Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 3, 2026 10:59 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 42.0% | 0.277 | 0.60u | Won | +0.72u |
| Aug 2, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 41.2% | 0.324 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 2, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 42.5% | 0.322 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 2, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.74 | 50.8% | 0.393 | 1.13u | Lost | -1.13u |
| Aug 2, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.43 | 50.8% | 0.234 | 0.67u | Won | +0.96u |
| Aug 1, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 3.08 | 50.9% | 0.567 | 1.20u | Won | +2.50u |
| Aug 1, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 50.9% | 0.248 | 0.60u | Won | +0.87u |
| Aug 1, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.07 | 42.0% | 0.201 | 0.86u | Lost | -0.86u |
| Aug 1, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.07 | 41.9% | 0.202 | 0.94u | Won | +1.01u |
| Jul 31, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.46 | 41.6% | 0.436 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 31, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 41.1% | 0.367 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 31, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 50.9% | 0.298 | 0.78u | Won | +1.21u |
| Jul 31, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.61 | 50.9% | 0.328 | 1.02u | Won | +1.64u |
| Jul 30, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.48 | 50.9% | 0.263 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Jul 30, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.74 | 50.9% | 0.394 | 1.13u | Lost | -1.13u |
| Jul 30, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 42.1% | 0.245 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 30, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 42.0% | 0.362 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 29, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 41.5% | 0.363 | 1.20u | Won | +1.60u |
| Jul 29, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 41.9% | 0.341 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 29, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.57 | 50.9% | 0.309 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| Jul 29, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.71 | 50.8% | 0.378 | 1.10u | Lost | -1.10u |
| Jul 28, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.34 | 50.9% | 0.191 | 0.71u | Won | +0.95u |
| Jul 28, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 50.9% | 0.170 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Jul 28, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.56 | 50.9% | 0.304 | 0.97u | Lost | -0.97u |
| Jul 28, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 41.9% | 0.365 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 28, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.43 | 41.8% | 0.414 | 1.20u | Won | +1.72u |
| Jul 27, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 46.6% | 0.176 | 0.22u | Won | +0.26u |
| Jul 27, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 46.5% | 0.189 | 0.77u | Won | +0.94u |
| Jul 27, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 48.0% | 0.217 | 0.81u | Won | +1.09u |
| Jul 27, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.43 | 57.0% | 0.386 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 27, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 57.0% | 0.340 | 0.60u | Won | +0.81u |
| Jul 26, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.06 | 57.0% | 0.175 | 0.60u | Won | +0.64u |
| Jul 26, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 57.0% | 0.425 | 1.20u | Won | +1.80u |
| Jul 26, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 46.8% | 0.208 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Jul 25, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 47.2% | 0.220 | 0.84u | Won | +1.10u |
| Jul 25, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.09 | 47.4% | 0.100 | 0.46u | Lost | -0.46u |
| Jul 25, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 49.4% | 0.097 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Jul 25, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 57.0% | 0.454 | 0.60u | Won | +0.93u |
| Jul 25, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.80 | 57.0% | 0.596 | 1.20u | Won | +2.16u |
| Jul 24, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.39 | 57.0% | 0.363 | 0.60u | Won | +0.83u |
| Jul 24, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 57.0% | 0.368 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 24, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 46.7% | 0.269 | 0.87u | Won | +1.20u |
| Jul 24, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 48.0% | 0.269 | 0.93u | Won | +1.34u |
| Jul 23, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 46.2% | 0.162 | 0.21u | Won | +0.24u |
| Jul 23, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 47.4% | 0.169 | 0.69u | Won | +0.84u |
| Jul 23, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 47.4% | 0.247 | 0.90u | Lost | -0.90u |
| Jul 23, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.28 | 57.0% | 0.300 | 1.17u | Lost | -1.17u |
| Jul 23, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.09 | 57.0% | 0.192 | 0.63u | Won | +0.69u |
| Jul 22, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 57.0% | 0.340 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 22, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.24 | 57.0% | 0.277 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 22, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 46.8% | 0.170 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Jul 22, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.08 | 47.8% | 0.085 | 0.39u | Won | +0.42u |
