Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 9:14 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2023 | mlb |
Royals
Pirates
|
Home win | away | 3.05 | 43.8% | 0.716 | 0.34u | Won | +0.70u |
| Aug 28, 2023 | mlb |
Twins
Guardians
|
Home win | away | 2.35 | 43.8% | 0.322 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Aug 28, 2023 | mlb |
Orioles
White Sox
|
Home win | away | 2.20 | 43.8% | 0.238 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Aug 28, 2023 | mlb |
Dodgers
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | away | 2.05 | 30.8% | 0.419 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Aug 28, 2023 | mlb |
Mariners
Athletics
|
Home win | away | 2.40 | 43.8% | 0.350 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Aug 28, 2023 | mlb |
Phillies
Angels
|
Home win | home | 1.87 | 100.0% | 0.870 | 0.34u | Won | +0.30u |
| Aug 27, 2023 | mlb |
Pirates
Cubs
|
Home win | away | 2.70 | 43.8% | 0.519 | 0.32u | Won | +0.54u |
| Aug 27, 2023 | mlb |
Marlins
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 100.0% | 1.100 | 0.33u | Won | +0.36u |
| Aug 27, 2023 | mlb |
Red Sox
Dodgers
|
Home win | away | 3.60 | 43.8% | 1.025 | 0.33u | Won | +0.86u |
| Aug 27, 2023 | mlb |
Mariners
Royals
|
Home win | away | 2.75 | 43.8% | 0.547 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Aug 27, 2023 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Guardians
|
Home win | away | 1.87 | 30.8% | 0.294 | 0.16u | Won | +0.14u |
| Aug 27, 2023 | mlb |
Mets
Angels
|
Home win | away | 2.95 | 43.8% | 0.659 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Aug 26, 2023 | mlb |
Mariners
Royals
|
Home win | away | 2.55 | 43.8% | 0.434 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Aug 26, 2023 | mlb |
Tigers
Astros
|
Home win | away | 3.00 | 43.8% | 0.688 | 0.37u | Won | +0.74u |
| Aug 26, 2023 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home win | away | 2.60 | 43.8% | 0.463 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Aug 26, 2023 | mlb |
Phillies
Cardinals
|
Home win | away | 2.75 | 43.8% | 0.547 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Aug 26, 2023 | mlb |
Pirates
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 56.3% | 0.181 | 0.16u | Lost | -0.16u |
| Aug 26, 2023 | mlb |
Marlins
Nationals
|
Home win | away | 2.10 | 43.8% | 0.181 | 0.16u | Won | +0.18u |
| Aug 25, 2023 | mlb |
Marlins
Nationals
|
Home win | away | 2.80 | 43.8% | 0.575 | 0.37u | Won | +0.67u |
| Aug 25, 2023 | mlb |
Twins
Rangers
|
Home win | away | 2.65 | 43.8% | 0.491 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Aug 25, 2023 | mlb |
Phillies
Cardinals
|
Home win | away | 2.05 | 30.8% | 0.419 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Aug 25, 2023 | mlb |
Red Sox
Dodgers
|
Home win | away | 2.15 | 43.8% | 0.209 | 0.18u | Won | +0.21u |
| Aug 25, 2023 | mlb |
Tigers
Astros
|
Home win | away | 2.40 | 43.8% | 0.350 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Aug 25, 2023 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Guardians
|
Home win | away | 2.10 | 43.8% | 0.181 | 0.14u | Won | +0.15u |
| Aug 24, 2023 | mlb |
Pirates
Cubs
|
Home win | away | 2.50 | 43.8% | 0.406 | 1.20u | Won | +1.80u |
| Aug 23, 2023 | mlb |
Yankees
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 56.3% | 0.181 | 0.17u | Won | +0.19u |
| Aug 23, 2023 | mlb |
Braves
Mets
|
Home win | away | 2.20 | 43.8% | 0.238 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Aug 23, 2023 | mlb |
Athletics
Royals
|
Home win | away | 2.75 | 43.8% | 0.547 | 0.39u | Won | +0.68u |
| Aug 23, 2023 | mlb |
Angels
Reds
|
Home win | away | 2.10 | 43.8% | 0.181 | 0.18u | Won | +0.20u |
| Aug 23, 2023 | mlb |
Tigers
Cubs
|
Home win | away | 2.30 | 0.0% | 1.300 | 0.39u | Won | +0.51u |
| Aug 23, 2023 | mlb |
Astros
Red Sox
|
Home win | away | 2.35 | 30.8% | 0.627 | 0.39u | Won | +0.53u |
| Aug 22, 2023 | mlb |
Brewers
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 52.8% | 0.213 | 0.60u | Won | +0.78u |
| Aug 22, 2023 | mlb |
Padres
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.75 | 52.8% | 0.451 | 0.92u | Lost | -0.92u |
| Aug 22, 2023 | mlb |
White Sox
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 52.8% | 0.134 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Aug 21, 2023 | mlb |
