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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Jul 14, 2026 9:14 PM EDT

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First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.45
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.501
Stake
0.62u
Won +1.52u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
48.0%
EV/u
0.178
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
35.2%
EV/u
0.597
Stake
0.73u
Lost -0.73u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
2.67
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.278
Stake
0.46u
Lost -0.46u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.161
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.237
Stake
0.46u
Lost -0.46u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.270
Stake
0.76u
Won +1.22u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.163
Stake
0.32u
Lost -0.32u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.080
Stake
0.32u
Won +0.48u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.250
Stake
0.61u
Won +1.37u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.026
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.205
Stake
0.62u
Won +1.15u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.35u
Won +0.60u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.047
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.19u
Won +0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.67
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.43u
Won +0.72u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.095
Stake
0.45u
Won +0.61u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.269
Stake
0.46u
Lost -0.46u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.559
Stake
0.88u
Won +2.07u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.037
Stake
0.07u
Lost -0.07u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.67
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.20u
Won +0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.289
Stake
0.66u
Lost -0.66u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.32u
Won +0.43u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.26u
Won +0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.174
Stake
0.56u
Won +0.98u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
0.260
Stake
0.50u
Won +0.75u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.141
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.419
Stake
0.55u
Won +1.32u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.317
Stake
0.52u
Won +1.01u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.37u
Lost -0.37u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.248
Stake
0.53u
Lost -0.53u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
49.6%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.26u
Won +0.47u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.046
Stake
0.09u
Lost -0.09u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.234
Stake
0.35u
Won +0.70u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.343
Stake
0.50u
Lost -0.50u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.564
Stake
0.47u
Lost -0.47u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.177
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.173
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.154
Stake
0.32u
Lost -0.32u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.313
Stake
0.70u
Won +1.47u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.257
Stake
0.55u
Won +1.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.70
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.612
Stake
0.80u
Won +2.16u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.026
Stake
0.20u
Won +0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.021
Stake
0.05u
Won +0.05u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.35u
Won +0.61u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.224
Stake
0.68u
Won +1.12u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
3.75
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.634
Stake
0.72u
Lost -0.72u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.367
Stake
0.57u
Won +1.23u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.217
Stake
0.41u
Lost -0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.178
Stake
0.34u
Won +0.58u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.083
Stake
0.13u
Won +0.20u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.41u
Won +0.68u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.040
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.41u
Lost -0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.36u
Won +0.58u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.304
Stake
0.79u
Won +1.66u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.42u
Won +0.69u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.121
Stake
0.42u
Won +0.69u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.26u
Won +0.39u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
42.6%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.12u
Lost -0.12u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.174
Stake
0.53u
Won +0.90u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.163
Stake
0.49u
Won +0.86u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.074
Stake
0.29u
Won +0.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.124
Stake
0.45u
Won +0.72u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.042
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
42.6%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.44u
Lost -0.44u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.46u
Lost -0.46u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.22u
Won +0.37u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.115
Stake
0.17u
Won +0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.114
Stake
0.17u
Won +0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.222
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.196
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.404
Stake
0.54u
Won +1.22u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.18u
Won +0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.346
Stake
0.46u
Won +0.97u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
3.30
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.380
Stake
0.46u
Won +1.06u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.18u
Won +0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.290
Stake
0.41u
Lost -0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.091
Stake
0.11u
Won +0.17u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.251
Stake
0.32u
Won +0.62u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.137
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.276
Stake
0.37u
Won +0.72u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.369
Stake
0.50u
Lost -0.50u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.323
Stake
0.46u
Lost -0.46u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.346
Stake
0.49u
Lost -0.49u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.284
Stake
0.41u
Lost -0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.593
Stake
0.43u
Won +1.12u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.25u
Won +0.44u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.177
Stake
0.22u
Won +0.37u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.309
Stake
0.41u
Lost -0.41u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.