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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Jul 14, 2026 10:14 PM EDT

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First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
34.8%
EV/u
0.502
Stake
0.94u
Won +1.88u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.25
Prob
34.9%
EV/u
0.098
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.11u
Won +0.18u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.373
Stake
0.72u
Won +1.40u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.25
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.031
Stake
0.07u
Won +0.09u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.263
Stake
0.61u
Lost -0.61u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.342
Stake
0.51u
Won +1.05u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.15
Prob
30.2%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.10
Prob
34.1%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.09u
Won +0.10u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.191
Stake
0.39u
Lost -0.39u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.55
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
0.897
Stake
0.45u
Won +1.15u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.53u
Lost -0.53u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
2.25
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.023
Stake
0.22u
Won +0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.208
Stake
0.72u
Won +1.15u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.20
Prob
37.8%
EV/u
0.036
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.238
Stake
0.41u
Won +0.80u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.034
Stake
0.07u
Won +0.09u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.254
Stake
0.47u
Won +0.87u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.30
Prob
36.0%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.227
Stake
0.52u
Lost -0.52u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.052
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.107
Stake
0.40u
Won +0.62u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.254
Stake
0.62u
Lost -0.62u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
52.8%
EV/u
0.170
Stake
0.45u
Lost -0.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
3.65
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.640
Stake
0.73u
Lost -0.73u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
47.9%
EV/u
0.031
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
50.8%
EV/u
0.087
Stake
0.46u
Lost -0.46u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
50.3%
EV/u
0.045
Stake
0.14u
Won +0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.155
Stake
0.47u
Lost -0.47u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.160
Stake
0.49u
Lost -0.49u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.234
Stake
0.63u
Won +1.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.086
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.35u
Won +0.61u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.262
Stake
0.82u
Won +1.44u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.029
Stake
0.23u
Won +0.30u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.43u
Won +0.73u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.26u
Won +0.36u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.45u
Lost -0.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.042
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.39u
Won +0.68u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.059
Stake
0.14u
Lost -0.14u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.245
Stake
0.75u
Lost -0.75u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.171
Stake
0.52u
Lost -0.52u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.047
Stake
0.20u
Won +0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.90
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.767
Stake
0.80u
Won +2.32u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.31u
Won +0.51u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.458
Stake
1.07u
Won +2.46u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.072
Stake
0.06u
Won +0.10u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.412
Stake
0.46u
Won +1.01u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.175
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.415
Stake
0.46u
Won +1.01u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.169
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.390
Stake
0.45u
Lost -0.45u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.67
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.094
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.437
Stake
0.60u
Won +1.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.395
Stake
0.57u
Won +1.23u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.223
Stake
0.36u
Won +0.63u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.16u
Won +0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.229
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.137
Stake
0.17u
Won +0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.158
Stake
0.21u
Won +0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.241
Stake
0.37u
Lost -0.37u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.349
Stake
0.47u
Lost -0.47u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.205
Stake
0.27u
Won +0.53u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.183
Stake
0.14u
Lost -0.14u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.365
Stake
0.37u
Won +0.78u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.393
Stake
0.35u
Won +0.84u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.351
Stake
0.35u
Lost -0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.444
Stake
0.42u
Lost -0.42u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.204
Stake
0.17u
Won +0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.199
Stake
0.24u
Won +0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.67
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.188
Stake
0.22u
Won +0.37u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.286
Stake
0.37u
Lost -0.37u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.487
Stake
0.50u
Lost -0.50u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.158
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.224
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.374
Stake
0.41u
Lost -0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.288
Stake
0.33u
Won +0.63u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.139
Stake
0.12u
Won +0.19u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.413
Stake
0.43u
Lost -0.43u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.274
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.59u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.222
Stake
0.23u
Won +0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.180
Stake
0.34u
Won +0.56u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.10u
Won +0.16u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.24u
Won +0.37u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.314
Stake
0.45u
Won +0.99u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.041
Stake
0.05u
Won +0.07u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.460
Stake
0.62u
Lost -0.62u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.396
Stake
0.47u
Lost -0.47u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.395
Stake
0.46u
Lost -0.46u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
2.67
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.188
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
3.15
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.282
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.352
Stake
0.41u
Lost -0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.207
Stake
0.36u
Won +0.65u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
35.6%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.15u
Won +0.22u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
0.167
Stake
0.23u
Won +0.49u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.