Astros
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.70 | 52.8% | 0.424 | 0.78u | Won | +1.33u |
| Aug 21, 2023 | mlb |
Tigers
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.33 | 52.8% | 0.229 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| Aug 21, 2023 | mlb |
White Sox
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 52.7% | 0.292 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 20, 2023 | mlb |
Yankees
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 52.7% | 0.160 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Aug 20, 2023 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.85 | 52.8% | 0.503 | 0.78u | Won | +1.44u |
| Aug 20, 2023 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 52.7% | 0.398 | 0.78u | Lost | -0.78u |
| Aug 19, 2023 | mlb |
Reds
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 52.8% | 0.187 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Aug 19, 2023 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 52.7% | 0.319 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Aug 19, 2023 | mlb |
Rockies
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 52.8% | 0.213 | 0.48u | Won | +0.62u |
| Aug 19, 2023 | mlb |
Angels
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 52.8% | 0.161 | 0.30u | Won | +0.36u |
| Aug 18, 2023 | mlb |
Braves
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.80 | 52.7% | 0.477 | 0.81u | Won | +1.46u |
| Aug 18, 2023 | mlb |
Rockies
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 52.8% | 0.187 | 0.32u | Won | +0.40u |
| Aug 18, 2023 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 52.8% | 0.293 | 0.67u | Won | +0.97u |
| Aug 17, 2023 | mlb |
Dodgers
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 52.8% | 0.345 | 0.76u | Won | +1.18u |
| Aug 17, 2023 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.95 | 52.8% | 0.556 | 1.04u | Lost | -1.04u |
| Aug 16, 2023 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.75 | 52.8% | 0.451 | 1.15u | Lost | -1.15u |
| Aug 16, 2023 | mlb |
Cardinals
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 52.8% | 0.240 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Aug 15, 2023 | mlb |
Mets
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 52.8% | 0.292 | 0.79u | Lost | -0.79u |
| Aug 15, 2023 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 52.8% | 0.161 | 0.34u | Won | +0.41u |
| Aug 15, 2023 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 52.8% | 0.240 | 0.67u | Won | +0.90u |
| Aug 14, 2023 | mlb |
Padres
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.80 | 52.7% | 0.477 | 0.92u | Lost | -0.92u |
| Aug 14, 2023 | mlb |
Marlins
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 52.8% | 0.213 | 0.60u | Won | +0.78u |
| Aug 14, 2023 | mlb |
Braves
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 52.7% | 0.134 | 0.28u | Won | +0.32u |
| Aug 13, 2023 | mlb |
Nationals
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 52.8% | 0.134 | 0.38u | Won | +0.44u |
| Aug 13, 2023 | mlb |
Rays
Guardians
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 52.8% | 0.187 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Aug 13, 2023 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 52.7% | 0.213 | 0.76u | Won | +0.99u |
| Aug 12, 2023 | mlb |
Astros
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 52.8% | 0.161 | 0.15u | Won | +0.18u |
| Aug 12, 2023 | mlb |
Phillies
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.90 | 52.8% | 0.530 | 0.57u | Lost | -0.57u |
| Aug 12, 2023 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 52.8% | 0.345 | 0.51u | Lost | -0.51u |
| Aug 12, 2023 | mlb |
Mets
Braves
|
Home win | home | 3.00 | 52.8% | 0.583 | 0.57u | Lost | -0.57u |
| Aug 11, 2023 | mlb |
Red Sox
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 52.8% | 0.266 | 0.42u | Won | +0.59u |
| Aug 11, 2023 | mlb |
White Sox
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 52.8% | 0.345 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Aug 11, 2023 | mlb |
Pirates
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.67 | 52.8% | 0.409 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Aug 10, 2023 | mlb |
Orioles
