Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: May 15, 2026 7:13 AM EDT
Home win
wnba
Washington Mystics
Las Vegas Aces
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
54.2%
EV/u
0.227
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.49u
Home win
wnba
Indiana Fever
Minnesota Lynx
home
Odds
2.72
Prob
54.2%
EV/u
0.449
Stake
1.14u
Won
+1.96u
Home cover
wnba
Indiana Fever
Minnesota Lynx
away
Odds
1.91
Prob
36.1%
EV/u
0.181
Stake
0.80u
Lost
-0.80u
Total over
wnba
Washington Mystics
Las Vegas Aces
over
Odds
1.91
Prob
61.4%
EV/u
0.139
Stake
0.61u
Lost
-0.61u
Total over
wnba
Indiana Fever
Minnesota Lynx
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.123
Stake
0.54u
Won
+0.49u
Home win
wnba
Las Vegas Aces
Seattle Storm
home
Odds
3.33
Prob
55.9%
EV/u
0.815
Stake
1.50u
Won
+3.50u
Home cover
wnba
Minnesota Lynx
Washington Mystics
away
Odds
1.91
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.65u
Won
+0.59u
Home win
wnba
New York Liberty
Connecticut Sun
home
Odds
3.11
Prob
51.3%
EV/u
0.563
Stake
1.33u
Won
+2.81u
Total over
wnba
New York Liberty
Connecticut Sun
under
Odds
1.85
Prob
38.8%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.42u
Result
championship
AFC Bournemouth
Millwall
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
27.1%
EV/u
0.947
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Swansea City
Queens Park Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
27.9%
EV/u
1.454
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Home win
wnba
Chicago Sky
Los Angeles Sparks
home
Odds
2.59
Prob
56.0%
EV/u
0.427
Stake
1.34u
Lost
-1.34u
Home cover
wnba
Seattle Storm
Minnesota Lynx
away
Odds
1.93
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.55u
Lost
-0.55u
Total over
wnba
Chicago Sky
Los Angeles Sparks
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
35.2%
EV/u
0.195
Stake
0.86u
Lost
-0.86u
Home away
europa-league
Rangers
RB Leipzig
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.688
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Home draw
europa-league
Rangers
RB Leipzig
away
Odds
2.63
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.299
Stake
0.92u
Lost
-0.92u
Result
championship
AFC Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
53.3%
EV/u
0.432
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Fulham
Luton Town
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
32.8%
EV/u
0.180
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
Result
championship
Bristol City
Hull City
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
32.0%
EV/u
0.412
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
Result
championship
Coventry City
Huddersfield Town
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
0.505
Stake
1.16u
Won
+4.06u
Result
championship
Queens Park Rangers
Sheffield United
draw
Odds
4.20
Prob
27.1%
EV/u
0.972
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Home draw
europa-league
RB Leipzig
Rangers
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
49.5%
EV/u
1.120
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Result
championship
Middlesbrough
Cardiff City
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
33.4%
EV/u
0.660
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Fulham
Nottingham Forest
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.385
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Barnsley
Blackpool
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
34.1%
EV/u
0.413
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Preston North End
Blackburn Rovers
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.346
Stake
1.20u
Won
+2.28u
Result
championship
Derby County
Bristol City
home
Odds
3.50
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.591
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Birmingham City
Millwall
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
23.4%
EV/u
1.014
Stake
1.20u
Won
+2.88u
Result
championship
Huddersfield Town
Barnsley
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
39.0%
EV/u
0.177
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
Result
championship
Blackburn Rovers
Stoke City
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.503
Stake
0.30u
Won
+1.20u
Result
championship
Cardiff City
Luton Town
home
Odds
4.00
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.589
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
West Bromwich Albion
Blackpool
home
Odds
4.75
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
1.009
Stake
1.20u
Won
+4.50u
Result
championship
Swansea City
Barnsley
home
Odds
3.80
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.633
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Home away
europa-league
Barcelona
Eintracht Frankfurt
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.694
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Home draw
europa-league
Barcelona
Eintracht Frankfurt
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
48.4%
EV/u
0.517
Stake
1.20u
Won
+2.40u
Home draw
europa-league
Atalanta
RB Leipzig
away
Odds
3.75
Prob
48.4%
EV/u
0.935
Stake
0.80u
Won
+2.20u
Result
championship
Huddersfield Town
Luton Town
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
Result
championship
Fulham
Coventry City
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.226
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
Result
championship
Millwall
Barnsley
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.611
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Swansea City
Derby County
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.512
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Home away
europa-league
RB Leipzig
Atalanta
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
1.042
Stake
0.80u
Won
+2.24u
Result
championship
Nottingham Forest
Coventry City
away
Odds
3.75
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.233
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
Result
championship
West Bromwich Albion
AFC Bournemouth
home
Odds
3.30
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.309
Stake
1.08u
Won
+2.48u
Result
championship
Peterborough United
Luton Town
home
Odds
4.33
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.717
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Sheffield United
Queens Park Rangers
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.452
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Birmingham City
West Bromwich Albion
home
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.3%
EV/u
0.077
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.62u
Result
championship
AFC Bournemouth
Bristol City
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
17.2%
EV/u
1.722
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Coventry City
Blackburn Rovers
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
73.2%
EV/u
1.271
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Hull City
Huddersfield Town
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
19.6%
EV/u
0.921
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Queens Park Rangers
Peterborough United
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.335
Stake
0.96u
Lost
-0.96u
Result
