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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: May 15, 2026 9:03 AM EDT

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Result championship
Derby County Derby County
Birmingham City Birmingham City
home
Odds
4.33
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.886
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Stoke City Stoke City
Coventry City Coventry City
home
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.549
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Luton Town Luton Town
Reading Reading
home
Odds
4.75
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.970
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Norwich City Norwich City
Watford Watford
home
Odds
2.63
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.098
Stake
0.48u
Lost -0.48u
Result championship
Swansea City Swansea City
Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.174
Stake
0.58u
Won +1.39u
Result championship
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
home
Odds
2.88
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.43u
Won +0.81u
Result championship
Coventry City Coventry City
Barnsley Barnsley
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
33.9%
EV/u
0.152
Stake
0.51u
Won +1.22u
Result championship
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
34.7%
EV/u
0.465
Stake
1.12u
Won +3.73u
Result championship
Luton Town Luton Town
Watford Watford
draw
Odds
4.20
Prob
33.8%
EV/u
0.367
Stake
0.38u
Lost -0.38u
Result championship
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
Derby County Derby County
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
33.1%
EV/u
0.336
Stake
0.90u
Lost -0.90u
Result championship
Reading Reading
Cardiff City Cardiff City
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.232
Stake
0.60u
Lost -0.60u
Result championship
Rotherham United Rotherham United
Coventry City Coventry City
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
33.3%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
Result championship
Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town
AFC Bournemouth AFC Bournemouth
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
34.3%
EV/u
0.152
Stake
0.41u
Lost -0.41u
Result championship
Rotherham United Rotherham United
Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers
home
Odds
4.50
Prob
32.8%
EV/u
0.477
Stake
1.09u
Won +3.82u
Result championship
Barnsley Barnsley
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
home
Odds
4.33
Prob
32.8%
EV/u
0.422
Stake
1.01u
Won +3.36u
Result championship
Preston North End Preston North End
Brentford Brentford
away
Odds
3.90
Prob
33.0%
EV/u
0.387
Stake
0.49u
Won +1.42u
Result championship
Watford Watford
Reading Reading
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
34.7%
EV/u
0.073
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
Result championship
Norwich City Norwich City
Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
32.3%
EV/u
0.586
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Brentford Brentford
Birmingham City Birmingham City
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.1%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.22u
Won +0.62u
Result championship
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
AFC Bournemouth AFC Bournemouth
draw
Odds
3.10
Prob
30.7%
EV/u
0.706
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Reading Reading
Derby County Derby County
draw
Odds
3.10
Prob
27.4%
EV/u
1.064
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town
Brentford Brentford
home
Odds
4.33
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.634
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Barnsley Barnsley
Reading Reading
home
Odds
4.75
Prob
59.2%
EV/u
1.812
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Millwall Millwall
Rotherham United Rotherham United
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
35.1%
EV/u
1.023
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Bristol City Bristol City
Rotherham United Rotherham United
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
26.2%
EV/u
0.428
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Millwall Millwall
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
31.0%
EV/u
0.989
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Home draw europa-league
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
21.3%
EV/u
1.366
Stake
1.00u
Lost -1.00u
Home draw europa-league
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk
AS Roma AS Roma
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.492
Stake
0.20u
Won +0.30u
Result championship
Birmingham City Birmingham City
Reading Reading
home
Odds
5.00
Prob
34.6%
EV/u
0.732
Stake
1.20u
Won +4.80u
Result championship
Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers
Barnsley Barnsley
home
Odds
4.75
Prob
26.1%
EV/u
0.239
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Rotherham United Rotherham United
Watford Watford
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
30.7%
EV/u
0.537
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.84u
Result championship
AFC Bournemouth AFC Bournemouth
Swansea City Swansea City
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
31.7%
EV/u
0.706
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
Norwich City Norwich City
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
28.4%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
Result championship
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
Reading Reading
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
28.3%
EV/u
0.605
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
AFC Bournemouth AFC Bournemouth
Barnsley Barnsley
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
26.7%
EV/u
0.676
Stake
1.20u
Won +3.60u
Home draw europa-league
Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
2.031
Stake
0.60u
Lost -0.60u
Result championship
Barnsley Barnsley
Derby County Derby County
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
30.3%
EV/u
0.883
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers
Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers
draw
Odds
4.20
Prob
29.2%
EV/u
0.286
Stake
0.72u
Lost -0.72u
Result championship
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
Swansea City Swansea City
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
29.3%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.42u
Lost -0.42u
Result championship
Millwall Millwall
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
50.8%
EV/u
0.691
Stake
1.20u
Won +4.50u
Result championship
Swansea City Swansea City
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.553
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town
Cardiff City Cardiff City
home
Odds
3.60
Prob
62.5%
EV/u
1.250
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Watford Watford
Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers
home
Odds
4.50
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.953
Stake
1.20u
Won +4.20u
Result championship
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
Rotherham United Rotherham United
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.333
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Millwall Millwall
Preston North End Preston North End
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.569
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Coventry City Coventry City
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.432
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.90u
Result championship
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
Coventry City Coventry City
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
54.4%
EV/u
0.767
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Brentford Brentford
Stoke City Stoke City
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.602
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.72u
Home draw europa-league
Ajax Amsterdam Ajax Amsterdam
Lille Lille
away
Odds
4.10
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
1.247
