Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 4, 2026 8:47 AM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 43.1% | 0.359 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 17, 2021 | seriea |
Sassuolo
Torino
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.00 | 62.6% | 0.252 | 1.20u | Won | +1.20u |
| Sep 16, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 43.2% | 0.268 | 1.09u | Won | +1.34u |
| Sep 15, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.54 | 43.0% | 0.449 | 1.20u | Won | +1.85u |
| Sep 15, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 43.1% | 0.342 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 14, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.18 | 43.1% | 0.241 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| Sep 14, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 43.1% | 0.270 | 1.10u | Lost | -1.10u |
| Sep 13, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.55 | 43.1% | 0.452 | 1.20u | Won | +1.86u |
| Sep 13, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 43.1% | 0.291 | 0.60u | Won | +0.76u |
| Sep 13, 2021 | seriea |
Bologna
Hellas Verona
|
Draw away | home | 2.00 | 38.9% | 0.221 | 1.20u | Won | +1.20u |
| Sep 12, 2021 | seriea |
Sampdoria
Internazionale
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.25 | 57.8% | 0.301 | 0.30u | Won | +0.38u |
| Sep 12, 2021 | seriea |
AS Roma
Sassuolo
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.20 | 85.9% | 0.891 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 12, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 43.1% | 0.303 | 0.63u | Won | +0.81u |
| Sep 12, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 43.1% | 0.303 | 1.17u | Won | +1.51u |
| Sep 12, 2021 | seriea |
AS Roma
Sassuolo
|
Home draw | away | 4.75 | 49.6% | 1.394 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 11, 2021 | seriea |
Empoli
Venezia
|
Home draw | away | 5.00 | 46.9% | 1.655 | 1.20u | Won | +4.80u |
| Sep 11, 2021 | seriea |
Napoli
Juventus
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.25 | 61.4% | 0.381 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 11, 2021 | seriea |
Atalanta
Fiorentina
|
Home away | draw | 3.50 | 23.9% | 1.662 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 11, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 43.1% | 0.350 | 0.60u | Won | +0.82u |
| Sep 11, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 43.0% | 0.350 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 10, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 43.1% | 0.394 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 10, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 43.1% | 0.321 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 9, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 1.97 | 43.1% | 0.122 | 0.63u | Won | +0.61u |
| Sep 8, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 43.1% | 0.361 | 0.60u | Won | +0.83u |
| Sep 8, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.48 | 43.0% | 0.414 | 1.20u | Won | +1.78u |
| Sep 7, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.53 | 40.0% | 0.518 | 1.20u | Won | +1.84u |
| Sep 7, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 40.0% | 0.362 | 0.60u | Won | +0.76u |
| Sep 6, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 40.0% | 0.362 | 1.20u | Won | +1.52u |
| Sep 6, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 40.0% | 0.290 | 0.60u | Won | +0.69u |
| Sep 5, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 40.0% | 0.338 | 1.20u | Won | +1.48u |
| Sep 5, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.36 | 51.6% | 0.219 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 4, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 40.0% | 0.446 | 1.20u | Won | +1.69u |
| Sep 4, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 40.0% | 0.398 | 0.60u | Won | +0.80u |
| Sep 3, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 40.0% | 0.452 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 3, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 40.0% | 0.356 | 0.60u | Won | +0.76u |
| Sep 2, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.46 | 51.6% | 0.271 | 0.60u | Won | +0.88u |
| Sep 2, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 33.3% | 0.333 | 1.20u | Won | +1.20u |
| Sep 1, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 33.3% | 0.527 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 1, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.12 | 40.0% | 0.272 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 31, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 40.0% | 0.434 | 1.20u | Won | +1.67u |
| Aug 31, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.52 | 51.6% | 0.302 | 0.60u | Won | +0.91u |
| Aug 30, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.49 | 40.0% | 0.494 | 0.60u | Won | +0.89u |
| Aug 30, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Twins
|
Home cover | home | 1.92 | 100.0% | 0.917 | 1.20u | Won | +1.10u |
| Aug 29, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.49 | 51.6% | 0.286 | 0.96u | Won | +1.43u |
| Aug 29, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.06 | 40.0% | 0.236 | 0.84u | Won | +0.89u |
| Aug 29, 2021 | seriea |
AC Milan
Cagliari
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.25 | 72.7% | 0.636 | 1.20u | Won | +1.50u |
| Aug 29, 2021 | seriea |
Sassuolo
Sampdoria
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.63 | 70.7% | 0.856 | 1.20u | Won | +1.95u |
| Aug 28, 2021 | seriea |
Juventus
Empoli
|
Draw away | x2 | 4.00 | 51.0% | 1.038 | 1.20u | Won | +3.60u |