championship
Hull City
Luton Town
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
0.629
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Swansea City
Birmingham City
home
Odds
4.20
Prob
37.0%
EV/u
0.553
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Home away
europa-league
Bayer Leverkusen
Atalanta
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
1.411
Stake
0.57u
Lost
-0.57u
Home away
europa-league
Lyon
FC Porto
draw
Odds
3.25
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.740
Stake
0.63u
Won
+1.42u
Home draw
europa-league
AS Monaco
Braga
1x
Odds
3.00
Prob
51.2%
EV/u
0.507
Stake
1.20u
Won
+2.40u
Result
championship
Blackpool
Sheffield United
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
39.0%
EV/u
0.263
Stake
0.41u
Won
+1.07u
Result
championship
Millwall
Huddersfield Town
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.383
Stake
1.09u
Lost
-1.09u
Result
championship
Blackburn Rovers
Derby County
home
Odds
4.00
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.506
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.90u
Result
championship
Barnsley
Bristol City
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.817
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Luton Town
Queens Park Rangers
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.288
Stake
0.89u
Lost
-0.89u
Result
championship
Peterborough United
Stoke City
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.555
Stake
0.30u
Won
+1.00u
Result
championship
Blackburn Rovers
Bristol City
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
37.0%
EV/u
0.761
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
West Bromwich Albion
Huddersfield Town
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.244
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
Home draw
europa-league
Sevilla
West Ham United
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
1.403
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Home away
europa-league
Real Betis
Eintracht Frankfurt
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.866
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
Home away
europa-league
FC Porto
Lyon
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.984
Stake
0.67u
Lost
-0.67u
Home draw
europa-league
FC Porto
Lyon
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
0.821
Stake
0.80u
Won
+2.08u
Result
championship
AFC Bournemouth
Peterborough United
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
38.7%
EV/u
0.190
Stake
0.48u
Won
+1.10u
Result
championship
Blackburn Rovers
Millwall
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.358
Stake
1.02u
Won
+2.86u
Result
championship
Middlesbrough
Luton Town
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
0.842
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Derby County
Barnsley
home
Odds
4.00
Prob
51.2%
EV/u
1.047
Stake
1.20u
Won
+3.60u
Result
championship
Sheffield United
Nottingham Forest
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
52.6%
EV/u
1.066
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Cardiff City
Derby County
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.532
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Coventry City
Preston North End
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
53.2%
EV/u
1.056
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Peterborough United
Hull City
home
Odds
4.50
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
1.038
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Fulham
Peterborough United
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
51.2%
EV/u
0.811
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Sheffield United
Blackburn Rovers
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
48.9%
EV/u
0.749
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Middlesbrough
West Bromwich Albion
home
Odds
2.88
Prob
52.8%
EV/u
0.522
Stake
1.20u
Won
+2.26u
Result
championship
Hull City
Barnsley
home
Odds
3.50
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.503
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Fulham
Huddersfield Town
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
54.1%
EV/u
0.840
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Coventry City
Barnsley
home
Odds
3.50
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.610
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.75u
Home away
europa-league
Sevilla
Dinamo Zagreb
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.751
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
Home away
europa-league
Barcelona
Napoli
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
1.252
Stake
0.55u
Won
+1.93u
Home away
europa-league
Borussia Dortmund
Rangers
draw
Odds
3.75
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.876
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
Home draw
europa-league
Sevilla
Dinamo Zagreb
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.933
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
Home draw
europa-league
Borussia Dortmund
Rangers
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
1.617
Stake
0.43u
Won
+1.72u
Home draw
europa-league
Zenit St Petersburg
Real Betis
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
48.4%
EV/u
0.640
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.63u
Result
championship
Peterborough United
Reading
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
55.9%
EV/u
0.369
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Cardiff City
Coventry City
draw
Odds
3.10
Prob
48.4%
EV/u
0.308
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Millwall
Queens Park Rangers
home
Odds
3.30
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.524
Stake
1.20u
Won
+2.76u
Result
championship
West Bromwich Albion
Blackburn Rovers
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.328
Stake
0.79u
Lost
-0.79u
Result
championship
Swansea City
Bristol City
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.165
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
Result
championship
Reading
Coventry City
home
Odds
4.20
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
1.048
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Hull City
Fulham
home
Odds
4.00
Prob
51.3%
EV/u
1.052
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Cardiff City
Peterborough United
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
0.631
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Preston North End
Huddersfield Town
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.393
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Fulham
Millwall
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
50.5%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
Result
championship
Derby County
Hull City
draw
Odds
4.20
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
Result
championship
Luton Town
Barnsley
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.076
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
Result
championship
Hull City
Preston North End
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
24.0%
EV/u
0.586
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.72u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.