Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: May 15, 2026 2:07 PM EDT
Result
champions-league
Atlético Madrid
Barcelona
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
26.1%
EV/u
0.156
Stake
0.55u
Won
+0.83u
Result
champions-league
Liverpool
Paris Saint-Germain
home
Odds
3.75
Prob
36.1%
EV/u
0.352
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
Result
champions-league
Paris Saint-Germain
Liverpool
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.389
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
Result
champions-league
Barcelona
Atlético Madrid
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
38.7%
EV/u
0.464
Stake
0.37u
Won
+1.11u
Result
champions-league
Real Madrid
Bayern Munich
home
Odds
4.30
Prob
33.0%
EV/u
0.421
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
Result
champions-league
Manchester City
Real Madrid
draw
Odds
4.10
Prob
33.2%
EV/u
0.364
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
Draw away
champions-league
Sporting CP
Bodo/Glimt
x2
Odds
2.50
Prob
58.8%
EV/u
0.442
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
Draw away
champions-league
Arsenal
Bayer Leverkusen
x2
Odds
3.40
Prob
58.7%
EV/u
0.942
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
Draw away
champions-league
Chelsea
Paris Saint-Germain
x2
Odds
2.63
Prob
72.9%
EV/u
0.865
Stake
0.55u
Won
+0.89u
Home away
champions-league
Manchester City
Real Madrid
draw
Odds
4.10
Prob
48.3%
EV/u
1.120
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Draw away
champions-league
Real Madrid
Manchester City
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.191
Stake
0.59u
Won
+0.77u
Result
champions-league
Bodo/Glimt
Sporting CP
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.7%
EV/u
0.259
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
Result
champions-league
Real Madrid
Manchester City
draw
Odds
3.70
Prob
33.2%
EV/u
0.235
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
Result
champions-league
Paris Saint-Germain
Chelsea
draw
Odds
4.40
Prob
33.2%
EV/u
0.464
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
Result
champions-league
Newcastle United
Barcelona
home
Odds
4.60
Prob
33.2%
EV/u
0.529
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
Result
champions-league
Atlético Madrid
Tottenham Hotspur
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
33.2%
EV/u
0.674
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
Result
champions-league
Atalanta
Bayern Munich
home
Odds
4.50
Prob
33.2%
EV/u
0.496
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
Total over
champions-league
Real Madrid
Benfica
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
33.4%
EV/u
0.271
Stake
1.00u
Lost
-1.00u
Total over
champions-league
Atlético Madrid
Club Brugge
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
35.0%
EV/u
0.241
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
Total over
champions-league
Newcastle United
FK Qarabag
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
32.7%
EV/u
0.285
Stake
0.68u
Lost
-0.68u
Result
champions-league
Olympiacos
Bayer Leverkusen
home
Odds
4.30
Prob
33.2%
EV/u
0.428
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
Result
champions-league
FK Qarabag
Newcastle United
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
33.2%
EV/u
0.625
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
Result
champions-league
Bodo/Glimt
Internazionale
home
Odds
3.75
Prob
33.3%
EV/u
0.249
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.91u
Total over
champions-league
Club Brugge
Atlético Madrid
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
35.4%
EV/u
0.233
Stake
0.69u
Lost
-0.69u
Total over
champions-league
Bodo/Glimt
Internazionale
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
37.2%
EV/u
0.199
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
Draw away
champions-league
Bodo/Glimt
Internazionale
home
Odds
3.75
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
0.947
Stake
0.59u
Won
+1.62u
Draw away
champions-league
FK Qarabag
Newcastle United
x2
Odds
2.63
Prob
53.1%
EV/u
0.371
Stake
0.14u
Won
+0.23u
Draw away
champions-league
Club Brugge
Atlético Madrid
x2
Odds
5.00
Prob
51.6%
EV/u
1.582
Stake
0.47u
Won
+1.88u
Home away
champions-league
FK Qarabag
Newcastle United
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
1.549
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Result
champions-league
Galatasaray
Juventus
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
33.3%
EV/u
0.648
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
Result
champions-league
Benfica
Real Madrid
draw
Odds
3.70
Prob
33.1%
EV/u
0.200
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
Result
champions-league
Borussia Dortmund
Atalanta
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
33.1%
EV/u
0.208
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
Total over
champions-league
Galatasaray
Juventus
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.103
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
Total over
champions-league
Benfica
Real Madrid
