Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 3, 2026 10:59 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 49.5% | 0.192 | 0.25u | Won | +0.34u |
| May 21, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.47 | 49.5% | 0.248 | 0.84u | Won | +1.23u |
| May 21, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 49.5% | 0.192 | 0.71u | Won | +0.97u |
| May 20, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 49.5% | 0.263 | 0.88u | Won | +1.32u |
| May 20, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.54 | 49.5% | 0.283 | 0.92u | Won | +1.42u |
| May 20, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Astros
|
Home win | away | 2.29 | 49.3% | 0.161 | 0.62u | Won | +0.80u |
| May 20, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 54.7% | 0.312 | 1.11u | Lost | -1.11u |
| May 19, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.51 | 50.5% | 0.269 | 0.89u | Lost | -0.89u |
| May 19, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.43 | 51.7% | 0.256 | 0.89u | Won | +1.27u |
| May 19, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 49.5% | 0.197 | 0.72u | Won | +0.99u |
| May 19, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 49.5% | 0.182 | 0.68u | Won | +0.91u |
| May 19, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 49.5% | 0.147 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| May 18, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 48.5% | 0.184 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| May 18, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 48.7% | 0.051 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| May 18, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.04 | 47.8% | 0.066 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| May 18, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.08 | 46.5% | 0.113 | 0.52u | Won | +0.56u |
| May 18, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Indians
|
Home win | home | 2.53 | 56.9% | 0.439 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 18, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 56.4% | 0.354 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 17, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 3.28 | 56.4% | 0.850 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 17, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 47.7% | 0.245 | 0.89u | Won | +1.23u |
| May 16, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 47.7% | 0.130 | 0.56u | Lost | -0.56u |
| May 16, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.77 | 56.5% | 0.565 | 1.20u | Won | +2.12u |
| May 16, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.53 | 56.9% | 0.439 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 15, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 55.9% | 0.399 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 15, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.41 | 56.9% | 0.371 | 0.60u | Won | +0.85u |
| May 15, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.48 | 49.5% | 0.252 | 0.85u | Lost | -0.85u |
| May 15, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 48.6% | 0.253 | 0.88u | Lost | -0.88u |
| May 15, 2021 | seriea |
AS Roma
Lazio
|
Home draw | 1x | 5.00 | 51.4% | 1.571 | 1.20u | Won | +4.80u |
| May 15, 2021 | seriea |
Genoa
Atalanta
|
Home draw | away | 3.30 | 46.8% | 0.756 | 0.30u | Won | +0.69u |
| May 14, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.68 | 56.5% | 0.515 | 1.20u | Won | +2.02u |
| May 14, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Indians
|
Home win | home | 2.61 | 57.6% | 0.503 | 0.60u | Won | +0.97u |
| May 14, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.09 | 46.7% | 0.114 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| May 14, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 49.0% | 0.223 | 0.80u | Won | +1.12u |
| May 14, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.37 | 50.3% | 0.192 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| May 13, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.64 | 50.4% | 0.331 | 1.01u | Won | +1.66u |
| May 13, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 48.9% | 0.221 | 0.79u | Lost | -0.79u |
| May 13, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.39 | 56.5% | 0.350 | 1.20u | Won | +1.67u |
| May 13, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.29 | 56.0% | 0.282 | 0.60u | Won | +0.77u |
| May 12, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.68 | 55.9% | 0.497 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 12, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.41 | 56.8% | 0.368 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 12, 2021 | seriea |
Atalanta
Benevento
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.20 | 67.3% | 0.480 | 0.30u | Won | +0.36u |
| May 12, 2021 | seriea |
Torino
AC Milan
|
Home draw | away | 4.60 | 48.2% | 1.382 | 1.20u | Won | +4.32u |
| May 12, 2021 | seriea |
Sampdoria
Spezia
|
Home away | draw | 3.40 | 47.9% | 0.772 | 1.20u | Won | +2.88u |
| May 12, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.06 | 48.6% | 0.059 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| May 12, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.06 | 48.1% | 0.068 | 0.32u | Won | +0.34u |
| May 12, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.07 | 47.4% | 0.089 | 0.42u | Won | +0.45u |
| May 12, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 48.6% | 0.080 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| May 12, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 48.4% | 0.135 | 0.56u | Lost | -0.56u |
| May 11, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 48.6% | 0.193 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
| May 11, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 49.3% | 0.151 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| May 11, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.14 | 56.3% | 0.205 | 0.60u | Won | +0.68u |
