Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 3, 2026 10:59 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.58 | 60.2% | 0.553 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 12, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.47 | 60.3% | 0.490 | 0.60u | Won | +0.88u |
| Jun 12, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 50.0% | 0.175 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Jun 12, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 50.0% | 0.185 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Jun 12, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 50.0% | 0.220 | 0.77u | Lost | -0.77u |
| Jun 11, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 50.0% | 0.220 | 0.77u | Won | +1.11u |
| Jun 11, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 50.0% | 0.155 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Jun 11, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 50.0% | 0.110 | 0.44u | Won | +0.54u |
| Jun 11, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.31 | 59.5% | 0.375 | 1.20u | Won | +1.57u |
| Jun 11, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.24 | 61.1% | 0.368 | 0.60u | Won | +0.74u |
| Jun 10, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
Home win | home | 3.05 | 59.5% | 0.816 | 1.20u | Won | +2.46u |
| Jun 10, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.26 | 60.3% | 0.362 | 0.60u | Won | +0.76u |
| Jun 10, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 50.0% | 0.105 | 0.34u | Won | +0.41u |
| Jun 10, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 50.0% | 0.170 | 0.64u | Won | +0.86u |
| Jun 10, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.49 | 50.0% | 0.246 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Jun 9, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 50.0% | 0.070 | 0.31u | Won | +0.35u |
| Jun 9, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 50.0% | 0.026 | 0.12u | Won | +0.13u |
| Jun 9, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.61 | 59.6% | 0.555 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 9, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.67 | 60.6% | 0.618 | 1.20u | Won | +2.00u |
| Jun 8, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.47 | 59.8% | 0.478 | 0.60u | Won | +0.88u |
| Jun 8, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.71 | 60.2% | 0.631 | 1.20u | Won | +2.05u |
| Jun 8, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 50.0% | 0.175 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Jun 8, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 50.0% | 0.195 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| Jun 8, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 50.0% | 0.125 | 0.45u | Won | +0.56u |
| Jun 6, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 50.0% | 0.155 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Jun 6, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.47 | 50.0% | 0.236 | 0.80u | Lost | -0.80u |
| Jun 6, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 50.0% | 0.205 | 0.73u | Won | +1.03u |
| Jun 6, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.17 | 60.1% | 0.304 | 1.20u | Won | +1.40u |
| Jun 6, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.16 | 59.7% | 0.290 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 5, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.13 | 59.9% | 0.277 | 0.60u | Won | +0.68u |
| Jun 5, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 59.3% | 0.365 | 1.20u | Won | +1.56u |
| Jun 5, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 50.0% | 0.175 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Jun 5, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.58 | 49.9% | 0.293 | 0.93u | Lost | -0.93u |
| Jun 5, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 50.0% | 0.165 | 0.22u | Won | +0.29u |
| Jun 4, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 50.0% | 0.080 | 0.35u | Won | +0.41u |
| Jun 4, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 50.0% | 0.120 | 0.49u | Lost | -0.49u |
| Jun 4, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.23 | 60.3% | 0.345 | 1.20u | Won | +1.48u |
| Jun 4, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 60.4% | 0.328 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 3, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Mets
|
Home win | home | 1.93 | 60.0% | 0.155 | 0.84u | Won | +0.78u |
| Jun 3, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.62 | 50.0% | 0.311 | 0.96u | Lost | -0.96u |
| Jun 2, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 50.0% | 0.080 | 0.35u | Won | +0.41u |
| Jun 2, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 50.0% | 0.025 | 0.12u | Won | +0.13u |
| Jun 2, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.47 | 50.0% | 0.235 | 0.80u | Won | +1.18u |
| Jun 2, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 50.0% | 0.125 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Jun 2, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.12 | 59.7% | 0.266 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 2, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.37 | 60.1% | 0.425 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 1, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Rangers
|
Home win | away | 2.43 | 44.1% | 0.359 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 1, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.34 | 63.0% | 0.475 | 1.20u | Won | +1.61u |
| Jun 1, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 49.5% | 0.076 | 0.34u | Won | +0.38u |
| Jun 1, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 49.5% | 0.182 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Jun 1, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 49.5% | 0.187 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| May 31, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 49.5% | 0.207 | 0.75u | Lost | -0.75u |