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 52.8% | 0.187 | 0.35u | Won | +0.44u |
| Aug 10, 2023 | mlb |
Guardians
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.70 | 52.8% | 0.424 | 0.83u | Won | +1.41u |
| Aug 10, 2023 | mlb |
Phillies
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 52.7% | 0.266 | 0.62u | Won | +0.87u |
| Aug 9, 2023 | mlb |
Tigers
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 52.7% | 0.266 | 0.28u | Won | +0.39u |
| Aug 9, 2023 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 52.7% | 0.240 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Aug 9, 2023 | mlb |
Mariners
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 52.8% | 0.161 | 0.12u | Won | +0.14u |
| Aug 9, 2023 | mlb |
Athletics
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 3.20 | 52.8% | 0.688 | 0.40u | Won | +0.88u |
| Aug 9, 2023 | mlb |
Phillies
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 52.8% | 0.319 | 0.36u | Won | +0.54u |
| Aug 9, 2023 | mlb |
Angels
Giants
|
Home win | home | 3.45 | 52.8% | 0.820 | 0.40u | Won | +0.98u |
| Aug 8, 2023 | mlb |
Red Sox
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 54.1% | 0.378 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Aug 8, 2023 | mlb |
Reds
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 54.3% | 0.250 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Aug 8, 2023 | mlb |
Tigers
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 54.1% | 0.299 | 0.35u | Won | +0.49u |
| Aug 8, 2023 | mlb |
Mariners
Padres
|
Home win | home | 3.15 | 54.4% | 0.713 | 0.39u | Won | +0.84u |
| Aug 8, 2023 | mlb |
Angels
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 54.4% | 0.250 | 0.27u | Won | +0.35u |
| Aug 8, 2023 | mlb |
Phillies
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 54.3% | 0.168 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Aug 7, 2023 | mlb |
Red Sox
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 54.3% | 0.359 | 0.43u | Won | +0.65u |
| Aug 7, 2023 | mlb |
White Sox
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 3.40 | 54.3% | 0.845 | 0.45u | Won | +1.08u |
| Aug 7, 2023 | mlb |
Guardians
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 54.3% | 0.329 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Aug 7, 2023 | mlb |
Pirates
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.85 | 54.6% | 0.555 | 0.45u | Won | +0.83u |
| Aug 7, 2023 | mlb |
Brewers
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 54.1% | 0.137 | 0.09u | Won | +0.10u |
| Aug 6, 2023 | mlb |
Red Sox
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 54.1% | 0.245 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| Aug 6, 2023 | mlb |
Guardians
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 54.4% | 0.305 | 0.56u | Lost | -0.56u |
| Aug 6, 2023 | mlb |
Reds
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.70 | 54.3% | 0.466 | 0.62u | Lost | -0.62u |
| Aug 6, 2023 | mlb |
Padres
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 54.2% | 0.138 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Aug 5, 2023 | mlb |
Orioles
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 54.4% | 0.224 | 0.37u | Won | +0.46u |
| Aug 5, 2023 | mlb |
Rangers
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 54.4% | 0.142 | 0.18u | Won | +0.20u |
| Aug 5, 2023 | mlb |
Guardians
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 54.1% | 0.354 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| Aug 5, 2023 | mlb |
Twins
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 54.4% | 0.252 | 0.43u | Won | +0.56u |
| Aug 5, 2023 | mlb |
Cardinals
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 54.2% | 0.191 | 0.29u | Won | +0.35u |
| Aug 4, 2023 | mlb |
Cubs
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 54.3% | 0.358 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
| Aug 4, 2023 | mlb |
Phillies
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 54.1% | 0.351 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Aug 4, 2023 | mlb |
Twins
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 54.2% | 0.219 | 0.35u | Won | +0.44u |
| Aug 3, 2023 | mlb |
Brewers
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 54.2% | 0.192 | 0.80u | Won | +0.96u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.