Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 9:14 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2024 | mlb |
Tigers
Rangers
|
Home win | away | 2.30 | 46.9% | 0.221 | 0.85u | Won | +1.11u |
| Apr 17, 2024 | mlb |
Rays
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 53.5% | 0.257 | 0.80u | Lost | -0.80u |
| Apr 17, 2024 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 52.9% | 0.297 | 1.00u | Lost | -1.00u |
| Apr 16, 2024 | mlb |
Dodgers
Nationals
|
Home win | away | 2.00 | 41.8% | 0.164 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Apr 16, 2024 | mlb |
Brewers
Padres
|
Home win | away | 2.15 | 41.8% | 0.252 | 0.43u | Won | +0.49u |
| Apr 16, 2024 | mlb |
Mets
Pirates
|
Home win | away | 2.00 | 41.8% | 0.164 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Apr 16, 2024 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 52.0% | 0.170 | 0.26u | Won | +0.33u |
| Apr 16, 2024 | mlb |
Phillies
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 60.8% | 0.187 | 0.35u | Won | +0.33u |
| Apr 16, 2024 | mlb |
Red Sox
Guardians
|
Home win | away | 2.00 | 42.9% | 0.143 | 0.21u | Won | +0.21u |
| Apr 15, 2024 | mlb |
Tigers
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 52.0% | 0.274 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Apr 15, 2024 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Yankees
|
Home win | away | 2.20 | 42.9% | 0.257 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Apr 15, 2024 | mlb |
Phillies
Rockies
|
Home win | away | 1.95 | 41.8% | 0.137 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Apr 15, 2024 | mlb |
Red Sox
Guardians
|
Home win | away | 2.05 | 41.8% | 0.193 | 0.22u | Won | +0.23u |
| Apr 15, 2024 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Cubs
|
Home win | away | 1.87 | 33.3% | 0.246 | 0.39u | Won | +0.34u |
| Apr 15, 2024 | mlb |
Dodgers
Nationals
|
Home win | away | 2.30 | 41.8% | 0.339 | 0.40u | Won | +0.52u |
| Apr 14, 2024 | mlb |
Orioles
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 60.8% | 0.187 | 0.29u | Won | +0.28u |
| Apr 14, 2024 | mlb |
Astros
Rangers
|
Home win | away | 2.85 | 42.9% | 0.629 | 0.46u | Lost | -0.46u |
| Apr 14, 2024 | mlb |
Guardians
Yankees
|
Home win | away | 2.15 | 41.8% | 0.252 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Apr 14, 2024 | mlb |
Tigers
Twins
|
Home win | away | 2.25 | 41.8% | 0.310 | 0.46u | Lost | -0.46u |
| Apr 14, 2024 | mlb |
Phillies
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 1.87 | 60.8% | 0.137 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| Apr 13, 2024 | mlb |
Guardians
Yankees
|
Home win | away | 2.15 | 33.3% | 0.433 | 0.34u | Won | +0.39u |
| Apr 13, 2024 | mlb |
Orioles
Brewers
|
Home win | away | 2.60 | 41.8% | 0.513 | 0.34u | Won | +0.54u |
| Apr 13, 2024 | mlb |
Mariners
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 60.8% | 0.277 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Apr 13, 2024 | mlb |
Red Sox
Angels
|
Home win | away | 2.35 | 41.8% | 0.368 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Apr 13, 2024 | mlb |
Rays
Giants
|
Home win | away | 2.20 | 41.8% | 0.281 | 0.29u | Won | +0.35u |
| Apr 13, 2024 | mlb |
Marlins
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 60.8% | 0.216 | 0.19u | Won | +0.19u |
| Apr 12, 2024 | mlb |
Astros
Rangers
|
Home win | away | 2.15 | 41.8% | 0.252 | 0.26u | Won | +0.30u |
| Apr 12, 2024 | mlb |
Rays
Giants
|
Home win | away | 2.65 | 41.8% | 0.543 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Apr 12, 2024 | mlb |
White Sox
Reds
|
Home win | away | 2.40 | 41.8% | 0.397 | 0.35u | Won | +0.49u |
| Apr 12, 2024 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rockies
|
Home win | away | 2.10 | 41.8% | 0.222 | 0.22u | Won | +0.24u |
| Apr 12, 2024 | mlb |
Marlins
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 60.8% | 0.247 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Apr 12, 2024 | mlb |
Orioles
Brewers
|
Home win | away | 3.10 | 41.8% | 0.805 | 0.35u | Won | +0.74u |
| Apr 11, 2024 | mlb |
Red Sox
Orioles
|
Home win | away | 2.50 | 41.8% | 0.455 | 1.20u | Won | +1.80u |
