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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Jul 14, 2026 8:16 PM EDT

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First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.099
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.38u
Won +0.57u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.030
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.265
Stake
0.77u
Won +1.46u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.046
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.56u
Won +1.09u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.38u
Won +0.57u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.103
Stake
0.38u
Lost -0.38u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.030
Stake
0.22u
Won +0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.45
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.486
Stake
1.07u
Won +2.62u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.091
Stake
0.33u
Won +0.54u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.181
Stake
0.60u
Lost -0.60u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.123
Stake
0.44u
Won +0.70u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.586
Stake
0.44u
Lost -0.44u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.184
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.320
Stake
0.46u
Lost -0.46u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.371
Stake
0.55u
Lost -0.55u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.09u
Lost -0.09u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.588
Stake
0.80u
Won +2.08u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.465
Stake
1.00u
Lost -1.00u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.05u
Lost -0.05u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.290
Stake
0.42u
Lost -0.42u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.331
Stake
0.46u
Lost -0.46u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.16u
Won +0.25u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.85
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.751
Stake
0.42u
Lost -0.42u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.196
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.024
Stake
0.12u
Lost -0.12u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.123
Stake
0.44u
Won +0.70u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.035
Stake
0.24u
Won +0.32u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.199
Stake
0.58u
Won +1.04u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.33u
Won +0.51u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.37u
Won +0.57u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
0.219
Stake
0.69u
Lost -0.69u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.61u
Lost -0.61u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
49.7%
EV/u
0.024
Stake
0.05u
Won +0.06u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
53.2%
EV/u
0.187
Stake
0.45u
Lost -0.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
52.2%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
55.7%
EV/u
0.086
Stake
0.54u
Won +0.57u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.095
Stake
0.32u
Won +0.56u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.168
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
2.15
Prob
35.1%
EV/u
0.099
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
0.504
Stake
0.57u
Lost -0.57u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.240
Stake
0.32u
Lost -0.32u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.14u
Lost -0.14u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
48.6%
EV/u
0.331
Stake
0.42u
Lost -0.42u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
51.8%
EV/u
0.614
Stake
0.88u
Won +1.94u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
51.5%
EV/u
0.123
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
50.9%
EV/u
0.153
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
50.7%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.27u
Won +0.36u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
51.8%
EV/u
0.294
Stake
0.42u
Lost -0.42u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.089
Stake
0.08u
Lost -0.08u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
48.7%
EV/u
0.471
Stake
0.58u
Won +1.22u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
56.6%
EV/u
0.544
Stake
0.72u
Won +1.30u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.221
Stake
0.79u
Won +1.22u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
49.7%
EV/u
0.059
Stake
0.22u
Won +0.37u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.232
Stake
0.64u
Won +1.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
48.0%
EV/u
0.269
Stake
0.60u
Won +1.20u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
53.2%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.25u
Won +0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.70
Prob
49.7%
EV/u
0.549
Stake
0.60u
Won +1.62u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
56.9%
EV/u
0.082
Stake
0.35u
Won +0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
52.2%
EV/u
0.035
Stake
0.14u
Won +0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
0.212
Stake
0.79u
Lost -0.79u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
0.115
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
54.8%
EV/u
0.052
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.229
Stake
0.60u
Won +1.11u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
48.3%
EV/u
0.059
Stake
0.17u
Won +0.22u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.186
Stake
0.49u
Lost -0.49u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
56.7%
EV/u
0.041
Stake
0.08u
Lost -0.08u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
51.0%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.40u
Won +0.48u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
3.70
Prob
51.2%
EV/u
0.469
Stake
0.63u
Won +1.70u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
57.2%
EV/u
0.027
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.323
Stake
0.73u
Lost -0.73u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
52.1%
EV/u
0.023
Stake
0.26u
Won +0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
52.2%
EV/u
0.024
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.20
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.021
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
52.5%
EV/u
0.029
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
53.3%
EV/u
0.021
Stake
0.12u
Lost -0.12u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
50.8%
EV/u
0.258
Stake
0.55u
Lost -0.55u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
50.1%
EV/u
0.031
Stake
0.17u
Won +0.20u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.35u
Lost -0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
56.8%
EV/u
0.080
Stake
0.50u
Lost -0.50u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
52.3%
EV/u
0.330
Stake
0.48u
Won +1.20u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
50.3%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.18u
Won +0.32u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
50.3%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.473
Stake
1.04u
Won +2.18u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.025
Stake
0.05u
Lost -0.05u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
49.8%
EV/u
0.234
Stake
0.56u
Won +1.12u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
50.8%
EV/u
0.268
Stake
0.95u
Lost -0.95u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.178
Stake
0.47u
Lost -0.47u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.232
Stake
0.69u
Lost -0.69u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
48.3%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.18u
Won +0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
0.033
Stake
0.21u
Won +0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.049
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.39u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
0.091
Stake
0.41u
Won +0.59u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.033
Stake
0.12u
Lost -0.12u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.241
Stake
0.76u
Won +1.33u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.