| Aug 28, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.03 | 40.0% | 0.218 | 0.63u | Won | +0.65u |
| Aug 28, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.09 | 40.0% | 0.254 | 1.17u | Lost | -1.17u |
| Aug 27, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 40.0% | 0.326 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 27, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 40.0% | 0.290 | 0.60u | Won | +0.69u |
| Aug 27, 2021 | seriea |
Hellas Verona
Internazionale
|
Home draw | away | 5.00 | 39.8% | 2.010 | 1.20u | Won | +4.80u |
| Aug 26, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 40.0% | 0.440 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 26, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 1.86 | 100.0% | 0.862 | 1.20u | Won | +1.03u |
| Aug 25, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.21 | 100.0% | 1.210 | 1.20u | Won | +1.45u |
| Aug 25, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 40.0% | 0.470 | 0.60u | Won | +0.87u |
| Aug 24, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 48.1% | 0.271 | 0.75u | Won | +1.09u |
| Aug 24, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.56 | 48.1% | 0.328 | 1.05u | Won | +1.64u |
| Aug 23, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 48.1% | 0.214 | 0.80u | Won | +1.07u |
| Aug 23, 2021 | seriea |
Sampdoria
AC Milan
|
Home draw | away | 2.00 | 42.8% | 0.144 | 0.30u | Won | +0.30u |
| Aug 23, 2021 | seriea |
Cagliari
Spezia
|
Home draw | away | 4.50 | 42.6% | 1.583 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 22, 2021 | seriea |
Napoli
Venezia
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.50 | 60.0% | 0.499 | 1.20u | Won | +1.80u |
| Aug 22, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 48.1% | 0.136 | 0.57u | Lost | -0.57u |
| Aug 22, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 48.1% | 0.240 | 0.86u | Lost | -0.86u |
| Aug 21, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 48.1% | 0.245 | 0.83u | Lost | -0.83u |
| Aug 21, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.48 | 48.1% | 0.287 | 0.97u | Won | +1.44u |
| Aug 20, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 48.1% | 0.250 | 0.89u | Lost | -0.89u |
| Aug 20, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 48.1% | 0.224 | 0.82u | Won | +1.12u |
| Aug 19, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.54 | 48.1% | 0.318 | 1.03u | Lost | -1.03u |
| Aug 19, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 48.1% | 0.204 | 0.77u | Won | +1.02u |
| Aug 18, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 48.1% | 0.266 | 0.87u | Lost | -0.87u |
| Aug 18, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 48.1% | 0.271 | 0.93u | Lost | -0.93u |
| Aug 17, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 48.1% | 0.146 | 0.17u | Won | +0.21u |
| Aug 17, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 48.1% | 0.219 | 0.81u | Won | +1.09u |
| Aug 17, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 48.1% | 0.224 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Aug 16, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 48.1% | 0.188 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
| Aug 15, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 48.1% | 0.214 | 0.80u | Lost | -0.80u |
| Aug 15, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 48.1% | 0.183 | 0.10u | Won | +0.13u |
| Aug 15, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 48.1% | 0.255 | 0.90u | Lost | -0.90u |
| Aug 14, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.46 | 48.1% | 0.276 | 0.78u | Lost | -0.78u |
| Aug 14, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.53 | 48.1% | 0.313 | 1.02u | Lost | -1.02u |
| Aug 13, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 48.1% | 0.141 | 0.59u | Won | +0.71u |
| Aug 13, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 48.1% | 0.219 | 0.81u | Won | +1.09u |
| Aug 12, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 48.1% | 0.147 | 0.61u | Won | +0.74u |
| Aug 11, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 48.1% | 0.172 | 0.68u | Won | +0.86u |
| Aug 11, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 48.1% | 0.188 | 0.73u | Won | +0.94u |
| Aug 10, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 41.8% | 0.274 | 1.15u | Won | +1.37u |
| Aug 10, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 41.8% | 0.239 | 0.65u | Won | +0.73u |
| Aug 9, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 1.97 | 41.7% | 0.150 | 0.77u | Lost | -0.77u |
| Aug 8, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 41.9% | 0.423 | 1.20u | Won | +1.74u |
| Aug 8, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 41.8% | 0.252 | 0.60u | Won | +0.69u |
| Aug 7, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 41.8% | 0.298 | 0.60u | Won | +0.74u |
| Aug 7, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.54 | 42.0% | 0.474 | 1.20u | Won | +1.85u |
| Aug 6, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 41.9% | 0.329 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 6, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 41.7% | 0.410 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 5, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 41.8% | 0.368 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 5, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 41.8% | 0.275 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 4, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 41.8% | 0.280 | 1.17u | Won | +1.40u |
| Aug 4, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.11 | 41.8% | 0.228 | 0.63u | Lost | -0.63u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.