Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 3, 2026 10:59 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 43.1% | 0.354 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 5, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 43.1% | 0.276 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Jul 5, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 43.6% | 0.292 | 1.13u | Won | +1.46u |
| Jul 5, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.64 | 53.1% | 0.402 | 1.20u | Won | +1.97u |
| Jul 4, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.66 | 52.5% | 0.396 | 0.60u | Won | +1.00u |
| Jul 4, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.82 | 52.0% | 0.468 | 1.20u | Won | +2.18u |
| Jul 4, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 43.4% | 0.325 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 4, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.18 | 43.5% | 0.232 | 0.60u | Won | +0.71u |
| Jul 3, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 43.5% | 0.130 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Jul 3, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 1.98 | 43.4% | 0.122 | 0.25u | Won | +0.25u |
| Jul 3, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.12 | 43.3% | 0.201 | 0.90u | Lost | -0.90u |
| Jul 3, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.43 | 51.8% | 0.260 | 0.60u | Won | +0.86u |
| Jul 3, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Astros
|
Home win | home | 3.10 | 52.5% | 0.627 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 2, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.41 | 52.8% | 0.273 | 0.97u | Won | +1.37u |
| Jul 2, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.36 | 53.5% | 0.263 | 0.83u | Won | +1.13u |
| Jul 2, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 43.4% | 0.364 | 0.60u | Won | +0.85u |
| Jul 2, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 43.5% | 0.367 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 1, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 43.3% | 0.214 | 0.94u | Won | +1.07u |
| Jul 1, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 43.3% | 0.190 | 0.86u | Won | +0.95u |
| Jul 1, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Giants
|
Home win | home | 3.09 | 51.4% | 0.587 | 1.20u | Won | +2.51u |
| Jul 1, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.57 | 52.3% | 0.344 | 0.60u | Won | +0.94u |
| Jun 30, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.61 | 53.4% | 0.394 | 1.20u | Won | +1.93u |
| Jun 30, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 43.0% | 0.282 | 1.13u | Won | +1.41u |
| Jun 30, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 43.4% | 0.246 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Jun 29, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.11 | 50.0% | 0.056 | 0.25u | Won | +0.28u |
| Jun 29, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.49 | 49.7% | 0.253 | 0.85u | Lost | -0.85u |
| Jun 29, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 49.9% | 0.027 | 0.13u | Won | +0.14u |
| Jun 29, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 49.9% | 0.132 | 0.53u | Won | +0.67u |
| Jun 29, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Padres
|
Home win | home | 1.91 | 60.9% | 0.163 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 29, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.21 | 60.9% | 0.347 | 1.20u | Won | +1.45u |
| Jun 28, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 1.86 | 61.2% | 0.135 | 0.79u | Won | +0.68u |
| Jun 28, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.47 | 49.8% | 0.240 | 0.82u | Won | +1.21u |
| Jun 28, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Royals
|
Home cover | home | 2.20 | 50.0% | 0.100 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| Jun 27, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 49.9% | 0.098 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Jun 27, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 49.8% | 0.189 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Jun 27, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 60.5% | 0.391 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 27, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 60.2% | 0.504 | 1.20u | Won | +1.80u |
| Jun 26, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.84 | 60.4% | 0.715 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 26, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Angels
|
Home win | home | 3.01 | 60.4% | 0.819 | 1.20u | Won | +2.41u |
| Jun 26, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 49.9% | 0.077 | 0.33u | Won | +0.38u |
| Jun 26, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 50.0% | 0.025 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Jun 25, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 49.9% | 0.108 | 0.42u | Won | +0.51u |
| Jun 25, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 49.9% | 0.229 | 0.79u | Lost | -0.79u |
| Jun 25, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 50.0% | 0.156 | 0.59u | Won | +0.77u |
| Jun 25, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Indians
|
Home win | home | 2.09 | 59.8% | 0.251 | 1.15u | Won | +1.25u |
| Jun 25, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 1.96 | 61.2% | 0.200 | 0.65u | Won | +0.63u |
| Jun 24, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.99 | 60.1% | 0.798 | 1.20u | Won | +2.39u |
| Jun 24, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.29 | 59.9% | 0.371 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 24, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.06 | 49.9% | 0.033 | 0.15u | Won | +0.16u |
| Jun 24, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 49.9% | 0.197 | 0.71u | Won | +0.99u |