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
Home draw europa-league
TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim
Molde Molde
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
37.0%
EV/u
1.994
Stake
0.60u
Won +2.25u
Home draw europa-league
AS Roma AS Roma
Braga Braga
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
47.8%
EV/u
0.984
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
Result championship
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
Watford Watford
away
Odds
3.75
Prob
42.6%
EV/u
0.325
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.83u
Result championship
Brentford Brentford
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.603
Stake
1.20u
Won +2.88u
Result championship
Rotherham United Rotherham United
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.423
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Birmingham City Birmingham City
Norwich City Norwich City
home
Odds
4.33
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.781
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Norwich City Norwich City
Rotherham United Rotherham United
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.442
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
Result championship
Coventry City Coventry City
Brentford Brentford
draw
Odds
4.60
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.523
Stake
1.16u
Lost -1.16u
Result championship
Watford Watford
Derby County Derby County
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
52.7%
EV/u
1.232
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Home draw europa-league
Slavia Prague Slavia Prague
Leicester City Leicester City
away
Odds
2.88
Prob
37.0%
EV/u
0.772
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
AFC Bournemouth AFC Bournemouth
Rotherham United Rotherham United
home
Odds
5.00
Prob
47.0%
EV/u
1.348
Stake
1.20u
Won +4.80u
Result championship
Swansea City Swansea City
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
1.022
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Bristol City Bristol City
Reading Reading
home
Odds
3.80
Prob
50.3%
EV/u
0.910
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Stoke City Stoke City
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
50.3%
EV/u
0.883
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Watford Watford
Bristol City Bristol City
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
1.401
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Derby County Derby County
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
1.274
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
Preston North End Preston North End
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
52.9%
EV/u
0.979
Stake
1.20u
Won +3.84u
Result championship
Reading Reading
Brentford Brentford
home
Odds
3.75
Prob
51.5%
EV/u
0.931
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Rotherham United Rotherham United
Cardiff City Cardiff City
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.442
Stake
0.30u
Won +1.00u
Result championship
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
51.3%
EV/u
0.592
Stake
1.20u
Won +2.52u
Result championship
Coventry City Coventry City
Watford Watford
home
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.4%
EV/u
0.423
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Brentford Brentford
home
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.432
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Swansea City Swansea City
Norwich City Norwich City
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
36.6%
EV/u
0.189
Stake
0.69u
Lost -0.69u
Result championship
Rotherham United Rotherham United
Derby County Derby County
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
37.0%
EV/u
0.567
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Brentford Brentford
Bristol City Bristol City
draw
Odds
3.25
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.171
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
AFC Bournemouth AFC Bournemouth
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
38.4%
EV/u
0.555
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers
Birmingham City Birmingham City
home
Odds
3.90
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
0.438
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Watford Watford
Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.0%
EV/u
0.349
Stake
1.00u
Lost -1.00u
Result championship
Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town
Stoke City Stoke City
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.229
Stake
0.74u
Won +1.63u
Result championship
Norwich City Norwich City
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
36.8%
EV/u
0.380
Stake
0.76u
Lost -0.76u
Result championship
Reading Reading
AFC Bournemouth AFC Bournemouth
home
Odds
3.50
Prob
37.3%
EV/u
0.306
Stake
0.98u
Won +2.45u
Result championship
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Rotherham United Rotherham United
draw
Odds
3.10
Prob
37.3%
EV/u
0.184
Stake
0.70u
Lost -0.70u
Result championship
Coventry City Coventry City
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
draw
Odds
3.10
Prob
37.2%
EV/u
0.199
Stake
0.76u
Lost -0.76u
Result championship
Millwall Millwall
Watford Watford
draw
Odds
3.25
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.174
Stake
0.53u
Won +1.19u
Result championship
Bristol City Bristol City
Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town
home
Odds
3.60
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.316
Stake
0.97u
Won +2.52u
Result championship
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.122
Stake
0.49u
Won +0.98u
Result championship
Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers
Derby County Derby County
draw
Odds
3.10
Prob
19.8%
EV/u
0.605
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Stoke City Stoke City
Watford Watford
away
Odds
2.37
Prob
28.5%
EV/u
0.255
Stake
1.20u
Won +1.64u
Result championship
Norwich City Norwich City
Bristol City Bristol City
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
26.9%
EV/u
0.507
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Brentford Brentford
Luton Town Luton Town
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.499
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Watford Watford
Barnsley Barnsley
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
16.8%
EV/u
1.778
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Derby County Derby County
AFC Bournemouth AFC Bournemouth
home
Odds
3.60
Prob
73.5%
EV/u
1.646
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.78u
Result championship
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
Stoke City Stoke City
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.559
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
AFC Bournemouth AFC Bournemouth
Luton Town Luton Town
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
25.0%
EV/u
1.412
Stake
1.20u
Won +4.00u
Result championship
AFC Bournemouth AFC Bournemouth
Millwall Millwall
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
48.6%
EV/u
0.167
Stake
0.96u
Lost -0.96u
Result championship
Birmingham City Birmingham City
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
21.4%
EV/u
0.727
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Millwall Millwall
Coventry City Coventry City
away
Odds
4.40
Prob
27.9%
EV/u
0.664
Stake
0.30u
Won +1.02u
Result championship
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
Derby County Derby County
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
26.8%
EV/u
0.265
Stake
0.88u
Lost -0.88u
Result championship
Swansea City Swansea City
Reading Reading
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
30.4%
EV/u
0.203
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.72u
Result championship
Brentford Brentford
AFC Bournemouth AFC Bournemouth
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.887
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Norwich City Norwich City
Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers
home
Odds
4.20
Prob
35.5%
EV/u
0.490
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.