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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Jul 14, 2026 9:14 PM EDT

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First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.024
Stake
0.09u
Won +0.12u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.030
Stake
0.13u
Won +0.18u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.169
Stake
0.58u
Lost -0.58u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.25
Prob
33.3%
EV/u
0.171
Stake
0.72u
Won +0.90u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.205
Stake
0.68u
Won +1.09u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.045
Stake
0.09u
Lost -0.09u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.253
Stake
0.84u
Won +1.39u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.021
Stake
0.19u
Won +0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
48.6%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
48.6%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.53u
Lost -0.53u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
48.7%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.26u
Won +0.56u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.70
Prob
55.0%
EV/u
0.089
Stake
0.12u
Won +0.32u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.260
Stake
0.77u
Won +1.42u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
49.7%
EV/u
0.119
Stake
0.31u
Won +0.70u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.70
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
0.348
Stake
0.46u
Lost -0.46u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
51.5%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.51u
Won +0.64u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.058
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
50.7%
EV/u
0.107
Stake
0.51u
Lost -0.51u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.178
Stake
0.45u
Lost -0.45u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.314
Stake
0.77u
Lost -0.77u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.038
Stake
0.09u
Lost -0.09u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.244
Stake
0.60u
Lost -0.60u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.49u
Lost -0.49u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
48.0%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.32u
Lost -0.32u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
50.9%
EV/u
0.024
Stake
0.25u
Won +0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.43u
Lost -0.43u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
47.8%
EV/u
0.025
Stake
0.11u
Won +0.19u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.358
Stake
0.81u
Lost -0.81u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.292
Stake
0.73u
Won +1.61u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.029
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.17u
Won +0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
47.9%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.10u
Won +0.18u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.448
Stake
0.90u
Won +2.07u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
48.5%
EV/u
0.213
Stake
0.63u
Won +0.98u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
48.0%
EV/u
0.033
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.164
Stake
0.62u
Won +0.93u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.37u
Lost -0.37u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
48.0%
EV/u
0.046
Stake
0.17u
Lost -0.17u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
49.8%
EV/u
0.203
Stake
0.49u
Lost -0.49u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.192
Stake
0.51u
Lost -0.51u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.042
Stake
0.16u
Won +0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.163
Stake
0.51u
Won +0.92u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.225
Stake
0.59u
Won +1.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
47.8%
EV/u
0.037
Stake
0.15u
Won +0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.146
Stake
0.35u
Lost -0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.277
Stake
0.72u
Lost -0.72u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.41u
Won +0.62u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.51u
Lost -0.51u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
53.7%
EV/u
0.390
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.26u
Won +0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
48.4%
EV/u
0.061
Stake
0.35u
Lost -0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.023
Stake
0.12u
Won +0.19u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.51u
Lost -0.51u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.030
Stake
0.13u
Won +0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.264
Stake
0.74u
Lost -0.74u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.463
Stake
0.78u
Lost -0.78u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.451
Stake
0.84u
Lost -0.84u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.30
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.041
Stake
0.08u
Lost -0.08u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.10u
Lost -0.10u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
2.20
Prob
33.7%
EV/u
0.079
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.415
Stake
0.50u
Lost -0.50u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
35.1%
EV/u
0.553
Stake
0.72u
Lost -0.72u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
1.90
Prob
27.0%
EV/u
0.073
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.11u
Won +0.16u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
37.4%
EV/u
0.088
Stake
0.16u
Won +0.23u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
35.9%
EV/u
0.115
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
35.4%
EV/u
0.526
Stake
0.78u
Lost -0.78u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
37.2%
EV/u
0.218
Stake
0.37u
Lost -0.37u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.287
Stake
0.49u
Lost -0.49u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.25
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.030
Stake
0.24u
Won +0.30u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.040
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.084
Stake
0.42u
Won +0.57u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
35.9%
EV/u
0.224
Stake
0.78u
Lost -0.78u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.11u
Won +0.15u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.344
Stake
0.71u
Lost -0.71u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.727
Stake
0.94u
Won +1.97u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.174
Stake
0.59u
Won +0.97u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.223
Stake
0.35u
Lost -0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.398
Stake
0.65u
Won +1.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.091
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.333
Stake
0.69u
Won +1.14u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.380
Stake
0.50u
Won +1.05u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
33.0%
EV/u
0.423
Stake
0.67u
Won +1.17u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.132
Stake
0.17u
Lost -0.17u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.114
Stake
0.14u
Lost -0.14u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.206
Stake
0.32u
Lost -0.32u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.203
Stake
0.64u
Won +1.12u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.25
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.029
Stake
0.07u
Won +0.09u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.165
Stake
0.47u
Lost -0.47u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.228
Stake
0.62u
Lost -0.62u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.182
Stake
0.43u
Won +0.71u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.029
Stake
0.07u
Won +0.10u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
42.6%
EV/u
0.041
Stake
0.10u
Won +0.14u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.25
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.080
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.