Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 3, 2026 10:59 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.34 | 55.1% | 0.288 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 1, 2021 | seriea |
Hellas Verona
Spezia
|
Home away | draw | 3.50 | 39.1% | 1.132 | 1.20u | Won | +3.00u |
| Apr 30, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 38.5% | 0.385 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 30, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.42 | 50.0% | 0.210 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 30, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 52.9% | 0.271 | 0.60u | Won | +0.84u |
| Apr 30, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 1.83 | 71.4% | 0.310 | 1.20u | Won | +1.00u |
| Apr 29, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.59 | 55.1% | 0.426 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 29, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.80 | 52.9% | 0.482 | 1.20u | Won | +2.16u |
| Apr 29, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.47 | 48.7% | 0.268 | 0.79u | Lost | -0.79u |
| Apr 29, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.56 | 48.7% | 0.314 | 1.01u | Lost | -1.01u |
| Apr 28, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 43.5% | 0.379 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 28, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 43.5% | 0.328 | 0.60u | Won | +0.81u |
| Apr 28, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.34 | 52.9% | 0.239 | 0.89u | Lost | -0.89u |
| Apr 28, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.29 | 52.9% | 0.212 | 0.82u | Won | +1.06u |
| Apr 27, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.38 | 71.4% | 0.700 | 0.60u | Won | +0.83u |
| Apr 27, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.54 | 71.4% | 0.814 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 27, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 48.7% | 0.252 | 0.88u | Won | +1.27u |
| Apr 27, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.46 | 48.7% | 0.263 | 0.90u | Lost | -0.90u |
| Apr 26, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 48.7% | 0.114 | 0.49u | Won | +0.57u |
| Apr 26, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.54 | 48.7% | 0.304 | 0.99u | Won | +1.52u |
| Apr 26, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.42 | 52.9% | 0.281 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| Apr 26, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.46 | 52.9% | 0.302 | 1.04u | Lost | -1.04u |
| Apr 25, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.18 | 52.9% | 0.154 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Apr 25, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 55.1% | 0.156 | 0.71u | Won | +0.78u |
| Apr 25, 2021 | seriea |
Internazionale
Hellas Verona
|
Home away | draw | 3.60 | 48.1% | 0.869 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 25, 2021 | seriea |
Cagliari
AS Roma
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.20 | 66.4% | 0.461 | 1.20u | Won | +1.44u |
| Apr 25, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 38.5% | 0.397 | 1.20u | Won | +1.52u |
| Apr 25, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.67 | 50.0% | 0.335 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 24, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 38.5% | 0.175 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 24, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.52 | 43.5% | 0.424 | 1.20u | Won | +1.82u |
| Apr 24, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.48 | 52.9% | 0.313 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Apr 24, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 52.9% | 0.350 | 1.13u | Lost | -1.13u |
| Apr 23, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 55.1% | 0.321 | 1.15u | Lost | -1.15u |
| Apr 23, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.12 | 55.1% | 0.167 | 0.65u | Won | +0.73u |
| Apr 23, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 38.5% | 0.335 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 23, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 1.97 | 38.5% | 0.213 | 0.60u | Won | +0.58u |
| Apr 22, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.43 | 48.7% | 0.247 | 0.86u | Lost | -0.86u |
| Apr 22, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.47 | 50.0% | 0.235 | 0.80u | Lost | -0.80u |
| Apr 22, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.29 | 50.0% | 0.145 | 0.14u | Won | +0.18u |
| Apr 21, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.08 | 48.7% | 0.068 | 0.31u | Won | +0.33u |
| Apr 21, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 48.7% | 0.186 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Apr 21, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 48.7% | 0.181 | 0.69u | Won | +0.90u |
| Apr 21, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.27 | 52.9% | 0.202 | 0.79u | Lost | -0.79u |
| Apr 20, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.61 | 50.6% | 0.321 | 1.00u | Won | +1.61u |
| Apr 20, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.48 | 47.1% | 0.313 | 1.06u | Lost | -1.06u |
| Apr 20, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 47.5% | 0.238 | 0.74u | Won | +1.01u |
| Apr 19, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.49 | 46.3% | 0.336 | 1.13u | Won | +1.68u |
| Apr 19, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 46.2% | 0.319 | 0.67u | Won | +0.97u |
| Apr 19, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.81 | 50.7% | 0.424 | 1.17u | Won | +2.12u |
| Apr 18, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.41 | 50.6% | 0.220 | 0.78u | Won | +1.10u |
| Apr 18, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.58 | 50.6% | 0.306 | 0.97u | Won | +1.53u |