| May 31, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.18 | 49.5% | 0.101 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| May 31, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.52 | 49.5% | 0.273 | 0.90u | Lost | -0.90u |
| May 31, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.16 | 67.5% | 0.458 | 1.20u | Won | +1.39u |
| May 31, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
Home win | away | 2.67 | 46.1% | 0.440 | 0.60u | Won | +1.00u |
| May 30, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 69.3% | 0.733 | 1.20u | Won | +1.80u |
| May 30, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.53 | 52.5% | 0.329 | 0.60u | Won | +0.92u |
| May 30, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 49.5% | 0.197 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| May 29, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.67 | 49.5% | 0.349 | 1.04u | Lost | -1.04u |
| May 29, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.63 | 49.5% | 0.329 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| May 29, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 1.87 | 68.3% | 0.277 | 0.60u | Won | +0.52u |
| May 29, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.29 | 57.8% | 0.324 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 28, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home win | home | 3.41 | 59.0% | 1.010 | 1.20u | Won | +2.89u |
| May 28, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 52.5% | 0.313 | 0.60u | Won | +0.90u |
| May 27, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.28 | 59.1% | 0.348 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 27, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.44 | 57.1% | 0.393 | 1.20u | Won | +1.73u |
| May 27, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 49.5% | 0.197 | 0.72u | Won | +0.99u |
| May 27, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 49.5% | 0.086 | 0.30u | Won | +0.35u |
| May 27, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 49.5% | 0.223 | 0.78u | Lost | -0.78u |
| May 26, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 49.5% | 0.177 | 0.67u | Won | +0.89u |
| May 26, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 49.5% | 0.127 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| May 26, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 49.5% | 0.187 | 0.69u | Won | +0.93u |
| May 26, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Mariners
|
Home win | away | 2.73 | 43.9% | 0.533 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 26, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.42 | 72.8% | 0.763 | 1.20u | Won | +1.70u |
| May 25, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Dodgers
|
Home win | away | 2.83 | 43.0% | 0.613 | 1.20u | Won | +2.20u |
| May 25, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Padres
|
Home win | away | 2.57 | 43.9% | 0.443 | 0.60u | Won | +0.94u |
| May 25, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 49.5% | 0.122 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| May 25, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.08 | 49.5% | 0.051 | 0.24u | Won | +0.26u |
| May 25, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 49.5% | 0.192 | 0.71u | Won | +0.97u |
| May 24, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 49.5% | 0.167 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| May 24, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rays
|
Home win | away | 2.61 | 49.2% | 0.325 | 0.60u | Won | +0.97u |
| May 24, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Mariners
|
Home win | away | 2.53 | 45.0% | 0.392 | 1.20u | Won | +1.84u |
| May 23, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Brewers
|
Home win | away | 3.31 | 49.9% | 0.657 | 1.20u | Won | +2.77u |
| May 23, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Cubs
|
Home win | away | 2.80 | 41.1% | 0.649 | 0.60u | Won | +1.08u |
| May 23, 2021 | seriea |
Bologna
Juventus
|
Home draw | 1x | 3.50 | 60.0% | 1.101 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 23, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 49.5% | 0.207 | 0.75u | Lost | -0.75u |
| May 23, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 49.5% | 0.137 | 0.41u | Won | +0.51u |
| May 23, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 49.5% | 0.167 | 0.64u | Won | +0.84u |
| May 22, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.12 | 49.5% | 0.071 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| May 22, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 49.5% | 0.081 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| May 22, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 49.5% | 0.142 | 0.56u | Lost | -0.56u |
| May 22, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.07 | 49.5% | 0.046 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| May 22, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.18 | 49.5% | 0.101 | 0.43u | Won | +0.51u |
| May 22, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.16 | 66.1% | 0.428 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 22, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Orioles
|
Home win | away | 2.71 | 47.6% | 0.421 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 22, 2021 | seriea |
Cagliari
Genoa
|
Home away | draw | 4.00 | 47.9% | 1.083 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| May 22, 2021 | seriea |
Sampdoria
Parma
|
Home away | draw | 4.33 | 49.0% | 1.208 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 21, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Astros
|
Home win | away | 2.71 | 40.0% | 0.626 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 21, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Brewers
|
Home win | away | 2.93 | 47.7% | 0.533 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.