| Jul 22, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 46.9% | 0.147 | 0.64u | Won | +0.74u |
| Jul 21, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 46.4% | 0.286 | 0.69u | Won | +0.97u |
| Jul 21, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 45.7% | 0.315 | 1.11u | Lost | -1.11u |
| Jul 21, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.19 | 57.5% | 0.260 | 1.09u | Lost | -1.09u |
| Jul 21, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 57.0% | 0.169 | 0.71u | Won | +0.75u |
| Jul 20, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.47 | 57.0% | 0.408 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 20, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 60.2% | 0.295 | 0.60u | Won | +0.69u |
| Jul 20, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 45.8% | 0.264 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
| Jul 20, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 46.6% | 0.310 | 1.07u | Lost | -1.07u |
| Jul 19, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 47.6% | 0.283 | 0.98u | Won | +1.42u |
| Jul 19, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 47.9% | 0.246 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Jul 19, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.07 | 55.3% | 0.145 | 0.68u | Won | +0.73u |
| Jul 19, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Twins
|
Home win | home | 1.99 | 57.5% | 0.145 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
| Jul 18, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.21 | 57.0% | 0.260 | 0.60u | Won | +0.73u |
| Jul 18, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.34 | 56.9% | 0.333 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 18, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 48.7% | 0.221 | 0.80u | Lost | -0.80u |
| Jul 18, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 46.5% | 0.257 | 0.95u | Lost | -0.95u |
| Jul 17, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 46.4% | 0.228 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Jul 17, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 45.6% | 0.300 | 1.08u | Lost | -1.08u |
| Jul 17, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Padres
|
Home win | home | 3.09 | 56.0% | 0.731 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 17, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.54 | 57.0% | 0.448 | 0.60u | Won | +0.92u |
| Jul 16, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.46 | 57.0% | 0.403 | 0.60u | Won | +0.88u |
| Jul 16, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 3.13 | 55.0% | 0.721 | 1.20u | Won | +2.56u |
| Jul 16, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.11 | 45.9% | 0.141 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Jul 16, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 48.2% | 0.155 | 0.63u | Won | +0.77u |
| Jul 16, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 46.4% | 0.276 | 1.00u | Won | +1.38u |
| Jul 11, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.56 | 43.4% | 0.449 | 1.20u | Won | +1.87u |
| Jul 11, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 43.3% | 0.281 | 0.60u | Won | +0.76u |
| Jul 11, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.22 | 52.3% | 0.161 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Jul 11, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.52 | 52.1% | 0.312 | 1.03u | Won | +1.57u |
| Jul 10, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.81 | 51.7% | 0.453 | 1.20u | Won | +2.17u |
| Jul 10, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 43.4% | 0.348 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 10, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.60 | 43.5% | 0.469 | 1.20u | Won | +1.92u |
| Jul 9, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 43.5% | 0.215 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Jul 9, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 43.3% | 0.281 | 1.12u | Won | +1.41u |
| Jul 9, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.32 | 51.8% | 0.202 | 0.77u | Won | +1.02u |
| Jul 9, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.26 | 52.0% | 0.174 | 0.69u | Won | +0.87u |
| Jul 8, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.19 | 52.5% | 0.150 | 0.63u | Lost | -0.63u |
| Jul 8, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.41 | 51.9% | 0.251 | 0.89u | Won | +1.25u |
| Jul 8, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.01 | 43.5% | 0.137 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Jul 8, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 43.3% | 0.213 | 0.93u | Won | +1.06u |
| Jul 7, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 43.4% | 0.284 | 0.60u | Won | +0.76u |
| Jul 7, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 43.3% | 0.344 | 1.20u | Won | +1.64u |
| Jul 7, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.68 | 51.7% | 0.385 | 1.15u | Won | +1.93u |
| Jul 7, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.43 | 51.5% | 0.251 | 0.65u | Won | +0.93u |
| Jul 6, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.61 | 51.7% | 0.348 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Jul 6, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.69 | 51.7% | 0.391 | 1.16u | Won | +1.96u |
| Jul 6, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 43.2% | 0.323 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.