0.246 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Sep 25, 2021 | epl |
Leicester City
Burnley
|
Result | home | 2.90 | 44.8% | 0.298 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Sep 25, 2021 | epl |
Watford
Newcastle United
|
Result | home | 2.90 | 44.4% | 0.288 | 0.46u | Lost | -0.46u |
| Sep 25, 2021 | epl |
Leeds United
West Ham United
|
Result | away | 3.60 | 45.5% | 0.199 | 0.19u | Won | +0.49u |
| Sep 25, 2021 | laliga |
Real Madrid
Villarreal
|
Result | home | 2.80 | 50.3% | 0.409 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 23, 2021 | laliga |
Granada
Real Sociedad
|
Result | draw | 4.50 | 27.2% | 0.512 | 0.48u | Lost | -0.48u |
| Sep 23, 2021 | laliga |
Osasuna
Real Betis
|
Result | home | 4.20 | 41.4% | 0.737 | 1.02u | Lost | -1.02u |
| Sep 21, 2021 | laliga |
Getafe
Atlético Madrid
|
Result | home | 3.10 | 54.7% | 0.694 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 19, 2021 | laliga |
Real Sociedad
Sevilla
|
Result | home | 3.30 | 39.7% | 0.309 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Sep 19, 2021 | laliga |
Valencia
Real Madrid
|
Result | draw | 3.80 | 38.3% | 0.766 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 19, 2021 | epl |
West Ham United
Manchester United
|
Result | home | 4.33 | 44.3% | 0.919 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Sep 19, 2021 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Leicester City
|
Result | home | 4.20 | 44.7% | 0.877 | 0.62u | Won | +1.98u |
| Sep 19, 2021 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Chelsea
|
Result | away | 5.00 | 44.9% | 0.554 | 0.22u | Won | +0.88u |
| Sep 18, 2021 | epl |
Aston Villa
Everton
|
Result | away | 3.50 | 44.1% | 0.162 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| Sep 18, 2021 | epl |
Manchester City
Southampton
|
Result | home | 2.45 | 43.9% | 0.077 | 0.09u | Lost | -0.09u |
| Sep 18, 2021 | epl |
Norwich City
Watford
|
Result | home | 3.75 | 45.8% | 0.718 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 18, 2021 | epl |
Burnley
Arsenal
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 42.4% | 0.100 | 0.10u | Won | +0.09u |
| Sep 18, 2021 | epl |
Liverpool
Crystal Palace
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 30.3% | 0.330 | 0.95u | Won | +0.86u |
| Sep 18, 2021 | epl |
Aston Villa
Everton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.7% | 0.152 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| Sep 18, 2021 | epl |
Manchester City
Southampton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.9% | 0.147 | 0.22u | Won | +0.20u |
| Sep 18, 2021 | laliga |
Elche
Levante
|
Result | draw | 3.00 | 38.7% | 0.567 | 0.90u | Won | +1.80u |
| Sep 18, 2021 | laliga |
Rayo Vallecano
Getafe
|
Result | home | 2.50 | 56.7% | 0.417 | 0.60u | Won | +0.90u |
| Sep 13, 2021 | epl |
Everton
Burnley
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 61.1% | 0.166 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Sep 13, 2021 | epl |
Everton
Burnley
|
Result | home | 3.10 | 44.9% | 0.393 | 1.20u | Won | +2.52u |
| Sep 12, 2021 | epl |
Leeds United
Liverpool
|
Result | home | 4.50 | 46.5% | 1.093 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 11, 2021 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Result | home | 3.60 | 47.1% | 0.694 | 0.61u | Won | +1.59u |
| Sep 11, 2021 | epl |
Arsenal
Norwich City
|
Result | home | 3.80 | 44.5% | 0.690 | 0.56u | Won | +1.57u |
| Sep 11, 2021 | epl |
Chelsea
Aston Villa
|
Result | home | 3.00 | 45.1% | 0.352 | 0.20u | Won | +0.40u |
| Sep 11, 2021 | epl |
Manchester United
Newcastle United
|
Result | home | 3.10 | 41.9% | 0.299 | 0.13u | Won | +0.27u |
| Sep 11, 2021 | epl |
Southampton
West Ham United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 27.3% | 0.389 | 0.54u | Won | +0.49u |
| Sep 11, 2021 | epl |
Leicester City
Manchester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 27.2% | 0.390 | 0.55u | Won | +0.50u |