| Jun 23, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 49.5% | 0.147 | 0.51u | Won | +0.65u |
| Jun 23, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 49.9% | 0.152 | 0.58u | Won | +0.75u |
| Jun 23, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 49.9% | 0.197 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Jun 23, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.86 | 60.7% | 0.737 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 23, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.87 | 59.2% | 0.699 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 22, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.64 | 59.5% | 0.570 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 22, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.51 | 61.1% | 0.535 | 0.60u | Won | +0.91u |
| Jun 22, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 49.8% | 0.189 | 0.40u | Won | +0.55u |
| Jun 22, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 49.8% | 0.190 | 0.69u | Won | +0.95u |
| Jun 22, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 49.9% | 0.198 | 0.71u | Won | +0.99u |
| Jun 21, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 49.8% | 0.149 | 0.52u | Lost | -0.52u |
| Jun 21, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 49.9% | 0.188 | 0.69u | Won | +0.95u |
| Jun 21, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 49.8% | 0.154 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Jun 21, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 60.5% | 0.362 | 0.60u | Won | +0.75u |
| Jun 21, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Indians
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 59.5% | 0.488 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 20, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.58 | 60.1% | 0.550 | 1.20u | Won | +1.90u |
| Jun 20, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 59.6% | 0.521 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 20, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.52 | 49.9% | 0.262 | 0.86u | Lost | -0.86u |
| Jun 20, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 49.9% | 0.073 | 0.32u | Won | +0.36u |
| Jun 20, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 49.8% | 0.155 | 0.60u | Won | +0.78u |
| Jun 19, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 49.8% | 0.165 | 0.62u | Won | +0.82u |
| Jun 19, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 49.9% | 0.123 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Jun 19, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 49.9% | 0.102 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Jun 19, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 49.9% | 0.113 | 0.46u | Won | +0.56u |
| Jun 19, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 3.06 | 60.8% | 0.861 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 19, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 60.1% | 0.471 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 18, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.74 | 60.6% | 0.661 | 0.60u | Won | +1.04u |
| Jun 18, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.80 | 60.0% | 0.681 | 1.20u | Won | +2.16u |
| Jun 18, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.18 | 49.8% | 0.095 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Jun 18, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 49.9% | 0.197 | 0.71u | Won | +0.99u |
| Jun 17, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 49.8% | 0.149 | 0.58u | Lost | -0.58u |
| Jun 17, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.51 | 60.9% | 0.528 | 1.20u | Won | +1.81u |
| Jun 17, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.39 | 60.1% | 0.437 | 0.60u | Won | +0.83u |
| Jun 16, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.69 | 60.7% | 0.634 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 16, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.48 | 60.8% | 0.507 | 0.60u | Won | +0.89u |
| Jun 16, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.59 | 49.9% | 0.299 | 0.94u | Won | +1.49u |
| Jun 16, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 2.44 | 50.0% | 0.220 | 0.76u | Won | +1.09u |
| Jun 16, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 49.9% | 0.082 | 0.10u | Lost | -0.10u |
| Jun 15, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 50.0% | 0.100 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| Jun 15, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 50.0% | 0.135 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| Jun 15, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.12 | 59.2% | 0.255 | 0.60u | Won | +0.67u |
| Jun 15, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 3.03 | 61.0% | 0.850 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 14, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.18 | 59.5% | 0.298 | 0.60u | Won | +0.71u |
| Jun 14, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.42 | 59.9% | 0.451 | 1.20u | Won | +1.70u |
| Jun 14, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 50.0% | 0.095 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Jun 14, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 50.0% | 0.201 | 0.72u | Won | +1.01u |
| Jun 13, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 50.0% | 0.095 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Jun 13, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 50.0% | 0.140 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| Jun 13, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.95 | 59.8% | 0.764 | 1.20u | Won | +2.34u |
| Jun 13, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 60.8% | 0.430 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.