Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 11:24 AM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2022 | epl |
Watford
Arsenal
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.4% | 0.157 | 0.54u | Lost | -0.54u |
| Mar 6, 2022 | laliga |
Real Betis
Atlético Madrid
|
Result | home | 3.50 | 42.1% | 0.473 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Mar 5, 2022 | laliga |
Espanyol
Getafe
|
Result | home | 3.40 | 41.3% | 0.404 | 1.20u | Won | +2.88u |
| Mar 5, 2022 | epl |
Aston Villa
Southampton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.8% | 0.207 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Mar 5, 2022 | epl |
Newcastle United
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 34.7% | 0.247 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Mar 5, 2022 | epl |
Burnley
Chelsea
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.0% | 0.126 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| Mar 5, 2022 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Crystal Palace
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.9% | 0.166 | 0.29u | Won | +0.26u |
| Mar 5, 2022 | bundesliga |
VfL Bochum
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
|
Home away | 12 | 1.29 | 93.0% | 0.195 | 1.20u | Won | +0.34u |
| Mar 5, 2022 | epl |
Aston Villa
Southampton
|
Result | home | 2.30 | 60.0% | 0.380 | 0.41u | Won | +0.53u |
| Mar 5, 2022 | epl |
Norwich City
Brentford
|
Result | away | 3.10 | 27.2% | 0.461 | 0.44u | Won | +0.92u |
| Mar 5, 2022 | epl |
Newcastle United
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Result | home | 2.05 | 58.5% | 0.200 | 0.13u | Won | +0.14u |
| Mar 5, 2022 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Crystal Palace
|
Result | away | 2.40 | 27.9% | 0.438 | 0.52u | Won | +0.73u |
| Mar 4, 2022 | bundesliga |
Arminia Bielefeld
FC Augsburg
|
Home away | 12 | 1.36 | 86.7% | 0.183 | 1.20u | Won | +0.44u |
| Mar 1, 2022 | epl |
Burnley
Leicester City
|
Result | home | 2.90 | 41.1% | 0.191 | 0.80u | Lost | -0.80u |
| Mar 1, 2022 | epl |
Burnley
Leicester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.7% | 0.208 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Feb 27, 2022 | epl |
West Ham United
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.0% | 0.165 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Feb 27, 2022 | epl |
West Ham United
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Result | away | 4.50 | 40.0% | 0.671 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 26, 2022 | epl |
Manchester United
Watford
|
Result | away | 4.33 | 38.5% | 0.569 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Feb 26, 2022 | epl |
Leeds United
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Result | home | 3.75 | 48.7% | 0.827 | 0.90u | Lost | -0.90u |
| Feb 26, 2022 | epl |
Brentford
Newcastle United
|
Result | away | 3.40 | 39.2% | 0.271 | 0.12u | Won | +0.29u |
| Feb 26, 2022 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Aston Villa
|
Result | away | 3.50 | 42.2% | 0.256 | 0.10u | Won | +0.25u |
| Feb 26, 2022 | epl |
Brentford
Newcastle United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 43.9% | 0.071 | 0.09u | Won | +0.08u |
| Feb 26, 2022 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Burnley
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.7% | 0.209 | 0.60u | Won | +0.55u |
| Feb 26, 2022 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Aston Villa
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.6% | 0.115 | 0.21u | Won | +0.19u |
| Feb 26, 2022 | epl |
Everton
Manchester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.6% | 0.210 | 0.60u | Won | +0.55u |
| Feb 25, 2022 | epl |
Southampton
Norwich City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.8% | 0.206 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Feb 25, 2022 | bundesliga |
TSG Hoffenheim
VfB Stuttgart
|
Home away | 12 | 1.18 | 95.1% | 0.124 | 1.20u | Won | +0.22u |
| Feb 23, 2022 | epl |
Liverpool
Leeds United
|
Result | home | 4.75 | 51.5% | 1.445 | 1.03u | Won | +3.86u |
| Feb 23, 2022 | epl |
Watford
Crystal Palace
|
Result | home | 4.50 | 40.9% | 0.841 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Feb 23, 2022 | epl |
Burnley
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Result | home | 2.88 | 45.4% | 0.308 | 0.09u | Won | +0.17u |
| Feb 23, 2022 | epl |
Liverpool
Leeds United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.5% | 0.154 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Feb 23, 2022 | epl |
Watford
Crystal Palace
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.2% | 0.142 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Feb 23, 2022 | epl |
