Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 4, 2026 8:47 AM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 41.8% | 0.327 | 1.20u | Won | +1.54u |
| Aug 3, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 41.7% | 0.282 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 2, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 41.9% | 0.336 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 2, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 41.8% | 0.309 | 0.60u | Won | +0.75u |
| Aug 1, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.07 | 41.9% | 0.203 | 0.84u | Won | +0.90u |
| Aug 1, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.07 | 41.7% | 0.206 | 0.96u | Lost | -0.96u |
| Jul 31, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.46 | 41.8% | 0.431 | 1.20u | Won | +1.75u |
| Jul 31, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 41.8% | 0.350 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 30, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 41.6% | 0.255 | 0.60u | Won | +0.69u |
| Jul 30, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 41.8% | 0.367 | 1.20u | Won | +1.62u |
| Jul 29, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 41.8% | 0.344 | 0.60u | Won | +0.79u |
| Jul 29, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 41.7% | 0.358 | 1.20u | Won | +1.60u |
| Jul 28, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 41.7% | 0.370 | 0.60u | Won | +0.81u |
| Jul 28, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.43 | 41.8% | 0.414 | 1.20u | Won | +1.72u |
| Jul 27, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 49.5% | 0.182 | 0.68u | Won | +0.91u |
| Jul 26, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 49.5% | 0.147 | 0.58u | Won | +0.74u |
| Jul 25, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 49.7% | 0.161 | 0.61u | Lost | -0.61u |
| Jul 24, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 49.5% | 0.202 | 0.73u | Won | +1.01u |
| Jul 24, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 49.5% | 0.232 | 0.81u | Won | +1.17u |
| Jul 23, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 49.5% | 0.197 | 0.72u | Won | +0.99u |
| Jul 21, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 49.5% | 0.222 | 0.78u | Won | +1.11u |
| Jul 20, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 49.8% | 0.229 | 0.79u | Lost | -0.79u |
| Jul 19, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 49.5% | 0.207 | 0.75u | Lost | -0.75u |
| Jul 18, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 49.5% | 0.147 | 0.41u | Won | +0.52u |
| Jul 18, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 49.8% | 0.179 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Jul 18, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 49.5% | 0.202 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
| Jul 17, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 49.7% | 0.203 | 0.73u | Won | +1.01u |
| Jul 17, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 49.5% | 0.157 | 0.61u | Won | +0.79u |
| Jul 16, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 49.5% | 0.202 | 0.73u | Won | +1.01u |
| Jul 11, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.56 | 44.1% | 0.431 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 11, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 40.9% | 0.336 | 0.60u | Won | +0.76u |
| Jul 10, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 45.2% | 0.303 | 0.65u | Won | +0.90u |
| Jul 10, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.60 | 47.4% | 0.368 | 1.15u | Lost | -1.15u |
| Jul 9, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 44.4% | 0.195 | 0.85u | Lost | -0.85u |
| Jul 9, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 46.2% | 0.216 | 0.86u | Lost | -0.86u |
| Jul 8, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 43.0% | 0.220 | 0.96u | Lost | -0.96u |
| Jul 8, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.01 | 44.7% | 0.112 | 0.55u | Won | +0.56u |
| Jul 7, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 49.2% | 0.204 | 0.75u | Lost | -0.75u |
| Jul 7, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 44.5% | 0.261 | 1.03u | Lost | -1.03u |
| Jul 6, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 45.5% | 0.215 | 0.88u | Won | +1.08u |
| Jul 6, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 47.8% | 0.241 | 0.87u | Won | +1.20u |
| Jul 5, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 42.1% | 0.326 | 1.20u | Won | +1.55u |
| Jul 5, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 43.4% | 0.268 | 0.60u | Won | +0.74u |
| Jul 4, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 46.4% | 0.254 | 0.95u | Won | +1.27u |
| Jul 4, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.18 | 46.8% | 0.161 | 0.68u | Won | +0.80u |
| Jul 3, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.12 | 38.8% | 0.297 | 1.20u | Won | +1.34u |
| Jul 3, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 1.98 | 41.8% | 0.153 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 2, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 45.9% | 0.251 | 0.91u | Won | +1.19u |
| Jul 2, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 48.3% | 0.252 | 0.89u | Won | +1.26u |
| Jul 1, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 43.3% | 0.163 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Jul 1, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 40.9% | 0.264 | 1.16u | Lost | -1.16u |
| Jun 30, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Padres
|
Home cover | home | 2.43 | 52.4% | 0.274 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Jun 30, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Rays
|
Home cover | home | 2.48 | 52.1% | 0.291 | 0.98u | Won | +1.45u |
| Jun 29, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Royals
