Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 14, 2026 11:14 PM EDT
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.51
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.147
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.63u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.27
Prob
51.5%
EV/u
0.110
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.02
Prob
53.1%
EV/u
0.028
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.14
Prob
51.8%
EV/u
0.058
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.235
Stake
0.85u
Lost
-0.85u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
50.2%
EV/u
0.075
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.44u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.08
Prob
51.5%
EV/u
0.027
Stake
0.12u
Won
+0.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.58
Prob
53.7%
EV/u
0.354
Stake
0.57u
Won
+0.90u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.18
Prob
51.5%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.13u
Won
+0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.09
Prob
53.9%
EV/u
0.073
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
51.5%
EV/u
0.287
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
52.7%
EV/u
0.079
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.39
Prob
51.5%
EV/u
0.161
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.28
Prob
52.4%
EV/u
0.132
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
0.185
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
3.06
Prob
51.5%
EV/u
0.537
Stake
1.03u
Won
+2.12u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
50.6%
EV/u
0.385
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.83u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.74
Prob
51.1%
EV/u
0.369
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.80u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
52.3%
EV/u
0.355
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.76u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.42
Prob
54.8%
EV/u
0.243
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.38
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.06u
Won
+0.08u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.51
Prob
50.6%
EV/u
0.246
Stake
0.90u
Lost
-0.90u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
53.3%
EV/u
0.022
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.39
Prob
51.5%
EV/u
0.163
Stake
0.67u
Won
+0.93u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
3.53
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.19
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.045
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.69
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
0.353
Stake
1.02u
Lost
-1.02u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.48
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.152
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.74u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
3.03
Prob
57.7%
EV/u
0.699
Stake
1.50u
Won
+3.05u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.18
Prob
49.6%
EV/u
0.035
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.42
Prob
53.9%
EV/u
0.225
Stake
0.86u
Won
+1.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.11
Prob
53.2%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.12
Prob
55.2%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
51.5%
EV/u
0.481
Stake
0.97u
Lost
-0.97u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
51.8%
EV/u
0.114
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.08
Prob
56.4%
EV/u
0.112
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.43
Prob
49.7%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.47
Prob
52.9%
EV/u
0.226
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.59u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
53.5%
EV/u
0.132
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.58
Prob
52.2%
EV/u
0.317
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.19
Prob
54.8%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.26
Prob
50.9%
EV/u
0.094
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.57
Prob
57.6%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.31
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
0.075
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.78
Prob
48.7%
EV/u
0.658
Stake
0.80u
Won
+2.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
1.85
Prob
59.0%
EV/u
0.041
Stake
0.13u
Won
+0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.26
Prob
53.4%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
3.05
Prob
51.7%
EV/u
0.537
Stake
1.05u
Won
+2.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
1.99
Prob
55.0%
EV/u
0.045
Stake
0.13u
Won
+0.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.61
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
0.314
Stake
0.87u
Won
+1.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.67
Prob
50.9%
EV/u
0.330
Stake
0.93u
Lost
-0.93u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.02
Prob
55.3%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.71
Prob
49.6%
EV/u
0.315
Stake
0.63u
Lost
-0.63u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.47
Prob
53.4%
EV/u
0.237
Stake
0.55u
Won
+0.81u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.32
Prob
48.7%
EV/u
0.076
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.02
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.112
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.97
Prob
52.2%
EV/u
0.039
Stake
0.06u
Lost
-0.06u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
1.97
Prob
55.3%
EV/u
0.042
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.17
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
0.028
Stake
0.13u
Won
+0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
1.97
Prob
56.3%
EV/u
0.059
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
New York Mets
away
Odds
3.18
Prob
54.1%
EV/u
0.181
Stake
0.46u
Won
+1.00u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.16
Prob
51.6%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.74
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.084
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
54.2%
EV/u
0.175
Stake
0.62u
Won
+0.81u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
55.6%
EV/u
0.060
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.13
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.020
Stake
0.08u
Won
+0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.13
Prob
54.2%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.09
Prob
54.1%
EV/u
0.077
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.23
Prob
54.7%
EV/u
0.153
Stake
0.72u
Lost
-0.72u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.13
Prob
53.4%
EV/u
0.082
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.55u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
48.5%
EV/u
0.023
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
New York Mets
home
Odds
1.98
Prob
55.1%
EV/u
0.044
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.74
Prob
50.3%
EV/u
0.090
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.37
Prob
50.9%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.02
Prob
54.5%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
1.97
Prob
59.0%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.12
Prob
52.7%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.47
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.033
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.49
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.302
Stake
0.66u
Lost
-0.66u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.52
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.079
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.073
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.84
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.53
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.089
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.54u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
3.41
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.451
Stake
1.01u
Lost
-1.01u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.81
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.060
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.44
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.021
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
2.86
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.074
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.73
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.025
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.81
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.056
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.029
Stake
0.12u
Won
+0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.83
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
3.09
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.155
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.88u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.74
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.032
Stake
0.13u
Won
+0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.31
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.237
Stake
0.57u
Won
+1.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.051
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.78
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.047
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.