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.59u
Won
+0.54u
Total over
champions-league
AS Monaco
Paris Saint-Germain
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.044
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
Result
champions-league
Liverpool
FK Qarabag
home
Odds
4.30
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
1.122
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.96u
Result
champions-league
Eintracht Frankfurt
Tottenham Hotspur
home
Odds
4.80
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
1.353
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
Result
champions-league
Club Brugge
Marseille
home
Odds
5.00
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
1.598
Stake
0.52u
Won
+2.08u
Total over
champions-league
Liverpool
FK Qarabag
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
32.6%
EV/u
0.286
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
Total over
champions-league
Pafos
Slavia Prague
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
32.6%
EV/u
0.288
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
Total over
champions-league
Eintracht Frankfurt
Tottenham Hotspur
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
29.7%
EV/u
0.342
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.45u
Draw away
champions-league
Paris Saint-Germain
Newcastle United
x2
Odds
3.75
Prob
53.1%
EV/u
0.991
Stake
0.37u
Won
+1.02u
Draw away
champions-league
Liverpool
FK Qarabag
home
Odds
4.30
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
1.412
Stake
0.41u
Won
+1.35u
Draw away
champions-league
Bayer Leverkusen
Villarreal
home
Odds
3.45
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
1.003
Stake
0.42u
Won
+1.03u
Home away
champions-league
PSV Eindhoven
Bayern Munich
draw
Odds
3.65
Prob
48.9%
EV/u
0.866
Stake
0.80u
Lost
-0.80u
Draw away
champions-league
FK Qarabag
Eintracht Frankfurt
home
Odds
3.25
Prob
49.5%
EV/u
0.609
Stake
1.20u
Won
+2.70u
Result
champions-league
Bayern Munich
Union St.-Gilloise
home
Odds
3.85
Prob
51.9%
EV/u
0.999
Stake
0.70u
Won
+2.00u
Result
champions-league
FK Qarabag
Eintracht Frankfurt
home
Odds
3.25
Prob
55.5%
EV/u
0.761
Stake
0.50u
Won
+1.13u
Total over
champions-league
Slavia Prague
Barcelona
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
32.9%
EV/u
0.280
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
Total over
champions-league
Newcastle United
PSV Eindhoven
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
34.7%
EV/u
0.247
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.32u
Total over
champions-league
Galatasaray
Atlético Madrid
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
33.8%
EV/u
0.264
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.36u
Result
champions-league
Villarreal
Ajax Amsterdam
home
Odds
4.00
Prob
55.1%
EV/u
1.204
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
Result
champions-league
F.C. København
Napoli
home
Odds
4.40
Prob
49.8%
EV/u
1.192
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
Result
champions-league
Real Madrid
AS Monaco
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.382
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.34u
Total over
champions-league
Villarreal
Ajax Amsterdam
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
34.4%
EV/u
0.253
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.37u
Total over
champions-league
Real Madrid
AS Monaco
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
34.5%
EV/u
0.250
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
Total over
champions-league
Olympiacos
Bayer Leverkusen
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
34.5%
EV/u
0.250
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.35u
Draw away
champions-league
Olympiacos
Bayer Leverkusen
x2
Odds
3.40
Prob
51.9%
EV/u
0.723
Stake
0.66u
Lost
-0.66u
Draw away
champions-league
Bodo/Glimt
Manchester City
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.270
Stake
0.13u
Won
+0.16u
Draw away
champions-league
Villarreal
Ajax Amsterdam
home
Odds
4.00
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
1.421
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
Draw away
champions-league
Juventus
Pafos
x2
Odds
4.50
Prob
50.1%
EV/u
1.255
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
Draw away
champions-league
Club Brugge
Arsenal
x2
Odds
3.25
Prob
80.8%
EV/u
1.543
Stake
0.63u
Won
+1.42u
Draw away
champions-league
Athletic Club
Paris Saint-Germain
x2
Odds
2.75
Prob
70.1%
EV/u
0.878
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.46u
Home away
champions-league
Real Madrid
Manchester City
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
1.539
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Result
champions-league
FK Qarabag
Ajax Amsterdam
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
31.7%
EV/u
0.217
Stake
0.53u
Won
+1.17u
Result
champions-league
Villarreal
F.C. København
home
Odds
4.40
Prob
30.8%
EV/u
0.356
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Result
champions-league
Real Madrid
Manchester City
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
