Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 14, 2026 11:14 PM EDT
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.34
Prob
54.1%
EV/u
0.191
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.69
Prob
52.9%
EV/u
0.389
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
53.4%
EV/u
0.229
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
52.5%
EV/u
0.385
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.61
Prob
53.3%
EV/u
0.361
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.67
Prob
52.7%
EV/u
0.376
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.46
Prob
53.9%
EV/u
0.243
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.44
Prob
53.2%
EV/u
0.219
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
3.32
Prob
53.9%
EV/u
0.740
Stake
0.44u
Won
+1.02u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
52.7%
EV/u
0.541
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
51.8%
EV/u
0.392
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
53.3%
EV/u
0.507
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.49
Prob
53.8%
EV/u
0.254
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.68
Prob
52.5%
EV/u
0.374
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
54.8%
EV/u
0.523
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.16
Prob
53.5%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.51
Prob
53.5%
EV/u
0.314
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.62
Prob
53.2%
EV/u
0.363
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.66u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
52.7%
EV/u
0.192
Stake
0.19u
Won
+0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.43
Prob
53.7%
EV/u
0.224
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
3.35
Prob
53.1%
EV/u
0.729
Stake
0.50u
Won
+1.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.56
Prob
54.7%
EV/u
0.368
Stake
0.73u
Won
+1.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.63
Prob
53.2%
EV/u
0.368
Stake
0.70u
Lost
-0.70u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
51.8%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
53.9%
EV/u
0.031
Stake
0.06u
Lost
-0.06u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.18
Prob
54.1%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.44u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.11
Prob
53.5%
EV/u
0.075
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.52
Prob
52.6%
EV/u
0.298
Stake
0.68u
Lost
-0.68u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.17
Prob
54.0%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.11
Prob
52.9%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.41
Prob
53.6%
EV/u
0.215
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.48
Prob
53.1%
EV/u
0.234
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.59u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.51
Prob
53.6%
EV/u
0.318
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.26
Prob
54.1%
EV/u
0.155
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
54.3%
EV/u
0.155
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.29
Prob
52.8%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.42
Prob
56.5%
EV/u
0.279
Stake
0.87u
Lost
-0.87u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.31
Prob
53.2%
EV/u
0.161
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.78
Prob
52.9%
EV/u
0.436
Stake
0.51u
Won
+0.91u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.52
Prob
53.0%
EV/u
0.308
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.65u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.04
Prob
53.8%
EV/u
0.049
Stake
0.06u
Won
+0.06u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.31
Prob
54.0%
EV/u
0.175
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.71
Prob
52.9%
EV/u
0.400
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.84u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.87
Prob
53.8%
EV/u
0.505
Stake
0.61u
Lost
-0.61u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.42
Prob
53.2%
EV/u
0.209
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
52.7%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.05u
Lost
-0.05u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.59
Prob
53.2%
EV/u
0.347
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.39
Prob
54.1%
EV/u
0.215
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.37
Prob
54.3%
EV/u
0.210
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
52.8%
EV/u
0.059
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.46
Prob
53.6%
EV/u
0.237
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
3.03
Prob
52.8%
EV/u
0.559
Stake
0.82u
Won
+1.66u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.28
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
54.6%
EV/u
0.181
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.23
Prob
54.2%
EV/u
0.140
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
3.55
Prob
53.1%
EV/u
0.886
Stake
0.56u
Won
+1.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
0.429
Stake
1.13u
Lost
-1.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.51
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
home
Odds
3.09
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.192
Stake
0.51u
Won
+1.07u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.74
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.68u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.025
Stake
0.06u
Won
+0.08u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.207
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.08
Prob
48.6%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.250
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.44
Prob
48.0%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.112
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.279
Stake
0.59u
Lost
-0.59u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.83
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.03
Prob
58.1%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.28
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.158
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.64u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.266
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.170
Stake
0.62u
Lost
-0.62u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.52
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.028
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.26
Prob
47.9%
EV/u
0.032
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
1.96
Prob
62.0%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.65u
Won
+0.63u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.36
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.49
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.255
Stake
0.56u
Lost
-0.56u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.33
Prob
51.7%
EV/u
0.139
Stake
0.61u
Lost
-0.61u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.49
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.034
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.46
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.43
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.61
Prob
55.2%
EV/u
0.407
Stake
1.37u
Won
+2.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.88
Prob
56.1%
EV/u
0.572
Stake
1.50u
Lost
-1.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
1.97
Prob
55.5%
EV/u
0.045
Stake
0.10u
Won
+0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.27
Prob
31.2%
EV/u
0.187
Stake
0.60u
Won
+0.76u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.79
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.247
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.59
Prob
38.7%
EV/u
0.180
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.80u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.31
Prob
50.5%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.51u
Won
+0.67u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.58
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.087
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.76
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.056
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
New York Mets
away
Odds
2.66
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.037
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.96
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.309
Stake
0.86u
Lost
-0.86u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.41
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.033
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.16
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.226
Stake
0.58u
Lost
-0.58u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.19
Prob
53.8%
EV/u
0.115
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.030
Stake
0.07u
Lost
-0.07u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.01
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.