| Sep 11, 2021 | epl |
Chelsea
Aston Villa
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 64.7% | 0.235 | 0.21u | Won | +0.19u |
| Sep 11, 2021 | epl |
Manchester United
Newcastle United
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 64.3% | 0.227 | 0.20u | Won | +0.18u |
| Aug 29, 2021 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Watford
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 32.8% | 0.282 | 0.56u | Won | +0.51u |
| Aug 29, 2021 | epl |
Burnley
Leeds United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 35.5% | 0.232 | 0.39u | Won | +0.35u |
| Aug 29, 2021 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Manchester United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 32.9% | 0.281 | 0.55u | Won | +0.50u |
| Aug 29, 2021 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Manchester United
|
Result | home | 4.75 | 43.4% | 1.064 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 29, 2021 | laliga |
Barcelona
Getafe
|
Result | draw | 4.75 | 35.2% | 0.541 | 1.15u | Lost | -1.15u |
| Aug 28, 2021 | laliga |
Celta Vigo
Athletic Club
|
Result | home | 5.00 | 33.3% | 0.663 | 1.06u | Lost | -1.06u |
| Aug 28, 2021 | laliga |
Elche
Sevilla
|
Result | draw | 4.20 | 33.7% | 0.382 | 0.44u | Won | +1.41u |
| Aug 28, 2021 | epl |
Liverpool
Chelsea
|
Result | home | 4.20 | 47.8% | 1.009 | 1.11u | Lost | -1.11u |
| Aug 28, 2021 | epl |
Newcastle United
Southampton
|
Result | home | 3.20 | 47.2% | 0.512 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Aug 28, 2021 | epl |
Liverpool
Chelsea
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 35.0% | 0.242 | 0.30u | Won | +0.27u |
| Aug 28, 2021 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Everton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 32.9% | 0.281 | 0.40u | Won | +0.36u |
| Aug 28, 2021 | epl |
Norwich City
Leicester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 32.9% | 0.281 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Aug 28, 2021 | epl |
Newcastle United
Southampton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 32.9% | 0.281 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Aug 23, 2021 | epl |
West Ham United
Leicester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.1% | 0.220 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 23, 2021 | epl |
West Ham United
Leicester City
|
Result | home | 4.50 | 43.2% | 0.943 | 1.20u | Won | +4.20u |
| Aug 22, 2021 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Result | away | 2.90 | 40.4% | 0.101 | 0.43u | Won | +0.82u |
| Aug 22, 2021 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 35.0% | 0.242 | 0.46u | Won | +0.42u |
| Aug 22, 2021 | epl |
Southampton
Manchester United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 35.5% | 0.232 | 0.43u | Won | +0.39u |
| Aug 22, 2021 | epl |
Arsenal
Chelsea
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 32.9% | 0.281 | 0.61u | Won | +0.55u |
| Aug 21, 2021 | epl |
Liverpool
Burnley
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 32.8% | 0.282 | 0.38u | Won | +0.35u |
| Aug 21, 2021 | epl |
Leeds United
Everton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 32.8% | 0.282 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Aug 21, 2021 | epl |
Aston Villa
Newcastle United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 32.8% | 0.282 | 0.38u | Won | +0.35u |
| Aug 21, 2021 | epl |
Manchester City
Norwich City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 32.9% | 0.281 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Aug 21, 2021 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Brentford
|
Result | home | 2.80 | 45.6% | 0.275 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Aug 21, 2021 | epl |
Liverpool
Burnley
|
Result | away | 3.60 | 50.0% | 0.232 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| Aug 21, 2021 | epl |
Manchester City
Norwich City
|