30.4%
EV/u
0.600
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
Total over
champions-league
Juventus
Pafos
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.17u
Won
+0.15u
Total over
champions-league
Villarreal
F.C. København
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
37.8%
EV/u
0.187
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
Total over
champions-league
FK Qarabag
Ajax Amsterdam
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.213
Stake
0.58u
Lost
-0.58u
Result
champions-league
Internazionale
Liverpool
draw
Odds
4.80
Prob
33.5%
EV/u
0.341
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
Result
champions-league
Union St.-Gilloise
Marseille
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
34.7%
EV/u
0.407
Stake
0.56u
Won
+1.46u
Result
champions-league
AS Monaco
Galatasaray
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
33.5%
EV/u
0.343
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
Total over
champions-league
Atalanta
Chelsea
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
Total over
champions-league
AS Monaco
Galatasaray
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
32.2%
EV/u
0.294
Stake
0.77u
Won
+0.70u
Total over
champions-league
Barcelona
Eintracht Frankfurt
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.23u
Draw away
champions-league
Tottenham Hotspur
Slavia Prague
x2
Odds
2.75
Prob
56.7%
EV/u
0.529
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Home away
champions-league
Internazionale
Liverpool
draw
Odds
4.80
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
1.685
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Draw away
champions-league
Eintracht Frankfurt
Atalanta
x2
Odds
4.00
Prob
57.1%
EV/u
1.286
Stake
0.57u
Won
+1.71u
Draw away
champions-league
Atlético Madrid
Internazionale
home
Odds
4.40
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
1.435
Stake
0.59u
Won
+2.01u
Result
champions-league
Atlético Madrid
Internazionale
home
Odds
4.40
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.846
Stake
0.60u
Won
+2.04u
Result
champions-league
Liverpool
PSV Eindhoven
away
Odds
3.70
Prob
35.6%
EV/u
0.662
Stake
0.50u
Won
+1.35u
Result
champions-league
Paris Saint-Germain
Tottenham Hotspur
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.323
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
Total over
champions-league
Atlético Madrid
Internazionale
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
33.8%
EV/u
0.264
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
Total over
champions-league
Eintracht Frankfurt
Atalanta
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.259
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
Total over
champions-league
Arsenal
Bayern Munich
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
33.5%
EV/u
0.270
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
Total over
champions-league
Liverpool
PSV Eindhoven
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.172
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
Total over
champions-league
Paris Saint-Germain
Tottenham Hotspur
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
31.8%
EV/u
0.302
Stake
0.56u
Lost
-0.56u
Result
champions-league
Borussia Dortmund
Villarreal
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.266
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.44u
Result
champions-league
Ajax Amsterdam
Benfica
home
Odds
3.90
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.562
Stake
0.66u
Lost
-0.66u
Result
champions-league
Slavia Prague
Athletic Club
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
38.9%
EV/u
0.394
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.96u
Total over
champions-league
Slavia Prague
Athletic Club
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.25u
Total over
champions-league
Chelsea
Barcelona
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
34.7%
EV/u
0.247
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.35u
Total over
champions-league
Ajax Amsterdam
Benfica
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
38.8%
EV/u
0.169
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.32u
Total over
champions-league
Borussia Dortmund
Villarreal
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
36.1%
EV/u
0.220
Stake
0.57u
Lost
-0.57u
Draw away
champions-league
Slavia Prague
Athletic Club
x2
Odds
2.00
Prob
71.2%
EV/u
0.349
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.21u
Draw away
champions-league
Ajax Amsterdam
Benfica
home
Odds
3.90
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
1.024
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
Draw away
champions-league
Napoli
FK Qarabag
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.702
Stake
0.53u
Won
+1.06u
Draw away
champions-league
Manchester City
Borussia Dortmund
x2
Odds
3.25
Prob
51.7%
EV/u
0.642
Stake
0.55u
Lost
-0.55u
Draw away
champions-league
Club Brugge
Barcelona
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.675
Stake
0.64u
Lost
-0.64u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.