Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 14, 2026 11:14 PM EDT
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.69
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.058
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.57
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.130
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.52u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.88
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.502
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.86
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.593
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.76
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.192
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.77u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.184
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.58
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.147
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.44u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.53
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
3.05
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.321
Stake
0.55u
Won
+1.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.16
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.83
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.152
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.51u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.03
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.199
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.73u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
3.08
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.237
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
away
Odds
3.09
Prob
38.7%
EV/u
0.339
Stake
0.57u
Won
+1.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.59
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.393
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.93u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.66
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.06u
Lost
-0.06u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.84
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.270
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.93
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.183
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.71u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.83
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.206
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.22
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.248
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.46
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.046
Stake
0.07u
Won
+0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.16
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.205
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.82u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.56
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.322
Stake
0.78u
Lost
-0.78u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.44
Prob
35.8%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.65u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.09
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.221
Stake
0.58u
Lost
-0.58u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.69
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.107
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.01
Prob
53.8%
EV/u
0.059
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.22
Prob
50.7%
EV/u
0.294
Stake
0.73u
Lost
-0.73u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.81
Prob
48.7%
EV/u
0.099
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.58u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.107
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.63u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.09
Prob
53.2%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.46
Prob
48.5%
EV/u
0.350
Stake
0.77u
Lost
-0.77u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.24
Prob
50.7%
EV/u
0.305
Stake
0.63u
Lost
-0.63u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.83
Prob
50.3%
EV/u
0.137
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.62u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.69
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.180
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.46
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.076
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.98
Prob
54.7%
EV/u
0.072
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.69
Prob
51.5%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.09u
Won
+0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
3.76
Prob
51.3%
EV/u
0.529
Stake
0.47u
Won
+1.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.24
Prob
54.9%
EV/u
0.216
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.52
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
3.09
Prob
53.1%
EV/u
0.162
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.11
Prob
51.5%
EV/u
0.191
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
51.5%
EV/u
0.112
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.64
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.058
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
49.7%
EV/u
0.378
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
3.09
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.359
Stake
0.72u
Lost
-0.72u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
55.3%
EV/u
0.058
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.81
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
0.314
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.70u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Houston Astros
away
Odds
3.01
Prob
51.1%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.71
Prob
54.0%
EV/u
0.430
Stake
0.60u
Won
+1.03u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
47.9%
EV/u
0.177
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
4.04
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.608
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.474
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.75u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.94
Prob
48.5%
EV/u
0.392
Stake
0.55u
Lost
-0.55u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.57
Prob
47.9%
EV/u
0.208
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
3.65
Prob
53.4%
EV/u
0.352
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
3.70
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.386
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Houston Astros
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
55.5%
EV/u
0.272
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.48
Prob
52.1%
EV/u
0.215
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
3.78
Prob
56.9%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
3.13
Prob
50.8%
EV/u
0.173
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.36
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.119
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.234
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.71u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.53
Prob
51.5%
EV/u
0.276
Stake
0.55u
Lost
-0.55u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
51.5%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.11
Prob
52.9%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
3.41
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.254
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.44
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.087
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.18
Prob
54.0%
EV/u
0.190
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
51.1%
EV/u
0.214
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.236
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.93
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.306
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.47
Prob
49.7%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.73
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.228
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.64
Prob
50.9%
EV/u
0.316
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.71u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.44
Prob
50.3%
EV/u
0.342
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.78u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
50.5%
EV/u
0.357
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.71
Prob
53.5%
EV/u
0.415
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.93
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.333
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.67
Prob
51.1%
EV/u
0.334
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.69
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.457
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.71
Prob
49.6%
EV/u
0.315
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
52.1%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.51
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.240
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.63u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.57
Prob
50.5%
EV/u
0.271
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.47
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.163
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.19
Prob
54.3%
EV/u
0.152
Stake
0.17u
Won
+0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
52.9%
EV/u
0.217
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.29
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.076
Stake
0.07u
Won
+0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.276
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.64u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
49.5%
EV/u
0.215
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.91
Prob
47.0%
EV/u
0.338
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.76u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.72
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
0.122
Stake
0.11u
Won
+0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
3.09
Prob
52.4%
EV/u
0.576
Stake
0.62u
Won
+1.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.39
Prob
49.8%
EV/u
0.321
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.