| Apr 10, 2024 | mlb |
Angels
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 52.0% | 0.274 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Apr 10, 2024 | mlb |
Cardinals
Phillies
|
Home win | away | 1.83 | 33.3% | 0.222 | 0.32u | Won | +0.27u |
| Apr 10, 2024 | mlb |
Royals
Astros
|
Home win | away | 2.30 | 41.8% | 0.339 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Apr 10, 2024 | mlb |
Padres
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 60.8% | 0.187 | 0.22u | Won | +0.21u |
| Apr 10, 2024 | mlb |
Rockies
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 60.8% | 0.187 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Apr 10, 2024 | mlb |
Guardians
White Sox
|
Home win | away | 2.65 | 33.3% | 0.767 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Apr 9, 2024 | mlb |
Angels
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 60.8% | 0.551 | 0.56u | Lost | -0.56u |
| Apr 9, 2024 | mlb |
Rangers
Athletics
|
Home win | away | 2.00 | 41.8% | 0.164 | 0.23u | Won | +0.23u |
| Apr 9, 2024 | mlb |
Guardians
White Sox
|
Home win | away | 2.15 | 41.8% | 0.252 | 0.45u | Won | +0.52u |
| Apr 9, 2024 | mlb |
Red Sox
Orioles
|
Home win | away | 2.60 | 41.8% | 0.513 | 0.56u | Won | +0.90u |
| Apr 8, 2024 | mlb |
Giants
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 52.0% | 0.170 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Apr 8, 2024 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Mariners
|
Home win | away | 2.75 | 41.8% | 0.601 | 0.84u | Lost | -0.84u |
| Apr 8, 2024 | mlb |
Twins
Dodgers
|
Home win | away | 2.15 | 42.9% | 0.229 | 0.61u | Won | +0.70u |
| Apr 7, 2024 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 60.8% | 0.368 | 0.34u | Won | +0.43u |
| Apr 7, 2024 | mlb |
Tigers
Athletics
|
Home win | away | 2.25 | 41.8% | 0.310 | 0.30u | Won | +0.38u |
| Apr 7, 2024 | mlb |
Reds
Mets
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 60.8% | 0.187 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Apr 7, 2024 | mlb |
Cubs
Dodgers
|
Home win | away | 2.40 | 41.8% | 0.397 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Apr 7, 2024 | mlb |
Pirates
Orioles
|
Home win | away | 2.65 | 41.8% | 0.543 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Apr 7, 2024 | mlb |
Yankees
Blue Jays
|
Home win | away | 2.40 | 41.8% | 0.397 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Apr 6, 2024 | mlb |
Angels
Red Sox
|
Home win | away | 2.25 | 41.8% | 0.310 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Apr 6, 2024 | mlb |
Pirates
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 60.8% | 0.338 | 0.36u | Won | +0.43u |
| Apr 6, 2024 | mlb |
Rangers
Astros
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 60.8% | 0.187 | 0.18u | Won | +0.17u |
| Apr 6, 2024 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
Home win | away | 2.95 | 42.9% | 0.686 | 0.36u | Won | +0.70u |
| Apr 6, 2024 | mlb |
Rockies
Rays
|
Home win | away | 2.05 | 41.8% | 0.193 | 0.18u | Won | +0.19u |
| Apr 6, 2024 | mlb |
Brewers
Mariners
|
Home win | away | 2.50 | 41.8% | 0.455 | 0.36u | Won | +0.54u |
| Apr 5, 2024 | mlb |
Brewers
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 52.0% | 0.378 | 0.35u | Won | +0.58u |
| Apr 5, 2024 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
Home win | away | 2.55 | 42.9% | 0.457 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Apr 5, 2024 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
Home win | away | 3.55 | 33.3% | 1.367 | 0.37u | Won | +0.94u |
| Apr 5, 2024 | mlb |
Reds
Mets
|
Home win | away | 2.00 | 41.8% | 0.164 | 0.15u | Won | +0.15u |
| Apr 5, 2024 | mlb |
Rangers
Astros
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 60.8% | 0.187 | 0.19u | Won | +0.18u |
| Apr 5, 2024 | mlb |
Braves
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 60.8% | 0.490 | 0.37u | Won | +0.54u |
| Apr 3, 2024 | mlb |
Dodgers
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 60.8% | 0.247 | 0.24u | Won | +0.25u |
| Apr 3, 2024 | mlb |
Nationals
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 60.8% | 0.490 | 0.35u | Won | +0.51u |