|
Home cover | home | 2.49 | 52.7% | 0.312 | 1.05u | Lost | -1.05u |
| Jun 29, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.37 | 52.7% | 0.249 | 0.75u | Lost | -0.75u |
| Jun 28, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Royals
|
Home cover | home | 2.43 | 52.7% | 0.280 | 0.80u | Lost | -0.80u |
| Jun 28, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 2.45 | 52.7% | 0.291 | 1.00u | Won | +1.45u |
| Jun 27, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.48 | 52.7% | 0.307 | 1.04u | Won | +1.54u |
| Jun 27, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Nationals
|
Home cover | home | 2.35 | 52.7% | 0.238 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| Jun 26, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Orioles
|
Home cover | home | 2.53 | 52.7% | 0.333 | 0.69u | Won | +1.06u |
| Jun 26, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 2.55 | 52.7% | 0.344 | 1.11u | Won | +1.72u |
| Jun 25, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.51 | 52.7% | 0.323 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 25, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 2.84 | 52.7% | 0.496 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 24, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Indians
|
Home cover | home | 2.29 | 52.7% | 0.207 | 0.80u | Lost | -0.80u |
| Jun 24, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Royals
|
Home cover | home | 2.21 | 52.7% | 0.165 | 0.10u | Won | +0.12u |
| Jun 24, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.36 | 52.7% | 0.244 | 0.90u | Lost | -0.90u |
| Jun 23, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.59 | 52.7% | 0.365 | 1.15u | Won | +1.83u |
| Jun 23, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Nationals
|
Home cover | home | 2.43 | 52.7% | 0.280 | 0.65u | Won | +0.93u |
| Jun 22, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.56 | 52.7% | 0.349 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Jun 22, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.60 | 52.7% | 0.370 | 1.16u | Won | +1.86u |
| Jun 21, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Indians
|
Home cover | home | 2.52 | 52.7% | 0.328 | 1.08u | Lost | -1.08u |
| Jun 21, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.46 | 52.7% | 0.296 | 0.72u | Won | +1.05u |
| Jun 20, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.65 | 52.7% | 0.396 | 0.60u | Won | +0.99u |
| Jun 20, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | home | 2.75 | 52.7% | 0.449 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 19, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Dodgers
|
Home cover | home | 2.77 | 52.7% | 0.460 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 19, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.57 | 52.7% | 0.354 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 18, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.36 | 52.7% | 0.244 | 0.69u | Won | +0.94u |
| Jun 18, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.55 | 52.7% | 0.344 | 1.11u | Lost | -1.11u |
| Jun 17, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.46 | 52.7% | 0.296 | 0.68u | Won | +0.99u |
| Jun 17, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.56 | 52.7% | 0.349 | 1.12u | Won | +1.75u |
| Jun 16, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.47 | 52.7% | 0.302 | 0.67u | Won | +0.98u |
| Jun 16, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Reds
|
Home cover | home | 2.57 | 52.7% | 0.354 | 1.13u | Lost | -1.13u |
| Jun 15, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.69 | 53.3% | 0.434 | 1.20u | Won | +2.03u |
| Jun 15, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Rays
|
Home cover | home | 2.57 | 53.3% | 0.370 | 0.60u | Won | +0.94u |
| Jun 14, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.44 | 53.3% | 0.300 | 0.69u | Won | +0.99u |
| Jun 14, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.50 | 53.3% | 0.332 | 1.11u | Won | +1.67u |
| Jun 13, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Orioles
|
Home cover | home | 2.59 | 53.3% | 0.380 | 1.20u | Won | +1.91u |
| Jun 13, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Royals
|
Home cover | home | 2.58 | 53.3% | 0.375 | 0.60u | Won | +0.95u |
| Jun 12, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.51 | 53.3% | 0.338 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 12, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.63 | 53.3% | 0.402 | 1.20u | Won | +1.96u |
| Jun 11, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Rockies
|
Home cover | home | 2.41 | 53.3% | 0.284 | 0.70u | Won | +0.99u |
| Jun 11, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 2.49 | 53.3% | 0.327 | 1.10u | Won | +1.64u |
| Jun 10, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.36 | 53.3% | 0.258 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Jun 10, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | home | 2.51 | 53.3% | 0.338 | 1.12u | Won | +1.69u |
| Jun 9, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.49 | 53.3% | 0.327 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Jun 9, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | home | 2.53 | 53.3% | 0.348 | 1.14u | Lost | -1.14u |
| Jun 8, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.63 | 53.3% | 0.402 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 8, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Dodgers
|
Home cover | home | 2.36 | 53.3% | 0.258 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 7, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.51 | 53.3% | 0.338 | 1.12u | Won | +1.69u |
| Jun 7, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Royals
|
Home cover | home | 2.33 | 53.3% | 0.242 | 0.68u | Won | +0.90u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.