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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Jul 14, 2026 11:14 PM EDT

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First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.24
Prob
52.1%
EV/u
0.107
Stake
0.27u
Won +0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
3.21
Prob
57.7%
EV/u
0.029
Stake
0.10u
Lost -0.10u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.19
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.044
Stake
0.31u
Won +0.37u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
49.8%
EV/u
0.123
Stake
0.38u
Lost -0.38u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Cleveland Indians Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.47
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.47u
Won +0.69u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.02
Prob
53.7%
EV/u
0.040
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
1.93
Prob
58.8%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.43u
Won +0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.030
Stake
0.21u
Won +0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.07
Prob
53.9%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.43u
Lost -0.43u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.38
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.221
Stake
0.51u
Lost -0.51u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
1.86
Prob
59.8%
EV/u
0.062
Stake
0.40u
Won +0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.11
Prob
54.5%
EV/u
0.093
Stake
0.40u
Won +0.44u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.21
Prob
49.6%
EV/u
0.047
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
1.88
Prob
59.9%
EV/u
0.071
Stake
0.32u
Lost -0.32u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
53.3%
EV/u
0.044
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.34
Prob
56.8%
EV/u
0.245
Stake
0.75u
Won +1.01u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
3.09
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.382
Stake
0.53u
Lost -0.53u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.13
Prob
53.3%
EV/u
0.080
Stake
0.18u
Won +0.20u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Cleveland Indians Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
52.5%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.46
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.107
Stake
0.22u
Won +0.32u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
54.4%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.54
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.222
Stake
0.43u
Won +0.66u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.36
Prob
48.3%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.17u
Lost -0.17u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.29
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.075
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.46
Prob
56.3%
EV/u
0.294
Stake
0.57u
Lost -0.57u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.11u
Won +0.13u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
3.26
Prob
51.5%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.21u
Won +0.47u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
3.13
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.422
Stake
0.58u
Won +1.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.64
Prob
38.8%
EV/u
0.192
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.89
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.310
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.48
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.563
Stake
0.48u
Won +1.19u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.93
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.324
Stake
0.36u
Won +0.69u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.73
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.233
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.205
Stake
0.20u
Won +0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.359
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.73
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.243
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.78
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.256
Stake
0.27u
Won +0.48u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.71
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.232
Stake
0.24u
Won +0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.66
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.689
Stake
0.32u
Lost -0.32u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.78
Prob
38.7%
EV/u
0.279
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.02
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.357
Stake
0.45u
Won +0.91u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
3.37
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.535
Stake
0.56u
Won +1.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.83
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.283
Stake
0.39u
Lost -0.39u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.76
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.259
Stake
0.35u
Lost -0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.32
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.029
Stake
0.23u
Won +0.30u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.54
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.149
Stake
0.55u
Won +0.85u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.37
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.10u
Lost -0.10u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.63
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.198
Stake
0.49u
Lost -0.49u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.68
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.08u
Lost -0.08u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Indians Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
2.52
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.147
Stake
0.38u
Lost -0.38u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.52
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.39u
Won +0.59u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.52
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.143
Stake
0.36u
Won +0.55u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.49
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.086
Stake
0.38u
Won +0.57u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.62
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.199
Stake
0.68u
Won +1.10u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.69
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.040
Stake
0.16u
Won +0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.42
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.059
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.032
Stake
0.05u
Won +0.07u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.236
Stake
0.45u
Lost -0.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Indians Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
2.39
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.10u
Lost -0.10u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.64
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.040
Stake
0.06u
Lost -0.06u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.427
Stake
0.63u
Lost -0.63u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.84
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.296
Stake
0.51u
Lost -0.51u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.82
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.16u
Won +0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.51
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.12u
Won +0.17u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.98
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.346
Stake
0.59u
Lost -0.59u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
2.52
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.149
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.42
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.32u
Lost -0.32u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.205
Stake
0.54u
Lost -0.54u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.36
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.037
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.76
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.249
Stake
0.78u
Lost -0.78u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.58
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.171
Stake
0.61u
Lost -0.61u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.64
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.196
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
3.09
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.199
Stake
0.35u
Won +0.73u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.57
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.170
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.03
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.377
Stake
0.72u
Won +1.46u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.96
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.348
Stake
0.35u
Lost -0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.79
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.266
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.08
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.392
Stake
0.37u
Lost -0.37u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.66
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.226
Stake
0.20u
Won +0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
3.44
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.552
Stake
0.45u
Won +1.10u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.68
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.214
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.21
Prob
51.5%
EV/u
0.084
Stake
0.46u
Won +0.56u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
3.06
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.179
Stake
0.49u
Lost -0.49u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
53.3%
EV/u
0.304
Stake
1.11u
Lost -1.11u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
51.5%
EV/u
0.123
Stake
0.53u
Won +0.69u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.12
Prob
51.5%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.16u
Won +0.18u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.84
Prob
52.8%
EV/u
0.464
Stake
0.80u
Lost -0.80u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
3.01
Prob
52.8%
EV/u
0.549
Stake
1.00u
Won +2.01u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.39
Prob
51.5%
EV/u
0.028
Stake
0.09u
Lost -0.09u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.99
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.470
Stake
1.27u
Lost -1.27u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.29
Prob
51.1%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.53u
Lost -0.53u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.46
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.083
Stake
0.16u
Won +0.23u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.07
Prob
53.0%
EV/u
0.049
Stake
0.10u
Lost -0.10u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.86
Prob
51.5%
EV/u
0.437
Stake
0.70u
Lost -0.70u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.87
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.303
Stake
0.49u
Lost -0.49u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.03
Prob
58.5%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.34u
Won +0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.09
Prob
51.5%
EV/u
0.031
Stake
0.14u
Lost -0.14u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.64
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.163
Stake
0.43u
Won +0.71u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.