| Apr 3, 2024 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Yankees
|
Home win | away | 2.45 | 41.8% | 0.426 | 0.35u | Won | +0.51u |
| Apr 3, 2024 | mlb |
Phillies
Reds
|
Home win | away | 2.50 | 41.8% | 0.455 | 0.35u | Won | +0.53u |
| Apr 3, 2024 | mlb |
Athletics
Red Sox
|
Home win | away | 2.05 | 41.8% | 0.193 | 0.16u | Won | +0.17u |
| Apr 3, 2024 | mlb |
Marlins
Angels
|
Home win | away | 2.30 | 41.8% | 0.339 | 0.35u | Won | +0.46u |
| Apr 2, 2024 | mlb |
Dodgers
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 50.5% | 0.162 | 0.62u | Won | +0.81u |
| Apr 2, 2024 | mlb |
Orioles
Royals
|
Home win | away | 2.30 | 46.3% | 0.236 | 0.55u | Won | +0.72u |
| Apr 2, 2024 | mlb |
Athletics
Red Sox
|
Home win | away | 2.55 | 47.2% | 0.347 | 0.78u | Won | +1.21u |
| Apr 1, 2024 | mlb |
Phillies
Reds
|
Home win | away | 1.95 | 39.6% | 0.179 | 0.45u | Won | +0.43u |
| Apr 1, 2024 | mlb |
Nationals
Pirates
|
Home win | away | 2.25 | 49.3% | 0.142 | 0.25u | Won | +0.31u |
| Apr 1, 2024 | mlb |
Rays
Rangers
|
Home win | away | 2.75 | 45.3% | 0.505 | 0.70u | Won | +1.23u |
| Apr 1, 2024 | mlb |
Astros
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 50.7% | 0.190 | 0.40u | Won | +0.54u |
| Mar 31, 2024 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
Home win | away | 2.25 | 45.4% | 0.228 | 0.91u | Lost | -0.91u |
| Mar 30, 2024 | mlb |
Rangers
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 55.8% | 0.199 | 0.86u | Won | +0.99u |
| Mar 30, 2024 | mlb |
Reds
Nationals
|
Home win | away | 1.95 | 42.2% | 0.129 | 0.68u | Won | +0.65u |
| Mar 29, 2024 | mlb |
Mets
Brewers
|
Home win | away | 2.85 | 49.5% | 0.439 | 1.19u | Won | +2.20u |
| Mar 29, 2024 | mlb |
Mariners
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 55.0% | 0.184 | 0.60u | Won | +0.69u |
| Mar 28, 2024 | mlb |
Marlins
Pirates
|
Home win | away | 2.30 | 42.6% | 0.321 | 1.20u | Won | +1.56u |
| Mar 21, 2024 | mlb |
Dodgers
Padres
|
Home win | away | 2.75 | 49.8% | 0.381 | 1.09u | Won | +1.91u |
| Mar 20, 2024 | mlb |
Padres
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.75 | 52.0% | 0.430 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Oct 19, 2023 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 58.0% | 0.188 | 0.90u | Won | +0.95u |
| Oct 12, 2023 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 54.0% | 0.242 | 0.93u | Won | +1.21u |
| Oct 11, 2023 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 53.4% | 0.174 | 0.72u | Won | +0.86u |
| Oct 1, 2023 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 52.0% | 0.249 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Oct 1, 2023 | mlb |
Brewers
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 52.0% | 0.145 | 0.14u | Won | +0.17u |
| Oct 1, 2023 | mlb |
Giants
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.85 | 52.0% | 0.483 | 0.51u | Lost | -0.51u |
| Oct 1, 2023 | mlb |
Royals
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.75 | 52.1% | 0.433 | 0.51u | Won | +0.89u |
| Oct 1, 2023 | mlb |
Pirates
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 52.0% | 0.223 | 0.29u | Won | +0.39u |
| Sep 30, 2023 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 52.4% | 0.179 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Sep 30, 2023 | mlb |
Orioles
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 52.0% | 0.327 | 1.05u | Won | +1.63u |
| Sep 29, 2023 | mlb |
Cardinals
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 52.0% | 0.144 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Sep 29, 2023 | mlb |
Giants
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 52.4% | 0.388 | 0.77u | Lost | -0.77u |
| Sep 29, 2023 | mlb |
Royals
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 52.0% | 0.171 | 0.41u | Won | +0.51u |
| Sep 29, 2023 | mlb |
Rockies
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 52.0% | 0.144 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Sep 28, 2023 | mlb |
Orioles
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.85 | 52.3% | 0.490 | 1.03u | Won | +1.91u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.