Burnley
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 37.4% | 0.195 | 0.68u | Won | +0.62u |
| Feb 20, 2022 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Leicester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.8% | 0.168 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Feb 20, 2022 | epl |
Leeds United
Manchester United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 25.4% | 0.424 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 20, 2022 | laliga |
Real Betis
Mallorca
|
Result | home | 3.60 | 42.9% | 0.543 | 0.73u | Won | +1.90u |
| Feb 20, 2022 | laliga |
Valencia
Barcelona
|
Result | home | 3.50 | 44.4% | 0.553 | 0.77u | Lost | -0.77u |
| Feb 19, 2022 | laliga |
Granada
Villarreal
|
Result | home | 4.33 | 44.5% | 0.926 | 0.97u | Lost | -0.97u |
| Feb 19, 2022 | laliga |
Cádiz
Getafe
|
Result | home | 3.60 | 42.5% | 0.531 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Feb 19, 2022 | laliga |
Real Madrid
Alavés
|
Result | home | 3.00 | 41.8% | 0.253 | 0.12u | Won | +0.24u |
| Feb 19, 2022 | epl |
West Ham United
Newcastle United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.2% | 0.142 | 0.19u | Won | +0.17u |
| Feb 19, 2022 | epl |
Manchester City
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.5% | 0.155 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| Feb 19, 2022 | epl |
Arsenal
Brentford
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.2% | 0.219 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Feb 19, 2022 | epl |
Southampton
Everton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 33.2% | 0.274 | 0.65u | Won | +0.59u |
| Feb 19, 2022 | epl |
Aston Villa
Watford
|
Result | away | 3.60 | 43.2% | 0.138 | 0.42u | Won | +1.09u |
| Feb 19, 2022 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Chelsea
|
Result | away | 4.20 | 43.0% | 0.317 | 0.79u | Won | +2.53u |
| Feb 18, 2022 | laliga |
Elche
Rayo Vallecano
|
Result | home | 3.00 | 43.2% | 0.295 | 1.18u | Won | +2.36u |
| Feb 15, 2022 | epl |
Manchester United
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Result | away | 4.75 | 46.6% | 0.578 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 15, 2022 | epl |
Manchester United
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.5% | 0.213 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Feb 14, 2022 | laliga |
Mallorca
Athletic Club
|
Result | home | 3.00 | 43.4% | 0.302 | 1.20u | Won | +2.40u |
| Feb 13, 2022 | laliga |
Real Sociedad
Granada
|
Result | home | 3.10 | 43.1% | 0.338 | 1.20u | Won | +2.52u |
| Feb 13, 2022 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.0% | 0.222 | 0.36u | Won | +0.33u |
| Feb 13, 2022 | epl |
Newcastle United
Aston Villa
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.5% | 0.213 | 0.34u | Won | +0.31u |
| Feb 13, 2022 | epl |
Burnley
Liverpool
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.0% | 0.222 | 0.36u | Won | +0.33u |
| Feb 13, 2022 | epl |
Leicester City
West Ham United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 34.7% | 0.246 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Feb 13, 2022 | epl |
Burnley
Liverpool
|
Result | home | 2.75 | 67.6% | 0.859 | 0.96u | Lost | -0.96u |
| Feb 13, 2022 | epl |
Leicester City
West Ham United
|
Result | away | 2.40 | 25.9% | 0.592 | 0.54u | Lost | -0.54u |
| Feb 12, 2022 | epl |
Norwich City
Manchester City
|
Result | home | 4.00 | 31.5% | 0.259 | 0.09u | Lost | -0.09u |
| Feb 12, 2022 | epl |
Watford
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Result | away | 2.50 | 32.5% | 0.408 | 0.33u | Won | +0.50u |
| Feb 12, 2022 | epl |
Everton
Leeds United
|
Result | home | 2.55 | 69.0% | 0.760 | 1.08u | Won | +1.67u |
| Feb 12, 2022 | epl |
Manchester United
Southampton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 35.3% | 0.235 | 0.41u | Won | +0.37u |
| Feb 12, 2022 | epl |
Norwich City
Manchester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.0% | 0.222 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Feb 12, 2022 | epl |
Watford
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.5% | 0.213 | 0.35u | Won | +0.32u |
| Feb 12, 2022 | epl |
Everton
Leeds United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.0% | 0.222 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Feb 12, 2022 | laliga |
Rayo Vallecano
Osasuna
|
Result | home | 4.20 | 41.1% | 0.724 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 10, 2022 | epl |
Liverpool
Leicester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.1% | 0.220 | 0.74u | Won | +0.67u |