| May 11, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.43 | 56.5% | 0.373 | 1.20u | Won | +1.72u |
| May 10, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.16 | 56.2% | 0.214 | 0.60u | Won | +0.70u |
| May 10, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 56.7% | 0.361 | 1.20u | Won | +1.68u |
| May 10, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.07 | 49.3% | 0.050 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| May 10, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 49.0% | 0.092 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| May 9, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.12 | 48.3% | 0.097 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| May 9, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 47.1% | 0.232 | 0.87u | Lost | -0.87u |
| May 9, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 48.4% | 0.099 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| May 9, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.26 | 58.2% | 0.315 | 0.60u | Won | +0.76u |
| May 9, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.62 | 56.7% | 0.486 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 9, 2021 | seriea |
Genoa
Sassuolo
|
Home draw | away | 4.33 | 47.3% | 1.281 | 1.20u | Won | +4.00u |
| May 8, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.47 | 56.0% | 0.382 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 8, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.63 | 56.1% | 0.475 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 8, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 48.8% | 0.218 | 0.79u | Won | +1.09u |
| May 8, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 47.5% | 0.208 | 0.80u | Won | +1.04u |
| May 8, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 48.2% | 0.177 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| May 7, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.02 | 48.9% | 0.032 | 0.16u | Lost | -0.16u |
| May 7, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 48.5% | 0.144 | 0.59u | Won | +0.72u |
| May 7, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.09 | 47.7% | 0.092 | 0.42u | Won | +0.46u |
| May 7, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.07 | 48.4% | 0.067 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| May 7, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.36 | 56.1% | 0.325 | 0.60u | Won | +0.82u |
| May 7, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.47 | 56.6% | 0.399 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 6, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 57.5% | 0.264 | 1.10u | Lost | -1.10u |
| May 6, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.08 | 57.1% | 0.187 | 0.70u | Won | +0.76u |
| May 6, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.46 | 49.1% | 0.252 | 0.86u | Won | +1.26u |
| May 6, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.49 | 48.5% | 0.281 | 0.94u | Won | +1.40u |
| May 5, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 47.7% | 0.188 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| May 5, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 47.5% | 0.049 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| May 5, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.06 | 49.0% | 0.051 | 0.24u | Won | +0.25u |
| May 5, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 48.9% | 0.134 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| May 5, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.43 | 56.1% | 0.364 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 5, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.48 | 56.5% | 0.402 | 1.20u | Won | +1.78u |
| May 4, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Indians
|
Home win | home | 2.52 | 52.9% | 0.334 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 4, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Giants
|
Home win | home | 3.03 | 52.9% | 0.604 | 1.20u | Won | +2.44u |
| May 4, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 38.5% | 0.360 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 4, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Dodgers
|
Home cover | home | 2.26 | 100.0% | 1.260 | 1.20u | Won | +1.51u |
| May 3, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Orioles
|
Home cover | home | 2.40 | 50.0% | 0.200 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 3, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 38.5% | 0.483 | 1.20u | Won | +1.69u |
| May 3, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.33 | 55.1% | 0.283 | 1.06u | Won | +1.41u |
| May 2, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.38 | 100.0% | 1.380 | 1.20u | Won | +1.66u |
| May 2, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.68 | 52.9% | 0.419 | 0.60u | Won | +1.01u |
| May 2, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 43.5% | 0.266 | 1.07u | Won | +1.33u |
| May 2, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.49 | 50.0% | 0.245 | 0.73u | Won | +1.09u |
| May 2, 2021 | seriea |
Napoli
Cagliari
|
Home draw | 1x | 3.00 | 50.5% | 0.514 | 1.20u | Won | +2.40u |
| May 2, 2021 | seriea |
Bologna
Fiorentina
|
Home draw | away | 2.20 | 45.7% | 0.194 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| May 1, 2021 | seriea |
AC Milan
Benevento
|
Home draw | 1x | 4.00 | 54.2% | 1.170 | 1.20u | Won | +3.60u |
| May 1, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 48.7% | 0.124 | 0.52u | Won | +0.62u |
| May 1, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 43.5% | 0.345 | 1.20u | Won | +1.66u |
| May 1, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.57 | 55.1% | 0.415 | 1.20u | Won | +1.88u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.