| Apr 18, 2021 | seriea |
Atalanta
Juventus
|
Home draw | away | 2.45 | 41.9% | 0.425 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 18, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 49.7% | 0.177 | 0.32u | Won | +0.43u |
| Apr 18, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 46.7% | 0.194 | 0.78u | Lost | -0.78u |
| Apr 18, 2021 | seriea |
AC Milan
Genoa
|
Home away | draw | 3.60 | 42.4% | 1.075 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 18, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.36 | 50.4% | 0.190 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| Apr 17, 2021 | seriea |
Sampdoria
Hellas Verona
|
Home draw | away | 2.00 | 47.6% | 0.048 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Apr 17, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.51 | 46.5% | 0.342 | 1.13u | Lost | -1.13u |
| Apr 17, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.48 | 46.8% | 0.319 | 0.67u | Won | +0.99u |
| Apr 17, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Mets
|
Home win | home | 3.44 | 50.6% | 0.742 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 16, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.28 | 50.4% | 0.148 | 0.58u | Won | +0.74u |
| Apr 16, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 45.5% | 0.193 | 0.81u | Won | +0.96u |
| Apr 15, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 43.3% | 0.356 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 15, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.08 | 43.4% | 0.177 | 0.60u | Won | +0.65u |
| Apr 15, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.29 | 50.4% | 0.155 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 14, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.79 | 50.4% | 0.407 | 1.14u | Lost | -1.14u |
| Apr 14, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 49.1% | 0.192 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Apr 14, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 44.8% | 0.313 | 1.13u | Lost | -1.13u |
| Apr 13, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 3.09 | 50.4% | 0.558 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 13, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 45.5% | 0.242 | 0.75u | Lost | -0.75u |
| Apr 13, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 45.8% | 0.289 | 1.05u | Lost | -1.05u |
| Apr 12, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Indians
|
Home cover | home | 2.48 | 54.2% | 0.344 | 1.16u | Lost | -1.16u |
| Apr 12, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 47.3% | 0.249 | 0.64u | Won | +0.88u |
| Apr 12, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.85 | 50.6% | 0.441 | 1.19u | Lost | -1.19u |
| Apr 12, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.69 | 50.4% | 0.357 | 0.61u | Won | +1.03u |
| Apr 12, 2021 | seriea |
Benevento
Sassuolo
|
Home draw | away | 2.20 | 48.1% | 0.142 | 0.94u | Won | +1.13u |
| Apr 11, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.27 | 50.7% | 0.151 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Apr 11, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.27 | 50.6% | 0.150 | 0.34u | Won | +0.43u |
| Apr 11, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.48 | 50.8% | 0.259 | 0.87u | Lost | -0.87u |
| Apr 11, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 44.2% | 0.323 | 1.18u | Won | +1.62u |
| Apr 11, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.04 | 43.8% | 0.147 | 0.62u | Lost | -0.62u |
| Apr 10, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 45.8% | 0.177 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| Apr 10, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.02 | 42.7% | 0.158 | 0.18u | Won | +0.18u |
| Apr 10, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 46.5% | 0.221 | 0.86u | Won | +1.10u |
| Apr 10, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.37 | 51.2% | 0.213 | 0.78u | Lost | -0.78u |
| Apr 10, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.39 | 50.8% | 0.213 | 0.77u | Won | +1.07u |
| Apr 10, 2021 | seriea |
Parma
AC Milan
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.10 | 54.2% | 0.137 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Apr 10, 2021 | seriea |
Spezia
Crotone
|
Home draw | away | 3.30 | 46.6% | 0.761 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 9, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.67 | 50.7% | 0.353 | 1.06u | Won | +1.77u |
| Apr 9, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Angels
|
Home win | away | 2.61 | 49.9% | 0.307 | 0.74u | Won | +1.19u |
| Apr 9, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 46.4% | 0.185 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| Apr 9, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 45.3% | 0.177 | 0.35u | Won | +0.40u |
| Apr 9, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.31 | 51.1% | 0.180 | 0.69u | Won | +0.90u |
| Apr 8, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 44.8% | 0.104 | 0.18u | Won | +0.18u |
| Apr 8, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.07 | 45.0% | 0.139 | 0.65u | Won | +0.70u |
| Apr 8, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 43.4% | 0.228 | 0.97u | Won | +1.13u |
| Apr 8, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.28 | 50.5% | 0.151 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Apr 8, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.31 | 50.6% | 0.169 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Apr 8, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.38 | 50.9% | 0.211 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| Apr 7, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.66 | 50.8% | 0.353 | 1.06u | Lost | -1.06u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.