| Feb 10, 2022 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Arsenal
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.0% | 0.222 | 0.76u | Won | +0.69u |
| Feb 9, 2022 | epl |
Manchester City
Brentford
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.6% | 0.172 | 0.32u | Won | +0.29u |
| Feb 9, 2022 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Southampton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.1% | 0.182 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Feb 9, 2022 | epl |
Norwich City
Crystal Palace
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.1% | 0.182 | 0.35u | Won | +0.32u |
| Feb 9, 2022 | epl |
Aston Villa
Leeds United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.6% | 0.211 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Feb 9, 2022 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Southampton
|
Result | home | 3.60 | 36.5% | 0.315 | 0.08u | Lost | -0.08u |
| Feb 9, 2022 | epl |
Norwich City
Crystal Palace
|
Result | draw | 4.00 | 31.2% | 0.593 | 0.25u | Won | +0.75u |
| Feb 9, 2022 | epl |
Aston Villa
Leeds United
|
Result | draw | 3.20 | 13.7% | 1.170 | 1.17u | Won | +2.57u |
| Feb 8, 2022 | epl |
Newcastle United
Everton
|
Result | away | 2.80 | 39.5% | 0.208 | 0.92u | Lost | -0.92u |
| Feb 8, 2022 | epl |
Newcastle United
Everton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.1% | 0.220 | 0.49u | Lost | -0.49u |
| Feb 8, 2022 | epl |
Burnley
Manchester United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.1% | 0.220 | 0.49u | Won | +0.45u |
| Feb 8, 2022 | epl |
West Ham United
Watford
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 35.8% | 0.226 | 0.52u | Won | +0.47u |
| Feb 5, 2022 | epl |
Burnley
Watford
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 35.8% | 0.226 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Feb 5, 2022 | bundesliga |
FC Cologne
SC Freiburg
|
Home away | 12 | 1.29 | 86.5% | 0.112 | 1.20u | Won | +0.34u |
| Feb 5, 2022 | epl |
Burnley
Watford
|
Result | away | 5.00 | 45.5% | 0.544 | 1.09u | Lost | -1.09u |
| Jan 23, 2022 | epl |
Chelsea
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Result | home | 2.15 | 50.1% | 0.078 | 0.54u | Won | +0.62u |
| Jan 23, 2022 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Liverpool
|
Result | away | 2.80 | 36.4% | 0.195 | 0.86u | Won | +1.55u |
| Jan 23, 2022 | epl |
Chelsea
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 35.8% | 0.226 | 0.36u | Won | +0.33u |
| Jan 23, 2022 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Liverpool
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 34.4% | 0.253 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Jan 23, 2022 | epl |
Leicester City
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 37.7% | 0.190 | 0.26u | Won | +0.24u |
| Jan 23, 2022 | epl |
Arsenal
Burnley
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 34.6% | 0.249 | 0.43u | Won | +0.39u |
| Jan 23, 2022 | laliga |
Real Madrid
Elche
|
Result | draw | 3.10 | 33.7% | 0.303 | 0.35u | Won | +0.74u |
| Jan 23, 2022 | laliga |
Real Sociedad
Getafe
|
Result | draw | 3.40 | 32.9% | 0.489 | 0.78u | Won | +1.87u |
| Jan 23, 2022 | laliga |
Granada
Osasuna
|
Result | draw | 3.10 | 33.4% | 0.316 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Jan 22, 2022 | laliga |
Villarreal
Mallorca
|
Result | draw | 3.25 | 33.6% | 0.308 | 1.09u | Lost | -1.09u |
| Jan 22, 2022 | epl |
Everton
Aston Villa
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 35.8% | 0.226 | 0.32u | Won | +0.29u |
| Jan 22, 2022 | epl |
Southampton
Manchester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 34.6% | 0.249 | 0.39u | Won | +0.35u |
| Jan 22, 2022 | epl |
Manchester United
West Ham United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 34.6% | 0.249 | 0.39u | Won | +0.35u |
| Jan 22, 2022 | epl |
Brentford
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 34.4% | 0.253 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Jan 22, 2022 | epl |
Leeds United
Newcastle United
|
Result | home | 2.70 | 50.5% | 0.362 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jan 22, 2022 | epl |
Manchester United
West Ham United
|
Result | home | 1.91 | 59.0% | 0.127 | 0.30u | Won | +0.27u |
| Jan 21, 2022 | epl |
Watford
Norwich City
|
Result | away | 3.75 | 36.4% | 0.476 | 1.20u | Won | +3.30u |
| Jan 21, 2022 | epl |
Watford
Norwich City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 35.8% | 0.226 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jan 19, 2022 | epl |
Leicester City
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 46.3% | 0.026 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.