Result | away | 4.33 | 42.2% | 0.486 | 0.75u | Lost | -0.75u |
| Aug 21, 2021 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Watford
|
Result | home | 2.60 | 43.4% | 0.129 | 0.11u | Won | +0.18u |
| Aug 20, 2021 | laliga |
Real Betis
Cádiz
|
Result | draw | 4.50 | 35.6% | 0.401 | 0.92u | Won | +3.22u |
| Aug 15, 2021 | laliga |
Barcelona
Real Sociedad
|
Result | draw | 4.75 | 37.4% | 0.598 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| Aug 15, 2021 | laliga |
Celta Vigo
Atlético Madrid
|
Result | away | 5.00 | 40.2% | 0.592 | 0.74u | Won | +2.96u |
| Aug 15, 2021 | epl |
Newcastle United
West Ham United
|
Result | home | 3.10 | 43.4% | 0.347 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 15, 2021 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Manchester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 43.2% | 0.084 | 0.65u | Won | +0.59u |
| Aug 15, 2021 | epl |
Newcastle United
West Ham United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 42.5% | 0.099 | 0.85u | Lost | -0.85u |
| Aug 14, 2021 | epl |
Manchester United
Leeds United
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 57.0% | 0.089 | 0.09u | Won | +0.08u |
| Aug 14, 2021 | epl |
Everton
Southampton
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 63.4% | 0.211 | 0.42u | Won | +0.38u |
| Aug 14, 2021 | epl |
Watford
Aston Villa
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 34.0% | 0.261 | 0.63u | Lost | -0.63u |
| Aug 14, 2021 | epl |
Chelsea
Crystal Palace
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 37.5% | 0.193 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Aug 14, 2021 | epl |
Leicester City
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Result | home | 3.30 | 43.0% | 0.420 | 0.20u | Won | +0.46u |
| Aug 14, 2021 | epl |
Burnley
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Result | home | 3.40 | 46.9% | 0.595 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Aug 14, 2021 | epl |
Watford
Aston Villa
|
Result | draw | 4.75 | 30.4% | 0.872 | 0.58u | Lost | -0.58u |
| Aug 14, 2021 | epl |
Chelsea
Crystal Palace
|
Result | away | 5.00 | 50.8% | 0.684 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Aug 14, 2021 | laliga |
Osasuna
Espanyol
|
Result | draw | 4.20 | 26.8% | 0.566 | 1.20u | Won | +3.84u |
| Aug 13, 2021 | epl |
Brentford
Arsenal
|
Result | away | 4.75 | 48.3% | 0.558 | 1.19u | Lost | -1.19u |
| Aug 13, 2021 | epl |
Brentford
Arsenal
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 42.6% | 0.096 | 0.84u | Won | +0.76u |
| May 23, 2021 | epl |
Sheffield United
Burnley
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 33.1% | 0.277 | 0.38u | Won | +0.35u |
| May 23, 2021 | epl |
Leeds United
West Bromwich Albion
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 26.8% | 0.397 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| May 23, 2021 | epl |
Arsenal
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.6% | 0.153 | 0.13u | Won | +0.12u |
| May 23, 2021 | epl |
Manchester City
Everton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.1% | 0.221 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| May 23, 2021 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Manchester United
|
Result | away | 2.90 | 33.3% | 0.531 | 1.04u | Won | +1.98u |
| May 23, 2021 | epl |
Liverpool
Crystal Palace
|
Result | draw | 4.75 | 41.8% | 0.202 | 0.10u | Lost | -0.10u |
| May 23, 2021 | epl |
Leeds United
West Bromwich Albion
|
Result | home | 3.80 | 33.6% | 0.275 | 0.23u | Won | +0.64u |
| May 23, 2021 | epl |
Arsenal
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Result | away | 3.20 | 46.9% | 0.182 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| May 22, 2021 | laliga |
Elche
Athletic Club
|
Result | home | 3.30 | 42.7% | 0.408 | 0.30u | Won | +0.69u |
| May 22, 2021 | laliga |
Celta Vigo
Real Betis
|
Result | home | 5.00 | 41.7% | 1.084 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.