Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 14, 2026 11:14 PM EDT
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.78
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.047
Stake
0.17u
Won
+0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.56
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.71
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.020
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.72
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.023
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.93
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.74
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.029
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.82
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.51
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.72
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.165
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.39
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.269
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.56
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.349
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.98
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.51u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
51.2%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.53
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.137
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.039
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.23
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.78u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
New York Yankees
home
Odds
3.28
Prob
50.2%
EV/u
0.602
Stake
1.42u
Won
+3.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.77
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.295
Stake
0.85u
Won
+1.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.44
Prob
50.2%
EV/u
0.157
Stake
0.47u
Won
+0.68u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.53
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.161
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.60u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.41
Prob
48.6%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.38
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.90u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.24
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.172
Stake
0.55u
Lost
-0.55u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
0.035
Stake
0.08u
Won
+0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.61
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.177
Stake
0.55u
Lost
-0.55u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.68
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.199
Stake
0.61u
Won
+1.02u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.29
Prob
49.7%
EV/u
0.083
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.55u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.07
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
0.021
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.68
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.238
Stake
0.72u
Won
+1.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.41
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.089
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.42
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.094
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.18
Prob
50.1%
EV/u
0.044
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.38
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.15u
Won
+0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.43
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.110
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.51
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.238
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.62
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.198
Stake
0.68u
Won
+1.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.31
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.63
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.153
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.47
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
0.195
Stake
0.73u
Lost
-0.73u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.26
Prob
49.5%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.47
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.36
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.030
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.077
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.48
Prob
48.4%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.54u
Won
+0.80u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.43
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.032
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.52
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.16
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.172
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
3.03
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.321
Stake
0.86u
Lost
-0.86u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.33
Prob
50.3%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.52u
Won
+0.69u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.68
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.190
Stake
0.63u
Won
+1.06u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.38
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.024
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.151
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.86u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.77
Prob
48.9%
EV/u
0.024
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.147
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.83u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.57
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.139
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.93
Prob
48.0%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.46u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.34
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.040
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
4.34
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.667
Stake
0.48u
Won
+1.60u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.079
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.09
Prob
52.3%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
0.072
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.31
Prob
48.7%
EV/u
0.072
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.292
Stake
0.89u
Lost
-0.89u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.59
Prob
47.8%
EV/u
0.215
Stake
0.75u
Lost
-0.75u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.024
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.32
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.319
Stake
0.75u
Won
+1.74u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.34
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.027
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.29
Prob
51.3%
EV/u
0.115
Stake
0.55u
Lost
-0.55u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.11
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.176
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.54
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.139
Stake
0.51u
Won
+0.79u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.38
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.021
Stake
0.19u
Won
+0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.73
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.041
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.26
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.81u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.17u
Won
+0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.46
Prob
50.7%
EV/u
0.175
Stake
0.68u
Lost
-0.68u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.42
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.021
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
52.2%
EV/u
0.046
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.077
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.84
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.079
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.086
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.57u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.41
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.292
Stake
0.66u
Lost
-0.66u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.61
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.62
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.89
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.034
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.81
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
47.8%
EV/u
0.035
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.41
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.084
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.08
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.115
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.58
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
3.29
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.430
Stake
0.93u
Lost
-0.93u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
3.44
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.429
Stake
0.87u
Lost
-0.87u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.68
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.091
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.54u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.84
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
34.9%
EV/u
0.225
Stake
0.74u
Lost
-0.74u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
2.56
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.